ADX-BRIEFING: recent trade on US OilTrade recap for ADX-BRIEFING
Sunday, December 20, 2020
Trade closed at 7:20 pm NY time
More details in the video.
François Normandeau
Institutional Research Director at ADX-BRIEFING
TVC:USOIL
TVC:UKOIL
Wticrudeoil
WTI : what is top target for end of year or start of 2021 ? possible target for oil until end of year and 2021 start could be 65$ barril it could be super good exit.
OIL WTI Targets $50 Next? Watch Video!Where is OIL WTI headed next?
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Oil Tests The $49 LevelOil managed to get above the resistance at $48.65 and continues to move higher in the upside channel. RSI is in the overbought territory so the risks of a pullback are increasing. The next resistance level for oil is located at $49.40. If oil manages to settle above this level, it will head towards the psychologically important $50 level.
On the support side, the previous resistance at $48.65 will likely serve as the first support level for oil. A move below this level will open the way to the test of the next support at $48.00. If oil declines below $48.00, it will head towards the support at $47.70.
Oil Tries To Settle Above $48Oil managed to get above the resistance at $47.70 and is trying to settle above $48. If this attempt is successful, oil will have a good chance to get to the test of the next resistance at $48.65. A move above $48.65 will push oil towards the resistance at $49.40.
On the support side, the previous resistance at $47.70 will likely serve as the first support level for oil. If oil declines below this level, it will head towards the support at $47.30. A move below $47.30 will open the way to the test of the support at $46.65.
Oil Pulls Back As Traders Take Some Profits Off The TableOil did not manage to settle above the resistance at $47.70 and pulled back. The nearest support level for oil is located at $46.65, and a move below this level will push oil towards the next support at $46.25.
On the upside, the situation has not changed compared to the previous trading session as oil needs to settle above $47.70 to continue its upside move and get to the test of the resistance at $48.00. A move above $48.00 will likely allow oil to develop additional upside momentum and get closer to the next resistance at $48.65.
From a big picture point of view, oil continues to move higher in an upside channel. RSI returned to the moderate territory so oil will have a good chance to gain more upside momentum when additional positive catalysts emerge.
Oil Is Heading Towards The $48 LevelOil managed to get above the resistance at $47.30 and is trying to settle above recent highs at $47.70. If oil manages to settle above this level, it will head towards the next resistance at the $48 level. A move above the resistance at $48 will push oil towards the resistance at $48.65.
On the support side, oil may get some support at the previous resistance at $47.30. A move below this level will push oil towards the support at $46.65. In case oil declines below this level, it will head towards the support at $46.25. A successful test of this support level will open the way to the support near yesterday’s lows at $45.80.
It should be noted that oil made an attempt to settle below the low end of the current upside channel during yesterday’s trading session but failed to develop downside momentum. This was a very good development for oil bulls.
WTI OIL Are we repeating May's Channel Up? Slow rise to $55?This is a strange but quite interesting fractal I found as I was trying to break-down the current Channel Up on the 1D time-frame that WTI is trading in.
As you see the current pattern resembles the sequence of May-early June 2020. Both started rising aggressively after the 1D MA50 (blue line) turned into Support. Shortly after the RSI turned sideways and in the case of May/ June, it stayed sideways and consolidated until the end of August.
So far we see this RSI consolidation on full display and it leads me to believe that we may have a similar development into early 2021. Is $55 possible by March? What do you think?
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Oil Tries To Get Out Of The Upside ChannelOil gained downside momentum and is trying to settle below the support at $45.80. A move below this support level will push oil towards the low of the previous pullback at $45.00. More importantly, oil will get out of the current upside channel which will be dangerous for the bulls. If oil settles below the support at $45.00, it will head towards the 20 EMA at $44.65.
On the upside, the nearest resistance level for oil is located at $46.25. If oil gets back above this level, it will head towards the next resistance at $46.65. A move above $46.65 will push oil towards the resistance at $47.30. In case oil manages to settle above $47.30, it will head to the test of the recent highs at $47.70.
Oil Rallies As Traders Ignore Rising Inventories Oil gained strong upside momentum and managed to get above recent highs at $46.65. Currently, oil is moving towards the $48 level. There are few important levels in this area so oil may move fast.
The nearest significant resistance is located at $48.60, although oil may also face some resistance at lower levels. If oil gets above $48.60, it will head towards the next material resistance at $49.40.
On the support side, the previous resistance at $46.65 will likely serve as the first support level for oil. If oil declines below this level, it will gain downside momentum and quickly get to the test of the next support at $46.25.
Oil Falls After Shocking Increase In Crude InventoriesOil is under pressure after the release of a shocking inventory report which indicated that crude inventories increased by 15.2 million barrels.
As a result, oil is trying to settle below the nearest support level at $45.20. A move below this level will push oil towards the next support at $44.75. If oil declines below $44.75, it will head towards the support at $44.40. In this case, oil will have a good chance to develop additional downside momentum.
On the upside, oil needs to get back above $45.80. The next resistance level, which has been tested during the current trading sessions, is located at $46.25. If oil settles above this level, it will gain upside momentum and head towards the recent highs at $46.65.
Oil outlookOil made a new high post negative territory above 45usd/barrel and for 2 weeks now is staling in this zone.
I think at least a correction is just around the corner and WTI could fall to 43, to say the least.
A confirmation for sellers comes with a break under 45.
I'm looking to sell it
Oil Did Not Manage To Settle Above $46Oil failed to settle above the $46 level and even tried to get to the test of the $45 level but received support near $45.20. If oil declines below $45.20, it will head towards the next support level at $44.75. A move below this level will push oil towards the support at $44.40.
On the upside, oil needs to settle above $45.80 to have a chance to get to the test of the resistance at $46.25. If oil gets above $46.25, it will head towards the next resistance at the recent highs at $46.65.
While oil failed to immediately develop upside momentum above the $46 level, it maintains solid chances to continue its upside move.
Oil Pulls Back At The Start Of The WeekOil is facing some pressure at the start of the week and tries to settle below $46.00. However, support for oil remains strong, and it needs to settle below the nearest support level at $45.80 to develop downside momentum.
On the upside, a move above $46.25 will push oil towards the recent highs at $46.65. A successful test of this level will open the way to the $47 level.
At this point, the big picture remains bullish for oil, and it should be noted that the recent attempt to gain downside momentum was quickly stopped at $45.40.
Oil Tests Resistance At $46.25Oil managed to get above the resistance level at $45.80 and is trying to settle above the next resistance at the previous highs at $46.25. It has already managed to get above this level but faced strong resistance at $46.65 and pulled back.
If oil settles above $46.25, it will get to another test of the resistance at $46.65. A move above this level will push oil towards the $47 level.
On the support side, the previous resistance at $45.80 will likely serve as the first support level for oil. If oil declines below this level, it will move towards the next support at $44.75.
From a big picture point of view, the current setup looks rather bullish, and oil has a good chance to develop additional upside momentum.
Oil Tries To Gain Momentum Above $45The technical picture for oil has not changed much compared to the previous trading session as traders continue to wait for OPEC+ decision on production cuts.
Yesterday, oil made an attempt to settle above the resistance at $45.80 but failed to develop sufficient upside momentum and remains below this level. A move above $45.80 will push oil towards the recent highs at $46.25. If oil gets to the test of the resistance at $46.25, it will have better chances to settle above it.
On the support side, the nearest support level at $44.75 has been tested during today’s trading session and proved its strength. A move below this level will push oil towards the support at $44.40. If oil declines below $44.40, it will gain downside momentum and head towards the support at $43.75.
Oil Gets Back Above The $45 Level As Crude Inventories DeclineOil made an attempt to settle below $44.00 but failed to gain sufficient downside momentum and returned back to the $45 level. The current technical picture looks rather bullish for oil, but it needs to get above the resistance at $45.80 to confirm that it is ready to gain more upside momentum.
In this case, it will head towards the next resistance level at the recent highs at $46.25.
On the support side, oil has mostly ignored support levels at $44.75 and $44.45 but the support at $43.75 should be strong enough in case oil gains some downside momentum. A move below $43.75 will push oil towards the next support at $43.00.
Oil Moves Below $45 While Traders Wait For OPEC+ DecisionOil managed to settle below the $45 level and is currently testing the support at $44.40. If oil settles below this level, it will head towards the next support which is located at the previous resistance at August highs at $43.75. A move below this level will push oil towards the next support at $43.00.
On the upside, the previous support at $44.75 will likely serve as the first resistance level for oil. A move above this level will push oil above the $45 level. The next resistance is located at $45.80. If oil gets above this level, it will head towards recent highs at $46.20.
Oil Stays Near The $45 Level Ahead Of OPEC+ DecisionOil made an attempt to settle below the $45 level but received strong support at $44.45. The nearest support level for oil is still located at $44.75. If oil declines below this level, it will head towards the recent lows at $44.45.
A successful test of this level will open the way to the test of the next support level at $43.75.
On the upside, the nearest resistance level for oil is located at $45.80. A move above this level will push oil towards the next resistance at the recent highs at $46.25. If oil manages to settle above this level, it will head towards the $47 level.
