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Navigating the S&P 500🟢 Navigating the S&P 500 The S&P 500 index is near all-time highs, and many voices are starting to question these prices, even talking about a bubble. But is this true? Setting aside opinions and focusing on technical analysis, it's important to note that as long as we don't lose the $5,860 level, we will remain in a bullish market . Therefore, buying in that area is interesting in terms of risk/reward. Losing this level places us in a sideways zone, where range trading can be sought, knowing that we could be sideways for months. Finally, if the $5,670 zone is lost, we would indeed be facing a bearish market where more severe corrections could occur. ✅ What pattern is unfolding in SP:SPX ? We are seeing a Head and shoulders pattern developing, but we need to break the 5.860$ level to confirm it. Consequently the break of the level confirms at least a Neutral market but also a H&S pattern! ✴️ Do you want me to analyze any market? Just comment below which market you want me to analyze. ENJOY AND FOLLOW for more 😊
SP:SPX
by TopChartPatterns
Plain&SimpleDax40 has formed a curvature which price has failed to penetrate to the upside. This has led price to fall under and face rejection by the 50 day moving average. Traders that are conditioned to chart pattern recognition will quickly notice that price structure has formed a textbook *inverted cup&handle*… And as we can all see, the 50 day moving average is looking to cross downward over the 200 day moving average. Experienced traders are aware what this phenomenon means….. Based of previous held support and retracement, price is likely to hold major support for the pending falling at 19100-19080…. 50ma{blue} 200ma{red} comment, questions &concerns…
FPMARKETS:GER40Short
by ronyneverlies
1
SENSEX S/R for 30/12/24Support and Resistance Levels: Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline. Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down. Breakouts: Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold. Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying. MA Ribbon (EMA 20, EMA 50, EMA 100, EMA 200) : Above EMA: If the stock price is above the EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum. Below EMA: If the stock price is below the EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum. Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set. Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward. Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
BSE:SENSEX
by zenthosh
BANK NIFTY S/R for 30/12/24Support and Resistance Levels: Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline. Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down. Breakouts: Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold. Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying. MA Ribbon (EMA 20, EMA 50, EMA 100, EMA 200) : Above EMA: If the stock price is above the EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum. Below EMA: If the stock price is below the EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum. Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set. Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward. Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by zenthosh
NAS100...Ever the Bullish Instrument Part 11With the last few days of 2024 upon us, this is not the time to deviate from what works and that is trading the HL's to HH's. The market has consistently shown it's hands by making HL's to HH's on the largest timeframe (Daily & Monthly) and as such has provided clear indications of what is to come for 2025. The Yearly candle, and every other candle will expire this week on Tuesday and the weekly finishing off the sequence on Friday. No sells are in the cards for me as usual. Once the HH (ATH) is finished, it's waiting on the next HL to get back in trend. With that being said...everything remains the same...HL's to HH's. If you do not hear from me again...Have a happy new year and all the best with trading the trend. #auberstrategy #aubersystem #oneauberstrategy #whywewait #patience #zigzagtheory
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by Auberstrategy
"US500 / S&P 500" Index Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "US500 / S&P 500" Index market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 👀 So Be Careful, wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull trade after the Red MA line Breakout, however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 3H period, the recent / nearest low or high level. Goal 🎯: 63,00.00 Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release. Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
FPMARKETS:US500Long
by Thief_Trader
1
Symmetrical pattern forming in Nikkei 225 I am of the opinion that the stock price is more likely to fall than continue going up. So, let's wait for the confirmation where the share price breaks down from the green bullish trend line. You can see the risk reward ratio is very attractive, using little capital for a good profit margin. We can also see after the peak on 11 July 2024, it has come down to a lower high at the 40,000 price level 4 times but fails to break above it each time. This is a clear signal that the market is exhausted and selling or profit taking is here. Could I be wrong and the price breaks out from the symmetrical pattern and goes higher ? Of course! That is why you need a tight stop loss to protect yourself so that over time your losses are lesser than your gained capital netting a profit.
FOREXCOM:JP225Short
by dchua1969
"US100 / NASDAQ 100 / US TECH" Indices Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "US100 / NASDAQ 500 / US TECH" Indices Market market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 👀 So Be Careful, wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull trade at anypoint, however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low or high level. Goal 🎯: 22,800.0 Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release. Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Thief_Trader
[Education] Stop Lying To Yourself About Your Trading DisciplineYou know exactly what's wrong. You've read all the books. Watched countless YouTube videos. You understand that discipline is crucial for trading success. Yet here you are, breaking your rules again. I lost $15,000 and blew over 20 prop firm challenges before I finally faced the brutal truth: Understanding the importance of discipline isn't enough. You need a system to force yourself to be disciplined. The Expensive Lessons of "Just One More Time" Let me share something embarrassing. Last year, I was trading a $200,000 funded account. My rules were simple: 1% risk per trade, no trading during news, no moving stop losses. One day, I was up 3% for the week. NFP was approaching. My position was in profit. "Just this one time," I told myself, "I'll hold through the news." You can guess what happened. The price started to go against me so fast that it slipped my stop loss. My stop loss got blown through. What should have been a 1% risk turned into a 4% loss. Just like that, I lost two months' worth of profits because I thought rules were meant to be broken. Why You Keep Breaking Your Rules (Even Though You Know Better) Let's be honest. You know you shouldn't move your stop losses, but you do it anyway. You know you shouldn’t revenge trade after losses, but you do it anyway. You know you shouldn’t risk more than 1-2% per trade, but you do it anyway. You know you shouldn’t trade during major news events, but you do it anyway. Why? Because knowing isn't the same as doing. It's like going to the gym - everyone knows how to lose weight (eat less, move more), but knowing doesn't get you abs. The Real Reason You Lack Discipline Here's what I discovered after coaching dozens of traders: The problem isn't lack of discipline. It's having too much flexibility in your trading plan. Think about it: "Wait for confirmation" - But what exactly is confirmation? "Don't risk too much" - But what's too much? "Let winners run" - But how long should you let them run? Vague rules create room for interpretation. And where there's room for interpretation, there's room for breaking rules. The System That Forces Discipline After losing enough money, I developed what I call the "No-Choice Trading Framework." No choice, you gotta follow. Here's how it works: 1. Pre-Trade Rules (No Exceptions) Write exact entry price, stop loss, target, and your emotions BEFORE entering Screenshot your analysis Calculate position size using this formula: (Account size × 1%) ÷ Stop loss in pips Set alarms at entry levels No entering without completing all steps 2. During Trade Rules (Zero Flexibility) No looking at charts if using limit orders No moving stop losses for any reason other than breakeven No adding to positions No checking P&L until trade closes Phone must be in another room 3. Post-Trade Rules (Must Complete) Journal entry within 10 minutes of trade closing Score yourself on rule adherence (1-10) Screenshot final result Write what you'll do differently next time Implementing The Framework 1. Start With Small Size Trade 0.25% risk until you can follow rules for 20 straight trades Only increase to 0.5% after proving discipline Reach 1% risk only after 50 trades with perfect rule adherence 2. Create External Accountability Share your pre-trade checklist with a mentor Post your analysis before entering Join a community where discipline is valued over profits 3. Remove Temptations Delete trading apps from your phone Set up a separate trading computer Create a dedicated trading space Turn off P&L display The Uncomfortable Truth You're not going to like this, but you need to hear it: If you can't follow rules with a $1,000 account, you won't follow them with a $100,000 account. The only difference is that with a bigger account, your lack of discipline will cost you more money. I now manage multiple six-figure funded accounts. The trades I take on a $200,000 account are exactly the same as the ones I take on a $10,000 account. The only difference is the position size. Your Next Steps Write down your exact trading rules (no vague statements) Create a checklist that must be completed for every trade Trade minimum size until you can follow rules perfectly Track your discipline score separately from your P&L Remember, the market doesn't care about your goals, your dreams, or your excuses. It only cares about whether you can execute your strategy with discipline. The choice is yours: Continue lying to yourself about "just this one time," or commit to building systems that force you to be disciplined.
SP:SPX
by Keeleytwj
Dow to drop into bear market but first bounce at 36k H&S patternBearish case Dow to drop 20% from ATH to be into a bear market 20% from ATH = weekly 200 EMA so banks will try and hold the price at 36k I think it bounces here and then eventually fails and we get a big equity bear market We have two H&S patterns that together take us below 36k if their targets are met be a nice trade if it bounces at 36k off the 200 EMA to get in and out and add to short again without being slapped in the face. At which max bounce point off the (36k) look for the rest of the equities to go short on of stocks that have broken their key levels of support. Or look for dow stocks that are leading the way down because they already broke their weekly 200 EMA and are the weaker members of the pack.
BLACKBULL:US30Short
by William_Playfair
Nifty50 (₹23,644.90): Critical Support Retested – Bank Nifty WeaTitle: 📊 NSE:NIFTY (₹23,644.90): Critical Support Retested – Bank Nifty Weakness Adds Pressure! 🔍 Market Overview: Current Price: ₹23,644.90 Key Observation: NSE:NIFTY is hovering near the crucial support of ₹23,540 (previously held on Dec 20). Breakdown Risk: If ₹23,540 fails to hold, expect a slide toward ₹23,300 and possibly ₹23,150. Market Sentiment: The market remains in an oversold zone, signaling a potential technical bounce, but weakness dominates. 🛑 Impact of Bank Nifty Weakness: NSE:BANKNIFTY Trend: Also showing signs of weakness, which adds downward pressure on Nifty50. Key Correlation: Financials have a significant weight in Nifty50; Bank Nifty's weakness could accelerate Nifty's downside move. 📊 Support & Resistance Levels: Support: ₹23,540 → ₹23,300 → ₹23,150 Resistance: ₹23,750 → ₹23,880 → ₹24,000 📈 Fibonacci Insights: The Fibonacci retracement highlights ₹23,540 as a make-or-break level. A bounce from here could see Nifty testing ₹23,750 as the first resistance level. ⚖️ Strategy: For Traders: Below ₹23,540 → Short with a target of ₹23,300, keeping a strict stop-loss near ₹23,750. Above ₹23,750 → Look for intraday longs targeting ₹23,880–₹24,000. For Investors: Use dips around ₹23,300–₹23,150 to accumulate quality stocks for long-term investment. ⚠️ Key Risks: Continued selling pressure in Bank Nifty can trigger sharper declines in Nifty50. Global cues and FII activity remain critical for near-term direction. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered advisor. This analysis is purely for informational and educational purposes. Please consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making trading or investment decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by Fight_Bulls_vs_Bear
NASDAQ 100 AnalysisThe NASDAQ 100 index is currently exhibiting a bearish trend within the 4-hour timeframe, suggesting a potential retracement from recent highs. After breaking below the ascending channel, price action indicates a possible move towards key support levels at 20,710 and further down to 20,050. The stop loss is set around 21,742 to manage risk effectively. Fundamentally, market sentiment remains cautious due to macroeconomic uncertainties and corporate earnings concerns. Traders should watch for any fundamental catalysts that might this technical setup. Note: This Analysis For Educational purposes Not A Trading Advice Don't forgot Like Button Share with Your Friends Trade Safe Thanks
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by NicolusFrank
Nifty Index about to witness Quarterly Bearish Engulfing4 and a half years from April 2020, it has been a euphoric ride for India's Nifty and Sensex. If prices remain more or less unchanged by New Year's Eve, we're about to witness a once in 5 year event on the charts. A "quarterly bearish engulfing" at all time highs. In simpler terms, quarterly prices closing below the lowest price of previous quarter. What has happened in the past when this happened? This happened last in 2020 (the deep red pandemic candle) - where 15 quarters or nearly 4 years of gain was wiped out in a single quarter. Before that, it happened in 2015 - where it took 3 quarters to wipe out 4 quarters or 1 year worth of gain. (Indicating more of a systemic sell-off, than a knee-jerk news based panic. Something similar is happening now, after a long long time.) 2015, then 2020, and now 2024-25. For those who understand time cycles in nature and its inevitable influence on our nature, and thus the markets, you'd appreciate this is no co-incidence. There is no reason to panic, as this, just like any other event, presents an opportunity to grow wealth. Before you read further, I intend to keep this idea beginner friendly on how to potentially benefit from this opportunity. It can form a base for you to navigate your personal finance journey further. Intermediate and advanced traders/investors may benefit from my other (future) posts. Kindly note that this published note is only my opinion, solely for educational purposes, and not investment advice. Through the remainder of this piece, I will waltz you through the most probable outcomes and the possible decisions one may take, all assuming that you're relatively new to witnessing a systematic sell-offs. Understanding the logic of a bearish engulfing pattern: First - What a bearish engulfing candlestick pattern on a quarterly time frame means is that for 1 whole quarter, there was a net gain (July-Sept2024 = +7.5%) and the lowest price was 23893.7; whilst immediately for next 1 whole quarter (Oct- 30Dec2024 = -8.49%) we can see a net loss. Not only do we see a net loss, but also most importantly, we see quarter price "closing" lower than the "lowest" price of previous quarter . This is powerful information as it indicates that buyers have "failed to remain in strength" even at the lowest price of the previous quarter (Understand that the lowest price of previous quarter is where the buyers were the most powerful in that quarter, that is why it was the "lowest" price of that quarter because the price went up from there). For reference, see the feature image of this post again. What does this mean for the next few weeks/months/quarters: (The most probably outcomes) 1) Normally, a bearish engulfing pattern at the top of the charts indicates end of an existing up-trend. When this happens in a higher time frame (weekly/monthly/quarterly), it is more reliable. 2) End of an existing up-trend indicates beginning of a new opposite trend. An opposite trend can either be sideways or downside. This depends on further reaction from market forces in the coming days. We can see that after the pandemic quarterly crash, we had no opposite trend, in fact, there was an immediate rebound. This was an exception as pandemic market crash was a 1 time panic-led sell-off rather than a systemic sell off (which is more sustainable time-wise). 3) We are highly likely in a systemic sell off now, if this quarter's low is taken out in January. This is the highest likely scenario after a 4.5 years of euphoric uptrend in the market. How to benefit in the following weeks/months: The simplest way with minimal to moderate time investment, is to begin SIP in fundamentally strong "value" stocks, or the index itself, or both - in a "pyramid" fashion. Once you select the stocks, pyramiding your investment amount - that is, starting small at current levels and scaling up your investment as you get better prices when Nifty (or your cherry picked stocks) fall further. A simple way to apply it is to buy whenever price is near the Moving Averages (MA) of 55 weeks, 89 weeks and 233 weeks - as the index continues in a down trend in the following weeks/months. You can plot these on Tradingview with ease. Remember to plot on weekly time frame. Buy lower multiples at 55 MA, higher at 89 MA and even higher at 233 MA. This is a simple, more optimised way of buying the index fund which can help you get higher ROI as compared to someone making SIP on a fixed date every month. This is because your average buy price will be lower than someone buying the same quantity at random prices every month. Yet another way is to learn the skill of selling index call options by hedging them. Even though this is a slightly advance way of generating extra income, it is great to learn in downtrending markets - as you will be able to generate profits from a decline in the price of index (remember it is a lot more difficult to generate profits from individual stocks and investments in a broader down-trending market). A realistic expectation for beginners can be making 1-3% a month with this technique (average annualised) - thus helping offset the loss in the existing stocks/MF portfolio. If this sounds difficult, yet another way is assessing the hygiene of your portfolio and rejig the holdings if needed. Without proper knowledge, it is best to let a qualified financial advisor/expert review your holdings/portfolio and see if they want to re-shuffle the portfolio. This could even mean reducing exposure to equity for a period of 1 year, and increase exposure to debt funds or other fixed income avenues, or simply sitting on some % cash to buy at a later, better value. Whilst this sounds too much work, remember that a mere 4-5% extra gain for the entire year, every year, compounds to a large number over the years. So entrusting a reliable financial advisor to do this could be worth your time and resources. Now is a good time to do that. Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion and is only for educational purposes. Please consult your financial advisor before making any decision. Stock Market investments are subject to market risk. Past performances are no guarantee of future returns. This content above is solely for educational purposes only and to provide information and is not intended to give any advice. Information shared is personal opinions only. Wherever any stock or mutual fund name is mentioned, this is only for educational and informational purposes. Share market and investment can be risky, please take professional advice before making any decision.
NSE:NIFTY
by PriyadarshiDesai
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 31-Dec-2024[ Intro: Review of Previous Plan (30-Dec-2024) Check plan V/s Actual performance for 30-Dec-2024 here : . b]Trading Plan for Nifty - 31-Dec-2024 Key Color Codes in the Plan: Yellow Trend: Sideways Green Trend: Bullish Red Trend: Bearish Trading Plan for 31-Dec-2024: Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points above 23,768) If Nifty opens above 23,768 , the price is expected to move towards the Last Resistance for Intraday (23,866) . Observe price action near 23,866 ; a breakout with sustained volume can trigger a long position targeting the Resistance for sideways at 24,010–24,058 . If rejection occurs at 23,866 , look for bearish patterns (e.g., evening star or bearish engulfing). Initiate a short trade with a target of 23,737 . Place a stop-loss 20 points beyond the breakout/rejection level to manage risk. Scenario 2: Flat Opening (23,636–23,768) A flat opening indicates indecision, and the market is likely to remain within the Yellow sideways zone . Avoid trading aggressively in the Opening Resistance/Support zone (23,737–23,768) . Wait for a breakout above 23,768 to initiate long positions , targeting 23,866 . On the downside, a breakdown below 23,636 could lead to bearish momentum towards the Buyer’s Support zone at 23,427 . Initiate short trades if the price sustains below 23,636 , with a stop-loss above 23,700 . Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points below 23,604) A gap-down below 23,604 could lead to bearish pressure, testing the Buyer’s Support zone at 23,427 . Observe reversal patterns (e.g., hammer or bullish engulfing) at 23,427 . If confirmed, initiate long trades targeting 23,604 . If the support fails, further bearish action could drive the price towards 23,320 . Enter short trades on confirmation of the breakdown, with a stop-loss above 23,500 . Risk Management Tips for Options Trading: Focus on in-the-money options to reduce the impact of time decay in sideways markets. Use hedged strategies like iron condors to capitalize on low volatility within the sideways trend. Always calculate your maximum loss and ensure it does not exceed 2% of your trading capital . Avoid holding positions overnight without clear directional bias in the market. Summary and Conclusion: The key levels for tomorrow’s trading session are 23,768 on the upside and 23,427 on the downside. Patience is critical within the Yellow sideways zone ; wait for clear breakouts or breakdowns. Use defined stop-loss levels to minimize risk and maximize reward. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This plan is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your analysis or consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox