WTI Oil: Buy opportunity on the pull back.Oil made the expected Higher High on the 1D Channel Up (RSI = 56.507, MACD = 0.750, Highs/Lows = 0.1029, as forecasted on the buy call below:
At the moment the 4H RSI has reached the 1-month peak and is consolidating, a sign that normally indicates the start of a pull back within the Channel Up in order to price a Higher Low. If the 4H MA50 breaks (so far held once on Friday), we are expecting a full retrace to the Buy Zone within the Higher Low and MA200. Our Target Zone then will be 59.80 - 60.90.
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Wticrudeoil
WTI Crude OilFundamental :
OPEC and Russia decided to deepen the existing 1.2 million barrels per day cut in output by additional 500,000 barrels per day through the end of March 2020.
Technical :
58.62 become bullish key level, if this level break up, bullish target at 62.11 (September high)
We have support zone at 58.63 to 57.42
Trading plan 1 :
We can buy right now at 58.62
or wait at support 58.08
Stoploss bellow 57.47
target at 62.11
Trading Plan 2 :
Buy long after bullish key level break up above 58.62
Stoploss bellow 58.03
target at 62.11
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WTI OIL Bullish Trading planPattern: 1D Channel Up.
Signal: Bullish as the price broke the 58.80 Symmetrical Resistance, which (excluding the Saudi attack on September 16th) has been holding since July.
Target: 61.00 (1st 1W Resistance) and if the Lower High trend line (red bold) of the Descending Triangle breaks, 63.50 (2nd 1W Resistance).
See how accurate the 1W Descending Triangle has been on my last Support Buy:
WTI Crude Oil Preparing for OPEC MeetingThe West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil market initially tried to rally during the trading session on Monday, bouncing from the uptrend line and reaching towards and above the 50-day SMA initially. The crude oil market kick off the week with rally, as an Iraq oil minister suggested that not only would OPEC continue its production cuts, but it would possibly even consider cutting an additional 400,000 barrels a day. The rally ran into a brick wall though as President Trump announced new tariffs in Latin America and threatened new ones on Europe.
At the end of the day Brent crude and WTI gave up their gains to finish almost unchanged. Now WTI crude oil is showing convergence with its hourly 20 SMA and trading below its 50 SMA on the same chart.
Near-term action is weighed by Friday’s massive bearish daily candle, with Friday’s close below 38.2% Fibo support at $55.78 (on last 2 months rise of $50.55 to $58.71) adding to negative near-term tone, which is expected to persist while recovery attempts remain capped by daily high ($58.15).
It is because of this that the $55 level underneath will offer plenty of support, but if it does in fact get broken, the market should goes down towards the $52.50 level (78.6% Fibo).
On the upside, the daily 200 SMA line remain relevant and are additional barriers against upward movement. The first resistance is at 56.50. Next is resistance from the 200-EMA at 57.51.
Overall, we believe that the market is going to continue the overall uptrend and channel for the rest of the week, but it will more than likely be very choppy, and news driven.
WTI Oil: Medium term Buy opportunity.Oil took a hard hit last Friday towards the 54.85 1D Support. Technically this makes a perfect Higher Low on the 1D Channel Up (RSI = 47.115, MACD = 0.310, ADX = 20.203, Highs/Lows = -0.4050). On top of that the 4H RSI is on the lowest level since early August, so we are taking this as a strong medium term buy opportunity. Our Target Zone is 58.00 - 58.70 (region within the 4H gap fill and 1D Resistance).
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WTI Could Test $58 Key ResistanceOil posted its biggest percentage decline in nearly 2 months after reports indicated Russia is unlikely to lower production at the upcoming OPEC meeting. WTI dropped towards its 7-week support trend line, but after that rebounded from $ 55.00 and 200-day SMA on H4 chart.
Earlier on Wednesday, the EIA reported that overall Crude stocks rose 1.4 Mb, about in line with consensus for a 1.5 Mb. However, the market latched on to the fact inventories at Cushing fell 2.3 Mb barrels, the most significant drop in 3 months.
When you look out over the last couple of months, we essentially have been forming an uptrend and bullish channel, and as a result we could very easily go higher. The nearest resistance is near $57.17 at 50% Fibo level on the recent fall from 63.38 to 51.06 (4-hours). A clear break there will extend the rise for testing key resistance $58. It corespondent to the upper border of the current range. In that area the market could see a bit of market memory where sellers could come back in. Conversely, if the price fails to continue under $56.50, it could resume its decline.
Ultimately, we like the idea of buying short-term pullbacks. But we're looking for any type of major breakout in one direction or the other, since the market have found a bit of an equilibrium in the last month.
West Texas Oil - follow channelANALYSIS ON West Texas Oil
Welcome to my analysis
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2HR CHart
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Interesting Point of interest In the West Texas Oil pair.
- Price above 200 day EMA.
- look for buy signals.
- Expecting some minor downward movement.
- Watch 59.00 for take profit.
- MACD showing bullish divergence
Stay Tuned
OIL - Daily - Buy setup for a swing trade Crude OIl - Daily - After recent distribution I can see price coming near a daily demand zone around 54.50.. I was long oil this week and got stopped out but mid term bias remains the same.. Oil is trading in a bullish structure so im anticipating a dip into the demand zone around 54.50 with stops below 53.70 and target 60-61...
Crude Oil Markets Seems Try to Recover After Initially FallingRecently, the oil market follow the general run of risk sentiment. However, oil markets are still weaker this morning despite the rebound in risk sentiment.
The last main story in oil markets was the news over the weekend of the discovery of new oil reserves by Iran. They were reported to have discovered an oil field containing the equivalent of 53bn barrels of oil. However, it is not clear how much of that is new or commercially viable. The last thing OPEC needs is more oil discoveries given oil’s current level of abundance...
In spite of a large inventory build the net long oil positions on US crude increased last week for the third consecutive week mainly due to the tariff rollback headlines. So without a reaffirmation of progress between the US and China, these new contracts remain susceptible to headline risk and even a long position squeeze.
Technically, on the daily chart the West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil market initially fell towards the $56 level underneath before turning around and showing signs of strength. At this point, the market looks very likely to turn around and try to reach towards the $58 level. Breaking through that level of course would be very bullish but will run into a significant amount of trouble near the $60 level. In that area is located 78.6% Fibo retracement level (of the fall from the Sept. high 63.68 to the October low $51.06) at $60.77.
To the downside, there is a significant amount of support near the 200-day EMA which is closer to the $55.40 level. Underneath there, the $54 - 53.70 area be targeted for support as well.
Looking at the overall market though, we are essentially in a massive consolidation area.
WTI Oil: Sell and Buy entries within the Channel Up.Oil hit our last buy target (57.30) and the 1D Channel Up (RSI = 58.982, MACD = 0.300, Highs/Lows = 1.1300) is near its Higher High trend line. As mentioned since October 16th, the Higher Highs of the Channel are symmetrical with the Lower Lows of September's downtrend (see that idea below):
We are expecting a similar price action with a rebound near the 4H MA200 (55.00). Our long Target is 58.50.
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WTI Oil: Long signal on the Higher Low. Golden Cross emerging.Oil has been trading within a 4H Channel Up (RSI = 53.399, MACD = 0.280, Highs/Lows = -0.0057) since the beginning of October. Today the pattern made a Higher Low and naturally the price rebounded above the 4H MA200 (orange line). The expected target is 57.30 which is marginally under the 57.70 Top of the current bullish leg (safer call).
If you remember our last call, the Higher Highs of the Channel are symmetrical with the Lower Lows of Septembers downtrend. See how accurately this pattern traded:
Also keep in mind that 4H is about to form a Golden Cross (MA50 over MA200) which is a bullish pattern and last time that happened in September 6th, Oil hit the 63.35 High in 10 days.
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