Spy idea I think it gaps down tomorrow morning and then retrace after touching the 566 area support . RSI in the one hour looks really bad bulls would be buying this Deep and I will buy some calls at this level
SPY trade ideas
SPY Technical Analysis for Nov. 1, 2024Resistance Levels:
$578.35: Immediate overhead resistance where recent selling pressure has been observed. This level could act as a barrier, especially in the early trading session.
$583.29 to $584.50: Stronger resistance range. If SPY pushes above this, it could signal potential for further upside, but watch for rejection around this range if volume decreases.
Support Levels:
$569.40: Immediate support where buyers may step in. This level aligns with recent price action, showing buying interest.
$568.44: Lower support level that has seen demand in the past. A breakdown here could lead to more downside pressure.
Price Action and Trend:
The chart shows a recent downtrend with a slight rebound today. If momentum carries into tomorrow, we may see a test of the $578.35 resistance.
The MACD indicator shows a potential shift in momentum, suggesting a possible short-term recovery if it crosses upward.
Entry/Exit Suggestions:
Bullish Entry: Consider entering above $578.35 with volume confirmation. Target the $583.29 to $584.50 resistance zone for a short-term exit. Place a stop below $578.35 to manage risk.
Bearish Entry: If SPY fails to break above $578.35 and shows weakness, consider a short entry with a target around $569.40. Stop loss should be set just above $578.35 to limit losses.
Volume Analysis:
Volume on this pullback suggests a strong interest level around current support zones. An increase in volume at resistance or support could indicate strength in the next price direction.
"Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making any trading decisions."
SPY adjusted in July for the election ...In July, the market adjusted slightly to prepare for the upcoming election on Nov. 5th, 2024. The SPY was usually topping out around the 22nd of the month, and started to go back up around the beginning of each month. But in July the downward movement lasted a little longer. (I circled the area where it started to adjust) and it started to go back up around August 6th.
I suspect the market will start to go up tomorrow as the 4 hour, 5 hour indicators started to show a move upward. I believe it will gap up tomorrow and continue to go up. I should have entered today but missed my chance.
I just started to use the Heikin-Ashi candlesticks as I find they show more of a definite direction on the chart itself. But I am still learning about this. :-) But you can see on the chart how you can see a definite direction on the chart itself.
I use the MacD, DMI and the Stochastic RSI as my indicators.
The SPY will move between 32 to 40 pts this month before a brief retracement prior to the election. This was the average movement in the past few months.
I use the fib tool to get a general approximation of the target. I'm not exact on how to use the tool so my targets are a little off.
I suspect the target will be around 598 (3.618 fib) to 604 (4.236 fib)
It should hit this target around Oct 22 -25th before trading sideways or going slightly lower prior to the US election.
After the election, the market will go back up.
Happy trading, everyone!!
SPY Prediction 10/31/2024 SPY might hit the support level on the chart and fill the Gap. If not we are looking for the support level below
$SPY tough spot right now, but there's still a glimmer of hope!On the daily chart, there are three bearish signals without even considering indicators:
1. Price is below the EMAs.
2. With a gap down.
3. From a coil spring.
On the weekly chart, the trend remains intact. However, if we drop below the fast EMA, a significant test will be the slow EMA.
The key level to watch is the low of the daily channel line at $554, which aligns with the weekly slow EMA at approximately $551. For me, that represents the definitive line in the sand for SPY.
Spy Trade UpdateWe have been trading in a ascending wedge for the pass week. 586.12 has been a strong area to break. we are also loosing buying power with in this pattern. The pattern is a daily and 4 hour trend that has strong respect.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 10-31: Halloween BreakdownThis short video discusses why traders need to prepare for a downward move and the eventual move into Phase #3 of the Excess Phase Peak pattern (consolidation).
I believe this consolidation phase will be very short-lived. So be aware of the continued risks to the downside.
This election has many traders concerned about pre-/post-market jitters. Bonds continue to put pressure on the debt markets, and Gold and silver are not contracting downward (as I suggested), reflecting a real panic-type trending mode.
Spend a bit of time watching my past videos. It is very impressive that you called this move 3+ weeks in advance, and I continue to believe we will see a base/bottom setup just after the election.
So, there is still a boatload of opportunities for skilled traders.
Buckle up - this move downward is likely to be very volatile.
Get some.
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SPY Just a follow up on SPY TA .We have been trading in a ascending wedge for the pass week. 586.12 has been a strong area to break. we are also loosing buying power with in this pattern. The pattern is a daily and 4 hour trend that has strong respect.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-31 : Consolidation PatternToday's video highlights the power and simplicity of what I attempt to do for all of you.
I'm not perfect. I don't see into the future using some magic crystal ball.
I use my tools and skills to watch the markets and apply my knowledge to the charts to identify the most likely future outcome.
My SPY Cycle pattern predictions seem perfect, showing a top setting up between Oct 29-31, then rolling into a reasonably sharp market decline.
Yesterday's Excess Phase Peak pattern in Silver seemed to lead to weakness in the markets while the SPY was attempting to break through the Flag Apex pattern.
Combined, this cross-market weakness has translated into a very strong overnight selling event where the SPY is already off more than 0.50% and Gold/Silver are struggling near recent highs.
I hope viewers are learning from watching my charts and research. I try to explain things as clearly as I can and show you how to apply these techniques on your own.
As I state in this video, you can build better skills. You can improve your abilities to attempt to see into the future (a bit) and learn to apply better trading abilities. You don't have to be tied to failed techniques and indicators the rest of your life.
It just takes some patience and a lot of learning.
Anyway, I hope you see how my effort are helping you and I will continue to do my best to educate you and help you stay ahead of these market trends.
Get some...
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SELL OFF COMING?The election rally could cause a sell off here, volume suggest there is a sell trigger that could happen however we have a bullish momentum going on. look for shorts around $593
ETF SPY weekly (log)Hello everyone,
Weekly chart in logarithmic scale.
The channel is bullish, we are in the upper part of the channel, but I do not see any bullish exaggeration.
The 200-period simple average is bullish in orange on the screen.
In any case, investing in the SPY is a very good investment.
Make your own opinion, before placing an order.
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$SPY TomorrowAMEX:SPY looking bearish for tomorrow. With the sell off after MSFT and META earnings, markets might bias to the downside tomorrow.
SPY 600+?According to Elliot Wave Theory, Chart Patterns, and Analysis of the option chains, SPY could potentially reach 600+ before long.
Looking at Elliot Wave Theory:
Currently price is in Wave #4. In EW, Wave #4 characteristics are opposite of Wave #2. Wave #2 in this cycle was short, so expect price to take a little longer to breakout, which brings us to the next observation:
Chart Patterns:
Price is starting to form an expanding descending wedge (or megaphone), a variation of a flag. Generally in these formations, price is volatile and the formation can hold in tact for a decent length of time. That being said, it’s the perfect scenario for a long Wave #4. When price touches the bottom trendline for the third time, look to go long a month out.
Option Chain:
January Contracts - neutral.
November Contracts - bearish (just a hedge for tech earnings)
In the options chain, a neutral or balanced chain means the market is bullish. When an inordinate amount of puts are bought, it generally means institutions are hedging their portfolios when markets turn volatile. (Earnings will definitely do that)
Recap: Looking to go long once this formation breaks upwards for the afore mentioned reasons. If something changes, I’ll update this. (We can’t be married to our opinions)
Ride Wave #5 with me.
Double Bull Flags on an Ascending Triangle breakout on the dailyDaily, double Bull Flag, on top of an Ascending Triangle Breakout. Golden Pocket on the Fib Ext is $588 🥂
$SPY October 31 2024AMEX:SPY October 31, 2024
15 Minutes.
Still within the box.
For the fall 586.12 to 574.41 4SPY retraced 78%. So double bottom is what Hence, expect.
For the fall 583.32 to 576.36 582 is the level to short for 578-579. If this is broken, we can expect 576 levels which is 200 averages in one hour time frame.
The issue we have at the moment in one hour is AMEX:SPY made LL at 580.38 and 574.41. But no divergence in oscillator. Hence, I don't see much downside. At the moment.
Go long above 585 and short cover at 579 578 levels. Maximum downside as mentioned is 576 levels as of now.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade EOD Update For 10-30: ConsolidationWhat an interesting day regarding how the markets reacted to the Flags and APEX setups.
My update video was perfect as we saw the market break away from the Flag Apex and trend downward almost all afternoon.
With BTCUSD moving into a Flagging formation within a potential Excess Phase Peak pattern near $72, things are about to get interesting.
Either we see the breakdown of support in the markets over the next 4-5+ days or we see support hold and the markets rally a bit higher going into the long weekend.
It's an either A or B type of scenario right now. I estimate fear and uncertainty drive the markets about 3.5 to 5.5% lower before the election.
Buckle up and prepare for real market volatility. By tomorrow's end, make sure you are protected from risk.
Beyond that, at this point, it is a wait-and-see type of situation.
Get some.
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SPY - Gann and Fibonacci SPY is sincerely following Gann and Fibonacci Tool towards Nov 29th.
Let's see if it push to the red zone or break below of it, wait and watch.
Ascending ChannelBased on the chart, the current trend appears bullish but shows signs of potential consolidation or hesitation near the upper resistance. Here are key observations:
Upward Channel: The price is moving within an ascending channel, generally a bullish signal, as it reflects a series of higher highs and higher lows.
Consolidation Near Resistance: The price action near the top of the channel suggests consolidation. This could indicate a bullish continuation if it breaks above resistance, but if it fails to do so, there could be a bearish reversal down to the support trendline.
Election Date Impact: The November 5th marker might act as a catalyst. If uncertainty or risk increases around the election, we might see more volatility, potentially breaking out of this channel.
For now, the trend remains bullish within the channel, but keep an eye on resistance and how the price behaves as it approaches that key date. A breakout would be bullish, while a reversal could signal a short-term bearish move.
Framing of my routine on 5min 15min drawings of 10/30/2024Using Today chart as example. We see pullback test at 5min ORB high.
showing respect to prev breakout price!
good news for bulls!
and 5min also held the (S),
by rejection of closing back above (S) on the 2nd candle.
showing us a fakeout, tricked some impatient bears.wasted BP. sad.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-30 : GapUp-Higher PatternToday's pattern suggests the markets will attempt to GAP higher at the open, then continue to trend upward throughout the day.
I go into great detail in this video trying to highlight the setups and constructs of price for my followers.
We are moving into a very volatile period for the markets with what I believe will be a low liquidity event taking place throughout the election. My thoughts are that liquidity will dry up later this week and early next week before the election day (we also have a Holiday on Monday).
So, if my analysis is correct, we are going to be looking for the US and global markets to clearly illustrate extreme anticipation/fear related to who the US will elect.
That should translate into extreme potential market volatility.
I urge traders to watch this video (and some of my more recent videos). Now is the time to prepare for this extreme market volatility and to learn to PULL AWAY from risks.
There is no reason to be trading like normal throughout this event. By late today or late tomorrow, you should really ask yourself "how much are you willing to risk throughout the election event and long weekend".
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
$SPY October 30, 2024AMEX:SPY October 30, 2024
15 Minutes.
Shorts closed at open gap down.
So, 578 579 managed to hold.
Nowe this box needs to get sorted out.
Sideways till then
For the day The rise 578.43 to 582.91 580 needs to hold for uptrend to continue.
On downside if 578 is broken and close of bar near low 575-576 is the low I see. So not worth shorting. At the moment.
Long is still above 585 for me.
SPY Technical Analysis for Oct. 30, 2024Technical Analysis
Resistance Levels:
585.26: This level represents a recent high and serves as a short-term resistance. If SPY breaks and holds above this, it could lead to further bullish momentum.
584.44 and 583.05: These are additional resistance zones, highlighted in red, which could act as potential selling zones if SPY approaches them.
Support Levels:
582.98: This support level has held several times, indicating it’s an area of buying interest. A breakdown below this could indicate bearish sentiment.
578.46 and 577.61: These lower support zones could come into play if SPY sees increased selling pressure, providing areas to watch for a possible bounce.
Trendlines and Patterns:
The downward-sloping trendline is broken, suggesting a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment, at least temporarily.
A consolidation zone around 580-582 (marked in green) indicates a demand zone where buyers have previously stepped in. This could act as a key support if SPY retraces.
Volume Analysis:
Volume has shown some spikes near the resistance levels, indicating that traders are actively watching these levels. If SPY approaches these levels with high volume, it might either push through or face strong resistance.
Momentum Indicators:
The momentum indicator below the price chart is beginning to show bullish divergence, indicating that momentum may be shifting in favor of the bulls. This is supportive of a potential continuation to the upside, but it would require confirmation by holding above key support zones.
Directional Thoughts
For tomorrow:
Bullish Scenario: If SPY opens above 583.05 and holds, it could attempt to test the 585.26 resistance. A strong breakout above 585.26 with volume might lead to further bullish moves.
Bearish Scenario: A drop below 582.98 might lead to a retest of the 580.83 support level. A failure to hold above this could see SPY move towards the 578.46 level.
Given the broken downtrend and initial signs of bullish momentum, I’m leaning toward a bullish outlook for tomorrow as long as SPY stays above the key 582.98 level. Watch for entry points near support and potential targets at resistance levels.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor to ensure it aligns with your individual circumstances. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Spy idea Massive Macd divergence . I think tomorrow it gaps up but will quickly vanish . I expect 575 then 566 targets in November . We will see if this structure fails and spy goes up but even if it does as high as588 it will fall back down to support . That’s what I think bought a put option today at close for end of November
