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Dogecoin - False breakout in play?This is an update to my previous post about Doge. Last analysis was a bullish triangle play, the analysis has now been changed alongside my view on this coin. Price have printed a turtle soup at the recent high after a good run to the upside. Price have broken out of the pattern and now retested. I am now short based on the retest with a SL of 0.4360 I am now curious to see if my thesis is right and if Doge rolls over i will taget 0.15 area where we have a old major channel that is visible on the 4H if you zoom out alot.
Short
by Norsefx
5
Long Bias Analysis for SOL/USDT (4H Chart): Market Context: Market Structure: A clear Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside occurred, sweeping sell-side liquidity below $190. The price is now trading in a Fair Value Gap (FVG), a common area where demand often re-enters the market. Key Levels: Support Zone: $185.79–$189.31, the FVG and demand zone, where buyers may step in. Resistance Levels: $209.09: First resistance and minor supply zone. $212.73: A significant supply level and previous breakdown point. $263.80: Ultimate bullish target if momentum sustains. Indicators: The price is below the EMA cluster, suggesting oversold conditions. The imbalance (FVG) provides a confluence area for long entries with reduced downside risk. Trade Plan: Entry: Look for entries around $189–$193, ideally after bullish confirmation (e.g., strong bullish candles or wicks rejecting the FVG). Stop Loss: Place the stop loss slightly below $185.79 to account for potential liquidity grabs while minimizing risk. Take Profits: TP1: $209.09 – Close to the EMA and minor resistance. TP2: $212.73 – Significant supply zone and previous structural high. TP3 (Stretch Target): $263.80 – The upper range and major supply level. Risk-Reward Analysis: Entry near $190, SL at $185, and TP2 at $212 provides a 4:1 Risk-to-Reward Ratio. Reaching TP3 would significantly increase the reward potential. Key Notes: Confirmation: Watch for reversal candlestick patterns or increased volume near the FVG. A break and hold above $197 (current resistance) will signal a stronger bullish case. Partial Profits: Take partial profits at TP1 to secure gains, then trail the stop loss to breakeven for remaining positions. Invalidation: A clean break below $185 invalidates this setup and could lead to further downside.
Long
by origami_capital33
The Bitcoin Peak: When Will the Cycle End?Been a while since I published a TA. I’ve been digging deep trying to decipher when the cycle top will come in for Bitcoin. Some say it’s an impossible feat. Well, let’s give it a go. There are two major dates and one minor date for a possible cycle top: May 2025 **Volume Flow**: 1157 Days **From June Bottom**: 1064 days **ETH clear bottom**: June 2022 **Bar Pattern Fractal**: From 2015 bottom **221k Price Target**: Target crosses with the model in May. September 2025 **From November Bottom**: 1064 days **Major Macro Time Fibonacci** **Chainlink Fractal** **Chainlink Time Fib** March 2025 **Small Time Fibonacci** **Bull Flag End** **Average % move and time since 2019** As you can see, there is a lot of evidence to unpack here, so it’s going to be a long one. Let’s start with the first date: May 2025. --- May 2025 Volume Flow on Heikin Candles on the Monthly shows that from the Bearish cross to the cycle top is 1126 days, which ends up being May. Every cycle, Bitcoin has always put in a double bottom to mark its cycle low. As you can see, in 2022 we had two major crashes, and even though it’s not 100% clear here, we got a double bottom. The amazing thing about the first bottom in June 2022 is that it mirrored the first bottom of the cycle low of 2015. That fractal was a mirror, showing the importance of this first low in Bitcoin in June 2022. If we overlay the 2015 fractal, we get the top coming in May. For anyone who doesn’t know, the last two cycles, Bitcoin has taken 1064 days from Cycle Low to Cycle Top. 1064 days from the June 2022 low is May. ETH has a much clearer bottom than Bitcoin this cycle. It also took 1064 days, which puts it in May. So you can see, there is a lot of evidence pointing towards a May 2025 Cycle Top for Bitcoin. --- September/October 2025 1064 days from the second bottom in November 2022 would be October 2025. For years, I have been using this Major Macro Time Fibonacci sequence that shows me important moments in Bitcoin’s cycles. The last pointed to a move down to 48k in August 2023, which is hard to see on the 2Week chart. As you can see, it comes close to pinpointing moves, so the next date is the end of September 2025, which lines up with the 1064 days from November 2022. I have been following this Chainlink fractal for more than a year. We traded LINK using this fractal back in October 2023. You can check my TAs from that period. The fractal is still valid and tops in September 2025. Chainlink Fibonacci Time Sequence has been hitting home runs time and time again, from pinpointing the top all the way down to the bottom. The next date is late August 2025, very close to September 2025. --- March 2025 This date has far less weight for a cycle top but could be part of a major local top and correction. A small Time Fibonacci sequence taken from this level shows that March 31st is the next date, and the one after that is late August 2025, the same as the Chainlink fractal. 240% over 162 days is the average that Bitcoin moves up since 2019. If we just overlay the average, we get 127k by mid-February 2025. A mirror move from October 2023 to March 2024 puts us in March 2025. --- Elliott Wave Section I’m not an expert in this field but will throw in some takes. Could we possibly be in Wave 4 out of 5? Or could we be finishing Wave 3 right now and in for the first large correction of this bull market? The fact is, the last time we hit this band on this model was January 2021. After that, there was a 31% correction lasting 31 days. Sometimes 5 waves are very clear. Take GOLD, for example: there is a clear 5-wave pattern at max Fibonacci extension. This is a massive macro sell signal, in my opinion. Crazy how GOLD hit this level on Wave 5 as Bitcoin breaks 100k. --- ### **Price Targets If we take the first cycle and overlay to 2015 cycle, it gave us the cycle top in 2021. If we do the same for this cycle and overlay the 2015 cycle, we get a price target of 221k, which puts it at the top of my model in May 2025. Just discovered this—that’s one more point for May 2025. As you can see, in the last two cycles it worked. Will it work this time? Who knows. --- Pi Cycle Indicator If we just run a rough projection on when the next cross will be, it crosses in April 2025, very close to May. Keep in mind this is a very rough idea of when it could cross. --- Conclusion We have 5 points in favor of May 2025, 4 points in favor of September 2025, and 2 points for March 2025. As always, the path is never clear for Bitcoin. Until we get much further down the road, I won’t conclusively know which date it will be. This model I have been using has been so accurate thus far. We are so high up the last bands that we are most likely going to get some sort of long consolidation period with a correction soon, which would give the altcoin market a run.
BNC:BLXLong
by Sporia
8
VARAUSD Weekly AnalysisThe wich off of the center B Band is developing nicely with a few days left in the weekly candle. I anticipated this pull back due to resistance from trapped longs and upper B Band psychological level. Next weeks candle will likely reverse and develop into a massive green candle, this time absorbing the remaining trapped longs at the $0.04 level. The center B Band is a target long position with next target accumulation zone around $0.045 and $0.11 depending upon BTC and USDX movements.
COINBASE:VARAUSDLong
by fritbjorn
12
ETHEthereum (ETH) Weekly Chart Analysis – Cup & Handle and Inverse Head & Shoulders Overview of Current Setup: Upon reviewing Ethereum’s weekly chart, a classic cup and handle formation is evident, with a confirmed breakout already in progress. The current price action suggests a potential backtest of the breakout zone, reinforcing the integrity of this pattern. Simultaneously, within this backtest, an inverse head and shoulders pattern is emerging – another bullish signal indicating that Ethereum could see further upside in the coming months. Pattern Breakdown: • Cup and Handle Formation: • This is a bullish continuation pattern that often signals the resumption of a strong uptrend after a period of consolidation. • The initial breakout suggests strong buying momentum, but as is common, the price is retracing to retest the breakout zone, essentially validating the strength of the move. • Inverse Head and Shoulders (H&S): • This pattern typically forms after a downtrend or corrective phase and often marks a reversal point. • The presence of this pattern within the backtest area adds confluence to the bullish outlook. Profit Targets: Given the alignment of these two patterns, the upside potential for Ethereum is significant. Here’s how the targets shape up: • Primary Target Range: $5600 - $6000 • This range represents a conservative measure of the breakout from the cup and handle, projected by mirroring the depth of the cup. • Extended Target: $6500 - $7000 (by mid-2025) • If momentum accelerates and bullish conditions persist, ETH could stretch towards this level as a secondary target. Stop Loss Strategy: • Key Level: Below $2800 • This represents a critical invalidation point. If Ethereum dips below this level, it would likely indicate a breakdown of the patterns mentioned, signaling potential further downside. • Since this is a weekly chart, patience is key. Short-term fluctuations and liquidation dips are common, so avoid overreacting to minor price movements. Timeframe & Approach: • Time Horizon: Weekly chart patterns generally take longer to develop and fully play out. This projection anticipates growth and price appreciation into mid-2025. • Mindset: This is a longer-term analysis. Avoid emotional trading or reacting impulsively to short-term volatility. Ethereum’s price action may involve consolidation, retracements, and temporary corrections along the way – all part of the process. Summary: Ethereum’s weekly chart shows compelling bullish signals through both a cup and handle pattern and an inverse head and shoulders formation. This confluence increases the likelihood of further upside. With profit targets in the $5600-$6000 range, and extended targets as high as $7000 by mid-2025, Ethereum presents a promising opportunity for patient traders. A stop loss below $2800 ensures risk management while allowing room for price action to develop naturally. (ChatGPT made me do it lol)
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by TriumphOne
Ena/UsdtBINANCE:ENAUSDT ### **Ena Current Price: $1.0215 💰 (Resistance Level)** The current price of **Ena (ENA)** is at **$1.0215**, which is a **key resistance level**. A **resistance level** is a price point where the asset might face selling pressure, which could prevent the price from moving higher. In simple terms, **$1.0215** is a level where traders may decide to sell, thinking that the price might not go higher. If the price holds at **$1.0215**, it suggests that buyers are still active and willing to support the price at this level, but if the price manages to break above this resistance, we could see further upward movement. --- ### **If the Price Holds at $1.0215 🚀:** - **Resistance at $1.2032 🔝**: If the price manages to hold at **$1.0215** and continues its upward momentum, the **first resistance level** to watch is **$1.2032**. This is where the price may face increased selling pressure again, which could slow down or stop the price from moving further upward. - **Resistance at $1.3543 🌟**: If **$1.2032** is broken, the next major **resistance level** is **$1.3543**. If the price reaches this point, there may be a stronger resistance, and it could act as a ceiling for the price, making it harder to go higher. --- ### **If the Price Fails to Hold at $1.0215 🚨:** - **Support Levels:** - **$0.8222 🔻**: If **Ena (ENA)** fails to hold the **$1.0215** level and starts falling, the **first support level** to watch is **$0.8222**. Support levels represent prices where the coin might find buying interest, preventing the price from falling further. If the price reaches **$0.8222**, buyers may step in, creating a "floor" for the price. - **$0.7131 💥**: If **$0.8222** doesn’t hold, the next level of support is **$0.7131**. At this point, the price could face further downward pressure, but **support** at this level may help stabilize the price again if demand picks up. - **$0.5945 🌊**: If the price continues to drop, the **final support level** is **$0.5945**. This is a crucial level because if the price falls to this point and cannot bounce back, it could indicate a deeper downward trend. --- ### **Summary:** - **$1.0215** is a **resistance level** where price might struggle to go higher. - If **Ena (ENA)** holds at **$1.0215**, resistance levels at **$1.2032** and **$1.3543** could limit further upward movement. - If the price doesn’t hold at **$1.0215**, **support levels** at **$0.8222**, **$0.7131**, and **$0.5945** might provide a "floor" for the price to bounce back. --- ### **Conclusion:** - If **Ena (ENA)** maintains **$1.0215**, it could continue to test higher resistance levels at **$1.2032** and **$1.3543**. - If the price fails to hold **$1.0215**, the support levels at **$0.8222**, **$0.7131**, and **$0.5945** could come into play, potentially preventing further declines. --- **Not financial advice!** 🚨 Always do your own research and make decisions carefully! 📈
Long
by Wolftrader1337
The bull market is not over yet!This is probably the area of ​​interest from where we will try to increase to the 101k-102k area in the first phase. There was a liquidity takeover, at the end of the month some contracts expire and some are rushing to sell them faster. Don't panic, I don't think the bullish cycle is over, it just took a few out of the game. I put 2 scenarios that can happen in the next period. P.S: I'm not looking at scenario 3, but I would rather look at 110k 120k. But the market is unpredictable, who knows.
by CNC2788