Brent: dollar would force correctionThe oil is supported by reports that Saudi Arabia lowered its November export oil prices for Asia, the Mediterranean countries, Europe and the United States.
Also, a positive factor for the oil market in recent days was the decision of the OPEC + states to maintain the previously adopted plan to increase oil production, despite the growth in demand amid a sharp rise in the cost of natural gas.
In accordance with this plan, OPEC + countries will increase oil production in November by 400 thousand barrels per day.
Meanwhile, data from the American Petroleum Institute (API) indicated an increase in US oil inventories by 951 thousand barrels for the week ended October 1, while analysts predicted an average rise of 4.127 million barrels.
Further oil situation will directly depend on the dynamics of the US dollar. The oil itself, most likely, needs a correction, and if the dollar is not weak, this is possible.
Proposed deal for this tool:
Entry Point - 82.59 (SELL-Limit)
Stop Loss - 83.45
Take Profit - 81.73
Xtiusd
USDWTI H4 - Long SetupUSDWTI H4
More major corrections are being seen now, as we pinned into that yearly high price of 76.60/barrel. Minor break and retest play was being seen as we trading amongst our interim zones.
However, a healthy correction to see us pullback between our 50/618 fib support would tie in nicely with previous S/R and could set us up nicely for a long position with the potential to break resistance and eventually set these new highs.
USOIL top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Brent: forecast for Sept 27 - Oct 1There was no negative news for the oil market following the September Fed meeting. Interest rates and asset purchases remained unchanged, although the rhetoric continued to escalate. In particular, the Fed announced its readiness to make a decision to start cutting the asset purchase program at the next meeting. Additionally, an increase in expectations for the level of the base rate in 2022-2023 was announced.
Consequently, buying priority remains, but at the moment it is risky to get into a long position. The price would be corrected. From the very beginning of the week, the instrument may start its downtrend movement. It will be much more conservative to wait for oil to approach the resistance line of the ascending channel and try to sell around the level of ~ 78.
Buying mood for gas and coal, as well as the expected deficit in the oil market by the end of the month, would continue to support oil prices. The trading instrument, taking into account the expected correction, would remain above $ 75 per barrel.
A bit more patience for an awesome short XTIUSD (WTI crude)As you can see from my weekly chart, price is within a multi-year S/R zone.
The daily chart shows repeated attempts to break above the zone since end of June, but failing each time. IMO, we are witnessing another effort by the bulls and we will likely see them fail again.
I will be looking for a daily close below the zone, it will also be important to see this happen with some momentum, large bearish candles, more wicks to the upside…. all will support my bearish view.
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Brent: scenario for sellAnd so, oil is definitely on a strong rise and opening sales can be very, very risky business. But the situation that has developed suggests that the oil can adjust and then may be further go up again. For this scenario, the price needs to dive below the 73.55 level.
Remember, there is no place for luck in trading - only strategy!
Thanks for the likes and comments.
Good time to short XTIUSD (WTI crude) 06 Sep, 2021As you can see from my daily chart, after reaching a high in early July, this pair is forming a sequence of lower highs/lower lows. The recent high of 76.53 is actually a double top (scroll back to 30 Sep 2018). After bouncing off the support at 61.700, we had a pullback to 70.500. This level (area) acted as minor support/resistance during the past few months. This pullback to a previous significant level is encouraging to me – it shows a structure in the price action.
In my opinion, we could be seeing the start of a bearish trend and would be ready to take a short either at current levels or better still a small pullback to 70.500. Either way, we have a good R/R whether we target the 61.700 or 53.920 region. It is important to limit the loss in case this analysis is wrong, my stop will probably be located at 72.100 area.
If you like my analysis, please give it a “thumbs up” and follow me to get immediate notifications.
Always use sound money and risk management in all your trades.
USOIL top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USOIL is likely to break the symetrical triangle!!Hi Traders,
USOIL weekly: There is bullish pin Bar
Daily: An inverted head & shoulder is visible
4 H: The price has created an inverted head and shoulder pattern and also the price is just above a daily important support.
Speculation: It is likely that this instrument may break the symmetrical triangle above and start to uprise.
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Thank you.
#US OIL approaching Resistance Area , the potential for a Drop!Description
US OIL Price is trading the Resistance Area and it is also reacting to the 1HR resistance so it is possible to drop the buying area is 71.262 and we will put the stop-loss above the resistance level of 72.502
Why we like it:
Price Trading in the Resistance area
Formed Evening star candlestick pattern
Attend the 100% fib level
1st support:
70.476
Next Zone area & horizontal swing Low support
2nd Resistance:
69.163
Zone area & horizontal swing Low support
Trading FX & CFDs carries high risk.
USOIL top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XTIUSDEverything is crashing, xtiusd will be no different, at 1 hour timeframe we can see a chartpattern a "Bearish Symmetrical Triangule".
Target 69.500
USOIL top-down analysisHi Guys, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis video. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover my next analysis.
Also let me know your thought in the comment section what you think about this pair.
USOIL Top-Down analysisHi Guys, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis video. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover my next analysis.
Also let me know your thought in the comment section what you think about this pair.