The first threshold surpassed 2,600 USD/ounce.Market are pivoting their interest to subsequent week`s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. This collecting is poised to be one of the year's maximum consequential, with full-size anticipation of the primary hobby price reduce on account that 2020. The consensus amongst analysts, economists, and marketplace observers is that a price discount is all however certain. markets are presently pricing in a 73% danger of a 25 bps reduce and a 27% danger of a 50 bps reduce, consistent with CME FedWatch.
Early this week AngloGold Ashanti introduced it's far obtaining Egypt-targeted Centamin for $2.five billion in coins and stock. Anglogold dropped at the news, however recovered via way of means of the stop of the week.
Xauusdshort
Gold will go shortgold will go short if the price closes below 2590 at daily frame, but if closed above this price the gold will achieve new prices
in my point of view, if price does some correction will hit 2500
Trade : Sell
Entry Price : 2578:2580
Stop Lose : close above 2590 at daily frame
Take Profit :2500
The historic high in the value of gold. Where to next? The historic high in the value of gold. Where to next?
At the moment, the situation on the XAUUSD (gold vs. US dollar) market is showing interesting and volatile movements. In recent weeks, we have seen price fluctuations due to a number of factors such as changes in the monetary policy of the US Federal Reserve, global economic instability and increased interest in safe assets amid geopolitical risks.
Gold prices often react to news about inflation and interest rates. When expectations of rising interest rates increase, this can put pressure on gold prices as precious metals do not generate interest income. However, when uncertainty in the economy or risks increase, investors seek safe haven assets such as gold, which usually drives prices higher.
XAU/USD "GOLD MINES" Bearish Robbery Plan to steal GoldHola ola My Dear,
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Stop Loss : Recent Swing High using 2h timeframe
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XAUUSD - Gold Short Near Major Resistance of Trend Line here is my idea about short trade, I'm looking for a short entry expecting downside movement if the price continues to struggle below these levels.
Gold struggle to break trend line Resistance which is indicating me good idea for short
Entry Type: Short/Sale
Entry Price: 2565.556
Take Profit: 2556.176
Stop lose: 2574.973
Good Luck!
Gold Short Trade Idea - After All-Time Highs 1 Hour (1H)Gold has recently surged to new all-time highs (ATH) following a strong breakout during the New York session. The momentum carried through to the Asian session, where the price continued to climb. However, as we enter a potential exhaustion phase, there may be an opportunity to short gold.
Analysis:
• All-Time Highs: After reaching new ATHs, gold appears to be losing steam, suggesting that a retracement could be imminent.
• Momentum Loss: The recent price action shows signs of weakening, which could indicate that buyers are stepping back, providing a window for a short position.
• Technical Levels: The take-profit target is aligned with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, a common area for price to pull back after a significant move.
• Price Discovery: Gold is currently in a “price discovery” phase, where the market is determining the true value after reaching unprecedented levels. This increases the potential for volatility and unexpected price movements.
Trade Management:
• Partial Profits: If the trade starts moving in our favor, it’s advisable to take partial profits along the way. This strategy minimizes risk and locks in gains, as waiting for the full target may be too optimistic in a volatile environment.
• Tight Stop-Loss: Given the current market conditions, it’s crucial to keep the stop-loss tight. The market is in uncharted territory, so protecting your capital is paramount.
This trade aims to capitalize on a potential pullback after a historic surge in gold prices. However, caution is essential due to the “price discovery” nature of the market at these levels. Manage your risk carefully and be prepared to adapt to the market’s movements.
Trade carefully, and good luck!
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
GOLD (XAU)📊 #XAUUSD
⏱ TIME: 1D
📝Gold is moving towards its resistance range and this range is expected to be gold's definitive ceiling, after which it will move lower. $2600 range (green box)
⭕️risk: MID
📍The initial selling limit: 2600$
📌TP1: 2490$
📌TP2: 2320$
📌TP3: 2230$
📌TP4: 2100$
📌TP5: 1830$
⛔️SL: 2660$
XAUUSD: Trading in support or resistance areasAfter the CPI inflation data released yesterday, the market predicts that the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 50 basis points at the meeting next week has dropped from 44% a week ago to 13%, so the probability of a 25% basis point rate cut in September has basically become a foregone conclusion.
Smaller and more conservative rate cuts are not good news for gold, but it is still a certainty that the rate cut will be beneficial to gold. However, after the impact of the rate cuts in the past 1-2 months, most of the gold price has been digested in the process of rising.
So I think that if the gold price cannot set a new record high in the next 1-2 weeks, then there will be a downward trend in gold.
From the perspective of the gold market, the gold price is now at 2516, which is the middle position between the lower support of 2500 and the upper resistance of 2530. It is not good to be bullish or bearish here, so we need to wait for the market to approach the support or resistance before formulating a trading plan today.
The trading plan is as follows:
If the gold price reaches around 2530, you can sell here without breaking a new high
If the gold price reaches the 2500-2510 area, you can buy without breaking support
Based on the fundamentals of smaller interest rate cuts, I prefer to be bearish at high levels rather than bullish at lower levels.
Risk data to watch out for today:
European Central Bank Deposit Facility Rate
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims Data
U.S. August PPI Data
XAUUSD | Short from Resistance or NEW All Time High ? Everyone's favourite precious metal has been in a near month long range zone for the last few weeks following a surge to the all time high level of $2,532 and a range low of $2,471 in where gold has been stuck in consolidation even with Non Farm Payroll which failed to break this strong range zone.
Most recently we have seen a large bullish surge in momentum that has driven gold from $2,484 to the now resistance topside of the range at $2,536 where it is likely to see another fractal pivot bring price back into the range however that being said with todays upcoming USD releases for the CPI + Inflation Rate traders are anticipating if this could be the day we break the topside and push for another all time high which could be likely but as always is a 50/50 gamble on such red flag events.
Price action wise I will be aiming for the short range from $2,515 - $2,502 with a continuation of the range likely for the next 2 weeks, but as per any high impact news day I will be looking closely at the market structure and volume during these events whilst utilising correct risk management and preferable being out of my trades before and seeing where suitable entries lie following such events.
What are your thoughts ? Let me know in the comments below :)
Gold (XAU/USD) Short Setup on Daily Timeframe Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading near a resistance zone on the daily chart, presenting a potential short setup. With key U.S. economic data, including the CPI (Consumer Price Index), set to be released today, there is a high probability of increased volatility, which could drive the price lower if the data supports USD strength.
Technical Analysis:
• Resistance Zone: The daily chart shows Gold testing a significant resistance level around 2,520. This level has previously acted as a strong barrier, making it an ideal spot for a potential reversal.
• Bearish Candlestick Formation: The recent price action has formed a bearish rejection pattern, indicating that sellers may be stepping in at this level.
• Downside Targets: The initial target for this short setup is around 2,500, where the next significant support lies. A further decline could see the price move towards 2,480 if the bearish momentum continues.
Fundamental Analysis:
• USD CPI Data: Today’s U.S. CPI release is critical, as it will provide insight into inflationary pressures and could influence the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decisions. A higher-than-expected CPI could strengthen the USD, putting additional pressure on Gold prices.
• Market Sentiment: The market may already be pricing in expectations for the CPI data, so it’s essential to watch the actual release closely. A stronger USD could lead to a significant selloff in Gold, validating this short setup.
Risk Management:
• Volatility Caution: Given the importance of the CPI data, expect increased volatility during and after the release. Ensure your position size reflects this potential risk.
• Trailing Stop: Consider using a trailing stop if the trade moves in your favor to lock in profits while allowing the position to run if the decline continues.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Gold Analysis==>> Attack to Support lines==>Short termThe Gold moved and hit the targets as I expected in the previous post .
Gold is currently moving near a Heavy Resistance zone($2,532-$2,523) and broke the Uptrend line .
According to the Elliott Waves theory , Gold has successfully completed the Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) in the 15-minute time frame.
I expect Gold to attack the Heavy Support zone($2,484-$2,431) and Support lines in the coming hours.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Gold Analysis September 12Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices rose on an overnight rebound from the psychological $2,500 mark and gained some positive momentum on Thursday. Growing acceptance that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin its policy easing cycle and lower borrowing costs next week turned out to be a major factor acting as a boost for the non-yielding yellow metal. That said, bearish bets on a larger Fed rate cut at the end of the September 17-18 policy meeting have pushed the US Dollar (USD) closer to its monthly peak and should limit gains for the commodity.
In addition, a generally positive tone around the equity markets is likely to undermine traditional safe-haven assets and deter traders from placing aggressive bullish bets around Gold prices. Furthermore, the recent range-bound price action and repeated failures to find acceptance above the $2,530-2,532 zone or the all-time high reached in August, make it prudent to wait for strong follow-through buying before positioning for further gains. Traders are now looking forward to the US Producer Price Index (PPI) for fresh impetus.
Technical Analysis
Gold prices pushed up to 2521 in the late Asian session and as the European session began, prices are being pushed back down. The area of interest is the 2512 zone as prices failed to break through until mid-European session, then BUYing back up to 2528 before the US. Breaking 2528 holds until the 2555.xx peak. In the opposite direction when the 2512 zone is broken, wait for retest to sell to 2500 and 2595. In case gold does not push to 12 but flies away, sell again in the 2528-2530 zone.
SELL 2543 - 2545 Stoploss 2549
BUY 2503 - 2501. Stoploss 2498
BUY 2496 - 2494. Stoploss 249
The market is now paying attention to some US producer pricesWorld gold prices reversed and decreased slightly with spot gold down 5.9 USD to 2,511.8 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at $2,540.30 an ounce, down $5.60 from the bright spot.
Expectations for an interest rate cut at next week's main meeting decreased somewhat after the consumer price report put upward pressure on gold, causing the precious metal to lose 0.2% on the day. Accordingly, the latest report found that consumer prices in the US increased slightly in August, but underlying utilization remained stable, which may make the US Federal Reserve (Fed) unable to decided to reduce 50 basis points next week.
💎 OANDA:XAUUSD Buy 2485 - 2487💎
✔️TP1: 2500
✔️TP2: 2510
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2480
💎 OANDA:XAUUSD Sell 2522 - 2525💎
✔️TP1: 2510
✔️TP2: 2500
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2533
Gold, what is next, up or down, does anyone know?)After my last post on GOLD the price nearly hit my target at the all-time high (ATH), but now we're in a tricky situation:
1. We’ve got equal lows (EQL) and equal highs (EQH) forming on GOLD.
2. The price grabbed liquidity from the previous week's high (PWH), then nuked and closed below both the daily open and weekly open (WO) levels.
3. On the lower timeframes (5-15m), we've got market structure shifts (MS) and break of structure (BOS).
Given all these factors, I see three possible scenarios—two bearish and one bullish—all depending on how Monday and Tuesday’s price action (PA) plays out:
1. **Most likely**: A pump to the 15m order block (OB) in the golden pocket before moving downward toward the EQL.
2. **Bearish scenario**: The price drops from the market open straight down to EQL without testing any higher zones.
3. **Bullish scenario**: The price surges higher, closes above the 15m OB, and continues pushing toward the ATH.
Once either EQL or EQH is hit, we’ll need to watch for a reaction. Follow me if you don’t want to miss more insights like this!
XAUUSD 30M TRIANGE BREAKOUT PROJECTION 12.09.24Reason for Bullish In Gold
Any change in its demand anywhere in the world, either for jewellery or as an industrial input, affects the price of gold. The increase in the price of gold is directly proportional to the demand for gold and consumer goods. A crucial factor determining this demand-supply, is the production of gold.
A sharp reaction to the news A sharp reaction to the news
The XAU/USD market is driven by several macroeconomic factors, including interest rates, inflation expectations, geopolitical tensions, and overall risk sentiment in global financial markets. To understand how the price of XAU/USD might behave in the near term, let's examine the key factors at play:
1. Current Market Environment:
Global Inflation: Persistently high inflation typically supports gold prices as gold is considered a hedge against inflation. If inflation remains elevated, investors might continue to seek gold as a store of value.
US Dollar Strength: Gold prices are inversely related to the US dollar. A strong dollar can push gold prices lower as gold becomes more expensive for buyers in other currencies. Conversely, if the dollar weakens, gold prices can rise.
Interest Rates: Central bank policies, particularly the US Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates, play a significant role. Higher interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding gold (which doesn’t pay interest), potentially leading to lower demand. On the other hand, a dovish stance or rate cuts support gold prices.