USOIL Intraday longUSOIL/ US Crude has been pulling back to our resistance. We will first catch the bullish move on the hourly timeframe and wait for aa bearish confirmation once our ABCD pattern is complete. Once we have the confirmation, we will short the XTIUSD.
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USOIL 27th JULY 2022Oil prices rose for the second day in a row, Tuesday (26/7). Amid growing concerns about tightening European supplies after Russia, a major energy supplier is cutting gas supplies via a main pipeline. The European Union has repeatedly accused Russia of using energy blackmail. The Kremlin said the shortage had been caused by maintenance issues and Western sanctions.
EU energy ministers on Tuesday approved a proposal for all EU countries to cut voluntary gas use by 15% from August to March.
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allied producers (OPEC+) are expected to confirm as a mere formality their decision to expand oil production by 650,000 barrels per day in July and August. The OPEC+ group of producers including Russia, began two days of meetings on Wednesday, though sources said there was little prospect of agreement to pump more oil . The net drop in crude oil inventories was flattered by SPR (Strategic Petroleum Reserve) releases, while the gasoline stock jump is because U.S. refineries are running at over 95% capacity.
USOIL 6th JULY 2022
USOIL 14th JUNE 2022
📈BRENT 21/07/2022: potential longs❗️📈 Priority direction: Up.
📝 Description: The downward channel for oil since mid-June indicated the priority of shorts, but at the moment, most likely, buyers will attempt to reverse the price and send it towards the latest highs. In the near future, the price will try to break through the resistance line of this channel. An alternative scenario assumes that the price will stand at current prices and then go up. Potential longs can be considered from the level of $101.
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USOIL 6th JULY 2022USOIL fell below USD 100 as recession fears grew, fueling concerns that the economic slowdown would cut demand for petroleum products.
In the macro trend, oil tends to be bearish. By the end of this year if the economy is heading into a recession. In a recession scenario with rising unemployment, bankruptcy of households and firms, commodities will chase a downward cost curve as costs deflate and margins turn negative to encourage supply curbs.
However, the decline in oil prices will actually benefit manufacturing companies. They will take cheap prices for supplies, after 2 quarters of prices soaring.
USOIL D1
" USOiL" BUY & SELL Setup Pair Name : USOIL
Time Frame : 30 Minutest
Analysis Type : Scalping
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➡️ Main Support Level : 103
➡️ Main Resistance Level : 112
➡️ Time To Entry : Sell From 107 to 105 And Buy From 105 To 107 ,, And Waiting For Break Out 107.50 Area To New Buy
USOIL 20th JUNE 2022Before July, USOIL was seen moving in the consolidation channel area which tends to be bullish . in July, USOIL sentiment will tend to be bearish .
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) member states announced plans to adjust oil production upward in July by 0.648 million barrels per day.
In my view Oil prices are bearish but still not stable. Moderate bearish confirmation has not occurred, because the price has not yet breakout below the support area.
So I will place a buy limit near the support area, with the target not exceeding the weekly resistance which is drawn in the red area.
stop loss as well as sellstop below the support area.
Crude OIL (XTIUSD) AnalysisTechnical Facts: Considering Technical analysis, Crude Oil already touched the second highest price in this week. now it’s high time for retrace. The Immediate support level is 117.80 to 118.20. A Strong break can lead the oil price till 114.18 which is the strongest support of 114.18.
Fundamental Facts:
Russia is one of the largest producer of Crude Oil in the world. a recent ban was imposed on Russia in 3rd June, 2022 by European Union. When supply decreases, demand increases and the price goes up. if EU cant convince Saudi Arabia to produce more oil and make a balance of the demands, the price might go up till 130 as well. therefore, the analysis might be invalid.
Signals:
CRUDE OIL
SELL STOP 117.80
SL# 119.61
TP# 114.18
USOIL 14th JUNE 2022Before July, USOIL was seen moving in the consolidation channel area which tends to be bullish. in July, USOIL sentiment will tend to be bearish.
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) member states announced plans to adjust oil production upward in July by 0.648 million barrels per day at the 29th OPEC and non-OPEC Ministerial Meeting on June 2, reports the organization’s press service. US President Joe Biden has repeatedly appealed to Saudi Arabia to increase its oil output without success. UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson also asked Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates to boost production. He too was rebuffed.
OIL 5th JUNE 2022The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC), agreed on Thursday to increase output by 648,000 barrels per day (bpd) per month in July and August instead of the previously agreed 432,000 bpd. OPEC decision to increase production targets slightly more than planned.
As a result of that expectation, it will have little effect on tight global supply and by increasing demand as China loosens Covid restrictions.
From the existing fundamental trend, the oil price tends to be bullish, it is possible that the price will breakout the resistance area. However, market participants still think the price of oil is too high, this can make the price rebound to the resistance area, and make the price will correct down.
OIL 26th MAY 2022
USOIL 26th MAY 2022The United States government said US crude stockpiles fell by one million barrels last week, with gasoline inventories also falling slightly. The oil and gas commodity did not budge after volatile trade as fears of tight supply offset concerns over a possible recession and China's Covid-19 restrictions. World oil prices turned negative after US Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm said President Joe Biden had not ruled out using export restrictions to reduce soaring domestic fuel prices. This makes world oil prices tend to be sideways , this is my USOIL trading plan.