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12/20/24 - $amd - upside > downside at $120 taking a 1Y view12/20/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:AMD upside > downside at $120 taking a 1Y view - tough call here b/c sentiment is so stretched - thought this take was a pretty sober take on the situation and paints a really interesting angle. tl;dr that amd has something special and we've not yet seen the extent of their stretching their wings x.com - i'd point out at low 20s PE and PE growth in the 30-40%+ range (make up a number) and a king of x86 and starting to do cool things in asics... that's not expensive. - looking at stock on it's NASDAQ:SMH (semis index) pair shows it's now had about a 50% drawdown. - where's the bottom V? i don't know. but i'd guess sub 20x PE is probably where it'd shake out and that's about 15-20% lower and puts the stock at $100. and on the upside, multi-year view, the stock should compound EPS at a pt where you'd probably realistically say it should trade at 30x next year and hold or even expand that multiple into '27. so that's probably $150 conservatively and compounding toward $200 stock by YE '27. discounted back that puts you in the >$150 but below $200 as we look into next year. - got busy with some Jan 17 2025 $110C's for about $12 bucks to force myself to go deeper on the name. and this is a rough tape, so i've been keeping my cash balance high and remain with high conviction cash generators in my book like NASDAQ:NXT , NYSE:TSM , NYSE:UBER (and i remain liking NASDAQ:META , NASDAQ:NVDA but admittedly have been trading them pretty high frequency). of course i like OTC:GDLC , OTC:BITW too but also keeping those light. so NASDAQ:AMD provides an interesting oppty to add the x86 factor to my top 3 semis names. let's call NASDAQ:AMD added to my list of 4 buyable stocks NYSE:TSM > NASDAQ:NVDA > NASDAQ:AVGO > $amd. and given the move in NASDAQ:AVGO recently it's debatable whether NASDAQ:AMD offers better MT r/r, but the narrative/ tailwind for NASDAQ:AVGO is certainly stronger and has the momentum factor working well for it. what do u think? V
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by VROCKSTAR
Microsoft Update: Key Levels to WatchMicrosoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) is at an important point right now, and here’s what to look out for: If we close above $442: There’s a good chance we’ll see targets at $453 or even $478 as buyers take control. If the price breaks down out of the current range: A correction to $422 or $415 becomes a strong possibility. Stay focused on these levels and let the market show you the way forward. No need to force it—patience pays. Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
NASDAQ:MSFT
by Mindbloome-Trading
Microsoft Update: Key Levels to WatchMicrosoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) is at an important point right now, and here’s what to look out for: If we close above $442: There’s a good chance we’ll see targets at $453 or even $478 as buyers take control. If the price breaks down out of the current range: A correction to $422 or $415 becomes a strong possibility. Stay focused on these levels and let the market show you the way forward. No need to force it—patience pays. Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
NASDAQ:MSFT
by Mindbloome-Trading
QRETAQurate Retail, Inc. engages in the business of video and online commerce industries. It operates through the following segments: QxH, QVC International and CBI. The QxH segment markets and sells a wide variety of consumer products in the U.S., primarily by means of its televised shopping programs and via the Internet through their websites and mobile applications. The QVC International segment markets and sells a wide variety of consumer products in several foreign countries, primarily by means of its televised shopping programs and via the Internet through its international websites and mobile applications. The CBI segment consists of a portfolio of aspirational home and apparel brands in the U.S. that sell merchandise through brick-and-mortar retail locations as well as via the Internet through their websites. The company was founded on March 28, 1991 and is headquartered in Englewood, CO. May get a dump sub .20 for the pump. For entertainment purposes
NASDAQ:QRTEA
by maverick1239
MOBX resistance / support flip, target: +100% nextMobix Labs had volatile pa after earnings, an overreaction as revenue was up over 400% beating estimates. They're still at an operating loss, which is normal for a startup. Story is simple, they did multiple acquisitions this year: RaGE Systems: Revenue for 2024: Not specified. Acquisition Cost: Approximately $2 million in cash, $10 million in Mobix Labs stock, and possible earn-out payments up to $8 million over eight fiscal quarters. Description: Provides radio frequency joint design and manufacturing services. J-Mark Connectors Inc.: Revenue for 2024: Not specified. Acquisition Cost: Financial terms remain undisclosed. Description: Specializes in custom interconnect solutions for industries like aerospace, military, and defense. Spacecraft Components Corp.: Revenue for 2024: Not specified, but 2023 unaudited revenues were $18.1 million with forecasted growth for the next two years. Acquisition Cost: Between $18 million and $24 million, with consideration to be paid in a combination of cash and equity, subject to earnout provisions. Description: Manufactures mission-critical electronics for the aerospace, defense, and transportation sectors. Now especially Spacecraft Components Corp. is notably as they do 18.1 million in revenue and are worth roughly 22 million. Mobix Labs reported about 3 million in revenue yesterday. This means they will do 7x the revenue after the acquisition is completed in Q1 2025. Next to that they secured the following contracts in 2024 that are not part of the current revenue: In 2024, Mobix Labs, Inc. secured the following contracts: M-1 Abrams Tank Army Contract: for filtered connectors. Sole Source Supply Contract: with Gulfstream Aerospace Corp. for custom filtered connectors used in their business-jet aircraft. GE HealthCare and PerkinElmer Contract: for the sale of proprietary electromagnetic filtering products used in pharmaceutical diagnostics and digital imaging solutions. Tomahawk Missile System Contract: for filtered connector parts. Javelin Missile System Contract: for guidance system components. A 15-month Contract: to supply critical components for aerospace and defense applications, though specific details about the customer or components were not specified. EMI Interconnect Solutions: announced new filtered ARINC connectors and secured aerospace customers. These contracts span various sectors, focusing mainly on military, defense, aerospace, and medical applications. --- Looks to me this company is undervalued and has a lot of growth ahead in 2025... I added on the dip and any buy under $2 should be good long term. Short term pa looks like a support resistance flip and a next target of $3.52 - I also like that this stock isn't popular whatsoever, similar to LAES (SEALSQ) when I found it. A patient hold for me, DYOR, happy holidays!
NASDAQ:MOBXLong
by cryptobullethbtcxlm
PACS - Dec 24 100SMA StrongWeak Bounce Sector: Nursing facilities Revenue and EPS has stalled, not clear consistency. Short Interest: 1.98% ADR 5.17% Does it respect the H1 100SMA (Min 3Months): Yes Both founders have around 45M units of stock left after selling in Sep (8M units), Apr (1.6M units) 4 Nov, Hindenburg has done a short report leading to a gap down and decline of almost 60%. hindenburgresearch.com 26 Nov PACS Group receives NYSE non-compliance notice Is it a Hype Thematic (AI, Solar): Potential US healthcare 100SMA StrongWeak Bounce 🏀 (0.5R) v1.0 Trading risk at 0.5R as we are testing this strategy This trade model is based on us riding the 100SMA trend waves of the strongest and weakest companies. It only executes well when greater force (RUT & SPX) is trending. Entries are at greater force key levels when it is consolidating. When greater force is taking off it is too late. Entry Within Stdev 100 zone SL = ATR14 * 2 (Run full course no early exits) Trailing stop (Previous Day Low or high) Price launch off (D1) D2 Closes D3 Move SL to D2 Low
NYSE:PACSShort
by Ronin_trader
MEG - Dec 24 100SMA StrongWeak BounceBet size is 1/2 kelly f*portfolio = (11690/2)*0.5 (I already have PACS running so I accounted for 2 stocks) MEG - Sector: Environmental services & consulting - Past two quarters, revenue and EPS has stalled - ADR 9.56% - Short Interest: 8.07% - Avg Vol (30D): 787.48K - Market cap: 573M - Does it respect the H1 100SMA (Min 3Months): Yes - Is it a Hype Thematic (AI, Solar): No - Nothing from insider filings 100SMA StrongWeak Bounce 🏀 (0.5R) v1.0 Trading risk at 0.5R as we are testing this strategy This trade model is based on us riding the 100SMA trend waves of the strongest and weakest companies. It only executes well when greater force (RUT & SPX) is trending. Entries are at greater force key levels when it is consolidating. When greater force is taking off it is too late. Entry Within Stdev 100 zone SL = Candle open + ATR14 * 2 Trailing stop (Previous Day Low or high) Price launch off (D1) D2 Closes D3 Move SL to D2 Low
NYSE:MEGShort
by Ronin_trader
Comcast Web CastA web of potential zones of influence and 3 curves that might act as support and/or resistance. Looking for consolidations at the elements, breaks, and perhaps one important inflection point at one of them. The main scenario follows the path of the rectangles, but hopefully they are designed well enough so that if the path of the stock price deviates into anything else, we might see a pivot or other developments (: bounce) at the most important of them all which can be either of them depending on the evolutions.
NASDAQ:CMCSA
by nen
Cloudflare: ResistanceBy expanding the green wave 3, NET recently stretched above the resistance at $117.70. However, the stock only briefly surpassed this level before encountering selling pressure, which pushed it back to its early December levels. Primarily, we expect the price to overcome this resistance to complete the green five-wave structure and, thus, the orange wave iii. A still ongoing wave alt.ii correction remains a possibility in the context of our 30% likely alternative scenario.
NYSE:NET
by MarketIntel