Direxion Daily 20-Yr Treasury Bull 3x Shrs forum
TMF 25bp cut or pause. What are we thinking?
TMF CME group is pricing in for a 99.5% chance of a 25 cut. Im pretty sure its all priced in already. Good Luck.TMF I guessed 50bp cut the first time and I'm guessing another 50bp cut this time. Fed is behind and basing the decision on the beige book, not current events.
TMF i'm guessing the fed will do 25bp this afternoon and say we're optimistic about inflation but staying vigilant. also, labor market looks solid but not spectacular, so no need to cut 50 now but in the event of weakness in the labor market we are prepared to cut further if necessary.
TMF spreads are crazy on calls right now. the ask is 2x the bid.