Gold Bulls in Control: New ATH Expected SoonAs discussed in Monday's analysis, Gold is likely to reach a new all-time high this week, and I still hold this view.
After a brief dip that corrected last week's gains, the bulls regained control.
At the time of writing, the price stands at 2677, surpassing the local resistance level of 2667 and nearing the previous ATH of 2685.
My strategy remains to buy on dips, and in terms of targets, we could see Gold trading above 2700 in the coming days(if not even today)
Xauusdsignal
XAUUSD: After a New High, a Support Retest is Needed
Following a recent pullback, gold is now in the midst of a rebound, riding the momentum of its newly achieved all-time high. However, the difficulty of sustaining further upside increases at this stage. Therefore, it presents a strategic opportunity to establish short positions in the 2680-2690 range, anticipating a fresh support retest.
If the price holds above 2668 during this pullback, it could signal another buying opportunity, allowing traders to re-enter long positions with confidence.
Seize the Opportunity and Preemptively Position for ShortsShortly, the U.S. will release the initial jobless claims data and September retail sales month-over-month figures. Prior to the announcement, I personally predict these data points are likely to be bearish for XAUUSD, making it a good opportunity to preemptively position for shorts, suggesting a short entry around 2690 while awaiting the data release.
XAUUSD Trading Strategy:
Short at the high of 2688, with a take-profit target set at 2670.
Sorry, I've already started shorting goldAt present, gold has risen strongly to around 2689, and is only one step away from 2700. Although the gold market is hot at present, I do not advocate chasing gold now. To be honest, as long as gold remains above 2675, I will not advocate going long on gold.
Now that gold is approaching 2700, it has basically reached the short-term expectations of bulls. Now that gold is approaching 2700, it has basically reached the short-term expectations of the bulls. Some of the profit-making chips may be cashed in for shipment. This is why I do not recommend chasing gold. In the short term, since gold rose near 2638, there has been basically no decent correction. So when facing the psychological pressure of 2700, gold is likely to have a round of correction, retesting the 2670-2665 area, and may even retest the 2660-2655 area.
So, bros, while you are keen on chasing gold, I am now shorting gold in batches! Let us look forward to the next results!
XAUUSDHere is our view and update on XAUUSD . Potential long opportunity.
As per our last adaptive analysis, XAUUSD continued to the upside. We now had a beautiful break and a retest of our PBA 1 (Pullback Area). We should see more upside .
In detail,
We broke our PBA 1 area at 2640-2644 and made a nice retest . The price is staying above those price levels which gives us a good sign that we will continue to the upside . Our entry is sitting at 2655 and our TP (Take Profit) is sitting at the current ATH (All Time High) at 2685.640 . Our SL is below our PBA 1 sitting at 2637.800 as if we break below it, we should see more downside moves.
PARAMETERS
- Entry: 2655
- SL: 2637.800
- TP: 2685.640
KEY NOTES
- XAUUSD broke and retested our PBA 1.
- XAUUSD is trading above our PBA 1.
- Break below our PBA 1 could result in more downside.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
Use 2684 as resistance to short goldToday, gold was pushed up to around 2683. This round of gold rise is in line with our expectations. Yesterday, we went long on gold in the 2645-2650 area and made a good profit. Currently, gold is approaching the previous high of 2684. Although bullish sentiment is high, I do not recommend going long on gold here directly, after all, the suppression of the previous high still exists.
We have just shorted gold near 2683. Currently, gold has fallen back to around 2674, and our short position has made a good profit. Then our short target is the 2670-2665 area. Of course, if gold can fall back to the 2660-2655 area, I may consider going long on gold in combination with the real-time market.
Invest in Gold? Exploring the Impact of Diwali
The price of gold has reached unprecedented heights in the retail market, setting a new record as the Hindu festival of Diwali draws near. Factors, including increased demand, global economic uncertainties, and geopolitical tensions have driven this price surge.
The Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) December contracts for gold have also witnessed a significant uptick, reflecting the broader upward trend in the precious metal's value. This positive momentum is largely attributed to favorable global cues, such as concerns over the US debt ceiling and ongoing geopolitical tensions.
Factors Driving the Gold Price Surge
• Diwali Demand: The festival of Diwali, known for its celebrations and gift-giving, is a significant driver of gold demand in India. As the festival approaches, consumers are increasingly purchasing gold jewelry, coins, and bars as a symbol of prosperity and wealth.
• Global Economic Uncertainties: The lingering effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, coupled with geopolitical tensions and concerns about global economic growth, have made gold a safe-haven asset for investors. As uncertainty persists, investors are turning to gold as a hedge against market volatility.
• Inflationary Pressures: Rising inflation rates, both domestically and internationally, have also contributed to the increase in gold prices. As purchasing power declines, consumers may seek to preserve their wealth by investing in gold.
• Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing geopolitical conflicts, such as the Russia-Ukraine war and tensions in the Middle East, have created a sense of unease and uncertainty in global markets. This has led to increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Impact on Retail Market
The surge in gold prices has had a significant impact on the retail market. Jewelry stores and bullion dealers have reported a surge in demand for gold products, leading to increased prices and longer waiting times for certain items. Some consumers may find it challenging to afford the higher prices, while others may view it as an opportunity to invest in a valuable asset.
Government Measures and Outlook
In response to the rising gold prices, governments may consider implementing measures to curb demand or stabilize prices. These measures could include import restrictions, increased taxes on gold purchases, or the release of gold from government reserves.
However, the outlook for gold prices remains positive, particularly in the short term. As Diwali approaches and global uncertainties persist, gold prices will likely continue to be supported by strong demand and a favorable market environment.
Conclusion
The record-high gold prices witnessed in the retail market as Diwali nears are a reflection of a confluence of factors, including increased demand, global economic uncertainties, and geopolitical tensions. While the surge in prices may pose challenges for some consumers, it also presents opportunities for investors seeking to preserve their wealth and hedge against market volatility. As the festival of Diwali approaches, it is anticipated that gold prices will remain elevated, driven by strong demand and a favorable market environment.
Gold Analysis==>>Bollinger Bands!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) moved, as I expected in my previous post .
Gold is moving near the Resistance zone($2,686-$2,670) and within the Bollinger Bands Indicator ( we can consider the upper and lower lines as Support and Resistance ).
What is Bollinger Bands Indicator!?
Bollinger Bands is a technical indicator used to measure market volatility. It consists of three lines:
Middle Band: A simple moving average .
Upper Band: Two standard deviations above the moving average.
Lower Band: Two standard deviations below the moving average.
When prices hit the upper band, the asset might be overbought; hitting the lower band suggests it could be oversold. Tight bands indicate low volatility, while wide bands show high volatility. It helps identify potential entry and exit points in the market.
According to the Elliott wave theory , Gold seems to have completed 5 impulsive waves . We should expect the Corrective waves to finish and Gold to start increasing again.
I expect Gold to start rising again after hitting the lower line of the Bollinger Bands or 50% Fibonacci line and attacking the Resistance lines .
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Golden opportunity for gold!
The Fibonacci channel has been drawn, and Elliott waves can be observed on the chart. Currently, the price is in the fifth Elliott wave. We have two scenarios for the future of gold:
1)The first scenario is a bullish scenario. Given the geopolitical tensions and conflicts between Israel, Iran, and Lebanon, as well as China's threats against Taiwan, which have all contributed to a further increase in gold prices, if these trends continue, it could complete wave 5 at the 1.414 level of the Fibonacci channel.
2)The second scenario is a bearish scenario. If we witness a hawkish stance from the FED or a reduction in geopolitical tensions, then we should expect a price reversal from the previous high of 2687. In this case, the 0.618 Fibonacci channel level would serve as strong support.
Considering the geopolitical tensions, I believe the first scenario and a breakout above the previous high are more likely. In that case, we should watch for a breakout above the previous high and then enter a long position after confirmation.
Bulls Take Profits, Await Shorting Opportunities
Today's long position within the 2652-2646 range has been successful—congratulations to those who followed my strategy!
In trading, identifying strong signals is critical to profit. Without it, the market can be unforgiving.
Currently, the bulls are in control, but as soon as momentum shows signs of weakening, it will be time to shift focus and prepare for a short position. Stay vigilant and ready to act when the opportunity presents itself.
Gold reached a three-week high, capped by a rising dollar.Gold prices (XAU/USD) rose for the second consecutive day on Wednesday, reaching a three-week high around $2,677-$2,678 due to a downturn in the stock market and geopolitical risks. The flight to safety led to a decline in U.S. Treasury yields, supporting gold.
However, expectations of less aggressive easing from the Federal Reserve and a strengthening U.S. Dollar may limit gold's upward momentum in the near term.
Personal opinion:
Any further price increases are likely to encounter resistance near the $2.685-$2.686 range or the all-time high reached in September. Following that is the round number of $2.700; a decisive breakout above this level would set the stage for a multi-month uptrend amid positive fluctuations on the daily chart.
Pay attention to the price range:
Buy Zone: 2647 - 2645
SL: 2640
Buy Zone: 2660 - 2658
SL: 2653
Sell Zone: 2683 - 2685
SL: 2690
Still sticking to long gold!Today, gold reached 2638 during the retracement process and then rebounded again, but did not effectively fall below 2640. The gold correction did not fall below 50%, so there is still room for gold to rise again.
From the perspective of technical structure, gold has signs of building a head and shoulders bottom pattern at the short-term level. Once gold cannot effectively fall below 2640, it is still possible for gold to rise to the 2670-2680 area.
So in terms of short-term trading, if gold falls back to the 2645-2640 area, I will consider adding more money to be long gold.
SIDEWAY gold! 2627 - 2660 competitive price range⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) pulled back from a one-week high on Monday, ending a two-day winning streak as the US Dollar (USD) strengthened. Investors no longer expect a significant rate cut from the Federal Reserve (Fed) in November, keeping US Treasury yields high and attracting investment away from the non-yielding gold.
Additionally, disappointment over China's fiscal stimulus and weak inflation data over the weekend further dampened investor confidence, weighing on gold prices. However, ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East helped gold find support above the $2,640 level during Tuesday's Asian session, limiting further losses.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The psychology of waiting for November interest rates was clearly shown this week. There is not much news announced, Gold price is sideways in the price range 2627 - 2660
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2636 - $2634 SL $2631 scalping
TP1: $2642
TP2: $2650
TP3: $2655
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2629 - $2627 SL $2622
TP1: $2635
TP2: $2642
TP3: $2650
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2660 - $2662 SL $2667
TP1: $2650
TP2: $2640
TP3: $2630
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
10.15 XAUUSD Trading strategyGold continues to surge higher. From the technical point of view on the candlestick chart, it is now just at the pressure level of the downward trend line and resistance line of the hourly chart. As long as it is suppressed at 2672 later, it is still possible to drop again.
Therefore, in trading, it is recommended to short gold directly at the current price of 2668, with a target of 2655.Because the area of 2655 is the previous intensive trading area, the point of 2655 has a certain support effect, so this wave of decline will most likely come to the point of 2655!
XAUUSD Operation Strategy
XAUUSD rebounded 2668-2670 line short, stop loss 2676, take profit 2655 line
Gold Bears Secure Profits, Ready To Enter Long Position
Today, gold successfully reached our target range of 2644-2637, delivering strong profits for short positions. In trading, clear signals inevitably lead to profitable outcomes.
Now that gold has broken above the MA20 and is showing a bullish formation, we will follow the trend and shift towards long positions. Using the MA20 as our reference line, a buy order should be placed around 2652-2646. However, given the current high price near resistance, it's important to manage risk. I recommend setting a stop-loss (SL) around 2632, but adjust according to your individual account management strategy.
10/15 ! XAU continue SIDEWAY over $2640XAU / USD trend forecast October 15, 2024
Gold prices pulled back after reaching a daily high of $2,666 on Monday, as China’s stimulus measures failed to lift markets and the US Dollar continued to strengthen. XAU/USD is trading around $2,650, down 0.26%.
Weekend data showed China’s economy facing deflationary pressures, jeopardizing its 5% GDP target. In response, Finance Minister Lan Foan stated that the government will maintain stimulus efforts, support the property market, and increase state bank capital to stimulate the economy.
No important economic news this week - sideways time. Gold accumulates waiting for information on interest rates in November 2024
/// SELL XAU : zone 2659-2662
SL: 2667
TP: 50 - 100 - 200 pips (2642)
Safe and profitable trading
XAUUSD: The risk of shorting is less than that of going long
After finding support around 2638, gold has rebounded and is now approaching the critical resistance zone at 2663-2668. If prices linger here without breaking through, it could weaken the bullish momentum.
From a trading perspective, the risk of going long at the current price outweighs that of shorting. For those entering long positions, caution is advised—avoid overextending and close positions promptly if the previous high isn’t breached. As for shorts, the risk is manageable; smaller initial positions can be opened, with the option to add more if prices rise. In the medium term, I believe a break below 2600 is inevitable.
Gold : A Prime Opportunity for Short Positions
Today, gold remains under significant pressure within the 2660-2668 range, with the resistance around the 20-day moving average (MA20) proving to be a formidable barrier. The bearish momentum is clearly in control, presenting a prime opportunity for short trades.
The recommended strategy is to focus on selling near the MA20 resistance level, targeting the 2645-2637 range. This approach leverages the technical weakness, as the market favors a downward move in the near term.
XAUUSD: Mainly short trading, target 2637-2629
During tomorrow's Asian trading session, the primary range is expected to be between 2654 -2644. There is significant resistance around the 2654 level, and if this resistance holds, the market should favor short positions.
Support is seen near 2643, and if this level breaks, the next target range would shift to 2637-2629. The market's inability to push through resistance at 2658 reinforces a bearish outlook in the near term.
10.14 XAUUSD Trading StrategyXAUUSD has just started to rise as scheduled this week. First harvest a wave of investors who shorted last week. This week is a popular start. XAUUSD still has momentum in the short-term rise, the golden hourly moving average continues to rise, and the gold bulls still have momentum, and the decline continues to go long. After all, the current international political situation still supports gold to have the motivation to rise!
However, from the technical perspective, XAUUSD has become a box trend. Judging from the current market trend, we pay attention to the short-term support level of the first line of 2635-40 below, and the first line of 2665-70 above. Breaking through this position is expected to continue to win the high position, and even hit the threshold position of the first line of 2700, so in operation, we need to follow the trend closely and don't chase orders at will!
XAUUSD operation strategy
1. XAUUSD bounces back to the first line of 2665-2670, the stop loss is 2676, and the target is 2635-2640
2. XAUUSD retraces the first line of 2640-45 and does not break the long line, the stop loss is 2633, and the target is 2660-65