XAUUSD 1H SELL PROJECTION Reason for Bearish
Trading XAUUSD pair is popular among gold traders who seek opportunities in the fluctuations of gold prices relative to the dollar. This trading pair is influenced by factors such as supply and demand, economic data, geopolitical events, and central bank policies.
Xauusdsignal
Gold shows signs of exhaustion at its record highGold may have reached a record high on Tuesday, but it then handed back more than half of the day's gains to leave a long upper wick. The ATH met resistance at the weekly R2 pivot and the daily RSI (2) has formed a bearish divergence in the overbought zone.
A momentum shift can be seen at the ATH on the 1-hour chart. A bearish divergence has also formed on this timeframe. The bias is to fade into retracements within yesterday's range to target the 2540/45 range, near the 50-bar EMA and HVN (high-volume node).
Go long gold first, then go short goldFirst of all, let me reiterate that our interim target is in the 2460-2450 area, so we have been shorting gold around 2525 recently and have made good profits in short-term trading. At present, gold is mainly running around 2500, but it has never effectively fallen below the 2500-2490 support area. So overall, gold still maintains high-level fluctuations.
On the other hand, the buying support below gold is strong, and new funds may buy after the decline of gold, limiting the decline of gold. So even if I am optimistic about the decline of gold and set the interim target as the 2460-2450 area. But gold will not fall to the right place all at once, so I will not advocate shorting gold directly around 2500.
On the contrary, for short-term trading, we can appropriately go long on gold around the 2500-2490 support area, and after gold rebounds, we will re-enter the gold short trade!
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XAUUSD: Buy bullish in 2500-2505 area, target 2530Gold fundamentals:
The US dollar continued to fall, closing at a low of 100.55, and fell 3.2% in August, the largest monthly drop since November 2022, which significantly increased the attractiveness and demand for gold.
The market's expectation of a rate cut in September is almost a foregone conclusion. The current focus is on the possibility of a 50 basis point rate cut. Rate cuts usually reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, making gold more attractive as an interest-free asset.
In addition, Powell's dovish signal at the Kansas City Fed meeting has boosted demand for non-US dollar wealth storage tools. Futures traders expect a cumulative rate cut of about 106 basis points in 2024, which further enhances the market's bullish expectations for gold.
At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East and Russia-Ukraine has intensified the market's risk aversion and further promoted demand for gold.
Gold technical aspects:
In yesterday's gold analysis, I clearly mentioned the support strength of the 2500-2505 area, and this area has resisted the decline for many times without breaking, so we can still continue to believe in the support of this area. If it retreats to this area during the day, you can consider buying again.
Of course, we still need to consider the precautionary actions after the break here. Combined with the above analysis, my trading strategy today is similar to yesterday, as follows:
First of all, the main bullish, as long as the gold price retreats to the 2500-2505 area, you can consider buying, the target is 2530, 2550
On the contrary, if it effectively falls below 2500, you can choose to sell near 2500. What needs to be noted here is the effective break, not the false break
If you have different opinions or questions, please speak up, let's discuss the latest ideas of GOLD together
XAUUSD: Today’s Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2550, support below 2450
Four-hour resistance 2550, support below 2494
Gold operation suggestions: Gold retreated slightly after opening yesterday, and then retreated again, reaching a maximum of around 2527, approaching the previous high point, but unfortunately, the bulls did not break through the high point again, but retreated under pressure. The current market is still in a weak form, and we need to wait for the confirmation of the European session before we can confirm the long and short direction in the later period.
From the current trend of gold, the upper pressure is maintained at around 2518-20, and the lower support is maintained at around 2494-2500. The current price is still in the middle, and the long and short still need to wait. The ideal entry time needs to wait for the European session to give a direction, and then trade in the US session. Before the lower position fails to break, it may continue to fluctuate in the short term.
BUY:2494near SL:2490
BUY:2500near SL:2494
SELL:2518near SL:2523
The strategy only provides trading directions.
Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Consolidation Continues
Quick update for Gold.
The market is currently stuck within a wide horizontal range on a 4H time frame.
After a test of the resistance of the range, we see a strong bearish reaction to that:
the price formed a double top pattern and broke its neckline.
I think that the price may drop to the support of the range.
Goal - 2484
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XAUUSD:It could break through 2530
The price continues to fluctuate within the resistance zone. Looking at the 4-hour chart, both the indicators and the current pattern favor the bulls. If the price doesn’t break below the 2517-2511 area before tomorrow’s New York session, we can expect an upward move.
At the same time, the DXY is starting to show signs of forming a bottom, the likelihood of it moving in the same direction as gold is low. Once the DXY successfully bottoms out (which I expect to happen around the 99.5-99 level), it will likely mark the medium-term top for gold. At that point, the trading strategy should focus on selling at high levels.
XAUUSD: Short, target 2463-2452
Gold is fluctuating within the 2508-2519 resistance range, and indicators are starting to show weakness. A pullback is expected next week, and a second test of the resistance near 2519 cannot be ruled out. From the overall trend perspective, I lean towards the likelihood that it won’t break through, leading to a significant drop. The first major support during the decline is around 2500, followed by 2488-2477, and finally around 2452.
If strong resistance is encountered near 2520 and it fails to break through, a double top pattern could form, making a drop to around 2452 highly likely. Therefore, in next week’s trading, focus on observing the resistance and prioritize short positions.
The range of the fall increasesThe range of the fall increases
At the moment, the gold market is showing significant attention from investors amid geopolitical instability and inflation risks. Gold prices remain high as investors seek protection from potential economic downturns and uncertainty in the financial system. In addition, rising interest rates in the US could put pressure on the desired price level, leading to some volatility in the market. Analyzing data from fundamental analysis such as unemployment rates, GDP and inflation forecasts can help investors make more informed gold trading decisions.
XAUUSD: Bullish move has not yet finished! More Growth to come! OANDA:XAUUSD
Our last idea is going well and we still expect price to continue growing until it reaches our final; take profit area. However, we think that price is likely to do a small correction in two hours timeframe, after that we can see a continuous bullish move which will likely to take the price to another record high .
goodluck and trade safe!
XAUUSDTala time frame 15 minutes
After hitting the 15-minute swap zone, the price started to correct.
Currently, gold is bullish in the 4-hour time frame, but bearish in the 15-minute time frame. Now there was a drop of 15 minutes until the swap zone, and if we see the confirmation, we can enter buying positions. The best time to buy is when the price reaches the lower order block of the swap zone and will probably record higher targets.
Gold Analysis 8-28 Asia/LondonPrice has dropped from Asia Session. Found Rejection again on 2525 .
DXY is gaining strength and can has some room to upside to pump. Sell side liquidity at previous days low around 2500 and also lower around fridays lows. 2495
Looking for an area to enter at better discount. will wait for london / Ny session.
Good luck Traders
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Short gold! Phased target: 2460-2450!After gold broke through last Friday's high yesterday, the market was expecting gold to rise further or hit the previous historical high. However, gold only rebounded and hit around 2526 before falling under pressure. Obviously, we shorted gold near 2525 yesterday and successfully hit our TP: 2510. Many people laughed at me for shorting gold in the chat room yesterday, but time once again proved that I was right. This is the charm of market trading!
Although gold is currently at a high level and seems strong on the surface, as the bullish momentum weakens, the resistance area is gradually moving down, while the support is gradually being broken. Today, gold continued to fall from around 2518, and the gold short momentum is gradually strengthening. Therefore, I expect the adjustment range of gold may continue to expand. Therefore, in terms of trading, I still maintain the idea of shorting gold on rallies. At present, the 2518-2520 area is regarded as a short-term resistance, and the further resistance area is located in the 2525-2530 area. The retracement target is first bearish on falling below the 2500 mark; if you want to look at the band, then the retracement stage target can be the 2460-2450 area.
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XAUUSD: 2500 points will be tested again, what should we do?Can gold continue to rise and set a new high?
Yesterday, the price of gold fell first and then rose, continuing the upward trend of last Friday, and has been fluctuating at a high level, reaching a high of 2526 points. Our 2510-2515 buying range is just at the lowest point of the callback, and the profit margin at the highest point is more than ten US dollars, and I also made a small profit from it. I believe that friends who follow the trading strategy have gained something.
Today, the price of gold has shown a callback trend again. From the 1H chart, the support below is in the range of 2500-2505. If nothing unexpected happens, I will buy again in this range.
First of all, 2500 is an integer mark, and I believe everyone has seen the support strength in the previous trend.
In the trend from 2470 to yesterday's high of 2526, 2505 is exactly at the 0.618 support position of the Fibonacci retracement.
At the same time, there is support from the Bollinger Band lower rail and the upward trend line, and it is unlikely to fall below it.
Although the possibility of a breakthrough here is not great, this is only an analysis based on the technical aspects. External factors are still an uncertain factor, so we have to be prepared for both situations.
Trading strategy: Now it is at a lower position, you can open a position and buy first. If the price continues to fall back, you can choose to increase your position above 2500. If the gold price effectively breaks through 2500, then we must once again prevent the occurrence of a sharp correction like last Thursday.
If you have different opinions or questions, please speak up and let’s discuss GOLD’s latest ideas together.
XAUUSD:If it cannot break through the 2525-2531 range, go short
Overall, gold's movement today hasn't been significant. After entering the resistance zone, it hasn't managed to break through. Currently, the 30-minute chart shows signs of turning bullish, while the 2-hour chart indicates that the bears are gaining momentum for an attack.
So in tomorrow's trading, if the price lingers around the resistance level without breaking through for an extended period, there's a high probability of a larger drop compared to today's intraday decline. The trading strategy is quite straightforward: focus on the strong resistance area between 2525 and 2531. If weakness appears, go aggressively short, targeting below 2500.
continued decline from the level continued decline from the level
Now the situation in the gold market is characterized by a high level of volatility. After the recent rise in gold prices, investors are starting to keep a close eye on the resistance level, which could become a key decision-making point. Against the backdrop of uncertainty in the global economy caused by rising interest rates and inflationary pressures, gold continues to retain its appeal as a safe-haven asset. Nevertheless, possible price fluctuations depending on macroeconomic news could create selling conditions at resistance levels. Investors should analyze the data to determine the optimal moment to trade.
Gold creates new bullish wave near record high SHORT...Gold prices are rallying higher, with the prospect of reaching the record high of 2,531 again. More advances may find resistance at the next round numbers of 2,600 and 2,700. However, the technical signals are mixed. The stochastic oscillator is heading south from the overbought region; however, the RSI is ticking higher, approaching the 70 level. Moreover, the MACD oscillator is holding above its trigger and zero lines. The 20- and 50-day simple moving averages (SMAs) are pointing higher, while the current market price is standing well above the 200-day SMA. In the negative scenario, a drop beneath the previous high ...
First short gold, then long goldBrothers, today is a new beginning, let's trade happily together! Currently, gold has risen to around 2526, approaching the previous high of around 2532 again. Obviously, the recent buying support below is strong, and the market is enthusiastic about going long. So gold has not seen a decent retracement.
However, I don’t think chasing gold is a wise choice now, so going long gold is not my first choice now. On the contrary, I will still choose to short gold in an appropriate amount to gain gold's retracement space. The short-term resistance above is located in the 2535-2540 area. However, in this market, I don't expect too much room for decline. The first support below is around 2510, followed by the 2495-2490 support area below.
I share detailed trading strategies and trading signals every day. You can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to get detailed trading signals and learn trading logic. People who are already in it have already made a lot of money. Let us enjoy the journey of making money together. !