Gold Market Outlook: ReboundToday, the news about the Israel-Palestine ceasefire triggered a sharp drop in gold prices, highlighting the significant impact that war news can have on gold. Recently, updates on the Russia-Ukraine peace talks are also expected to emerge gradually. Traders should remain cautious and avoid blindly chasing highs, because if there is positive news regarding the peace process, gold will likely experience sharp volatility. Although there will undoubtedly be various conflicts during the peace talks, I believe the ultimate outcome will be a successful agreement—it’s just a matter of which side gains more benefits.
Earlier, I posted a strategy for trading gold during the Russia-Ukraine peace talks. If you're interested, feel free to check it out.
As for current trading, after the large amount of selling pressure has been released, gold is expected to experience a corrective rebound. I’ve already provided specific trade signals—buy in the range of 2636-2621, with a target above 2650.
If you'd like to receive signals in real time, you're welcome to follow me.
Xauusdsignal
Scalping ! Find short-term FIBO retracement pointsSCALPING XAU / USD
⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) dropped over 1% on Monday, trading in the $2,670 range, as markets reacted positively to the appointment of a steady and experienced figure to succeed Janet Yellen as the next US Treasury Secretary.
President-elect Donald Trump selected hedge fund manager Scott Bessent for the role, set to begin in January 2025. Bessent's reputation for cautious decision-making and his potential to temper some of Trump’s more extreme economic and trade policies appear to have eased market concerns, reducing the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Price decreased at the beginning of the week on Monday - price recovered at 2690 entry FIBO, SELL SCALPING
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2690 - $2692 SL $2696
TP1: $2685
TP2: $2678
TP3: $2670
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Safe-Haven Demand Eases, Bears Take Control in the Gold MarketFundamental Analysis:
Gold prices have reversed last week’s upward momentum as safe-haven sentiment continues to diminish. Positive developments in the Middle East have contributed to this shift, with Israel’s ambassador to the United States confirming that a ceasefire agreement with Lebanon’s Hezbollah could be reached within days. This news has triggered a significant retreat in safe-haven buying.
Meanwhile, the nomination of Scott Bassett as Treasury Secretary by U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has bolstered market stability, further improving risk appetite. Although U.S. Treasury yields have declined—a factor typically supportive of gold prices—the broader improvement in market sentiment has left gold under pressure. With bearish sentiment prevailing from the week’s outset, the gold market is now dominated by a clear downward trend.
Technical Analysis:
Gold prices have experienced a sharp pullback, with immediate support found near 2660. Key resistance is identified at the 2690 level, with the short-term ceiling at 2700. The technical outlook remains bearish, with limited prospects for a near-term reversal.
Trading Strategy for Today:
Recommendation: Enter short positions in the 2688-2691 range, with a stop loss above 2700.
Target Levels: First target at 2675, followed by 2665 for further downside potential.
Advisory Note:
While VIP strategies have performed well recently, some users may experience losses or trapped positions due to a lack of understanding of trend-based analyses. If you are facing such challenges, feel free to reach out for personalized assistance. For those considering joining the VIP program, a complimentary trial session is available to help you better understand the value of our services. Interested parties are encouraged to contact me directly.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please manage your risk carefully and avoid overleveraging.
XAU/USD 25 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price Action Analysis:
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed.
Currently, price is trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price Action Analysis:
Intraday expectation analysis dated 22 November 2024 played out as price successfully printed a bullish iBOS in-line with bullish internal structure, however, price has now printed a bearish iBOS in-line with H4 TF undergoing a bearish pullback phase.
Price has yet to print a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), which is crucial to establishing an internal range and indicating the initiation of bullish pullback phase. CHoCH positioning is marked with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Technically, price is expected to print a bullish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bullish pullback phase, trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal high.
Alternative Scenario:
H4 Timeframe has indicated bearish pullback phase initiation by printing a bearish CHoCH, therefore, bearish momentum on M15 may be limited.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders are advised to exercise caution and remain vigilant for potential whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAU / USD ! 25 Nov ! Gold price adjusted downXAU / USD trend forecast November 25, 2024
Gold prices (XAU/USD) surge to approximately $2,720 during the early Asian session on Monday, supported by a weakening US Dollar (USD). The USD's sell-off lends support to the USD-denominated Gold price, while escalating geopolitical tensions further bolster demand for safe-haven assets like the yellow metal.
Investors remain focused on developments in the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Last week, Russian President Vladimir Putin lowered the threshold for a nuclear strike in response to an expanded range of conventional attacks, following reports that the US had permitted Ukraine to use American-made weapons for deeper strikes into Russian territory. This situation is likely to sustain safe-haven flows, benefiting Gold prices.
Gold adjusts H2 fibo, downtrend creates more liquidity for the market
/// BUY XAU : zone 2651-2648
SL: 2643
TP: 50 - 150 - 300pips (2678)
Safe and profitable trading
Gold Profits Realized, Next Moves in FocusAfter opening, the gold price peaked around 2721 before beginning to decline, falling short of the 2726 level for adding positions. Ultimately, a profit of 1,000–1,800 points was achieved.
Looking ahead, continue to monitor the 2710–2720 area. If bearish momentum remains strong, this zone can serve as an opportunity to short again. If the price moves higher, our focus will stay on the 2726–2732 range.
Bulls - high pressure ! XAU increase next week ✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 11/25 - 11/29/2024
🔥 World situation:
Gold prices surged to a two-week high on Friday during the North American session, supported by a dip in US Treasury yields. Geopolitical tensions kept the metal in demand, though improved US business activity limited its upward momentum. At $2,710, XAU/USD is up 1.50%.
The yellow metal gained strength as the US 10-year Treasury yield dropped by two basis points to 4.40%, providing a boost to gold. The precious metal is on track to post weekly gains exceeding 5%.
🔥 Identify:
A week that saw a big recovery, gold returned above the 2710 area. World tension news is still the main driver for gold prices to continue to recover.
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $2747, $2788, 2800
Support : $2645, $2604
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold Market Analysis and Strategy 11/25Last week, gold prices opened with a steady upward momentum, rising for five consecutive days. Each day closed as a bullish candlestick on the daily chart. On Friday, gold made a significant move, breaking above the MA30 and MA20 resistance levels with a strong bullish candlestick.
From a momentum perspective, prices are expected to continue rising. Key attention should be given to the resistance zone between 2726-2737, where selling pressure is likely to emerge.
Trading Recap:
On Friday, I shared a sell signal at 2710, and later suggested closing the position near 2707 if you didn’t want to hold over the weekend. Some traders might have closed their positions at that time.
For Those Still Holding the Short Position:
Be mentally prepared to hold the position, as gold may climb further to around 2732.
Expect a Pullback:
Don’t panic, as a retracement is inevitable.
Suggested Trading Plan:
Enter a long trade at the opening price.
Close the long position around 2722-2728 to lock in profits.
Open a Short Position After the Rally:
Once prices rise to 2726-2734, begin adding short positions.
Target Levels:
I expect gold to at least retest 2707, with a probable downside target around 2678.
Risk Management:
Use stop-loss orders to manage risk effectively.
Ensure position sizes are within your risk tolerance.
Final Thoughts:
This strategy allows you to take advantage of both upward momentum and the anticipated pullback. Monitor price action closely and make timely adjustments to your positions. If you have any questions or need further guidance, feel free to reach out.
Is XAUUSD Primed For A Pullback & Buy Opportunity?👀👉 The XAUUSD Gold market has recently experienced a pullback from a crucial liquidity zone and is now making its way back toward previous highs, sparking interest among traders about potential moves ahead. I am considering a buying opportunity, contingent upon a retracement to equilibrium and a bullish structural break. 📊 Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always perform your own research and trade responsibly.
Short-Term Short Opportunity at 2710 Resistance ZoneAfter reaching around 2710, gold tested the support at 2686 as expected and then rebounded above 2700, in line with our forecast. The long positions in the short-term swing trade have been closed, and we are now seeking new opportunities to sell. From a technical perspective, there is still strong selling pressure around 2710, which acts as a key resistance zone.
Technical Analysis: At the 2710 level, gold is facing noticeable selling pressure. Previously, this area acted as a support level, but now it has turned into resistance. If the price encounters resistance here and starts to decline, it could test the support zone below once again.
Considering the current market sentiment and technical pattern, the 2710-2722 range presents an ideal opportunity for short entry. We recommend initiating sell orders within this range with a small position size as an initial attempt.
Trade Strategy:
Sell Entry Range: If the selling pressure at 2710 holds and the price fails to break above this level, the 2715-2722 range becomes a potential short-entry area. The resistance in this region could drive the price lower.
Stop-Loss: To protect against the risk of a breakout above this zone, a stop-loss can be set in the 2725-2730 range. This would limit potential losses in case the market continues to rise above the resistance zone.
Take-Profit: The take-profit target can be set around the support area at 2686, or adjusted based on real-time price action. If the price declines to this support zone and shows signs of a rebound, partial or full profit-taking may be considered.
Risk Management: Given the volatility in the gold market, it’s crucial to control position size in every trade and apply proper risk management strategies to avoid significant losses. Each trade should not risk more than 2-3% of the total account balance.
Shorting gold againWe have won consecutive victories in trading today. As in the previous article, we shorted gold near 2695 and 2710 respectively, hitting our TP: 2690-2685.
Now that gold has risen to around 2710 again, we can try to short gold again, TP: 2700-2695
Brothers, if you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
XAU ! Nov 22 ! strong resistance 2710XAU / USD trend forecast November 22, 2024
Escalating Russia-Ukraine tensions continue to fuel safe-haven demand, propelling Gold prices higher for the fifth consecutive day on Friday, even amid a strong US Dollar. In response to Ukraine's deployment of US- and UK-supplied missiles in strikes on Russian territory, Russian forces launched a new intermediate-range ballistic missile targeting Ukraine.
Recovery continues, strong resistance 2710 will wait for gold price to reach
/// SELL XAU : zone 2708-2710
SL: 2716
TP: 50 - 150 - 300pips (2680)
Safe and profitable trading
Bullish Momentum Continues, Strategic Entry OpportunitiesMarket Overview and Weekly Recap
On the final trading day of the week, gold remains in a bullish trend, with minor pullbacks offering opportunities to re-enter the market. This aligns with the bullish strategy I have advocated since Monday. Traders following this approach have likely enjoyed significant gains this week.
Trading Strategy for Today
Key Approach: Buy the Dip
Entry Levels: Accumulate long positions below 2700;
Target: Look for resistance around 2720;
Stop-Loss: Place stops below 2690, adjusted to personal risk tolerance.
VIP Performance and Support
Most VIP members have achieved notable profits this week by adhering to the strategy, though some may have faced losses or trapped positions due to deviations from the plan. If you need assistance resolving such issues, feel free to reach out.
To help more traders experience the benefits of precise trading strategies, I am offering a free VIP trial session. Contact me to take advantage of this opportunity!
Reminder
As the week concludes, volatility may increase. Manage your positions wisely, avoid chasing highs, and focus on disciplined, value-driven trading. Seize every opportunity with a steady and strategic approach!
Bravely hold a short position,TP:2690-2685Bros, today is another fruitful day. Today, we shorted gold with 2695 as resistance as scheduled. After gold broke through the first resistance area of 2595, we shorted gold with 2711 as resistance at around 2710 in equal proportion as scheduled. Gold is now back below 2700 and our short position is starting to make profits again!
Bros, there is no need to rush to close short positions, gold may continue to fall to 2690-2685, and once gold falls below this area, gold may even continue to fall to around 2675. Boldly hold short positions and look forward to better profits!
Bros, if you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Gold Analysis==>>Contracting Triangle!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is moving in the Resistance zone($2,688-$2,666) .
According to the Elliott wave theory , Gold has successfully completed microwave 4 with the help of a Contracting Triangle and is currently completing main wave 5 .
I expect Gold to go up at least as far as the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) [$2,679-$2,675 ] and the upper line of Bollinger Band and then correct .
Note: In previous posts, I told you that the Bollinger Bands indicator works well for gold in the 1-hour time frame.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Gold continues to rise - waiting for a correction⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices continued to rise for the fourth consecutive day, approaching the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) as heightened tensions in the Russia-Ukraine conflict increased demand for the safe-haven metal. XAU/USD is trading at $2,672, near weekly highs, with a gain of over 0.80%.
Concerns escalated after reports suggested Russia had launched an Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) on Ukraine. However, a Western official cited by Reuters clarified that no ICBM was used on Thursday.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
H1 frame is still a very stable price increase - aiming for above 2700 area, waiting for corrective reaction
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2706 - $2708 SL $2713
TP1: $2695
TP2: $2680
TP3: $2660
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2640 - $2642 SL $2635
TP1: $2650
TP2: $2660
TP3: $2670
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GOLD TECHNIAL UPDATE >GO :? AND READ THE : CAPTAINBuddy's dear friend 👋
Gold trading signals technical analysis setup I think 🧐 Gold ready for Down trand 😜 4 H Time Frame 🖼️ looks good Short Trade first Zone buddys 2774 Next Short Trade 2700
Why wait should be good choice for short Trade 😄. Technical analysis setup now stall Sell trend 📈. Follow risk management
Technical analysis setup look for short trade entry 2673 target 🎯 2540 OANDA:XAUUSD
Technical analysis setup look for short trade entry 2704 target 🎯 25 80 2540
🎮
S upport 🌟 My hard analysis Setup like And Following Me 🤝 that star ✨ game
Gold and War: The Hidden Signal Behind the RallyIt is well-known that wars have a significant impact on gold prices, and the key factor often lies in the stance of the U S. Before the election, geopolitical tensions and inflation created favorable conditions for gold’s rise.
However, with Trump winning the presidency, gold prices experienced a sharp decline. The primary reason was his campaign statements about actively mediating the Russia-Ukraine war if elected. As a result, the market anticipated an end to the war, triggering a rapid sell-off in gold. Although gold prices have recently started to recover, this seems more like a technical correction to the previous drop.
Yesterday, an intercontinental missile was deployed in the war for the first time. On the surface, this appears to signal an escalation in the conflict, but I believe it may actually hint at the war nearing its end. This “last frenzy” could be both sides vying for the strongest position at the negotiating table.
In this context, how long can the current gold rally last? How high might it go? These are difficult questions to answer. However, one thing is clear: when peace talks are finalized, gold could retreat to the 2480-2350 range.
GOLD:Retracting the long trading strategy
Gold rebounded to around 2660 as scheduled, the bulls have come to strong pressure, but it has no meaning to fall, we can not know the end of this wave of long rebound, the operation to follow the trend, the shape of the weekly bearish trend will be changed, yesterday's bottom pulled up again, the daily line step by step, three consecutive trading days closed in the sun, Such a market must see clearly the general direction, otherwise it is difficult to grasp the rhythm, when you can not see clearly on the sidelines waiting, today's thinking waiting for its retrace opportunity to do long.
Daily line these two days to form two strong support, one is yesterday's low 2618 near, this position is not broken, short-term are strong, if broken, the form may form a new bear.
Another support is around 2642, yesterday's rebound high, is also a new form of support, today back to step on this position first layout more single. Target 2660, after breaking 2680-85.
Go long gold: TP: 2675-2680Brothers, gold has failed to fall below 2660 many times, so as I said in my last article, I closed the short position near 2664, and immediately went long on gold near 2664, and manually closed the long position near 2770.
At present, gold has fallen back to near 2660 again and has not fallen below, so I have gone long on gold near 2664 again. Although gold has fallen back locally, it has not fallen below the short-term support of 2655, and has not even fallen below 2660, so the gold bull energy still has the advantage, so the gold fall is an opportunity to go long on gold. And according to the current structure, gold still has the possibility of continuing to rise and touching the 2675-2680 area, and may even touch 2690.
So the trading strategy: go long on gold in batches in the 2665-2655 area, TP: 2675-2680
The best signal for goldGold has been fluctuating at a high level during the day on Thursday. So far, it has reached the highest level of 2671. Now it is still fluctuating at the level of 2668. From the overall trend, gold bulls are still very strong, but the pressure from the upper 2680 level is also relatively strong. Therefore, we do not recommend going long at high levels, because the technical side may fall back at any time. Therefore, we mainly operate steadily and wait for a short-term decline to continue going long.
Judging from the current 4-hour gold trend, the important upper pressure is at 2675-2680, the short-term support below is at 2648-50, and the support below is at 2640
Gold operation strategy:
1. Go long when gold falls back to 2648-2650, add to long position when it falls back to 2640, stop loss at 2633, target at 2660-65, break to 2675-80;
2. Go short when gold rebounds to 2675-2680 but does not break, stop loss at 2687, target at 2648-2652, break to 2640;