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Is the US Dollar Index Set for a Pause?Following the recent Federal Reserve meeting, where expectations for 2025 interest rate cuts were adjusted from three to two, the US Dollar Index surged by approximately 1.28%. But what are the technical scenarios shaping its next moves? On the daily chart, the US Dollar Index remains in an overall uptrend, recently hitting a higher peak at 108.071. The daily trading range lies between 108.539, marking the higher high and resistance level, and 105.420, the higher low and support level. Traders might watch for a pullback near 106.015 before a potential continuation of the long-term uptrend. On the 4-hour chart, the index is experiencing a general downtrend, forming a new bottom. A rise to 108.276 could face selling pressure, possibly leading to a continuation of the downward move. Key targets for this downtrend include 107.784 as the first level and 106.086 as the longer-term target. However, the negative outlook on the 4-hour chart becomes invalid if the price breaks above 108.539, forming a new higher peak. In summary, the downtrend on the 4-hour chart appears to be a corrective wave within the broader uptrend seen on the daily chart.
ICEUS:DXY
by CFI
USNAS100 / Correct before Bullish trendTechnical Analysis The price still shows bullish momentum but is expected to first retest the 21,630 level before starting a bullish trend. If a 4-hour candle closes above 21,760, it indicates the start of a bullish trend without correction. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 21760 Resistance Levels: 21900, 22110, 22300 Support Levels: 21630, 21535, 21400 Trend Outlook: Bearish Correction: Possible decline to 21,630 if stability remains below 21,760. Bullish Momentum: Likely continuation of an uptrend if stability is maintained above 21,760.
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by SroshMayi
S&P500 The new Bullish Leg has begun.The S&P500 index (SPX) has completed 4 straight green 1D candles, and is already trading above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) again. With its 1D RSI also reaching its MA (yellow trend-line), we view last Friday's candle as the new Higher Low at the bottom of the 4-month Channel Up. This pattern is so far highly symmetrical with each of the 2 completed Legs so far, following an a-b-c-d structure. Right now we are on step (a) that is the start of the Bullish Leg. Based on this model, we are expected to approach the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Channel Up on step (b) then make the mid-Leg pull-back to (c) and then resume the uptrend for the Bullish Leg's top on (d). We expect that to be on at least 6300, which is marginally below the 1.786 Fibonacci extension, being the minimum level that each of the previous 2 Bullish Legs hit. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:SPXLong
by TradingShot
1
DXY UP active zone The US Dollar trades flat and is unphased by headlines out of China about ramping up bond sales next year. Chinese policymakers plan to sell a record 3 trillion yuan of special treasury bonds in 2025, the highest on record. The US Dollar Index (DXY) resides above 108.00, very close to eke out a fresh two-year high. The US Dollar Index (USDX) is an index (or measure) of the value of the United States dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies. These currencies are the Euro (constituting 57.6% of the weighting), Japanese Yen (13.6%), British Pound (11.9%), Canadian Dollar (9.1%), Swedish Krona (4.2%) and Swiss Franc (3.6%). The index started in 1973 -with the absolution of Bretton Woods- with a base of 100.000, and values since then are relative to this base. For example, if the current reading says 99.800, this means that the dollar has fallen 0.2% since the start of the index (99.800 - 100.000).Being the Dollar Index a geometrically weighted index and not a trade-weighted one, it is too concentrated in Europe and does not include two of the U.S. top four trading partners Mexico and China. It does not appear to be used by corporates or many asset managers, like mutual funds, insurance companies, and endowments. It is primarily a speculative vehicle. It's also important to acknowledge that a geometric mean artificially lowers the value of the USD over time
TVC:DXYShort
by KingForex078
NIFTY Intraday trade SetupHello, Trend-Based Analysis. Buy the Dips, Sell The Rallies, Also Following the Trend. Let's see where the Price Action takes us, Riding the wave. Potential trade setups based on trend momentum. Technical analysis based on trend identification and momentum, Looking for high-probability setups within the prevailing trend. Analyzing the current market trend and potential future price movement. Focusing on risk management and reward-to-risk ratios. Details is Mentioned in Chart, Read carefully.. .
NSE:NIFTYLong
by OptionCallPro
BANKNIFTY Intraday SetupHello, Trend-Based Analysis. Buy the Dips, Sell The Rallies, Also Following the Trend. Let's see where the Price Action takes us, Riding the wave. Potential trade setups based on trend momentum. Technical analysis based on trend identification and momentum, Looking for high-probability setups within the prevailing trend. Analyzing the current market trend and potential future price movement. Focusing on risk management and reward-to-risk ratios. Details is Mentioned in Chart, Read carefully.. .
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by OptionCallPro
DXY Trading plan Here’s a more detailed CAPITALCOM:DXY DXY Trading Plan: - **Buy Entry:** Enter a buy position around **107.800**, watching for price action confirmation at this level. - **First Target:** **108.000** – This is the immediate resistance and serves as a safe partial profit-taking level. - **Second Target:** **108.300** – A key resistance level, ideal for booking the remaining profits. Risk Management: - If **107.800** fails to break out or shows signs of reversal, **close the trade immediately** to minimize potential losses. Look for candlestick patterns, rejection wicks, or bearish momentum as warning signs. Additional Notes: - Monitor DXY momentum and overall trend direction on the 1-hour timeframe. - Keep an eye on related macroeconomic data or news events that could impact dollar strength.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
Nikkei 225 leads gains in AsiaJapan's Nikkei 225 (Ticker AT: JP225) closed Friday with a rise of 1.5%, accumulating a weekly gain of close to 4%. This advance was driven by economic data reflecting a partial recovery in the Japanese economy. The Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed a higher than expected increase in December, reinforcing expectations of a possible adjustment in the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) monetary policy. Some BoJ members believe that conditions are ripe for a rate hike in the short term, which has injected optimism into the markets. Although manufacturing output fell in November, the contraction was less than expected, offering some respite from weak external demand. In addition, a weaker yen benefited the automotive sector, with Toyota Motor Corp leading the gains. Meanwhile, other Asian markets such as the Shanghai Composite and the CSI 300 posted slight gains, while South Korea's KOSPI fell more than 1.5% due to the political crisis in the country. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 was up 0.4%. The Nikkei 225 continues to stand out as one of the strongest indices in Asia, supported by solid fundamentals and an optimistic outlook. Ion Jauregui – ActivTrades Analyst ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:JP225Long
by ActivTrades
Altcoin Predictions for 2025What’s Next After BTC’s Stellar 2024 Performance? The crypto market is buzzing as we wrap up an unforgettable 2024. Bitcoin (BTC) stole the show this year, gaining an impressive 130% during a bull run driven by the crypto-friendly atmosphere created by the U.S. elections and the dynamic combination of Donald Trump and Elon Musk. While this explosive growth in BTC caught many by surprise, it left the altcoin market largely in the shadows. So, as we look ahead to 2025, what should we expect? Especially for altcoins? The BTC-Altcoin Divergence Bitcoin and altcoins seemed to operate on entirely separate dimensions in 2024. BTC’s decentralized nature and its position as a “secure” bet made it the star of the crypto world. Altcoins, on the other hand, struggled to gain meaningful traction, highlighting their higher risks and their dependence on centralized teams or networks for development. This divergence raises a key question: will altcoins continue to lag behind in 2025, or is there a recovery on the horizon? The Financial Markets’ Influence on Crypto A fundamental driver of crypto markets is their strong correlation with traditional financial markets—around 80% historically. The past two years have seen unprecedented growth in financial markets, with the S&P 500 delivering over 60% returns. This momentum fed directly into BTC’s meteoric rise, but altcoins didn’t experience the same lift. As history shows, sustaining such bullish momentum for three consecutive years is rare. If financial markets enter a period of consolidation or correction in 2025, this could trickle down to crypto markets. Based on this correlation, a mild correction in BTC or a sideways trend seems more likely than another year of exponential growth. The Altcoin Outlook: Challenges Ahead Altcoins face a tougher road ahead. While BTC is bolstered by announcements of central banks planning to add Bitcoin to their reserves—potentially injecting massive liquidity into the market—altcoins lack this institutional tailwind. Key challenges for altcoins in 2025 include: 1. Market Fragmentation: The growing divergence between BTC and altcoins highlights a maturing market where Bitcoin increasingly serves as a “store of value” akin to digital gold, while altcoins are perceived as speculative assets. 2. Regulatory Pressure: As governments worldwide refine their crypto policies, altcoins—often more centralized—could face stricter scrutiny than Bitcoin. 3. Limited Institutional Adoption: While BTC is gaining traction among institutional players, altcoins remain largely retail-driven, making them more susceptible to volatility and less likely to see large-scale capital inflows. What to Expect in 2025 Given these factors, here’s a summary of our expectations for the crypto market in 2025: 1. BTC to Hold Steady or See Modest Growth: With central banks exploring BTC reserves and its growing status as a safe-haven asset, Bitcoin’s price could remain stable or see mild upward movement, even in a lackluster broader financial market. 2. Altcoins to Face Headwinds: The altcoin market is likely to face increased scrutiny, limited momentum, and the challenges of differentiating itself from Bitcoin. Only projects with strong fundamentals, clear use cases, and active communities are likely to outperform. Here is my wild guess: SOLANA. 3. Sideways or Corrective Market Movement: With the financial markets cooling off after two frenzied years, crypto markets may follow suit, resulting in a year of consolidation or minor corrections across the board Final Thoughts While 2024 will be remembered as a banner year for Bitcoin, 2025 may mark a period of recalibration for the broader crypto market. BTC’s growing institutional adoption and status as a macroeconomic hedge will likely ensure its resilience. However, altcoins could struggle to find their footing unless they can offer compelling value propositions beyond speculative trading. As always, crypto markets remain highly dynamic, and unexpected catalysts could reshape these predictions. Investors should stay vigilant, keeping an eye on both macroeconomic trends and developments within individual crypto projects.
NASDAQ:XAILong
by themr-im
USD Index Poised for Breakout: Key Levels to WatchTVC:DXY USD Index Poised for Breakout: Key Levels to Watch Analysis: Price Action Strategy: The BOS indicates a significant shift in market structure, suggesting a potential trend reversal. The CHoCH further confirms the change in market sentiment. Equal Highs and Equal Lows suggest areas of liquidity that the price might target. Smart Money Concepts (SMC): The FVG area is highlighted, indicating a potential area of interest where smart money might enter the market. The price is currently consolidating near the FVG, suggesting a potential breakout. ICT Strategy: Fibonacci retracement levels (0.786, 0.705, 0.618, 0.5, 0.382) provide key levels for potential entry and exit points. The RSI is hovering around the 50.30 level, indicating a neutral market sentiment but with potential for upward momentum. The MACD shows a slight bullish divergence, suggesting a potential upward move. Buy Strategy: Entry: Near the current price level around 108.149, especially if the price breaks above the FVG. TP1: 108.705 (Fibonacci 0.705 level) TP2: 108.786 (Fibonacci 0.786 level) SL: 107.847 (Fibonacci 0.382 level) Sell Strategy: Entry: If the price fails to break above the FVG and shows signs of reversal. TP1: 107.928 (Fibonacci 0.5 level) TP2: 107.847 (Fibonacci 0.382 level) SL: 108.705 (Fibonacci 0.705 level) Buy Signal: entry: 108.149 tp1: 108.705 tp2: 108.786 sl: 107.847 Sell Signal: entry: 108.705 tp1: 108.149 tp2: 107.847 sl: 108.786 Follow @Alexgoldhunter for more strategic ideas and minds
TVC:DXY
by Alexgoldhunter