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After the US pivoted monetary policy : ??At the beginning of the trading session on December 19 (US time), the world gold price continued to decrease after the US announced the number of unemployment benefit applications was 220,000, down from the forecast of 230,000 applications. This prompted the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to slow down the process of cutting interest rates in the future. Previously, gold investors were disappointed when the Fed sent out an unfavorable signal right after the monetary policy meeting on December 18. The US Central Bank issued a new forecast, showing that there will be 2 rounds of 25 basis point interest rate cuts next year. According to independent metal trader Tai Wong, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell revealed that he will slow down the process of cutting interest rates in the context of persistent inflation. This message from the Fed will make the gold price trend worse in the long term. According to analysts, the gold market has been volatile at times after the US pivoted its monetary policy. Specifically, the FED is expected to cut interest rates by a total of 0.5 percentage points only twice in 2025. This is a big change compared to the FED's announcement in September 2024 that there would be 4 interest rate cuts next year. This move has stimulated a very strong increase in the price of the USD and US bond interest rates. Because gold is priced in USD, when the "health" of this currency is stronger, it will put pressure on the price of this precious metal. Higher US bond interest rates have attracted investors to put capital into bonds, reducing demand for gold.
TVC:GOLDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
XAU/USD - Sell Limit Opportunity After Liquidity GrabGold (XAU/USD) has reached a key liquidity zone above resistance, setting up a potential sell limit opportunity. This move reflects a classic liquidity grab, where smart money clears stop-losses before reversing the market. Key Observations: Liquidity Sweep: Price action spiked above a significant resistance level, triggering stop-losses and trapping buyers, suggesting a potential reversal. Market Structure: Bearish signals, including rejection candles and waning momentum, indicate a possible downside move. Optimal Entry: A sell limit at aligns with the liquidity grab and anticipated reversal zone. Trade Plan: Entry: Sell limit at , positioned for a move downward from the liquidity zone. Stop Loss: Above the liquidity sweep to account for market volatility. Take Profit: Targeting key support levels around for a favorable risk-reward ratio. Risk Management: This setup leverages the liquidity sweep for a high-probability trade, but disciplined risk management is crucial. Monitor for confirmation of bearish momentum before full execution.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Vusizwe_Capital
GOLD NEXT MOVE (bears are in dominance) (17-12-2024)Go through the analysis carefully and do trade accordingly. Anup 'BIAS for the day (17-12-2024) Current price- 2644 "if Price stays below 2660, then next target is 2644 and 2622 and above that 2672 ". immediate support- 2701-2703 -POSSIBILITY-1 Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening ) -POSSIBILITY-2 Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening) Best of luck Never risk more than 1% of principal to follow any position. Support us by liking and sharing the post.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AnupZiddi
18
WTI Oil H1 | Overlap resistance at 61.8% Fibonacci retracementWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 70.46 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 71.50 which is a level that sits above a multi-swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 69.19 which is a multi-swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:USOILShort
by FXCM
1
Corn - Back into Stable RangeWhen the 441'0 historical resistance level is reached from below after having not been approached from below in at least a few months, it has served as resistance 5 out of the last 8 times. The theory here is that it will serve as resistance again and that corn will fall back into the "stable range" of 316' to 441'. There is a downtrend channel which also is serving as resistance. If the bearish theory fails, the upside potential is significant. Downside and upside targets are shown on the chart. This is one to watch and see how it plays out on hourly/daily TFs with a bearish bias. I'm bearish below 441', cautiously bullish above. No trade entry at this point.
CBOT:ZC1!Short
by Skipper86
Unlock Hidden Profits: Proven WTI Crude Oil Trading StrategiesTVC:USOIL Price Action Analysis and Strategy by @Alexgoldhunter Key Levels and Structures Break of Structure (BOS): Multiple BOS annotations indicate significant shifts in market structure. These points are crucial for identifying potential trend reversals or continuations. Change of Character (CHoCH): CHoCH is marked at multiple points, indicating shifts in market sentiment. These points can be used to identify potential entry and exit points. Fibonacci Retracement Levels: The chart shows Fibonacci retracement levels at: 0.382: 69.49558 USD 0.5: 69.695 USD 0.618: 69.89442 USD 0.705: 70.01445 USD 0.786: 70.17294 USD These levels are used to identify potential support and resistance areas. Volume Profile: The volume profile on the left side of the chart shows the volume traded at different price levels. High volume nodes can act as support or resistance. Buy Strategy Entry Point: Look for a bullish CHoCH near a significant support level, such as the Fibonacci retracement levels or high volume nodes. Confirm the entry with a bullish candlestick pattern (e.g., hammer, engulfing) and increased volume. Stop Loss: Place the stop loss below the recent swing low or a significant support level to minimize risk. Take Profit: Set the take profit at the next resistance level or Fibonacci retracement level. Partial profits can be taken at intermediate levels. Sell Strategy Entry Point: Look for a bearish CHoCH near a significant resistance level, such as the Fibonacci retracement levels or high volume nodes. Confirm the entry with a bearish candlestick pattern (e.g., shooting star, engulfing) and increased volume. Stop Loss: Place the stop loss above the recent swing high or a significant resistance level to minimize risk. Take Profit: Set the take profit at the next support level or Fibonacci retracement level. Partial profits can be taken at intermediate levels. Simple VIP Signal entry: 68.500 usd tp1: 69.49558 usd tp2: 70.17294 usd sl: 67.500 usd Follow @Alexgoldhunter for more strategic ideas and minds Disclaimer Disclaimer: Trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for every investor. The analysis and strategies provided here are based on historical data and technical analysis techniques, which do not guarantee future performance. Before making any investment decisions, please consider your financial situation, level of experience, and risk tolerance. Always do your own research and consult with a financial advisor if necessary.
TVC:USOIL
by Alexgoldhunter
GOLD What Next? BUY! My dear subscribers, GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 2603.3 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 2632.7 About Used Indicators: The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AnabelSignals
1
Forecasting gold priceForecasting gold prices is a complex task, as it's influenced by a multitude of factors. Here's a breakdown of the key elements and some current forecasts: Factors Influencing Gold Prices: US Dollar: Gold is often priced in US dollars, so its value tends to move inversely to the dollar's strength. A stronger dollar makes gold more expensive for holders of other currencies, potentially dampening demand. Interest Rates: Rising interest rates can make holding gold less attractive, as it doesn't offer a yield like bonds or other interest-bearing assets. Inflation: Gold is often seen as a hedge against inflation. When inflation rises, investors may turn to gold to preserve their purchasing power. Geopolitical Uncertainty: Economic or political instability, such as wars or financial crises, can increase demand for gold as a safe haven asset. Supply and Demand: Physical demand for gold, including jewelry, industrial uses, and central bank purchases, also plays a role in price fluctuations. Current Forecasts: Trading Economics: Their global macro models and analysts expect gold to trade at $2,682.04 USD/t oz. by the end of the current quarter and $2,783.76 in 12 months. FXEmpire: They highlight that the US dollar's strength and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy are key factors currently limiting gold's upward momentum. They are closely watching the US PCE Price Index for inflation insights, which could significantly impact gold prices. Other Analysts: Some analysts suggest that geopolitical tensions and concerns over a potential US government shutdown could boost gold's safe-haven appeal. However, strong economic data could reinforce the Fed's policy stance and limit gold's upside. Important Considerations: Forecasts are not guarantees: These are just predictions based on current information and models. Unexpected events can significantly impact gold prices. Multiple factors at play: It's crucial to consider the interplay of various factors, rather than focusing on any single element. Stay updated: Keep an eye on economic data releases, central bank announcements, and geopolitical developments to stay informed about potential influences on gold prices. In conclusion, the outlook for gold is mixed, with both upward and downward pressures at play. The US dollar's strength and the Fed's monetary policy are key factors to watch, along with inflation data and geopolitical events. It's essential to stay informed and consider multiple perspectives when making any investment decisions related to gold.
TVC:GOLD
by ITManager_US