TLT - US20YPossible reversion into the price of US20Y, the MACD show a divergency and the stoch and sensible RSI are overbought. Maybe the 5% is the top, maybe I'm wrong but there is a good time to buy TLT for long runLongby Manzanex0
Treasury Spike...Seeing T-notes spike up like this while Fed paused Interest Rate Hikes are an environment for a market crash IMOShortby Dice_940
US 10Y TREASURY: at overbought sideFed Chair Powell's speech after the FOMC meeting, held on Wednesday significantly moved the markets during the second half of the previous week. A “higher for longer” wording used by FOMC members was not welcomed by the market. Fed Chair Powell mentioned another rate hike till the end of this year, with an expected rate cut somewhere during the end of the next year. FOMC projected reference rates to end 2024 at 5.1%. Such projections implied immediate market reaction and 10Y yields reached their highest levels since 2007 and level of 4.50%. Yields are ending the week at a level of 4.43%. RSI index reached a clear overbought side, which would in the case of 10Y yields, mean that the market had priced in new information received from Fed Chair Powell. There will be another rate hike till the end of this year, and a level of 4.5% has been priced. From now on, it could be expected some relaxation in the yields, which might return slowly to the level of 4.3% in the coming period. The level of uncertainty is currently increased on the market, but at this moment, further move beyond 4.5% level should not be expected.by XBTFX14
Multi-year highs for US 10Y yieldThe Federal Reserve's hawkish stance has led to a significant rise in US Treasury yields, reaching levels not seen in several years. This has, in turn, bolstered the US Dollar while putting pressure on US stock markets. Later this week, investors will closely monitor the release of US core PCE data, seeking additional insights into the country's inflation trends. In the short term, with the recent breakthrough above levels last observed in 2008, our primary focus remains on the upside, particularly towards the psychologically significant 5.00 mark and the 2006 peak at 5.25. Looking further ahead, we've used the width of the downward channel as a basis for measuring potential future gains. This analysis points to a longer-term target approaching 6.00."Long02:24by The_STA1
10 YR BOND Still holding UPThe 10yr still maintaining the upward trend I see. Its amazing how well this chart holds up by TheRealTylerDurden0
Breakout of downward sloping trendline on Yield curveThe yield curve has been inverted, and it has been a very good indicator of recessions. Will team FED manage to land a soft landing? I think not We have a higher high after the breakout of the downward line, with bullish momentum. Longby DiscosCryptos0
Who's ready for a FRED 50 Trillion Balance Sheet? I Am. Japan has no completely lost control of their bond yields. Japan has completely lost control the US Yield Curve Control. The FRED paused (as I expected they had no choice). The FRED realizing they need to initiate YCC / QE / Rate Cuts before end of 2023 or we're going to see an economic meltdown. Option 1, let yields raise > mortgages blow up > bank collateral blows up bail out 100 Trillion. Option 2, start YCC / QE / Rate Cuts down > things don't blow up but spend 50 Trillion. What's hilarious is there is ZERO news coverage on this ZERO, the USA setup a YCC facility with the BOJ to patch bond yields yet the JAPANESE currency CANNOT handle it and the BOJ is starting to actually panic / tap out. People waiting for a "country" to enact the third world war, I'll give you a hint they always start when some major financial system breaks. That's this this is where we are at. Japan has a GDP of only 4.941 Trillion, if they initiate more YCC / QE they will start to turn into the Turkish Lira and then mass people are going to panic about US bonds. THERE IS ZERO chance we get to 2025 without a FRED balance sheet of over at least 30 Trillion, buckle up.by FederalXBT3
Butterfly pattern in yieldsHad this mapped up for a while and been waiting to see if it fills. Oddly, this filled recently in what turned out to be a false quote and then a days later made he real rally. If the harmonic plays out, we'd be in the top of yield - a least for this swing.Shortby holeyprofit113
UK 10 yr yields "transitory"V long term UK 10yr yields. You decide. "Transitory".Longby WVS_StockscreenUpdated 3
Similarly US yields moving higher?Similar to Bunds but here with clear +ve divergence on indicators suggest higher yields forthcoming.Longby WVS_StockscreenUpdated 226
💸😰2 Year Treasury Bond @ - 0.2% in Uptrend 📈When investors invest in short-term bonds it means they expect inflation -- to arrive inside the current economy this means higher food prices and tough economic living conditions -- for the poor and middle-class -- inside this video, you will see the yield curve and where to buy Bitcoin to save you -- from inflation -- Disclaimer: -- I am not a financial advisor, and the information provided here is for informational purposes only. -- Stock trading and investing involve risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. -- It's important to conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. -- Always be aware of the potential for loss, and consider your risk tolerance and investment goals before engaging in any trading activities. -- The content provided here does not constitute financial advice, and I do not take -- responsibility for any financial decisions made based on this information. -- Remember to rocket boost this content to learn moreLong07:12by lubosi1
2 year yield keeps pushing to the target at 5.50%2 year yield keeps pushing to the target at 5.50% We are in the final wave v up. Upon completion of that five wave up rally we should get a large corrective a-b-c pullback to re-test the low made by the wave -iv- downLongby CastAwayTrader2
US10Y Weekly Bullish!TVC:US10 Hello traders! Looking at US10Y Bond! As we all know, Fed decision to hike interest rates has targeted 5.25% - 5.50% range. Elliott Wave Theory demonstrates that, targeted range is a termination of Wave 5. Which will be followed by market correction AT LEAST back to Wave 4 at 3.25 percent. We got long 55 bullish days on US10Y bond market. Longby BarnabasMbogoUpdated 6
Bullish yields = Another bear market incoming?About to take out double top Strong oil = Strong CPI = Higher yields to tame inflation Strong case to further hikes Bad for equities and could mark beginning of another bear maketby traderxchartUpdated 0
kueINVESTING SIMULATOR BANKING PERSONAL FINANCE NEWS REVIEWS ACADEMY TRADE Table of Contents What Is a Bond? Issuers How Bonds Work Characteristics Categories Varieties How Bonds Are Priced Bond Prices and Interest Rates Yield-to-Maturity (YTM) Example FAQs INVESTING Bond: Financial Meaning With Examples and How They Are Priced By JASON FERNANDO Updated March 09, 2023 Reviewed by CHIP STAPLETON Fact checked by KATHARINE BEER What Is a Bond? A bond is a fixed-income instrument that represents a loan made by an investor to a borrower (typically corporate or governmental). A bond could be thought of as an I.O.U. between the lender and borrower that includes the details of the loan and its payments. Bonds are used by companies, municipalities, states, and sovereign governments to finance projects and operations. Owners of bonds are debtholders, or creditors, of the issuer. our updated Terms of Service.by excitedLlama46190
Bunds break down! The German Bund has finally broken support in the bearish channel and targets the 127% extension of the March 2023 impulsive move higher. Following the ECB last week, and ahead of the FOMC this week, we have yields rallying in the USA with the 10yr note falling alongside the bunds as traders are nervous ahead of the decision. RSI in the Bunds are pointing lower confirming the bearishness.Shortby ForexAnalytixPipczar3
US02Y bullish move stopped by a fibSharing how Fib extension can catch tops and bottoms / support and resistance. Here we have the 2yr bond yield with the 3 pivot points (marked by blue price notes) for the fib extension at Mar 24 low, Mar 31 high and Apr 05 low. Last nights .5-ish move was suppressed by the Fib 3 boundary. From an elliott wave perspective, there are so many 1-2 waves from the May 04 low...it would seem, if this is a correct analysis, the 2yr is headed higher...much much higher. I believe this is the 5th wave just starting and to confirm, we'll have to watch for a significant break(IE a few green non-retracing candles to be the confirmation - something like the push from 13-sep-2022 to 26-sep-2022)by shamgar331Updated 1
two possibilities for the crazy trainjust an update on my last chart of this. last time we were at the bottom trendline, now we are at the top. by bmrm98Updated 5
10year yield US 10y yield has broken out of a 40 year old trend line. This will be big. Whatever worked for last 40 years will not work going forward. This is just a trend line. Not financial advice.by paxb_1
US10Y and DXY show no signs of stopping for the next 2 weeksThe DXY and 10Y are the cryptonite for stocks and crypto and show no hesitation in moving up. This trend line has not been broken, scary thing is the break through levels of where these can hit. DXY at 114$ has been catastrophic to everything and with inflation data we could be headed there. by mblaise30000
US 10Y TREASURY: time for relaxation, or maybe not?The US inflation figures were published during the previous week, which showed that it is not going to be an easy task for the Fed to bring it back to its 2% target. At the same time, oil was traded above $90/barrel with some analysts’ prediction that it might easily reach the level of $100 till the end of this year. Taking current circumstances into account, the market was able only to move in one direction – bringing 10Y Treasury yields back toward the 4.30% level, where the benchmark is finishing the week. Currently there is a bit of a tricky moment on the charts. Namely, 4.3% could be treated as sort of the resistance level for 10Y Treasury yields. But, taking into account that the FOMC meeting is scheduled for the week ahead, surprises might be possible in terms of a break of 4.3% level. However, if everything stays as anticipated by the market, then yields might come a bit back down to 4.2% levels.by XBTFX14
inflation & yieldsThe Us 10 Year yield is one of the most important yields to follow. It greatly impacts long term investment decisions in a vast array of markets; stocks, bonds, real estate. A clear technical breakout is being observed & this could mean inflation is becoming entrenched. Yields have a tendency to rally in parabolic fashion. if this breakout holds we can likely expect higher rates. by Trading-Capital4
2 year yield - breakoutThe yield market is going absolutely bonkers tonight in the futures. What is the bond market telling us? likely inflation is entrenched. If the 2 year yield closes at or above the Fed Fund Rate before we hear from Powell expect the fed to do a surprise rate hike or remain extremely hawkish. This will no be good for stocks if this is the case. by Trading-Capital222