USD/JPY 4H Timeframe AnalysisUSD/JPY 4H Timeframe Analysis
Trend Analysis:
The USD/JPY pair is currently in an uptrend, having successfully broken key minor resistance levels, including 156.800, which has now turned into support. This break signals the continuation of bullish momentum, confirmed by the formation of higher highs and higher lows. Recently, the pair broke the 157.500 minor resistance, further indicating that buyers have stepped in. The price action is now moving towards the next major resistance level at 160.900.
Additionally, price action has shown signs of manipulation or liquidity grabs at key levels. The price briefly dipped below support, hunting stop losses before reversing direction. This has set up the potential for a continuation of the uptrend, as the market clears out stop losses and accumulates liquidity for the next leg up.
Price Action Expectation:
We are observing liquidity being formed below the 156.800 support level. We are now waiting for a breakout above 157.500 to confirm the continuation of the bullish trend. The plan is to place a buy stop order at 157.690, just above the minor resistance, to enter the market once this level is broken. A stop loss will be placed below the liquidity zone at 156.500, a strategic location to manage risk.
Trade Setup:
Trade Type: Buy Stop
Entry Price: 157.690 (just above the minor resistance after a breakout)
Stop Loss: 156.500 (below the liquidity zone)
Take Profit: 160.900 (next minor resistance level)
Additional Considerations:
The current bullish setup remains valid, but traders should be cautious of any potential reversal signs if the price fails to break above 157.500. If price action shows signs of rejection at these levels, a shift in trend could occur. Monitoring any significant news events or economic releases will also be important to avoid unexpected market moves.
Conclusion:
The USD/JPY pair is showing strong bullish momentum, supported by the technical breakout of key resistance levels. As the price moves toward the next resistance at 160.900, careful risk management is crucial. Traders should be prepared for possible pullbacks or consolidations around key levels while maintaining a focus on trend continuation. Economic events and market sentiment can still influence the strength of the USD against the JPY, so staying alert to these factors is essential.