SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update 8-13 : Perfect Breakaway RallyToday's SPY Cycle Pattern, the Breakaway in Trending mode, appears to have been a perfect call for today's price action.
We have seen an impressive rally take place all morning long.
I know it's hard to believe my SPY Cycle Patterns can predict a market trend/rally like this, especially when you consider these predictions are made months and years in advance.
But when you look at how price plays out most of the time, these patterns actually predict market price characteristics as long as some type of panic or crisis mode doesn't intervene.
Tomorrow's rally pattern should be more like what we see today.
Get some.
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Ym
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 8-13: Breakaway GAP RALLYWatching the markets this morning, it was very clear the SPY Cycle Pattern prediction of a breakaway pattern setup cleanly with the morning bullish price gap.
Now, we get to watch as the markets struggle to move above recent resistance channels (and Fib retracement levels) as the Vortex Rally base continues to build.
I find it very interesting to watch so many other analysts continue to predict a CRASH.
What changed over the past 5+ weeks?
- A different candidate for the elections?
-- the US elections were in question many months ago.
- Bank Of Japan indicating they need to aggressively support the YEN?
-- the US Fed rate hikes were already putting pressure on global currencies and economies.
- Conflicts in the ME (as that situation continues to work itself out)?
-- The Israel conflict has been ongoing for more than 40+ years. Israel is doing what it must to defend itself from multiple aggressors.
- What else?
I simply don't get why so many other people seem to think the US markets are, somehow, going to absorb all of these foreign market economic & currency issues.
So what, Asian currencies weaken further over the next 24-36 months. How does that detract from the US economy?
So what, the Canadian dollar weakens further and their economy moves into a recession. If you remember correctly, the Canadian economy was super-heated pre and post-COVID (at about 150% of the US economy). It is almost essential for the Canadian economy to contract after a massive speculative bubble.
So what, other foreign markets struggle to defend their economies and currency values as we shift/settle into a more defined global structure. The decoupling of these global economies is actually a very healthy component of what is taking place throughout the globe - monetary contraction.
We need to see this type of monetary contraction in order to move into an organic growth phase. The US Fed and global central banks kept the world's economies on a high over the past 10+ years with easy rates. Now, we need to settle back into more normal rate/economic function.
And I still believe the US economy is the strongest, most dynamic, and most capable of growing over the next 24-36 months while the rest of the globe "settles into a base".
Get ready for a Vortext Rally in the US/US-Dollar.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 8-13 : Breakaway May Pause A BitThis morning's video covers the SPY, QQQ, Gold, Bitcoin, IWM, and more.
I suspect today's Breakaway pattern will result in a moderate pause before the markets attempt to move higher.
I still believe the US markets are shifting (decoupling) from global markets a bit, and we are amid a mild "shakeout."
I believe the US markets must settle (establish a base) before the rally can continue.
Ultimately, what has changed over the past 90 days is nothing other than the fact that we have a new dynamic in US politics, and the BOJ has warned that the US Fed's rate decisions may put extreme pressure on foreign currencies.
Get ready for a bit of a sideways slide before the markets resume trending (I believe upward) again.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 8-12 : SPY 10 Min Flagging/BreakoutThis update shows you why I believe the SPY will resolve the current Flag formation into an upward price trend.
The Vortex Rally base will likely continue to setup over the next 5+ days. But the 531-532 level on the SPY is proving to be a strong support area and as long as this level is not broken - we should see the SPY attempt to rally back above 545-550.
It is all about timing the move and staying patient while the SPY/QQQ settle near this base.
I'll continue to post more updates as price trends.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 8-12: Vortex Base Building This is a quick update suggesting that the upward momentum in the US markets appears to be fairly strong. But I urge my followers to stay cautious.
The markets are not "cleared for lift-off" yet. We still have numerous Fibonacci resistance levels to break, and we could see the markets move into a broad sideways FLAG formation or break downward again to establish a deeper low.
Within this video, I share what I believe is essential for the markets to move into a confirmed "lift-off" mode.
Please be patient. If we stay patient and protect capital, there will be many opportunities for big swing trades.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 8-12: Gap/Breakaway PatternWatch this video to learn why the Vortex Rally is building a base and why it is important that price stay above the 0.382 and 0.50 Fibonacci price levels as the base forms.
You'll see how these Fibonacci price structures are key components to all of my research and how to use them efficiently.
Fibonacci Price Theory teaches us price is always attempting to reach new highs and/or new lows. Additionally, price moves in only two modes : Trending or Flagging.
When you completely understand the mechanics of price and how price attempts to operate (see above), then you can pick apart charts very easily.
Currently, price is moving higher (establishing new higher highs) and may attempt to break through the downward 0.382 & 0.50 ceilings as the Vortex Rally base continues to build.
Stay cautious this week as we may see extended price volatility. There will be a huge opportunity (sweet spot) for traders over the next 60+ days to catch more of this big Vortex Rally phase.
Get some
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SPY/QQQ/GOLD Plan Your Trade - New Week Aug 12~16+Thank you for all the boosts and likes. I'm trying my best to deliver informative and intelligent information for traders to learn to make their own decisions.
My goal is to teach you the skills to become better at identifying and selecting better opportunities for profits. Not to be right all the time - that's impossible.
But, to learn to manage risk levels, trade more efficiently, plan your trades, and to execute better trades with detailed information and guidance.
I hope I'm achieving those goals for all of you.
Some of the comments have been wonderfully supportive. Of course I'm not right 100% of the time - no one is. I'm simply trying to provide the best analysis I can to help you plan and prepare for better trades.
This video discusses what I expect from the markets over the next 5~10+ days.
I believe the markets need to retest support before shifting into the new Vortex Rally phase.
We need to watch Gold/Silver, the Transportation Index, Crude Oil, the US-Dollar, and how the SPY/QQQ react over the next 5+ days.
It will be interesting to see how things play out.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 9-9 Update : SPY Must Rally Above 532This is a quick update related to the Inside Breakaway Pattern today.
The SPY must attempt to break above 532 in order to attempt a rally up to 539-542.
I really believe the SPY is primed to move into a Ripper Rally phase between now and the end of next week.
I will urge the Make-Or-Break (525-526) is still in play.
If the SPY falls below 525 - the trend flips to BEARISH
If the SPY stays above 525 - the trend is BULLISH.
So, we need to see how today plays out. But, I believe a Ripper Rally is primed and ready to go where the SPY could rally up into the 540+ level very easily.
It may play out as a rally to 545++ by mid-next week - but we may see it start today.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 8-9 : Inside Breakaway VolatilityToday's Inside Breakaway pattern requires price to open within the body of yesterday's candle. Therefore, we need to see price move below $530.65 before the 930 opening bell in NY.
If this happens, then the Inside Breakaway pattern is ready to play out, and I believe we have a much stronger chance (about 75%) for the price to rally higher today (leaving only about a 25% chance for a broader market pullback).
The Current Flag formation on the SPY (and other major symbols) may present an extended range of volatility today and on Monday.
I'm suggesting today's Inside Breakaway pattern will resolve to the upside. But I'm also warning there is about a 30% chance the markets will FLUSH-OUT to the downside today before resolving back into a Bullish price trend.
The reason I'm making this suggestion/warning is because of the Flag pattern that is currently playing out. The closer we move toward the Flag Apex, the more likely we will see broader price volatility and bigger price swings.
It is very common for price to become extremely volatile near Flag Apexes. This happens because the price has been coiling into the Flag Apex range for many hours/days and potentially weeks. That energy, when released, usually prompts a fairly large volatility range.
Today, I warn that the $524-525 should act like a make-or-break level for Bullish or Bearish trending.
I cover the SPY, Gold, Bitcoin, IWM, and more in today's video.
Remember, I'm trying to teach you techniques you can use for the rest of your life while showing you what I see on these charts.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 8-8 : Harami Means IndecisionThis update to my morning video was created to help you understand why a Harami pattern will likely prompt fairly large price rotation today.
The Harami pattern is an indecision type of pattern. It suggests price is struggling to find direction and may attempt to test upper and lower boundaries.
The purpose of the Harami pattern is to flush out weaker trading positions while, essentially, completing a minor Flag formation.
The Harami pattern is an Inside Bar. By structure, this Inside Bar is a Flag setup (very short-term).
The end of a Flag Formation means price will attempt to move into a new trending mode - or move back into a new Flag formation.
Pay attention to how price constructs this Harami/Flag pattern today.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 8-8 : A Volatile Harami PatternToday's SPY Cycle Pattern is a Harami/Inside.
Because of the recent price volatility and the current price FLAG setup, I expect today's Harami pattern to include a fairly large high/low price range. That means we may see very solid price trending (up/down) throughout the day - whereas today's open/close range should stay within yesterday's open/close range.
If you've been following my research, I expect the SPY to attempt to mount a fairly strong rally over the next 10+ days (possibly longer). After the recent bout of volatility (the Kamala-Crush), I believe the US markets will attempt to move into what I'm calling a Vortex Rally based on simple fundamentals.
In order for this to happen, we need to see a few things happen:
- the US dollar continues to strengthen
- crude oil should continue to slide downward (possibly targeting $65)
- IYT (TRAN) should stay somewhat muted into the end of this year
- Gold/Silver should continue to move upward
- Global markets should continue to struggle
If this happens, it will strengthen my Vortex Rally expectations into 2025 and beyond.
Remember, the SPY Cycle Patterns are not always 100% accurate. But they can provide a very clear context for expectations, and when used with other TA techniques and proper risk management - they can be incredibly helpful.
Get some.
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Dow Jones (US30) Outlook ICT ConceptsDow Jones Industrial Average (US30) Analysis
💰 Welcome to Your Channel!
Welcome to our channel where we delve into the intricacies of financial markets. Today, we focus on US30, dissecting its current price action to uncover strategic trading opportunities. Join us as we analyze key levels and market dynamics, aiming to refine our trading strategies and maximize potential gains.
💡 Previous Analysis Review:
In the previous analysis, we expected the price to expand lower after the Market Structure Shift (MSS), which occurred as anticipated.
📍 Current Market Overview:
The current price is around 38,643.10. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) has swept both the Previous Month Low (PML) and Previous Week Low (PWL), which are significant liquidity levels. The price is currently within a 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG), marked by a line on the chart.
🔍 Identifying Key Levels:
• PMH: Previous Month High
• PWH: Previous Week High
• PWL: Previous Week Low
• PML: Previous Month Low
• BSL: Buy-Side Liquidity
• SSL: Sell-Side Liquidity
• 4H FVG: 4-Hour Fair Value Gap
• MSS: Market Structure Shift
📊 Key Considerations:
• Swept PML & PWL: The price has swept the Previous Month Low and Previous Week Low, indicating the potential for a reversal or at least a short-term expansion higher.
• Inside 4H FVG: The price is within the 4H FVG, which could serve as a support zone for a possible expansion higher.
• Reaction to Bearish FVGs: The key to the next movement lies in how the price reacts to the two bearish FVGs above.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
Given the current price action and key considerations, a bullish scenario is possible if the following conditions are met:
• Support from 4H FVG: The 4H FVG provides support, and the price begins to expand higher.
• Reaction to Bearish FVGs: Watch the reaction to the bearish FVGs above; if the price can break through these, it would confirm the bullish bias.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
A bearish scenario should be considered if the following conditions are met:
• Sweep of Lower Time Frame BSL: On lower time frames, we need to see buy-side liquidity levels swept before considering short positions.
• Target Lower Objectives: After the sweep of lower time frame BSL, the price could target lower objectives such as the SSL (Sell-Side Liquidity) marked below on the chart.
📊 Chart Analysis Summary:
• Bullish Expectation: The price is in a key area after sweeping PML and PWL, and being inside the 4H FVG. We can expect a possible expansion higher from here, especially if the price holds within the 4H FVG and breaks through the bearish FVGs above.
• Bearish Expectation: For a bearish scenario, wait for lower time frame buy-side liquidity to be swept, followed by a reversal to target lower levels like the SSL below.
Conclusion:
The Dow Jones Industrial Average is at a critical juncture after sweeping key liquidity levels and entering a 4H FVG. The next move depends largely on the reaction to the bearish FVGs above. A bullish scenario would see an expansion higher if the 4H FVG holds and the price breaks through the bearish FVGs. A bearish scenario would require a sweep of lower time frame BSL and then a move lower to target SSL and other lower objectives.
🙏 Thank you for joining us!
Exploring US30 today highlighted the importance of effective risk management in trading success. Prioritize research, implement robust strategies, and seek guidance for confident market navigation. Stay tuned for more insights on our channel. Here's to profitable trading and continuous learning!
⚠️ Disclaimer
The information provided here is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your trade For 8-7 : Perfect Flat-Down PatternToday's Flat/Down pattern played out perfectly. Now, as price nears support, we should be looking to position our trading for the next big move higher over the next 5+ trading days.
If my research is accurate, the SPY/QQQ should begin to setup a base mid/late tomorrow and start to rally into Friday - carrying into early next week.
Watch the video I created this morning to learn more.
This short follow-up video will help you understand how my SPY Cycle Patterns work and how you can benefit from their interpretive capabilities.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 8-7 : SPY Settles - Gold RalliesThis video highlights what I believe will be the best opportunities for the SPY/QQQ over the next 7+ trading days while highlighting how Gold is setup for a dual-leg rally phase (possibly moving up above $2550) over the next 7+ days.
My continued efforts to deliver pertinent and actionable trade data to my followers are based on the concept that "I do the research—you make all the decisions."
I'm not trying to tell you what to do or when to trade. I'm just showing you what I see on the charts using my skills and understanding of advanced price theories and technical analysis. If it helps you out - perfect. If not, then forget about my research and move on to something/someone else.
Overall, my real objective is to provide very high-quality content (it doesn't matter if I'm right or wrong—I'll stand by my research/data every day).
Today's video is very important. Please understand there are two or three big setups taking place in the SPY/QQQ and Gold over the next 7 to 10+ days.
If my research is correct, this is a wonderful time to plan/prepare for these big moves.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 8-6 : Caution Over The Next 48 HoursMy research suggests the SPY/QQQ will stall into a sideways upward-sloping price channel over the next 1~2 day before attempting to rally further.
Watch this video to learn more.
The Top-Resistance Pattern today may prove very accurate if the SPY rolls downward after filling the GAP.
Get ready; The Vortex Rally is just starting after this Deep-V Bottom.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 8-5 - CAUTION: Extreme VolatilityThis video highlights why I believe skilled traders are taking minimal, targeted trades in the current market environment.
With the current market volatility as crazy as it is, I don't believe anyone should be swinging for the fences.
If you learn anything from my videos over the past few weeks - know this.
The #1 rule for trading is to protect capital (at all times).
You can be right or wrong while trading. But you have to learn to live to trade another day.
This crazy market volatility could have made a small fortune for some people but destroyed others.
Until we see the SPY move up above $535-$540, there is still a big risk the markets could fall further.
Watch this video to learn more.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 8-1 : BaseRally301 Pattern TodayThis video is to help you understand the continued initiation of the Vortex Rally phase and how today's BaseRally301 pattern will play out.
Within this video, I cover the SPY, QQQ, Gold, & BTCUSD.
This should really give you a solid primer as to what I expect the SPY to do today and why I'm waiting for the first 30 to 60+ minutes to play out before looking for any trades.
I expect the SPY to move in a consolidated downward price trend for the first 30-60+ min, then start to move into the rally phase.
Plan your trade. Remember to use the allocation model I shared with everyone yesterday.
A. Pick your Entry Price
B. Pick your Stop Level
C. The difference between your Entry Price and Stop Level becomes your RISK FACTOR (say $2).
D. Pick how much you are willing to RISK AMOUNT on this trade (say $500)
E. Divide Your Risk Amount (D) by the Risk Factor (C): 500 / 2 = 250. You are only allowed to trade 250 shares (or less) to maintain your risk containment levels.
It is pretty simple once you get used to this structure.
Get Some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 7-31 Mid-Day Update - POP May IntensifyPlease watch this video to learn how the already big rally phase (starting the Vortex Rally) may intensify over the next 10+ days.
By my analysis, the SPY could rally to levels above $565 before mid August.
But, the SPY Cycle Patterns still show a moderate price pullback is in order before we move onto any extended rally phase.
I've also made some big changes to the new TradingView tools I've been working on. Very happy with the current mods/adjustments.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 7-31 Mid-Morning Update - POP DelayedIt looks like the POP pattern was suppressed by yesterday's Israel attack - pushing price downward and really creating a bullish launchpad type fo reversion move.
The Nasdaq is up over 3%
The SPY is up over 1.6%
These are HUGE upward price moves.
In my opinion, this is the POP pattern showing up a day late (disrupted by the Israel/Lebanon attacks yesterday).
In this video I highlight what I think is still a potential for a bit more upward price trending. We will reach a peak today and likely stall downward a bit later in the day.
But for now, this reversion rally seems very strong.
Get some
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 7-31 Morning UpdateThis video highlights the morning Gap and what to expect before price settles and attempts to move above $553-555 today.
I fully expect the Vortex Rally to move price higher over the next few weeks/months. But, today is going o be critical to see if Price can attempt to move above the recent resistance area near $554-555. If price moves up to that level and rejects (downward) - I would still consider that a positive price reaction to the recent selling pressure.
So, today and tomorrow are going to be very important related to Fibonacci Price Theory and watch to see if price CAN attempt to move to new Unique/Ultimate highs.
So far, the Gap higher (to a new Unique high) is a very positive move.
One of my friends wrote to me this morning saying his "lotto" call options (purchased yesterday near the close) resulted in a 1400% gain this morning. Love this.
I love seeing traders use my tools/research and attempt to better their skills.
That is a big Lotto Win for cheap $9 call options on the SPY.
Let's see how it plays out today.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 7-31 : Counter-Trend Base RallyFirst, I got up a bit late this morning. Been pushing really hard over the last few weeks. I guess I needed the rest.
Next, this video is very important for ALL TRADERS.
I want all of you to learn the proper skills to manage your trading, risk controls, and emotional aspects of trading, and really learn the skills to MAKE YOUR OWN DECISIONS.
I know you may never fully master these, but knowing how to use these tools and how they can help you is very important.
I'll keep this short, we are likely going to see a rally to to $553-555 in the SPY, then watch the price roll downward later in the day.
Go Get Some
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
US30 Outlook ICT ConceptsDow Jones Industrial Average (US30) Analysis
💰 Welcome to Your Channel!
Welcome to our channel where we delve into the intricacies of financial markets. Today, we focus on US30, dissecting its current price action to uncover strategic trading opportunities. Join us as we analyze key levels and market dynamics, aiming to refine our trading strategies and maximize potential gains.
💡 Previous Analysis Review:
The price has swept the previous month high (PMH) and the buy-side liquidity (BSL) above it, placing it in a deep premium.
📍 Current Market Overview:
The current price is around 40,920.69. The price has swept the previous week low (PWL) and tapped into the 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG).
🔍 Identifying Key Levels:
• PMH: Previous Month High
• PWL: Previous Week Low
• PWH: Previous Week High
• PML: Previous Month Low
• BSL: Buy-Side Liquidity
• SSL: Sell-Side Liquidity
• EQH: Equal Highs
• EQL: Equal Lows
• FVG: Fair Value Gap, highlighting areas of imbalance
📊 Key Considerations:
• Current Price Position: The price is trading around 40,920.69, after sweeping the PMH and BSL, and now in a deep premium.
• PWL and 4H FVG Interaction: The price has swept the PWL and tapped into the 4H FVG, also aligning with the Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) levels.
• OTE Levels: The current price is within the OTE levels, suggesting a potential lower movement.
📈 Bearish Scenario:
Given the current price action and key considerations, a bearish scenario is possible if the following conditions are met:
Target SSL and FVG Below: The price can be expected to go lower from here, targeting the SSL and the FVG below it, or even the PWL, which is close to the equilibrium (50%) of the range.
📉 Bullish Scenario:
A bullish scenario should be considered if the following conditions are met:
Clearing Sell-Side Liquidity: For any bullish scenario and long positions, we need the sell side of the chart to be cleared from liquidity. Once the liquidity is cleared, we can then decide on potential long positions.
📊 Chart Analysis Summary:
Bearish Expectation: The expectation is for the price to potentially move lower, targeting the SSL and the FVG below it, or even the PWL, which is close to the equilibrium (50%) of the range.
Bullish Expectation: For a bullish scenario, we need the sell side of the chart to be cleared from liquidity. After the liquidity is cleared, we can consider long positions.
🙏 Thank you for joining us!
Exploring US30 today highlighted the importance of effective risk management in trading success. Prioritize research, implement robust strategies, and seek guidance for confident market navigation. Stay tuned for more insights on our channel. Here's to profitable trading and continuous learning!
⚠️ Disclaimer
The information provided here is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 7-30 - Pop Pattern Disrupted By NewsToday's POP pattern, which I suggested would present a very solid Bullish trending opportunity, was disrupted by news of Israeli attacks in Lebanon.
I truly believe today would have resulted in a very strong reversion rally had the markets no been disrupted by the new conflict.
Still, we need to play the markets and not rely exclusively on my SPY Cycle Patterns.
In this video, you'll see me go over a number of symbols (SPY/QQQ/Gold/Crude Oil, others) and show you some of the new tools I've been working on to help traders stay on the right side of market trends.
I still expect the Vortex Rally to take place over the next 30 to 90+ days - building strength as the US markets trend upward.
I believe the conflicts and global economic uncertainty will drive capital into US-Dollar-based assets over the next 12+ months - creating the Vortex Rally.
This will also drive hedge instruments higher.
As the US markets shift into the preferred safe-haven asset class (again), we should have nearly unlimited opportunities for great trades over the next 12 to 24+ months.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold