Gold on the Verge – Breakout to 2,705 or Drop Back to 2,673?Alright, folks, Gold (XAU/USD) is flirting with a breakout. If the bulls push it past 2,705, we could see some real upside momentum. But if it runs out of steam, we might dip back toward the 2,673-2,667 support zone for a reset.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 2,705 – A breakout here could spark a rally higher.
Support: 2,673 – Bulls need to hold this line to avoid more downside.
Fallback Zone: 2,667 – If this level cracks, we’re likely heading lower.
Right now, we’re at a pivotal moment. Will buyers keep the momentum alive, or are we headed for a quick pullback? Keep a close eye on the next move—there’s opportunity on both sides.
What do you think—are we breaking higher or taking a breather? Drop your thoughts, follow, and share if this helped you get prepped for the next move.
Mindbloome trader
Trade what you see
Xauusdlong
NEW ATH ! XAU ! wait to reach $2700 for gold⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The recent drop in Crude Oil prices is likely to reduce inflation pressures, enabling major central banks to cut interest rates further, which supports demand for Gold. The European Central Bank is set for its third rate cut of the year this Thursday, while a sharp decline in UK inflation has strengthened expectations of a Bank of England rate cut in November.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices recovered - when war information continued to have a good impact on the Gold market. Expect to touch old ATH 2685 this week and correct to create additional liquidity
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2700 - $2702 SL $2707
TP1: $2690
TP2: $2680
TP3: $2670
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2663 - $2661 SL $2656
TP1: $2670
TP2: $2680
TP3: $2690
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
XAUUSD: SELLAfter forming a head-and-shoulders bottom pattern, gold has not broken the support level at 2656 and subsequently surged to around 2680. Currently, there is a need for a pullback in this pattern. Traders can initially take a short position, monitoring the support in the 2668-2663 range. If this support holds, consider going long; if it breaks, wait for a rebound to enter short.
XAUUSD: After a New High, a Support Retest is Needed
Following a recent pullback, gold is now in the midst of a rebound, riding the momentum of its newly achieved all-time high. However, the difficulty of sustaining further upside increases at this stage. Therefore, it presents a strategic opportunity to establish short positions in the 2680-2690 range, anticipating a fresh support retest.
If the price holds above 2668 during this pullback, it could signal another buying opportunity, allowing traders to re-enter long positions with confidence.
Seize the Opportunity and Preemptively Position for ShortsShortly, the U.S. will release the initial jobless claims data and September retail sales month-over-month figures. Prior to the announcement, I personally predict these data points are likely to be bearish for XAUUSD, making it a good opportunity to preemptively position for shorts, suggesting a short entry around 2690 while awaiting the data release.
XAUUSD Trading Strategy:
Short at the high of 2688, with a take-profit target set at 2670.
XAUUSD: Continue to be bullish, buy during pullback, target 2700Yesterday, our strategy was to wait for a pullback to the support range before buying. The direction and prediction were very accurate. The gold price pulled back from the initial 2680, the lowest was 2666, and then rose again to the historical high of 2685. Unfortunately, the lowest point of the pullback only reached 2666, which was only 1-2$ away from our buying range of 2665-2660. Therefore, I did not trade yesterday and missed a wave of nearly 20$ of rising profits.
Now the gold price is still around 2680, and my view is still bullish, with a target of 2700.
But there is indeed a risk of pullback if you chase the rise now. After all, the historical high of 2685 has failed to break twice, and you are not sure whether it will appear for the third time.
Therefore, my trading strategy today is still to wait for the pullback to the support range before considering buying.
Depending on the situation, the buying range can be adjusted flexibly.
Bullish breakout tp 3000$Entry 2683 & 2674.5
Sl 2666&2678.60 ss trail stop
Pair above 2700 opens A whole 1000 points again like 1800/2000$ breakouts
2678.60 ImportAnt support to keep view to 2714/2800
2525/2600 daily support sl zone for buyers
Initial target now confidently with economic unsettling war commotion
Inflation cuts of covid
News in ImportAnt country distributors looking for gold buying/ back money by money
Rising indices to somehow work with this boosting as after crisis seems to buy hard after rallies will make gold compete for spotlight with btc
5000/10000$ &100000k
We will keep buying mn tp daily on lows even if price turns new figures
1M$ doesnt seem crazy but when longest term of hyperbolic trend
XAUUSD top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold Surges After U.S. Inflation Data | New perspective In this week’s analysis, we dive into Gold's 1% surge following U.S. inflation data, which has sparked fresh uncertainty over inflation trends and boosted demand for safe-haven assets. The Consumer Price Index rose by 0.2% last month, while bullish PPI figures suggest the Fed could be on track for interest rate cuts in 2024.
With escalating geopolitical tensions, could Gold rally beyond $3,000 before year-end?
XAUUSD Technical Overview:
This week, we’re zeroing in on the critical $2,660 zone. If Gold stays above this level, bulls may maintain control, potentially pushing prices to new highs. However, if Gold dips below, bears could force a pullback toward the descending channel’s support line.
📌 Stay tuned as we navigate the next big moves in the Gold market!
#GoldMarket #XAUUSD #InflationData #FederalReserve #SafeHavenAssets #Geopolitics #MarketAnalysis📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Peter Would be Proud! NEXT LEG UP CONFIRMED?#gold TVC:XAU We have now confirmation on the 12h chart by having a close strong above previous highs.
Entry on any retrace toward the green price range AND PLACE YOUR STOP at the most recent low.
If we do break below this low then we might be in for a bigger retrace... #SADPETER
Use 2684 as resistance to short goldToday, gold was pushed up to around 2683. This round of gold rise is in line with our expectations. Yesterday, we went long on gold in the 2645-2650 area and made a good profit. Currently, gold is approaching the previous high of 2684. Although bullish sentiment is high, I do not recommend going long on gold here directly, after all, the suppression of the previous high still exists.
We have just shorted gold near 2683. Currently, gold has fallen back to around 2674, and our short position has made a good profit. Then our short target is the 2670-2665 area. Of course, if gold can fall back to the 2660-2655 area, I may consider going long on gold in combination with the real-time market.
Can gold rise to 2700 points this time?The trend of gold yesterday and today basically completely verified my trading idea yesterday. When the gold price was still at 2654 yesterday, I clearly said that the high point was definitely not 2666. At the same time, I also said that this high point would most likely break through, and the target could be seen in the 2670-2680 range, and bought at 2650 to make a lot of profit.
Now the new high has reached 2682, but it has not stood firm. Yesterday I said that as long as the gold price can stand firm at 2680, it can refresh the historical high of 2685, and look forward to the 2700 integer mark. Today I also maintain this view unchanged.
Now the gold price is correcting, I think this is a move to accumulate power to refresh the historical high, so I will look for the right time to buy again next
From the Fibonacci retracement indicator of this rise, 2665 is at 0.618, and 2660 is at 0.5, so I think that if it cannot stand firm above 2680, the gold price is likely to fall back to the support range of 2665-2660 again. As long as it reaches this range, it can be bought again
XAU / USD ! 10/16 Bulls prevail $2685XAU / USD trend forecast October 16, 2024
Gold prices rose on Tuesday as US Treasury yields fell, limiting gains for the US Dollar. The economic calendar included the New York Empire State Manufacturing Index and the NY Fed Consumer Expectations Survey, with XAU/USD trading at $2,664.
The Empire State Manufacturing Index for September showed a weak result, while the NY Fed survey indicated higher inflation expectations for the month.
Gold price surpassed the nearest resistance zone of 2660, approaching the next price zone of 2672. The bulls are dominating, determined to find the old ATH of 2685 this week.
/// SELL XAU : zone 2685-2682
SL: 2690
TP: 50 - 100 - 200 pips (2665)
/// BUY XAU : zone 2653-2650
SL: 2645
TP: 50 - 100 - 200 pips (2670)
Safe and profitable trading
Invest in Gold? Exploring the Impact of Diwali
The price of gold has reached unprecedented heights in the retail market, setting a new record as the Hindu festival of Diwali draws near. Factors, including increased demand, global economic uncertainties, and geopolitical tensions have driven this price surge.
The Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) December contracts for gold have also witnessed a significant uptick, reflecting the broader upward trend in the precious metal's value. This positive momentum is largely attributed to favorable global cues, such as concerns over the US debt ceiling and ongoing geopolitical tensions.
Factors Driving the Gold Price Surge
• Diwali Demand: The festival of Diwali, known for its celebrations and gift-giving, is a significant driver of gold demand in India. As the festival approaches, consumers are increasingly purchasing gold jewelry, coins, and bars as a symbol of prosperity and wealth.
• Global Economic Uncertainties: The lingering effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, coupled with geopolitical tensions and concerns about global economic growth, have made gold a safe-haven asset for investors. As uncertainty persists, investors are turning to gold as a hedge against market volatility.
• Inflationary Pressures: Rising inflation rates, both domestically and internationally, have also contributed to the increase in gold prices. As purchasing power declines, consumers may seek to preserve their wealth by investing in gold.
• Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing geopolitical conflicts, such as the Russia-Ukraine war and tensions in the Middle East, have created a sense of unease and uncertainty in global markets. This has led to increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Impact on Retail Market
The surge in gold prices has had a significant impact on the retail market. Jewelry stores and bullion dealers have reported a surge in demand for gold products, leading to increased prices and longer waiting times for certain items. Some consumers may find it challenging to afford the higher prices, while others may view it as an opportunity to invest in a valuable asset.
Government Measures and Outlook
In response to the rising gold prices, governments may consider implementing measures to curb demand or stabilize prices. These measures could include import restrictions, increased taxes on gold purchases, or the release of gold from government reserves.
However, the outlook for gold prices remains positive, particularly in the short term. As Diwali approaches and global uncertainties persist, gold prices will likely continue to be supported by strong demand and a favorable market environment.
Conclusion
The record-high gold prices witnessed in the retail market as Diwali nears are a reflection of a confluence of factors, including increased demand, global economic uncertainties, and geopolitical tensions. While the surge in prices may pose challenges for some consumers, it also presents opportunities for investors seeking to preserve their wealth and hedge against market volatility. As the festival of Diwali approaches, it is anticipated that gold prices will remain elevated, driven by strong demand and a favorable market environment.
Golden opportunity for gold!
The Fibonacci channel has been drawn, and Elliott waves can be observed on the chart. Currently, the price is in the fifth Elliott wave. We have two scenarios for the future of gold:
1)The first scenario is a bullish scenario. Given the geopolitical tensions and conflicts between Israel, Iran, and Lebanon, as well as China's threats against Taiwan, which have all contributed to a further increase in gold prices, if these trends continue, it could complete wave 5 at the 1.414 level of the Fibonacci channel.
2)The second scenario is a bearish scenario. If we witness a hawkish stance from the FED or a reduction in geopolitical tensions, then we should expect a price reversal from the previous high of 2687. In this case, the 0.618 Fibonacci channel level would serve as strong support.
Considering the geopolitical tensions, I believe the first scenario and a breakout above the previous high are more likely. In that case, we should watch for a breakout above the previous high and then enter a long position after confirmation.
XAU recovers - positive market !! $2685⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) rose for the second consecutive day on Wednesday, reaching a one-and-a-half-week high of around $2,670 during the Asian session. Lower US Treasury yields pulled the US Dollar away from its two-month peak, supporting gold. Additionally, weaker global equity markets and ongoing geopolitical risks boosted demand for the safe-haven metal.
Central bank demand further supported gold prices, though expectations of a less aggressive policy easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed) and a likely 25 basis point rate cut in November may limit any significant USD decline. Moreover, reports that Israel won't target Iran’s oil and nuclear sites could cap further gains for gold, suggesting caution for additional upward movement.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices recovered - when war information continued to have a good impact on the Gold market. Expect to touch old ATH 2685 this week and correct to create additional liquidity
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2651 - $2649 SL $2644
TP1: $2660
TP2: $2670
TP3: $2683
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2671 - $2673 SL $2677 SCALPING
TP1: $2665
TP2: $2660
TP3: $2650
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2683 - $2685 SL $2690
TP1: $2675
TP2: $2668
TP3: $2660
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Bulls Take Profits, Await Shorting Opportunities
Today's long position within the 2652-2646 range has been successful—congratulations to those who followed my strategy!
In trading, identifying strong signals is critical to profit. Without it, the market can be unforgiving.
Currently, the bulls are in control, but as soon as momentum shows signs of weakening, it will be time to shift focus and prepare for a short position. Stay vigilant and ready to act when the opportunity presents itself.
XAUUSD, 30-minute timeframe chartXAUUSD, 30-minute timeframe chart
XAUUSD break the resistance level of 2,667.00
General outlook
XAUUSD has been under buying pressure within the last day. The pair moved up to the resistance level of 2,667.00.
Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a buy limit order at 2,666.30.
Set your stop loss at 2,660.30 below the previous low ($6.00 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 2,682.30 ($17.00 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
Still sticking to long gold!Today, gold reached 2638 during the retracement process and then rebounded again, but did not effectively fall below 2640. The gold correction did not fall below 50%, so there is still room for gold to rise again.
From the perspective of technical structure, gold has signs of building a head and shoulders bottom pattern at the short-term level. Once gold cannot effectively fall below 2640, it is still possible for gold to rise to the 2670-2680 area.
So in terms of short-term trading, if gold falls back to the 2645-2640 area, I will consider adding more money to be long gold.
Gold's low has been confirmed, and the rise will be unstoppableIn yesterday's article, I clearly said that you can buy gold boldly when it falls back to the support area of 2642-2630. Although this trend did not come out yesterday, I bought it without hesitation when the gold price fell today, and took profits at 2654. But this does not mean that the gold price has reached its limit. I think as long as the gold price falls back to 2650 later, you can consider buying here, and the high point is definitely not the previous high of 2666.
From yesterday's 1H chart, we can see that 2642 is 0.618. Although the gold price hit 2638 today, the real closing line is still around 2642. Therefore, according to the recent three callback trends, as long as it does not effectively fall below the support of 0.618 in the short term, it can be regarded as a bullish trend.
At the same time, I think the previous high of 2666 is definitely not a short-term high point. This rise is likely to break through here. The first target above can be seen in the range of 2670-2680. If it can stand at 2680, the gold price is likely to test the 2700 integer mark again.
The above is my view on gold today. Recently, my gold trading strategy has maintained a hot state of continuous profit. If you want to copy my trading details, you can contact me