Trading strategy at the beginning of the week, entry sellGold prices reversed and decreased because investors continued to take profits, as the market was preparing to receive new economic information, as well as preparing for the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to enter its first monthly meeting. 2024.
Experts predict that the US economy is about to release its 2023 report, with good growth expected and stable employment. When economic growth is good, stocks increase positively. The USD also increased. Investors in the world market previously gathered gold, but they returned to take profits to buy stocks as soon as possible. Therefore, gold as a capital reserve will decrease in price deeply in the future.
On Tuesday, the dollar strengthened and put pressure on gold as US Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Christopher Waller made "hawkish" comments about cutting interest rates this year. According to Mr. Waller, the US is still far from the 2% inflation target, so the central bank should not rush to cut interest rates until it is clear that lower inflation will be maintained. Previously, many Fed officials, including Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester, told Bloomberg TV that it was too early to loosen monetary policy in March. Comments from Fed officials showed that The Fed believes that interest rate cuts will come much later, most likely at the end of the second quarter of this year.
The report released Wednesday showed that retail sales in December increased 0.6% from the previous month. This strengthens the Fed's determination not to cut interest rates prematurely. However, gold reversed course Thursday as market attention turned to concerns about escalating geopolitical tensions. Safe haven demand has reduced pressure on interest rate expectations and helped gold increase slightly.
Xauusdtrend
Clear bullish gold moves for this week incomingI have published my ideas for a bullish uptrend for XAUUSD this week
1. Chart shows a clear uptrend and certain support zones have been respected
2. Overall outlook looks bullish and this trade is in my eyeliner for this week
3. Three clear Tp's to work from and if we break TP3 I see a clear run to the 2080 area again
4. Will keep an eye on international scenarios & news to see if anything plans into our bias
Good luck all and I hope the charts are kind to you this week
Gold suddenly reversed growth again, an opportunity to sell GOLDWorld gold prices reversed and increased sharply with spot gold increasing by 27.1 USD to 2,022.4 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,025.1 USD/ounce, up 18.6 USD compared to yesterday morning.
Developments in the Middle East boosted safe-haven demand for gold on Thursday (US time), helping gold escape its previous five-week low under pressure from changes in interest expectations. productivity after economic report was stronger than expected.
According to senior market strategist Daniel Pavilonis of RJO Futures, amid much uncertainty, gold prices will be kept above $2,000/ounce. On January 17, the US Government returned the Houthis in Yemen to the list of terrorist groups as they continued to conduct attacks on commercial and military vessels.
In addition to the instability factor, speculation surrounding the timing of interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) is also affecting the direction of gold. Currently, investors are still waiting for further information to learn more about the Fed's future interest rate direction. Currently, most opinions believe that interest rates will be cut if published data shows that inflation "cools down" significantly.
Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said Thursday that he supports cutting interest rates sooner if there is "compelling" evidence that inflation is falling more sharply than expected. In a recent statement, he said that inflation could be "volatile" if policymakers cut interest rates too soon.
Sell strategy, after retesting resistance will increase againGold prices rose at the start of the week, the metal's appeal fueled by safe-haven demand due to tensions in the Middle East, while markets bet the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates soon. than expected.
The war between Israel and Hamas has passed the 100-day mark as Israel continues its fierce offensive, while the Houthi militia's threat to respond to US airstrikes in Yemen raises risks.
Gold tends to perform well during times of economic uncertainty, with its reliability able to help offset the risks of more volatile assets in conditions such as geopolitical instability.
“Spot gold is also rising as the market clings to hopes that the Fed will cut key interest rates as early as March,” said Han Tan, chief market analyst at Exinity Group.
Gold's chances of reaching a new record high will remain open as long as the Fed can act in line with market expectations
Gold will have a decline and then increase againWorld gold prices increased slightly with spot gold increasing by 6.6 USD to 2,055.3 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,059 USD/ounce, up 7.4 USD compared to yesterday morning.
The world's yellow metal posted modest gains in the first trading session of the week as it continued to be boosted by safe-haven demand due to concerns about tensions in the Middle East and renewed expectations for the Federal Reserve to The US (Fed) will cut interest rates sooner than expected.
The report released late last week showed that US producer prices fell unexpectedly in December. The data has traders betting that the Fed will cut 166 basis points this year instead previously priced 150 basis points.
Although gold prices are rising, some analysts say the precious metal needs a new catalyst or at least clearer clues about the Fed's monetary policy direction to break out of its current range. in.
According to Trade Nation senior market analyst David Morrison, although gold continues to hold its position, more effort is needed to attract new investors to the market.
Gold will also fall back to the 2040-2030 areaDear friends, today is Sunday, and tomorrow will usher in a new trading day. On Friday, gold took advantage of the influence of the geopolitical conflict situation and PPI data to rise to a maximum of around 2062, and even increased by a full $30 to around the market opening position of 2030. To be honest, this wave of gains was unexpected to me, and I did not expect such a big increase.
Although gold has risen, it does not mean that we can chase long gold. We can see from the 4-hour chart that after gold surged higher, it closed a long upper shadow line.This proves that this rise is to wipe out a batch of short positions first, and the short-term top faces resistance in the 2064-2066 area. It closed below 2050 on Friday, proving that the overall trend is still in a downward trend. So I think gold will fall back to the 2040-2030 area.
So in short-term trading, I think we should continue to short gold at high levels. I share detailed trading ideas and trading strategies every day. The gears of destiny are turning. I hope that with my help, we can all make continuous profits in the market! And you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to get detailed trading signals, trading lots, and TP and SL.
XAUUSD Longs from 2030.000 back upI find Gold intriguing, and I'll share my current perspective on this pair. Given my bullish bias, this trade idea is in alignment. The recent price movement, with a shift in character and substantial liquidity sweep, has formed a compelling demand zone on the 16-hour chart. I'm now waiting for a re-accumulation within this zone, coupled with a liquidity sweep around 2030.000, before considering buy positions.
Alternatively, if price continues its ascent toward the 4-hour supply zone without an immediate retracement, I'll anticipate a bearish reaction. In this scenario, I'll be interested in sell opportunities to ride the price down towards a demand zone and align with the overall trend.
My confluences for Gold Buys are as follows:
- A 16hr demand zone below triggered a new CHOCH to the upside.
- The overall short-term and long-term trend is bullish, aligning with this idea.
- Imbalance above the demand signals a favourable reaction at my POI.
- Abundant liquidity above, including trend lines and untouched Asian highs.
- Price needs to dip to a significant demand level for an upward rally to persist.
- After a CHOCH I'm expecting a pullback and retracement for price to keep going up.
- There is an untouched asian low inside my zone once swept could expect a reaction.
- I also expect the dollar to keep dropping indicating that gold will keep going up.
P.S. As these are the two closest opportunities to the current price, I acknowledge that price might surpass these zones to reach a more favourable one, such as the significant daily demand below the 16-hour chart. Can't stress enough that adaptability enables a comprehensive perspective in navigating the markets so always weigh up other possibilities.
Have a great week ahead traders!
Stand still and wait for news, CPI news trading strategy todayWorld gold prices were relatively stable with spot gold down 5.3 USD to 2,023.5 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,029.3 USD/ounce, down 3.7 USD compared to yesterday morning.
World gold decreased slightly in the mid-week trading session as investors were waiting for US inflation data to gain more clarity on the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate roadmap this year.
RJO Futures senior market strategist Bob Haberkorn said lower-than-expected inflation data would give the Fed more reason to cut interest rates this year, which would push gold prices higher.
US consumer price index data will be released on Thursday. According to a Reuters poll, economists predicted annual inflation would come in at 3.2% in December, but said core inflation could fall to 3.8%, the lowest since December. mid-2021.
A report from the New York Fed revealed that consumers expect inflation to decline, while Fed Governor Michelle Bowman said on Monday that the US Central Bank's monetary policy appeared to be "adequate". limit".
Unpredictable fluctuations, predicted to continue to increaseWorld gold prices stabilized with spot gold increasing 1.3 USD to 2,028.8 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,036 USD/ounce, up 2.5 USD compared to yesterday morning.
The world gold market stabilized as investors remained cautious ahead of US inflation data to be released later this week. The data is expected to provide more detailed information about the future policy direction of the US Federal Reserve (Fed).
If the inflation numbers surprise, the Fed may not be able to cut interest rates yet, which would put pressure on precious metals markets, said Kitco Metals senior analyst Jim Wyckoff.
Currently, analysts predict price inflation will slow in December. The New York Fed survey earlier this week also showed that consumers expect inflation to decline, along with income and spending increases. Household spending will gradually increase in the coming years.
Looking at the direction of gold in the medium term, MKS PAMP metals strategist Nicky Shiels forecasts gold prices will fluctuate in the range of 1,900 to 2,200 USD/ounce in 2024 and prices will reach a record high in the first half. this year, boosted by expectations of interest rate cuts.
Experts also do not rule out the possibility that gold will conquer the 2,300 USD/ounce mark when mentioning other factors such as geopolitical instability and the trend of de-dollarization in the world.
On the other side, Shiels said that gold is also likely to fall back to $1,600 an ounce if persistent inflation forces the Fed to maintain its restrictive monetary policy. She said that the possibility of this scenario happening is 20%.
Gold trading strategy today, continues to increase againWorld gold prices decreased slightly with spot gold down 5.3 USD to 2,058.7 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,067.6 USD/ounce, down 4.2 USD compared to yesterday morning.
The world gold market enters 2024 with a relatively difficult year under pressure from the strong recovery of the USD. However, the decline in this precious metal was limited thanks to expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) would soon loosen monetary policy and concerns that the situation would escalate in the Red Sea.
The US Dollar Index rose 0.8% and was on track for its best daily gain since July, making bullion priced in the currency more expensive for overseas buyers.
In 2023, gold prices rose 13%, marking the first annual increase since 2020, and are forecast to reach a record high in 2024, as lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of Hold gold bars without interest.
Experts say that the market started the new year with the belief that the Fed will cut interest rates sooner, which is why gold is supported. According to the CME FedWatch tool, markets are currently pricing in an 86% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates in March.
Gold continues to fall as expected, waiting for a recovery pointWorld gold prices reversed slightly this morning, with spot gold down 12.7 USD to 2,065 USD/ounce. Gold futures were listed at 2,075.8 USD/ounce, down 12.2 USD compared to yesterday morning.
World gold prices decreased slightly after hitting a 3-week high when pressured by the recovery of the USD and rising bond yields. The US Dollar Index rose 0.2% after falling to a five-month low. Benchmark 10-year bond yields rebounded and exited their lowest level since July, denting the appeal of bullion.
This expert predicts gold prices will be higher in the next 12 months thanks to weaker economic data and cooling inflation in the US forcing the Fed to cut interest rates.
Currently, according to the CME FedWatch tool, investors are betting on an 88% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates as early as March.
Does gold have a chance to decrease slightly before the strong?World gold prices this morning continued to increase slightly with spot gold increasing by 10 USD to 2,077.7 USD/ounce. Gold futures were listed at 2,088 USD/ounce, up 9 USD compared to yesterday morning.
The world gold market was quiet this morning due to the lack of data in the last week of 2023. Experts say that this precious metal is preparing for a prosperous new year with expectations from the Federal Reserve. The US (Fed) will cut interest rates in the first quarter of 2024, which are increasingly increasing.
Gold was also slightly boosted by the weakening of the USD and bond yields. The US Dollar Index hit a five-month low and saw its first annual decline since 2020, making bullion more attractive to foreign buyers. Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields also hit their lowest level since July 24.+
Data released last week showing “cooling” inflation has boosted financial market expectations of a rate cut from the Fed next March, and according to the FedWatch tool, traders are now pricing around a 90% chance of this happening.
Talking about gold's fluctuations in 2024, senior market strategist Bob Haberkorn of RJO Futures said that, entering the new year, the market is mainly focused on the story of falling interest rates and gold will be nothing but. price increase.
XAUUSD- XAUUSD trading strategy, Gold trendWorld gold prices turned down this morning with spot gold down 10 USD to 2,030.2 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,043.3 USD/ounce, down 8.8 USD compared to yesterday morning.
The world gold market was quiet in the early morning trading session this morning as traders waited for a series of economic data at the end of the week to get new clues about the US Central Bank's monetary policy roadmap.
RJO Futures senior market strategist Daniel Pavilonis forecasts that gold prices will stabilize above $2,000 an ounce and mainly trade at higher levels considering geopolitical risks in the market, including US elections next year, which could prompt money managers to add gold to their portfolios.
Last week, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) said its strongest monetary tightening cycle in the past four decades was over and interest rate cuts would take place in 2024. However, the Chairman Atlanta Fed branch Raphael Bostic gave the opposite view that the US economy is still strong and there is no rush to make a decision to cut interest rates. This official said that policymakers still need "several months" to have enough data and is confident that inflation will continue to go down and the first interest rate cuts are expected to begin in the third quarter. .
Meanwhile, according to the FedWatch tool, markets are pricing in about a 79% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates in March.
XAUUSD Imminent Shorts down towards 2035.000 or lowerThis week's gold forecast I will be looking for shorts to the downside as it has entered my 5hr POI that I have marked out previously. As of now I am expecting price to continue dropping towards the 2035 mark or possibly lower to take the trend line below it.
As price has already distributed within my supply I will be looking to sell to target the liquidity below as well as a near by demand zone for me to then buy back up again. As price is going to start off really slow on Monday I will be anticipating this move to potentially happen later on the week.
Confluences for Gold Sells are as follows:
- Tapped into a 5hr supply zone that has caused CHOCH to the down side.
- Wyckoff distribution has been formed and validated via a CHOCH on the 15min.
- Lots of liquidity left below to target in the form of Asian lows and trend line liquidity.
- Barely any reversal magnets above my POI which makes my setup more favourable for sells.
- In order for price to keep going up it must come down to tap into some sort of demand level.
- Rejection candle within our zone on the higher time frame reinforces that bullish pressure has now become exhausted.
P.S. While my current confluences strongly favour this temporary short, we must acknowledge that the overall bias of this market is still heavily bullish. This suggests that it's advisable to secure our profits at a reasonable level before considering buy opportunities once more.
If you found this post informative, don't forget to give it a like and share your thoughts in the comments below!
Focus on shorting goldIt is now 19:30. As of now, gold has been fluctuating back and forth in the 2045-2030 area as a whole today. Gold is currently trading near the 2035 position. According to the current situation, although gold is supported near 2030, judging from the strength of the rebound,the bullish momentum of gold has gradually weakened, and today when gold touched the 2030 position, it also tried to fall below 2030, which indicates the possibility of further decline.
At present, the short-term resistance of gold is concentrated in the 2040-2042 area and the 2048-2050 area. If gold fails to break through this resistance area for a long time, gold may still have the need to call back to 2024-2022 first.So in terms of trading today, I mainly short gold around 2040. There is still a certain amount of profit, so what we have to do now is to wait for the profit to expand. In fact, patience is an excellent quality that must be possessed in trading.
In fact, as long as you grasp the rhythm, it is easy to profit from gold trading. If you don't know the accurate trading rhythm, you can follow my trading ideas. I post my trading ideas every day and I also post free trading signals on a regular basis. Many friends have given feedback that it is very helpful. If you want to learn market trading logic, or you want clear trading signals and get more profits, I can satisfy you. Be sure to follow the bottom of the article to view the details!
Gold continues to run slowly to wait for new breakthrough newsWorld gold prices inched up slightly as traders are waiting for important reports to know more signals about interest rates in the near future.
World gold prices increased slightly this morning with spot gold increasing by 4.7 USD to 2,062.7 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,040.7 USD/ounce, up 5.5 USD compared to yesterday morning.
World gold fluctuated slightly in the first trading session of the week as investors waited for important US inflation data to be released at the end of the week to look for more signals about the Federal Reserve's interest rate direction. America after recent peaceful statements.
According to Jim Wyckoff, senior analyst at Kitco Metals, the market is in pause mode waiting for the next important fundamental economic news or data. He said that the buying activity of traders in the first trading session of the week was the psychology of buying when prices fall.
Wyckoff added that the fundamental factors keeping gold prices are a weakening dollar, looser monetary policy and some safe-haven demand from tensions in the Middle East.
Will Gold fall to 1980? This level is the key!Hello traders, hope you had a good weekend. Last week, we sold Gold@2046
and made some decent profits with our sells.
At the moment, Gold is a key level on the hourly chart. You will notice that the price
is exactly at the 100-hour moving average . Now, price action is definitely bearish.
However, if Gold moves below the 100-hour EMA, then we can be more confident
about the bearish movement.
To speak plainly, if you see a strong bearish candlestick that moves below the 2015
level, you can expect Gold to fall to 1980. You can plan your trades accordingly
XAUUSD Shorts from 2060.000 down towards 1980.000Gold bias for this idea is for a bearish move to take place around the 2060 mark where a 5hr supply zone lies. I am anticipating a bit more upward movement in the form of distribution, my plan is to execute sell positions once the price enters my Point of Interest (POI), intending to fill the significant imbalance left by the FOMC news event. Additionally, there are indications of diminishing bullish pressure on the lower time frame, signalling a potential reversal.
Furthermore, considering that the price has reached all-time highs (a major liquidity point), it has accumulated sufficient liquidity to facilitate a downward shift. This is reinforced by the observed change in price character on the higher time frame, providing additional confirmation that selling positions are becoming more viable.
Confluences for XAUUSD Sells are as follows:
- Price has taken ATHs a major liquidity point enough for price to trigger a reversal.
- There's a major POI (5hr supply zone) In which I expect a distribution to take place.
- There's loads of liquidity left to the downside that needs to get taken as well as major imbalances that was left from the previous FOMC event.
- Bullish pressure is now getting exhausted on lower time frames in which I can expect potential sell offs.
- In order for price to keep going in a bullish trend price must retrace and make a correction.
P.S. Keep in mind that despite the current bearish bias, my overall outlook on this pair remains bullish, and I perceive this downward movement as a temporary one. Following this descent, my intention is to explore buying opportunities around the 1980.000 area, where a new 6-hour demand zone has emerged. Additionally, I anticipate a subsequent price rally, surpassing the recent highs, making buying positions a favourable bias in general. I would love to hear you guys opinion and thoughts about gold, so be sure to drop a comment below!
XAUUSD - Trading strategy today December 15, 2023Also last night - early this morning, the US economy announced more positive economic and employment data. Specifically, the number of first-time applications for unemployment benefits last week was at 202,000 applications, lower than the forecast 220,000 applications and lower than the previous week's level of 221,000 applications.
Along with that, annual retail sales in November increased sharply by 4.09% over the same period, much higher than October's level of 2.24%. Monthly sales in November in the US also increased by 0.3%, higher than the negative increase of 0.2% in October and the negative 0.1% previously forecast.
Despite positive economic and employment data, the USD continued to decline for the second consecutive session. Specifically, the Dollar-Index - measuring the strength of the USD in a basket of 6 major currencies - dropped sharply by 0.88% to 101,960 points at 6:34 a.m. this morning (Hanoi time).
The plummeting USD has helped investors continue to buy gold. They believe that central banks, including the Fed and ECB, will not further increase operating interest rates for two strong currencies, USD and EUR, and may soon reduce interest rates in the next two quarters. This has made investors expect that the gold market will continue to grow well.
Experts say that despite the low USD, the cost of speculation and gold transactions has dropped sharply. However, investors should also consider, because a positive economy and the possibility of reduced interest rates will promote better economic growth, gold will reduce its role as a cash flow shelter. Currently, the large SPDR fund, after a net buying session on December 13, returned to take a slight profit on the December 14 session. Large cash flows taking profits from precious metals will push gold prices down deeply. Therefore, investors should take profits when gold has given profits.
XAUUSD - Trading strategy after CPI news on December 13World gold prices fluctuated slightly with spot gold down 1.3 USD to 1,979.5 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 1,993.2 USD/ounce, down 0.5 USD compared to yesterday morning.
Although the world gold price this morning was listed close to the level of yesterday morning, it has decreased sharply compared to the increase during the day. Specifically, gold plunged and lost the previous 0.5% increase after a new report was released showing that consumer prices in the US did not decrease in November. Inflation data was released first. The Fed's final monetary policy meeting in 2023. The market is expecting the US Central Bank to maintain interest rates at its meeting on Wednesday.
The consumer price index (CPI) rose 3.1% year-on-year in November, in line with economists' expectations. November CPI increased 0.1% compared to the previous month. The dollar pared losses after the CPI data and made gold less attractive to holders of other currencies.
Economists note that the latest inflation data could cause a shift in market expectations for an interest rate cut as early as March. US Federal Reserve officials ( The Fed) has emphasized that it needs to see a sustained downward trend in inflation before starting to reduce interest rates.
PPI news trading strategyThe world's gold price today, December 13, continues to decrease when the US releases the latest emission data, creating motivation for the USD to increase in price.
Gold prices today have not stopped falling in the context of the US announcing the annual consumer price index (CPI) in November 2023 increased by 3.1%, 0.1 percentage point lower than the previous month of 3.2. %. At the same time, the US also announced that annual core inflation in November 2023 increased by 4%, unchanged from the previous month and in line with market forecasts.
Immediately, investors speculated that the US Federal Reserve would keep interest rates unchanged after concluding its meeting at dawn on December 14. In particular, many people have reduced their expectations that the FED will soon reduce interest rates in 2024.
SELL XAUUSD 1990 - 1992
SL 2000
TP 1982
TP2 1973
Trading strategy on December 12, priority to sellWorld gold prices dropped sharply with spot gold down 25.2 USD to 1,980.8 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 1,997.3 USD/ounce, down 17.2 USD compared to yesterday morning.
World gold prices slid due to pressure from the recovery of the USD and rising bond yields. The USD rose 0.2%, making gold more expensive for holders of other currencies. US 10-year Treasury yields also rose higher, increasing the opportunity cost of holding gold.
Currently, investors wait for important meetings of several central banks. Specifically, the European Central Bank, Bank of England, Norges Bank and Swiss National Bank will also conduct policy meetings on Thursday. In addition, investors are also interested in data. US inflation data. This data is said to be able to influence the policy roadmap of the US Federal Reserve (Fed).