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MSTZ to $32....early Christmas giftLet's start 2025 with a bang! This is my last gift for the year. Microstrategy will be tanking with BTC drop and the rate of decrease has noticeably been steep and purposeful. Thankfully, MSTZ is the superstar that will save the day (2x inverse). The gravity is strong with this one, until consolidation around $32. We're looking at 30%ish upside on this puppy. It will go fast so lock and loaded tomorrow and prob close out in a few hours. As always, do your due diligence and best of luck!
CBOE:MSTZLong
by antonini2002
QQQ Sell to $497-501 Weekly Resistance for Buying opportunity A 52 week high was made on Monday, December 16 at $539 on QQQ . The fed Powell released the news he’s cutting rates by a quarter of a percent which caused the market to plummet ,Banks also manipulating the market to get into these buying opportunities. We are currently failing to break above 520 , also struggling to fully break below 515 . We will continue to sell down once we pass 515 . Looking at my chart on the weekly timeframe appears is 501-497 is the actual resistance that we are heading to now. It may look like 515 is the resistance, but in all actuality, it does not appear to be a Stronger demand zone than 500 to 497. Once we get here, look for buying opportunities at the new year will bring in New yearly, highs, and new yearly lows. For now, we should be in puts to $500.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by MuggaMatrix
EWW - Betting on the ElectionWhile election betting sites are coming into the spotlight these days, another way to bet on the upcoming election is through betting on the Mexican economy. Anecdotal evidence indicates that China and even US manufacturing giants are set to build more plants in Mexico should the Harris team win. Trump on the other hand, promises tariffs on items manufactured abroad. Also noted is the multitudes of immigrants waiting at the Guatemalan border to head to the US should Harris and Democrat border policies prevail. Mexico would be smart in capturing those qualified to add to Mexico's potential manufacturing powerhouse should the political chips fall their way. Another factor to consider long term is the demographic cliff that the US is on, and Latin America isn't. Mexico certainly is in a strong position to develop into an economic powerhouse of the future, with appropriate leadership.
AMEX:EWWLong
by AssetDesign
SPY 15m Analysis: FVGs and Key Levels for Next MovesOverview This idea focuses on the SPY 15-minute chart, highlighting key fair value gaps (FVGs) and critical support/resistance levels. The current price action shows potential for both bullish and bearish scenarios, contingent on price reactions at crucial levels. Bearish Scenario Key Level to Watch: If SPY closes below 566.44, it signals further downside momentum. Traders should look for the formation of the next Bearish FVG to initiate short positions. Projected Target: First Target: 550–555 zone (likely demand zone or support area). Downward momentum is supported by the recent sharp sell-off, indicating heavy selling pressure. Invalidation: A sustained move back above 588.85 will weaken bearish momentum. Bullish Scenario Key Level to Watch: For any upward momentum, a Bullish FVG must form above the current price, likely in the 588.85–595.79 range. Projected Target: First Target: 595.79 Second Target: 600+, where stronger resistance may emerge. Invalidation: Failure to hold above 588.85 could result in further selling pressure. Volume and Momentum Considerations While individual candlestick volume isn't displayed, the rapid decline hints at increased selling pressure. Monitor volume closely during retests for confirmation of strength or weakness in price action. Plan Your Trade: Use clear invalidation levels to manage risk. Wait for price confirmation (e.g., closing below 566.44 or a bullish FVG forming above 588.85). Utilize stop-loss orders to safeguard against unexpected reversals. Conclusion This setup allows for flexibility, focusing on key zones and volume confirmation. The bias leans bearish, but a bullish retracement cannot be ruled out if price action shifts momentum. Keep an eye on FVG formations for entry signals.
AMEX:SPY
by CapitalGainz33
SPY Crashed Today: Where Will It Head Tomorrow? (Dec. 19)The market witnessed a steep decline today, with SPY reflecting significant selling pressure. This crash-driven move indicates a pivotal shift in market sentiment, raising questions about support levels and potential recovery zones. Market Structure Analysis * Trend Overview: The daily chart shows SPY breaking below its ascending channel, signaling a potential trend reversal or deep correction. * Volume: An extraordinary spike in sell-side volume highlights panic selling and a possible capitulation phase. * Sentiment: Sentiment appears bearish in the short term, driven by macroeconomic fears. Supply and Demand Zones * Demand Zone: $577–$580 (critical for any potential bounce). * Supply Zone: $602–$607 (will act as immediate resistance on recovery attempts). Order Blocks and Support/Resistance * Key Resistance: * $591: A psychological and structural level. * $602: High volume node and previous breakdown level. * Key Support: * $580: Near-term support; failure to hold could test $572. * $567: A crucial lower-level support. Key Indicators * EMA: * 9 EMA and 21 EMA crossed bearish, confirming short-term downtrend momentum. * MACD: * Deep in bearish territory, momentum remains strongly negative. * RSI: * Oversold on multiple timeframes, signaling potential for a technical bounce. Options Flow and GEX * Put Wall: Significant at $590 and $580 levels, suggesting bearish bias remains strong. * Call Wall: $604–$607, indicating heavy resistance if price retraces upward. * Gamma Exposure (GEX): Negative, reinforcing current bearish momentum. Scalping vs. Swing Outlook * Scalping: * Look for intraday bounces from $580 to $586 with tight stop-loss below $578. * Swing Trading: * Wait for confirmation of bottoming signals near $577 before entering long. Bearish positions remain valid below $590. Actionable Suggestions 1. Short-Term Bullish: * Entry: Near $580 support. * Exit: Around $586–$588 resistance. * Stop-Loss: Below $578. 2. Short-Term Bearish: * Entry: On rejection at $590. * Exit: Target $580 or lower. * Stop-Loss: Above $592. Conclusion SPY's break of key support levels indicates a bearish short-term outlook. However, oversold conditions suggest a technical bounce could occur in the $577–$580 range. Monitor key levels and macro catalysts closely before positioning. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk responsibly before trading.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
QQQ Crash Technical Analysis (TA) for Dec. 19Market Overview The Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) experienced a significant market drop today, reflecting a bearish sentiment in technology-heavy indices. The broader sell-off has pushed QQQ down to critical technical levels, where a combination of support zones and gamma exposure levels could offer insights for the next trading sessions. Market Structure Analysis * Daily Chart: QQQ broke below its recent upward channel support at $525, with today's close significantly below the 9-EMA and 21-EMA, signaling bearish momentum. * Hourly Chart: A sharp sell-off occurred during today's session, with a brief recovery toward $517. However, the current volume profile indicates strong selling pressure near the $525 resistance. Supply and Demand Zones * Immediate Resistance Zones: * $525.60: Prior support turned resistance, aligning with the gamma exposure wall and heavy put wall. * $533.14: Additional resistance, coinciding with the upper range of today’s intraday high. * Support Zones: * $515: Intraday low support aligning with the highest negative gamma exposure (NETGEX) level. * $507 and $505: Key demand zones visible from previous consolidations and gamma support. Order Blocks and Key Levels * Bearish Order Block: $525 to $533 range has seen consistent selling pressure, forming a robust resistance. * Bullish Rejection Level: $512-$515 acts as a psychological support zone. Key Indicators * MACD: The MACD on both daily and hourly charts has crossed bearishly, with increasing momentum to the downside. * RSI: Hourly RSI has entered oversold territory (~30), indicating a possible short-term bounce. * EMAs (9 & 21): The price remains significantly below both EMAs on all timeframes, confirming the bearish bias. Gamma Exposure (GEX) and Options Activity * Put Wall: The $519 level represents the highest concentration of puts, acting as immediate resistance. * Gamma Exposure (GEX): * Negative GEX levels between $515 and $520 amplify downward pressure. * Above $525, calls dominate, potentially limiting further upside. Scalping vs. Swing Outlook * Scalping Strategy: * Look for short entries near $525 with tight stop losses above $526. * Potential target zones: $517, $515, and $512. * Swing Strategy: * Wait for confirmation of a close above $525 to consider bullish recovery. * Downside swing target: $505 if $512 support breaks. Actionable Suggestions 1. Short Setup: * Entry: Near $525. * Stop-Loss: Above $526. * Target: $515, $507. 2. Bullish Setup: * Entry: On confirmation above $525. * Stop-Loss: Below $520. * Target: $533. Conclusion QQQ is in a precarious technical position, reflecting broader market weakness. A further break below $512 could accelerate the downtrend, while a reclaim of $525 could initiate a short-term recovery. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly before making trading decisions.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by BullBearInsights
TBT- Look Out for Exploding RatesThe Federal Reserve's aggressive 50 basis point rate cut despite headline inflation numbers coming in mixed resulted in an immediate reaction from the longer term bond yields. With no hope of moderating national debt numbers, no matter which party prevails next month, the consensus seems to be much higher long term rates. Accelerating oil prices and nervousness over the Middle East concerns may seal the deal. With the US Strategic Oil Reserves drained over recent years, a supply shock could boost oil prices dramatically. Higher rates may also push gold and silver prices down temporarily, such moves would be an opportunity to further accumulate as dollar destruction is inevitable. While the administration hypes lower inflation numbers, moves in base metal stocks in addition to rising longer term interest rates certainly tell a much different story.
AMEX:TBTLong
by AssetDesign
12/3/24 - $qqq - quick comment on "risk"- by now it should be obvious that this isn't "normal" (hasn't been for over a decade, but esp in the last year). M2 turned positive and risk assets followed especially as labor mkt data started "allowing" fed to cut - but remember, inflation gauges are heading higher. oil probably only has one direction (energy is a big driver) and consumers are ape'ing on basically everything w/ credit card debt exploding higher. amazing! - what concerns me, though is this next fed mtg... 1/ any "cuts" won't really move the needle in terms of truly looser monetary policy 2/ mkts are already at nosebleed highs (let's just use PE e.g. 2-3% vs. 10Y rates) 3/ any indication that the fed is going to not keep with the current programming (b/c let's face it - they're certainly - well who really knows but the dark forces from h3ll - going to accelerate the print bc it's not necessary, look at the mkts!)... which means the only possible direction is possibly more restrictive 4/ now we ARE in year end. there are technically no -ve catalysts on the horizon so to speak, and the mkts need a reason to go down, not up. so the direction holds. i'm happy holding a big allo of BTC, NXT, TSM, META and NVDA and some select other stuff in that order. it's working well and i genuinely think the valuations for these are (ironically) decent 5/ but beware. that if the mkt starts to get the picture of what i'm spelling out above... it won't be next week where you get a pullback (i'm not calling for something extreme, but 5-10% will cause tears for a lot of leveraged low IQ types and zero them quickly)... but i'm prepared with a healthy cash balance, a bunch of shorts (today it's PLTR in size, SG which i've been monetizing a bit, NN, SMR also monetizing a bit and some B2B stuff that just got too expensive like TEAM which i actually like but i digress). just good to be aware of where we're at. try typing in "QQQ/M2" into trading view and look at monthly or 3M candles. note anything interesting? it's best to normalize by money supply one way or another. when and where did we last reach these levels ;) stay vigilant and don't drink too much. the party continues but it's good to remember the exit than be woken up with some unfortunate pictures of your PnL. could have, should have. V
NASDAQ:QQQ
by VROCKSTAR
SPY to $585?: EOY Price TargetUsing the Magic Linear Regression Channel on TradingView.com we look at some possible scenarios for SPY price movement. A shorter term regression channel shows SPY at the top of the channel and rejecting it today - even with more buyers than sellers in the TradingView Volume Footprint chart view. The bottom of the channel converges with last pivot low near $584. It could conceivable go lower, but with lower volume likely during the holiday season, it would seem less likely for it to make any more big moves barring some major unexpected event.
AMEX:SPYShort
by mwrightinc
7
S&P500 ETF SPY Testing Support📉 ** AMEX:SPY Testing Key Support!** 📈 The **S&P 500 ETF ( AMEX:SPY )** is pressing against a critical support level — the **green trendline** that's been a pivotal bounce zone for months. Will it hold or break? 🤔 🔍 **What’s driving the move?** - 🔥 **Hawkish FOMC Outlook**: The Fed now sees **fewer rate cuts in 2025 (2 vs. 3 expected)**, keeping rates higher for longer. - 📢 **Geopolitical Risks**: Powell noted some Fed members are factoring in possible **Trump-era policy risks** (think tariffs & deportation) into their forecasts. - ⚠️ **Market Reaction**: Growth stocks are under pressure as higher rates impact valuations. 📊 **Why It Matters?** - If AMEX:SPY holds the support, we could see a technical rebound. 🚀 - A breakdown below the green line could signal further downside risk. 📉 👉 **Traders, are you buying the dip or waiting for the break?** Drop your thoughts below! ⬇️
AMEX:SPYLong
by AlgoTradeAlert
2