Crude Oil Outlook: Key Levels Shape the Path AheadHello Traders,
Trust you are doing great.
Please take some moment to go through my analysis of USOIL and share your thoughts.
Overview
USOIL is currently trading at 70.08, with mixed trends across timeframes. On the H4 chart, the pair remains bullish, recovering from a recent correction. Meanwhile, the H1 chart shows a bearish trend in a corrective phase, with resistance emerging in the 70.19–70.90 region.
Idea
An impulsive rally from 67.045 on December 5th corrected to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level at 68.78 on December 13th, where support was established. This led to a bounce toward 70.19-70.21, which now acts as resistance.
If this resistance holds, a downward move is expected, targeting 67.70 and 67.08, areas where a bullish bounce may likely occur. The short-term bias remains bearish unless price breaches the Friday high of 71.38, which would shift focus to the 71.66–72.21 zone as a potential turning point.
Conclusion
In the short term, the bearish outlook is dominant, with 71.38 as the key invalidation level and a stop-loss reference. A break below 69.65 would add confidence to the bearish scenario, while any move above 71.38 could signal further upside, targeting the 71.66–72.21 zone for a potential reversal.
Cheers! Merry Christmas and Happy New Year in advance.
