Head&Shoulder on NIFTY ChartEvidently clear Head & Shoulder pattern on the nifty chart. This can lead to a significant fall if current level is broken further.
Market indices
NASDAQ - Trading Complex Pullbacks & Pennant PatternsThis video will teach you how to trade complex pullbacks.
Concepts include: how to properly read a trend, breakout patterns, structure recognition & different entry techniques.
From the fundamental side, we also examine how recent economic events, such as the FOMC Interest Rate decision, US government shutdown threats, and the Santa Clause Rally, have affected the markets.
I wish you all a safe & happy holiday season!
Akil
Nifty Crash in 2025...?🇮🇳 Indian Market Crash in 2025...?
Kis lavel tak gir sakata hai market detail video on YouTube @rgmempire
Analysis on SET INDEX: Short - Medium Term RetraceYo, this is me
At long last the SET INDEX broke down the speed uptrend line
which mean that, the selling force is more likely to come in.
for s50 traders, better expect it to come down to 1450 1430 first before
looking to long again.
Have a happy trading day !
TraderPP
NASDAQ Technical buy on this 1D MA50 bounce.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the September 06 Low and potentially has started the new Bullish Leg as on Friday it hit the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) and rebounded. The 1D MA50 has been holding since the September 12 bullish break-out.
Still, there is no confirmation yet, as the price remains below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). As you can see on this chart, every time the index broke above its 4H MA50, it never broke again until the next Higher High of the Channel Up, technically confirming the new Bullish Leg.
With the 4H RSI rebounding also from oversold (<30.00) territory, there are higher probabilities of this being the new Bullish Leg. If the confirmation comes, we expect at least another +9.08% rise from Friday's Low (which was the % rise of the previous Bullish Leg) to target 22500.
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A Smart Comeback by Nifty but is it a dead cat bounce?Today we saw a smart comeback by Nifty but a confirmation candle and a positive closing to the week an ensure if it is not a dead cat bounce (Only a Technical bounce before Nifty falls again). Further ground has to be covered by Nifty before we reach the Bull territory. The closing today was good above the Father line and indicates positivity but whether the bounce sustains or not is a question that will be answered later in the week.
Right now the supports for Nifty remain at: 23691 (200 days EMA) or the Father line, 23588, 23258 (Mid channel support), 22499 and 21572.
Resistances on the upper side are at: 23871, 24053, 24183, 24359 (50 day's EMA) or the Mother line resistance, 24552 and finally 24721 (Important Fibonacci resistance). Bulls can get a prominence only after we get a closing above this level.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
US30 - Sell Limit Opportunity After Liquidity GrabThe US30 index has reached a key liquidity zone above resistance, setting up a compelling sell limit opportunity. This price action suggests the market has cleared stop-losses and may be primed for a bearish reversal.
Key Observations:
Liquidity Sweep: The price spiked above a critical resistance level, triggering stop-losses and trapping breakout buyers.
Market Structure: Emerging bearish signals, including rejection candles and a loss of bullish momentum, indicate potential downside movement.
Optimal Entry: A sell limit at aligns with the liquidity grab and the anticipated reversal zone.
Trade Plan:
Entry: Sell limit at , expecting a move downward from the liquidity zone.
Stop Loss: Above the liquidity sweep to protect against false breakouts.
Take Profit: Targeting support levels around for a strong risk-reward ratio.
Risk Management:
This setup capitalizes on a classic liquidity grab, but strict adherence to risk management and position sizing is vital. Monitor price action closely for additional confirmation of bearish momentum.
DAX40/ Reversing From (ATH)DAX Technical Analysis:
The price reversed from their ATH, and it looks like now has a bearish momentum as long as trades below the last high level of 20460 especially if breaks below 20360 to continue the bearish trend toward 20020 and 19910.
Otherwise should break the ATH closing 1h or 4h candles above it to be a bullish area toward 20575
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 20350
Resistance Levels: 20460, 20580
Support Levels: 20360, 20220, 20020
Trend Outlook: Bearish Momentum
S&P 500 Outlook: Navigating Volatility with CautionRecent Performance: The S&P 500 has faced notable volatility recently, driven
by fluctuating Federal Reserve policies and various economic indicators.
Currently at 5930.85, the index reflects broader market trends that have
seen significant declines across major indices. Notably, only 25% of S&P
stocks are trading above their 50-day moving average, pointing to underlying
weakness despite some sectors demonstrating resilience, particularly
technology and consumer discretionary.
- Key Insights: Investors should remain cautious given the current market
conditions. The technology sector, exemplified by strong performances from
companies like Apple and Nvidia, appears to be a safe haven amid broader
declines. The focus should be on waiting for confirmation of potential
market reversals before making new investment commitments, given the
uncertain narratives around inflation and Federal Reserve policies.
- Expert Analysis: Analysts remain cautious about the S&P 500's immediate
trajectory. The prevailing sentiment is to be watchful for confirmations of
market changes, with emphasis on inflation dynamics and central bank
strategies heavily influencing market movements. Market experts continue to
monitor sector performance closely, noting that while technology shines,
financials lag behind with notable weakness.
- Price Targets: For next week, the key price targets and stop levels are as
follows:
- Next week targets: T1: 6000, T2: 6060
- Stop levels: S1: 5848, S2: 5770
The S&P 500 must stay above 5900 to indicate healthier market conditions, and
short traders should be vigilant as they consider market dynamics with potential
reversals in play.
- News Impact: Recent hawkish stances from the Federal Reserve, coupled with
economic data surrounding PCE inflation, have contributed to the S&P 500's
volatility. While there are glimmers of hope for a rally, the hovering risk
of recession remains. Increased consumer confidence and monitoring housing
market metrics will be crucial in assessing future movements within the
index.
Conclusion: Amid current market volatility, investors should adopt a cautious
approach, observing key support and resistance levels as the S&P 500 navigates
the complexities of end-of-year trading dynamics.
NAS100US- NQ- Scalping- LongBased on Friday’s price action, the Nasdaq has a scalping opportunity on the long side. This setup is contingent on the price accepting above the identified zone, which could indicate a short-term upward move ideal for scalpers. You need to see Confirmations.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Scalping and trading carry significant risks, including the potential for substantial losses. Always exercise caution and trade responsibly.
bigger corrective range
Hello , trader,
This is my first sharing for 2025 where i forecast the direction of US indices.
Let's see how it plays out
Cheers!
US Nas 100 . 4H4-Hour Timeframe Analysis for NAS 100U
In the 4-hour timeframe, we have observed a confirmed bullish trend. The price has reached a short-term peak and established this level, allowing for a pullback that can facilitate liquidity accumulation. If this pullback holds, we anticipate upward movement toward our identified target.
However, we must remain cautious. If the Order Block Decisional fails, we will revise our selling strategy accordingly. In addition, should the Order Block Extreme be confirmed in the specified area, we may reconsider re-entering a buy position. It is essential to keep trades open until we hit our Fibonacci-based take-profit targets.
US Nas 100Hello everyone, dear traders! I am Fereydoon Bahrami, a trader and market analyst focused on Forex. Today, we will conduct an in-depth analysis of the NAS 100U chart and review our insights
NAS 100U Chart Analysis
Greetings and best wishes to you all. Based on our analysis today, we have received confirmation of a bullish trend in the 4-hour timeframe. In this analysis, the price has reached and established a short-term peak within the 4-hour chart. Following a pullback to accumulate liquidity, we can anticipate a potential price increase towards the specified target on the chart. This represents our first entry point, which I have indicated on the chart.
However, should the **Order Block Decisional** prove ineffective, I will revise the selling strategy and share it with you. Additionally, I have identified another **Order Block Extreme**. If this Order Block fails and we implement the selling strategy, once we receive confirmation in this zone, we will re-enter a buying position. Furthermore, the price targets (Take Profit levels) have been established using Fibonacci retracement levels; it is essential that if we enter a trade, we maintain it until we achieve the designated target.
Fundamental Analysis for the Week (December 16 to December 22, 2024)
To enhance the accuracy of our analysis, let’s highlight the fundamental factors that have impacted the market over the past week:
1. **Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Report**: On Friday, December 20, 2024, the NFP report was released, indicating a drop in the unemployment rate to 4% along with an increase in the number of new jobs created, exceeding expectations. This positive data serves as a potential macroeconomic indicator of growth in the U.S. economy, which could bolster NAS 100U.
2. **Inflation Data**: On December 18, data regarding the Consumer Price Index (CPI) was released, showing a 0.3% increase from the previous month. This has raised concerns regarding a potential interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve. If this trend persists, it could exert pressure on the markets.
3. **Federal Reserve Signals**: Recent comments from Federal Reserve officials hinted at the possibility of an interest rate increase in the upcoming meeting, which may positively influence financial markets. Such developments can lead to increased volatility and prompt investors to closely analyze the status of NAS 100U and other indices.
4. **Global Economic Influences**: In the past week, global markets have been affected by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and trade disputes with China. The economic and political decisions made by major world powers have had a significant impact on NAS 100U and other U.S. indices, leading to market fluctuations.
Scenarios
Now, we can summarize our three scenarios as follows:
1. **Bullish Scenario**: With the price stabilization at the short-term peak and a pullback for liquidity accumulation, we expect the price to rise toward the target identified on the chart. This represents our first entry point.
2. **Selling Scenario**: If **Order Block Decisional** fails, we will update our selling entry strategy and will enter a trade upon confirmation.
3. **Re-buy Scenario**: If **Order Block Extreme** is validated in a specific region, we can re-enter a buying position. It is crucial to emphasize maintaining the trade until we reach the targets outlined by Fibonacci levels.
By considering these analyses alongside the fundamental news, we aim to assist you in making informed trading decisions. Join us as we embark on this pathway to mutual success. Thank you!
Fereydoon Bahrami
"A retail trader in the Wall Street trading Center (Forex)."
Major Indexes Face Downturn: What's Coming Next?◉ S&P 500 SP:SPX
● The long-term trendline support has been breached.
● The immediate support range is identified around the 5,650 to 5,700 levels.
◉ Nasdaq Composite NASDAQ:IXIC
● The Nasdaq Composite has rebounded from its long-term trendline support, demonstrating resilience amid economic uncertainty.
◉ NYSE Composite TVC:NYA
● The NYSE Composite has found support at its trendline and may bounce back from this important level.
◉ Dow Jones Industrial Average TVC:DJI
● After a consecutive decline over ten days, the index has surpassed its trendline support and is approaching the next support zone between 41,500 and 42,800.
Overall, all indices are anticipated to recover shortly, with expectations of robust performance from major stocks.
NIFTY 50 24th DECEMBER 2024Stop-Loss (Red Zone)(23680):
Your stop-loss is set below the recent swing low, which is a good strategy as it protects against potential downside movement if the price reverses.
Entry Zone:(23770)
It seems you are entering a long position (buy) in a consolidation phase after the price formed a possible higher low. This suggests you expect the price to move up toward the targets.
Target Levels (Green Lines):
1st Target (23,920.70):
This is a reasonable target, as it aligns with a previous resistance zone (from the left side of the chart). If the price reaches this level, a partial profit booking strategy can be applied.
2nd Target (23,973.75):
This is just above the 1st target, closer to the next resistance level. It's a logical continuation of the trend if momentum sustains.
3rd Target (24,009.20):
DJI Hits Weekly Support: What's Next? - Market Breadth AnalysisThe DJI has recently declined as previously predicted and has now completed a CHoCH (Change of Character), signaling a bearish trend. The index has reached a significant weekly support zone around the 42,500 level (🟩 marked by the green box).
So, what’s next? 🤔
Looking at the H1 chart, we notice some interesting market breadth outlook:
- US30 Market Breadth EMA20 Indicator:
The EMA histogram has shifted from 🟩 green to 🟨 yellow, indicating an increasing number of stocks with strong bullish momentum.
However, the height of the histogram (yellow) bars 📉 is decreasing, suggesting that the overall number of stocks with strong bullish momentum is also diminishing.
- Market Breadth MACD Indicator:
The 🔴 red line (representing strongly bearish stocks) is clearly declining, showing a reduction in the number of stocks with strong downward momentum.
Meanwhile, the 🔵 blue line is increasing significantly, suggesting that many stocks are reversing upward even within a bearish momentum.
The 🟢 green line, which represents strongly bullish stocks, is climbing but still lacks the strength to signal a decisive shift. A significant breakout would require the green line to rise further, confirming a stronger bullish momentum across a larger number of stocks.
- Market Breadth EMA Alignment:
The 🔴 red line crossed above the 🟢 green line quite some time ago and continues to widen. This suggests that a bullish crossover (green crossing above red) is unlikely in the near term. A confirmed bullish signal would require the green line to overtake the red line again.
- Summary:
While there are early signs of potential reversal, the bullish momentum is not yet strong enough to suggest a significant upward breakout. It’s crucial to monitor whether the 🟢 green line in the MACD and US30 Market Breadth EMA20 indicators can rise substantially, indicating a larger number of stocks gaining solid bullish momentum.
⚠️ Until then, the uptrend remains weak, and caution is warranted. While DJI might retest previous highs, breaking past those highs to form new all-time highs seems challenging at this point.
Strategy: Given the current conditions, it might be more advantageous to look for shorting opportunities. 📉
Probable correction of bist100 ( Xu100 )#bist100 index has formed an " evening star " candle pattern and this is the probable signal of downtrend. I drew probable bounce zones on #xu100 ( #borsaistanbul ) chart. Blue way, the W bounce seems more probable for now. Not financial advice.
US100 Trade LogUS100 has reached the daily FVG , providing a short setup at the 0.5 level with at least "1:2 RRR" and 1% risk.
Any fill above the midpoint is ideal, aiming for a correction into the weekly Kijun .
Recent Fed hawkishness, softening global growth, and tightening liquidity support a downside move. Stops go just above the FVG high; ride the drop toward weekly support.
SPX: Fed`s game of marketsMarkets were happy prior to Fed's rate cut in December in expectation of an additional drop of 25 bps of reference interest rates. However, Fed Chair Powell said something that markets did not expect to hear - inflation is going to be persistent in 2025, hence, Fed would most likely cut rates by only 50 bps during the next year. The correction was immediate, and the S&P 500 dropped from the level of 6,080 down to 5.867. The index recovered a bit during Friday's trading session to the level of 5.930, after cooling inflation data.
All sectors included in the S&P 500 gained on Friday, indicating that the market most probably overreacted during the previous two days. Still, this jump in the market value was not enough to cover weekly losses. A cooling inflation data for November made markets revise their initial projections and value equities at higher levels. Still, considering that the Holiday season in Western markets starts in the middle of the week ahead, it is questionable whether the S&P 500 has the strength to reach for one more time level from two weeks ago.
USNAS100 / Price Momentum and Key Breakout Levels
Technical Analysis
The price exhibits bearish momentum as long as it trades below 21620, targeting 21360. However, the price is expected to consolidate between 21360 and 21630 until a breakout occurs.
A 4-hour candle close above 21630 will support a bullish move toward 21770 and 21900.
On the other hand, if the price stabilizes below 21360, the bearish trend is likely to continue toward 20980 and 20860.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 21530
Resistance Levels: 21630, 21770, 21900
Support Levels: 21370, 21215, 21070
Trend Outlook:
- Bearish Momentum: Stability below 21620
- Bullish Momentum: Stability above 21630
NAS100USD Will Go Lower! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for NAS100USD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 21,471.9.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 20,314.7 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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S&P 500 Technical Outlook: Pivot Points and Market TrendsUS Futures Rise Notably in Holiday-Shortened Week
US stock futures were significantly higher on Monday after the S&P 500 posted its largest gain since early November on Friday.
Technical Overview:
As long as the price trades above 5971, the bullish trend will continue with potential upward targets at 5995 and 6022.
However, if the price closes below 5971 on a 4-hour (4H) candle, a bearish move toward 5936 may follow.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 5971
Resistance Levels: 5995, 6022, 6053
Support Levels: 5936, 5919, 5895
Trend Outlook:
Downward by stability below 5971
Bullish Trend above 5971
DAX POTENTIAL LONG|
✅EUR_USD is going down now
But a strong support level is ahead at 19,600
Thus I am expecting a rebound
And a move up towards the target at 20,000
LONG🚀
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