Gold Surges Above 2600—Prepare for a Potential Reversal
After enjoying a pleasant weekend, we’re back to the action-packed market. Gold unexpectedly broke through 2600, reaching a high of 2631 today. Unfortunately, our short positions from Friday were caught in a trap.
However, there's no need to worry—trust me, a significant drop is inevitable, and it might be more dramatic than we anticipate.
Currently, the 15-minute chart indicates a potential for a small rebound, while the 2-hour chart signals bearish momentum. Based on this setup, it's likely that a head and shoulders pattern could form. Our strategy should be to increase our short positions above 2620 and patiently wait for the decline to unfold.
Xauusdshort
Gold Slips but Holds Near Record Levels Amid Fed Policy EasingGold Technical Analysis – 23 September 2024
Gold price Slip But remains close to Record Levels on Fed Policy Easing
As long as the price remains below $2,629, it is likely to test $2,615 and $2,605. In general, stability below $2,615 would signal a bearish move towards $2,588. Conversely, a sustained position above $2,630 would confirm a bullish trend targeting $2,640 and $2,655.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 2629
Resistance Levels: 2640, 2655, 2670
Support Levels: 2615, 2605, 2593
Trend: Bearish as long as the price remains below 2629
previous idea:
#XAUUSD 1HThe 1-hour analysis indicates that the price is consolidating near the trendline support area. If it closes below 2624.00, we will look for a selling opportunity after a retracement from that zone. Alternatively, if the price reaches 2650.00 directly, we can anticipate a significant drop.
#XAUUSD
XAUUSD: End of the bullish move? OANDA:XAUUSD
Price on today rose to 2589 which is the record all time high on gold, and rejected from that point. Since that price has been consolidating in range. After looking at how price have behaved now we are certain that price is likely to drop. We need to monitor the price in asian session and see if we can see a huge drop in price.
XAUUSD:Bearish intraday
Last Friday, gold made a strong breakout above resistance, stabilizing above 2600. Today’s opening continues to show slight consolidation at high levels. From a technical perspective, the short-term outlook is bearish, indicating that at least one retest of the 2600 support is needed to determine if there is further upward momentum.
In my personal view, a deeper pullback is more likely. By early October, there’s a high probability of a return to the 2550 level. Thus, my mid-term strategy will focus on short positions. For intraday trading, the key focus will be on the 2600 support area—if it holds, a long position around that level could be considered.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
New ATH XAU above 2630 next week✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 9/23 - 9/27/2024
🔥 World situation:
Gold prices surged past $2,600 to a new record high, fueled by expectations of further rate cuts from the Federal Reserve (Fed) and rising tensions between Israel and Hezbollah. XAU/USD is trading at $2,621, up 1.37%.
Risk aversion is evident as Wall Street's major indices posted slight losses. Fed Governor Christopher Waller supported a 50-basis-point rate cut, expecting low August PCE inflation data.
🔥 Identify:
FOMO to create new ATH for XAU is still very large - continue to expect higher price zones next week, before the market corrects again. New ATH target: 2643-2665
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $2638, $2650, 2665
Support : $2584, $2558, 2529
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
EURUSD week 39 analysis🌐Fundamental Analysis
EUR/USD faced selling pressure above 1.1150 during North American trading hours on Friday. The major currency pair fell as the US dollar (USD) recovered. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the greenback's value against six major currencies, rebounded sharply to near 101.00
However, the overall outlook for the US dollar remains uncertain, following the Fed's aggressive rate cut and growing market expectations that the US central bank will continue its aggressive policy easing cycle. The Fed cut interest rates by 50 basis points (bps) as policymakers appeared to focus on restoring strength in the labour market as inflation eases to the bank's 2% target.
In terms of interest rate guidance, Fed policymakers see the federal funds rate heading towards 4.4% by year-end, according to the latest dot plot. However, traders expect a further 75 bps cut to 4.00%-4.25%, according to the CME FedWatch tool.
🕯Technical Analysis
The EURUSD uptrend has seen some minor corrections but the buying pressure remains strong, so the immediate price range the pair faces next week is around 1.222 and 1.112. The highest measured Fibonacci extension of 1.618 will be around 1.126 and a retracement of the strategic support zone of 1.108 will keep the pair from a long slide.
📈📉Trading Signals
SELL EURUSD zone 1.126-1.128 Stoploss 1.130
BUY EURUSD zone 1.112-1.110 Stoploss 1.108
COT Strategy - Gold ShortDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence.
COT Strategy
SHORT
Gold (GC)
My COT strategy has me on alert for short trades in GC if we get a confirmed bearish change of trend on the Daily timeframe.
COT Commercial Index: Sell Signal
Valuation: Overvalued vs Treasuries
Extreme Positioning: Commercials most short they have been in last 3 years = bearish. Only thing that would be better is SS's making an extreme in long positioning, but no luck with that yet (but something I'm watching).
OI Analysis: OI has been increasing on up move since June. When OI increases, we need to ask "who caused the OI increase"? When it is caused by Large Specs & Small Specs, it is bearish. In the case of Gold, it is being caused by LS & SS's, which is bearish.
Spread: Bearishly diverging.
ADX: Diverging, implying the trend lacks integrity.
Supplementary Indicators: Acc/Dis , %R, Stochastic & Momentum (not yet triggered)
Remember, this is not a "Short Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the downside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the downside.
Good luck & good trading.
I'm sorry, I have been short againBros, you all know that I shorted gold some time ago. Although I was stuck for a few days, gold still gave me a chance to close the position near 2553, and finally closed the position with a profit of $90K.
At present, gold has risen above 2620 again. I think there should be many brothers chasing gold. I am sorry, I started shorting gold again and plan to hold it in the medium term. Bros, I calculated in advance that if gold can fall to 2575, I can make more than $50K in profit. If gold unexpectedly falls to 2550, there will be another huge profit! I am looking forward to such a result!
Bros, let's wait and see!
Bearish - weekend correction after reaching ATH $2600⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) gained for the second consecutive day on Friday, approaching the record high reached after the Federal Reserve's significant interest rate cut earlier this week. The Fed also hinted at more cuts, weakening the US Dollar and supporting gold.
Concerns about economic slowdowns in the US and China, along with geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, further boost gold’s appeal. However, the global stock market rally limits strong gains for the safe-haven metal, keeping upward momentum in check during the Asian session.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price reached ATH this week: 2600, In the context of many concerns about the impending economic recession - the psychology of waiting will cause gold prices to quickly adjust downwards.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2580 - $2578 SL $2573
TP1: $2588
TP2: $2595
TP3: $2603
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2567 - $2565 SL $2560
TP1: $2573
TP2: $2580
TP3: $2590
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2613 - $2615 SL $2620
TP1: $2600
TP2: $2585
TP3: $2560
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
XAUUSD: As long as it doesn’t break 2600, boldly sellYesterday's gold market was really frightening. First, the Federal Reserve announced an interest rate of 50 basis points, which was higher than market expectations. The price of gold rose from 2567 to 2600, setting a new historical high again. Then Powell's speech showed hesitation and uncertainty, and pointed out that the Fed was not in a hurry to cut interest rates. It would proceed at a suitable pace or slow during the interest rate cut cycle. This dovish speech led to a decline in investors' attractiveness to gold. The gold price plummeted from 2600 by $50 and stabilized the decline in the 2550-2560 range.
However, since the 50 basis point interest rate cut is already on the table, the Federal Reserve has launched a monetary easing policy and the first rate cut is larger than before. This makes the market believe that there may be another 50-100 basis point interest rate cut before the end of this year. Therefore, gold is now back again The high area of 2590.
Although there is still the possibility of interest rate cuts before the end of the year, I think that is a long-term problem, and for us who are short-term traders, it is not the focus of attention.
From the market point of view, after yesterday's sharp decline that started at 2600, the shape of gold has changed, and it is in line with the short-term peak signal.
Therefore, my view on the current gold is that it is bearish in the short term and bullish in the long term.
Trading strategy:
Now the gold price has reached the high range of 2600-2590. As long as it does not set a new high again, you can boldly sell here
Gold Roadmap!!!After the announcement of the US Federal Funds Rate (The Federal Reserve lowered the US Federal Funds Rate by 0.5% to 5.00%.), Gold started to rise again after the bear trap from the Support zone($2,574-$2,560) .
Gold is currently moving near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Resistance lines .
According to Elliott wave theory , Gold is completing microwave 5 of main wave 5 , which can be completed in the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
Also, Regular Divergence (RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Gold to start falling from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and the first target would be to break the Uptrend line and the Support zone($2,574-$2,560) .
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
GOLD – PREPARE FOR BATTLE - BREAKOUT AND RETESTTeam, GOLD PRICE is currently at 2609.83
We await the GOLD price to confirm and break out, then retest at 2604-.30-2603.32.
Then we will SHORT.
Target at 2594.88
Target 2 at 2584.88
Target 3 at 2580.80
Once the price hit first target bring stop loss to BE, it will be a fast sell off
XAUUSD M30 ANALYSIS | LOOKING FOR SELL MEAL!Hi, everyone! I hope you’re all doing great and geared up for today’s trading prospects. I’m eager to share my insights on XAUUSD and explore a potential setup that I believe could be quite beneficial for us.
Looking at the current market conditions, it’s evident that XAUUSD has recently tapped into all buy-side liquidity. This movement hints at a possible change in market sentiment and suggests the emergence of bearish momentum. With that in mind, I’m contemplating a short position on XAUUSD, targeting an entry point at 2600.
Here’s my thorough analysis:
Market Overview: The recent price action indicates that buyers may have reached their limit. With liquidity being exhausted, we could see sellers take charge, driving prices down. Historical trends and current patterns align with this bearish perspective, making it a prime opportunity to leverage potential declines.
Target Levels: For this trade, I’ve set my first target at 2685, with aspirations for further movement down to around 2675. These levels have previously demonstrated significant support, and I believe they will be pivotal during this trading session.
Risk Management: To safeguard our investment, I’ll be placing a stop loss at 2608. This provides a comfortable 80-pip cushion, allowing for some market fluctuations while protecting our capital. It’s crucial to implement a solid risk management strategy, especially in the dynamic environment of XAUUSD.
Trade Execution: I encourage each of you to evaluate this setup according to your own strategies and risk tolerance. Ensure that your trade aligns with your overall trading plan. If you’re considering this trade, I recommend staying alert for confirmation signals before making your move.
Community Interaction: I want to take a moment to thank you all for the amazing support and engagement you’ve shown towards my ideas. Your feedback inspires me and enhances our community. If you have insights, alternative viewpoints, or questions about this setup—or anything else—please share in the comments! I’m excited to discuss and learn from all of you.
Looking Ahead: As we navigate today’s trading session, let’s stay focused and flexible. Markets can shift quickly, and being prepared to adjust our strategies is essential for success. Remember, trading isn’t just about profits; it’s also about continuous learning and growth as traders.
Thank you all once again for being such a fantastic community! Together, let’s seize today’s trading opportunities. Here’s to a successful day ahead—let’s go for those profits! 🚀💰✨
Happy trading, everyone!
XAUUSD - Gold 1HRSimple Trading - Expanding Wedge pattern
Gold has broken above the expanding wedge and is now pushing for its target (2615). Expect gold to continue to the previous High (2600) and make a higher high.
If the Expanding Wedge pattern plays out correctly, 2615 should be the next target. Keep in mind that there is strong resistance at the 2600 price level. Expect another fakeout.
The previous week's high (PWH) is acting as support. If two or more Bearish candles close below the
PWH/support... this could indicate sell pressure.
*These are just my thoughts, not financial advice.
Gold: Calm Market Expected: Focus on Short Positions
Yesterday's trades were very successful. I bought at 2552 and closed at 2578, then sold at 2588 and closed at 2572, resulting in solid profits.
It's Friday, and with no significant news scheduled for release—aside from uncontrollable events like natural disasters—the market should remain calm today. A $20 range would already be considerable movement.
An upward move is unlikely. On a day like this, relying purely on technical patterns, a breakout above 2600 is a pipe dream. Instead, the probability of dropping to 2572 is much higher.
So, the strategy for today is to focus on selling. There's no need to consider bullish trades.
What's Next For Gold?Thursday's Daily candle formed an inside bar, there are a lot of long positions being held by buyers at the lows of yesterday's candle.
I expect price to rally above yesterday's high to allow buyers to take profit and then dump into yesterday's lows .
Price points are on the chart as well as directional bias.
Gold's Wild Ride: Rebound Completed, Time to Short Again
Crazy gold! The market has regained all of yesterday’s losses in today’s rally. This market is always full of surprises!
Now it's clear that the resistance at 2600 is very strong. Since it couldn't break through, it's time to switch back to short positions. What rose from here is likely to fall back down to the same level.
Sell, with a target profit (TP) at 2572.