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20% downside risk still persists MT ; Long term upside 100%- In the short term, NYSE:UBER price can go down to test $47 at 200 SMA on weekly timeframe. - This will present a solid opportunity to buyer Uber at an attractive valuation. Risks & Opportunities: - Many investors are selling it because of AV i.e waymo & robotaxi by tesla. - These AVs are not a risk for at least 3-5 years. On top of that, Uber is a global platform which allows one to use the same app in various countries. - AVs are capital intensive and will eat up lot of capital from Google & Tesla. It is not scalable beyond US where there's huge population like Asia or where the roads aren't good, traffic signs are confusing. Therefore, there will always be a demand for rideshare with an actual driver. - Rideshare with driver will always be cheaper to operate in countries where population is high & labour is cheap like south America, asia, south-east asia. It is capital light because car is of the cab driver whereas for AV, the car needs to be modified, infrastructure needs to be maintained, software updates, car maintainence etc can't compete with rideshare with human driver. - Uber is a "verb" for ride hailing and can be used as a benchmark for right pricing as local taxi drivers might dupe tourists. - CEO Dara is amazing and has turned Uber from a loss making company to a profit generating machine. His execution is top class. - I remember when Uber & Lyft used to trade hand in hand till 2022. But Dara's execution proved Uber to be a rideshare winner. - Uber should perform well even if we hit a recession because in a recession although there would be demand compression but the supply of drivers will increase ( gig economy ) so price paid to driver will decrease ( simple supply & demand ) which will lead to stabilization of margins. - People ain't stopping to buy food from uber eats as they are too lazy to cook and won't stop taking rides if they have to go from A to B. Plus, in a recession, people are likely to invest less in buying new car which can be seen from cooling down of auto industry despite several rate cuts. Disclaimer: - I'm nibbling Uber as it goes down and want to build this as my biggest position for a safe & asymmetrical returns of 60-100%+
NYSE:UBERShort
by bigbull037
Analysis of BigBear AI (BBAI) StockBigBear.ai (Ticker: BBAI) has recently demonstrated notable price movement, fueled in part by its recent collaboration with Proof Labs, as highlighted in a Yahoo Finance article. Below is a breakdown of the technical and fundamental aspects of BBAI's current market positioning: __________ 1. Recent Price Action Price Spike and Correction: BBAI spiked to a high of $4.49 before retracing to $3.16, showing some bounce near the Fibonacci retracement levels. Key Levels: Based on Fibonacci retracement: - The 0.382 level at $2.93 provided some support during the recent retracement. - The current price of $3.17 is near the 0.5 retracement level at $3.18, making it a critical inflection point. - Further resistance lies at the 0.618 level ($3.43) and 0.786 level ($3.78). 2. Technical Indicators RSI (Relative Strength Index): At 61, RSI suggests BBAI is nearing overbought territory but remains in a bullish range. Directional Movement Index (DMI): - DI+ at 37 and DI- at 16 indicate strong bullish momentum. - ADX at 28 confirms a strengthening trend, though not yet at an extreme. ATR (Average True Range): At 0.1771, ATR indicates moderate volatility. The market is reacting but not excessively volatile. 3. Chart Implications - A break above the $3.18 level (0.5 retracement) would signal potential continuation of the recent uptrend, with a target around the $3.43 (0.618 level). - Failure to hold above the $3.18 level could lead to retesting the $2.93 (0.382 level) or even the previous low near $2.12. 4. Fundamental Context BigBear.ai's collaboration with Proof Labs adds a fundamental layer to its bullish narrative. The partnership focuses on the adoption of AI tools in digital transformation initiatives, which aligns well with BigBear.ai’s core competencies. This collaboration positions the company to potentially expand its footprint in the growing AI market, which could drive investor interest further if material progress or additional contracts are announced. 5. Key Considerations - Upside Potential: If momentum continues, key levels to watch for resistance are $3.43 and $3.78. - Downside Risk: A drop below $2.93 could lead to a significant retracement toward $2.12. - Market Sentiment: RSI nearing 70 could suggest caution for overbought conditions, though current momentum metrics remain supportive of bullish continuation. __________ Conclusion BBAI's recent price action reflects a blend of technical and fundamental drivers. The stock appears poised at a critical juncture, with technical indicators supporting a bullish bias but contingent on holding above the $3.18 level. The collaboration with Proof Labs may provide additional momentum, especially if more details or contracts emerge. Traders and investors should watch for confirmation of direction, especially near the Fibonacci retracement levels and with RSI approaching overbought conditions. Source: BigBear.ai and Proof Labs Collaborate on Digital Transformation Tools -https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bigbear-ai-proof-labs-collaborate-141500194.html
NYSE:BBAILong
by maybethatguy
6
The Next Bubble: Hunting for Sci-Fi Hype in Emerging MarketsExploring potential emerging market bubbles with a focus on futuristic and lesser-known technologies. In the ever-evolving landscape of investment opportunities, savvy investors are always looking for the next big wave. This potential market bubble could transform obscure technologies into astronomical valuations. While traditional industries like banking and oil remain predictable, the most exciting investment frontiers lie in science fiction-adjacent technologies that most people can barely comprehend. Quantum Computing: The Invisible Revolution Quantum computing represents a prime candidate for a potential market bubble. Most people struggle to understand how quantum computers work, which makes them perfect for speculative investment. Companies like IBM, Google, and several stealth startups are developing quantum technologies that seem more like science fiction than reality. The allure is simple: quantum computers promise to solve complex problems that classical computers can't handle. From cryptography to drug discovery, the potential applications are mind-bending. As public understanding remains limited, this knowledge gap creates fertile ground for massive hype and potentially inflated valuations. Synthetic Biology: Programming Life Itself Another frontier that screams "future bubble" is synthetic biology. Imagine companies that can program biological systems, design custom organisms, or create entirely new forms of life. Startups in this space are working on everything from lab-grown meat to engineered microorganisms that can clean up environmental pollution. The complexity of synthetic biology means most investors won't understand the underlying technology, creating perfect conditions for a speculative frenzy. Companies like Ginkgo Bioworks are already pushing the boundaries of what seems possible, blurring the lines between engineering and biology. Space Resource Extraction: The Final Economic Frontier While space tourism gets most of the headlines, the real potential bubble might be in space resource extraction. Companies are developing technologies to mine asteroids, harvest helium-3 from the moon, or extract rare minerals from extraterrestrial sources. These ventures sound like plot points from a science fiction novel but are becoming serious investment considerations. The total addressable market is astronomical, and the technological challenges are so complex that they create a perfect environment for speculative investment. Most people can't comprehend the engineering required, which means wild narratives can drive market sentiment. Neuromorphic Computing: Brains in Silicon Neuromorphic computing represents another potential bubble zone. These are computer systems designed to mimic the human brain's neural structures, promising revolutionary approaches to artificial intelligence and machine learning. Companies developing neuromorphic chips and systems are creating technologies that seem more like sentient machines from a William Gibson novel than traditional computing. The mystique of creating "brain-like" computers that can learn and adapt independently is a powerful narrative for investors seeking the next transformative technology. Key Bubble Indicators When hunting for potential market bubbles in sci-fi-adjacent technologies, look for these red flags: - Technological complexity that defies easy explanation - Massive potential market size with minimal current revenue - High-profile founders with grandiose visions - Media coverage that sounds more like science fiction than economic analysis - Significant venture capital interest despite unclear monetization paths Investor Caution: The Thin Line Between Innovation and Illusion While these technologies represent exciting investment frontiers, they also embody significant risks. Not every sci-fi-like technology will become the next big bubble. Careful research, understanding technological feasibility, and avoiding pure hype is crucial. The most successful investors will be those who can distinguish between genuine technological breakthroughs and elaborate narratives designed to attract speculative capital. Remember: Today's impossible dream could be tomorrow's trillion-dollar market—or next year's cautionary tale. #RGTI: is up +650% in less than 2 months since I published the analysis!
NASDAQ:RGTIEducation
by Moshkelgosha
34
TESLA: Money On Your Screen 2.0| Lock in Fully 200% & 135% gainsA little over a month ago, I shared a post on TradingView recommending to take partial profits on Tesla shares. Back then, my target was around the $280–$300 zone, which was reached in the middle of November. Now, Tesla has climbed even higher, almost touching the $500 level! This year, I shared two key ideas on Tesla: The first was in April, highlighting an optimal entry point that could yield up to +200% returns. The second came in early August, offering a chance for a +135% gain. If you followed these ideas and held through, it might now be the ideal time to close out the rest of your position - full close. The current price level is extraordinary. Remember again ;) - money on your screen won’t feed your family. Gains are only real when they’re realized! What’s Next? The $500 zone is an impressive milestone, but such levels often come with increased volatility. If you’re considering holding for the long term, have a clear plan in place. For those taking profits, congratulations on seizing the opportunity, this is the result of disciplined strategy and execution. This rally is another example, power of technical analysis, helping identify strong entry points and key exit zones. Cheers to everyone who joined in and made the most of this move! Best regards, Vaido
NASDAQ:TSLA
by VaidoVeek
Reliance - Time to decide.The chart is self-explanatory as always. The price is at a crucial juncture. The 1250 level is holding up for now. If it drops with a good volume, We may see some down move to the previous swing level. The question is, Will it bounce back?? Disclaimer: This analysis is purely for educational purposes and does not constitute trading advice. I am not a SEBI-registered advisor, and trading involves significant risk. Please consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NSE:RELIANCE
by TheChartereds
NVDA at supportNVDA is at a major support level. NVDA hit an intraday low of 127 today. Based on multiple technical indicators, NVDA is a buy around the 125 price zone. VWMA20 = 140 VWMA50 = 140 VWMA100 = 125 TTCATR S3 = 123 Trade idea: Long = 127 Stop = 123 Profit = 155 1) buy 100 shares 2) buy 125 call 3) long call spread sell 155 call buy 125 call 4) short put spread buy 125 put sell 155 put Options data: 12/20/24 expiry Put Volume Total 318,966 Call Volume Total 380,956 Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.84 Put Open Interest Total 2,304,003 Call Open Interest Total 3,040,469 Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.76 1/17/25 expiry Put Volume Total 41,472 Call Volume Total 97,747 Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.42 Put Open Interest Total 4,177,795 Call Open Interest Total 3,391,793 Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 1.23 2/21/25 expiry Put Volume Total 24,905 Call Volume Total 46,275 Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.54 Put Open Interest Total 1,009,356 Call Open Interest Total 1,217,139 Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.83
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Options360
Technical Analysis on Kadant (KAI)Kadant ( KAI ) has maintained a clear upward trend, characterized by higher highs and higher lows. Throughout its bullish phase, the stock experienced periodic pullbacks between 20% and 30%. After recently hitting its all-time highs, the stock is currently undergoing a retracement, approaching potential support zones. Bullish Scenario The first potential support levels are close to the current price: SUP 1 around $304 POC 1 around $320 Another possible support zone is POC 2 near $280, which could provide a significant base if the price continues to drop. Bearish Scenario For a bearish outlook, key levels to monitor include: A breakdown below POC 1 ($320) A trendline break (green line) A breach of POC 2 ($280), indicating a potential continuation of the downtrend.
NYSE:KAI
by Giovanni_Bandini