WTI oil - 80 USD in sight Since our last update on oil, much has not changed. Therefore, we continue to be bearish on USOIL and stick to our short-term price target of 80 USD and a long-term price target of 70 USD. Our views are based on technical and fundamental factors we reiterated throughout 2022.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 displays the daily chart of USOIL. Additionally, it shows two yellow arrows that indicate natural price retracements toward its 20-day SMA and 50-day SMA (which acted as a correction of the downtrend).
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, Stochastic, and MACD are bearish. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, Stochastic, and MACD are bearish. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Wticrudeoil
USOIL 23rd SEPTEMBER 2022Oil prices slipped below the US$85 per barrel level after the US central bank, the Fed, announced an interest rate hike.
U.S. oil demand over the past four weeks fell to 8.5 million barrels per day (bpd), the lowest since February, according to the Energy Information Administration (EIA). On the other hand, there was a 1.1 million barrel increase in crude oil stocks last week.
The European Union is considering restrictions on Russian oil prices, as well as on high-tech exports to Russia, as well as sanctions in the event of an escalation of Moscow's war in Ukraine.
On the other hand, China's crude oil demand is also still pressured by tight restrictions due to Covid-19.
OPEC crude oil exports have been fairly stable, since the high increase in demand earlier this month for an early winter contract.
When Russia refuses to 'restrictions on Russian oil prices', and OPEC starts to 'reduce oil exports', that's we can see prices will tend to be bullish.
WTI DWINDLES BETWEEN HIGH RATES AND THIGHT SUPPLYWTI remains indecisive. On one hand traders are suspecting continuous increase of the interest rates, after Fed decision in Wednesday. On the other hand, the further escalation by Russia of the war in Ukraine and the thread by the Nigerian oil minister Timipre Marlin Sylva that OPEC+ will decrease production if prices keep falling, are creating fear of tightened supply.
All technical indicators are suggesting downtrend for WTI price, with MACD histogram being below the 0 line and RSI being below the neutral 50 line.
If price keeps falling, it might test its most recent low at 80.9, but if the trend reverses, it might test its resistance at 89.7 or even the one at 97.2
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Crude Oil in Daily timeframe. UPDATEDHi Everyone,
Beware of next move.. high probability to go down after the FED annouce hike of interest rates. (75% probability)
i try to always we will keep you all updated . Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, i really appreciate you support !
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i'll help you to have a great trade.
Please using good money management.
dont take any emotional trade.
Note:
Dont risk more than 0.2% on trending market
Dont risk more than 1% on ranging market
Wish good luck for all people.
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USOIL 5th SEPTEMBER 2022The standoff over Russia's gas and oil exports escalated on Friday after Moscow promised to close its main gas supply pipeline to Germany and G7 countries announced plans for price caps on Russian oil exports aimed at squeezing Russia's war chest in Ukraine. This latest closure of the Nord Stream pipeline, which Russia says will last as long as it takes to make repairs, adds to concerns over winter gas shortages that could pull major economies into recession and lead to energy rationing. Europe accuses Russia of weaponizing energy supplies in what Moscow calls an "economic war" with the West following Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Moscow blames Western sanctions and technical problems for supply disruptions.
USOIL 8th SEPTEMBER 2022Oil prices fell sharply on Wednesday (September 7th), slipping below levels seen before Russia's invasion of Ukraine as dismal Chinese trade data and growing fears of a global economic recession hurt fuel demand.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil futures for October delivery plunged US$4.94 or 5.7 percent.
With lower prices this time it is a good opportunity to supply companies that are optimistic about surviving the recession and tightening monetary policy.
This week, OPEC+ is scheduled to discuss oil production cuts as part of their future strategy.
OPEC+ revised the market balance this year and expects demand to lag supply by 400,000 barrels per day (bpd) compared to the previous estimate of 900,000 bpd.
However, the group of major oil producers expects the oil market to be in deficit by 300,000 bpd by 2023.
Crude Oil in 4H time Frame.Hi Everyone,
Please see updated 4H chart, Oil already hit the support around 86 ready to test the key point at 90, if break there is likely 2 possible upside moment.
as we can see the oil will make range until the fed release their new hike Interest rates.
we also need see the next coming geopolitical movement from Russia , China and USA.
The oil embargo will also have an impact on price movements.
first possible range(4h - 1D):
80 - 110 USD
second possible range (4h - 1D):
75 - 103 USD
i try to always we will keep you all updated . Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, i really appreciate you support !
Goodluck
i'll help you to have a great trade.
Please using good money management.
dont take any emotional trade.
Note:
Dont risk more than 0.2% on trending market
Dont risk more than 1% on ranging market
Wish good luck for all people.
Please help support me by Clicking like button, and if you like my ideas please follow me and support me. i Relly Appreciate it!
i'll make more and more great analysis if this chanel grows.
on Gold , Oil , Nasdaq, SP500 , and some American, China, Japan, Indonesia stocks.
Best luck for you.
Cheers mate!
Thankyou.
Will WTI Oil drop under 70?Since the double top marked by March and June's highs above 120, the price of Oil has started to fall and found support under 90 and under the neckline of the pattern.
Last week we have a false break above this neckline reversed with a strong bearish engulfing and Oil is trading again near 88 support (also an old resistance from Oct and Nov 2021)
The pressure seems to be on the downside and a clear break of support would confirm this outlook.
In such an instance we can have a continuation to the downside and a drop to 70 important horizontal support and also the measured target for the double top.
WTI Cude (OIL) WAITE TO BUY CONFARMANATION...
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair,
let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions,
the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be
satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watch list and see if
the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
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WTI: Screeeeeech!Can you hear WTI’s brakes screeching from the chart? Well, we definitely can! Quite vehemently, WTI has hit the brakes just short of the bottom of the blue zone between $91.70 and $87.08 – and rightly so! There isn’t all that much room left to finish wave b in blue! In fact, WTI should complete it no later than the support at $85.73. Then, it should turn around and climb upwards, gradually crossing the resistances at $101.88 and at $105.24 to enter the turquoise zone between $107.12 and $119.94. There, it should finish wave b in turquoise, before moving downwards again. However, there is a 32% chance that WTI could drop below the support at $85.73, which would then trigger further descent.
USOIL - The downtrend continuesIn the first quarter of 2022, we warned market participants about the peaking conditions in the oil bull market. Since then, our predictions came true, and USOIL dropped over 30% from its highs, hitting our 100 USD and 90 USD price targets. At the moment, we still remain bearish on WTI oil with a medium-term price target of 80 USD. Our views are based on technical and fundamental factors.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows USOIL down approximately 33% from its 2022 highs. At the moment, we pay close attention to the sloping resistance; a breakout above it will be a bullish sign, potentially hinting at the correction of the downtrend.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
USOIL ! reversed to bullish sign long trade analysisUSOIL is headed for a strong bearish trend there is sign that this downtrend may be over. While earlier bullish, oil neared the 100 EMA, rejected strongly and down. But this time, the oil broke the 100 EMA and moved very strongly bullishly. Oil is currently trading at a level it previously strongly rejected. If can break this level and show growth, you can make a profit on long trades.
WTI OIL Bullish divergence could give one last pumpThe WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) has been trading within a structured Channel Down pattern since the March 08 market High, following the immense growth after the COVID 2020 demand crisis. We have covered the Higher Lows zones since the November 02 2020 Low (green circle) and the March 23 2021 Low (blue circle) extensively over the past months on the higher time-frames, but this time we will focus on the Bullish Divergences forming on the lower time-frames (t-f).
The chart is on the 1D t-f, as well as the RSI with the MACD on the 8H t-f. As you see, the price is currently testing the August 11 High, which is its short-term Resistance and happens to be also on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which rejected Oil on that particular High. A break above it would be on its own a strong bullish break-out signal on the short-term.
The 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) is just above the MA200. On the flipside this means that it will form a Death Cross pattern, which is technically a bearish formation, for the first time since the Feb 25 2020 Death Cross, which preceded the COVID crash. With the Nov 2020 Higher Lows Zone (dotted lines) though right below, the Death Cross effect may be postponed for the short-term. Especially by having the 1D RSI forming the same bullish break-out pattern as with April 2022, which was the Lower Low formation that initiated the rebound to the Lower Highs trend-line of the Channel Down. The Bullish Divergence is more evident on the 8H MACD with them being on Higher Lows while Oil has been on Lower Lows since June 22.
Technically the Channel Down should make a new Lower High within 110.00 - 115.00. A break below it though, should finally test the March 23 2021 Higher Lows zone (dashed lines).
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USOIL 23rd AUGUST 2022Oil prices briefly surged in mid-trade due to a push to raise the Fed's benchmark interest rate. However, prices eased back after investors believed that the US central bank's policy this month was to maintain interest rates.
Another factor, the US dollar strengthened again to its highest level in five weeks, which limited the increase in crude oil prices. This is because oil becomes more expensive for buyers with non-US dollar currencies.
US Dollar Index
Oil prices will not be too bearish, this is due to the prospect of higher demand entering the winter season.
DOABC correction appears complete. No in a leading diagonal rising wedge pattern. Likely a retest to $5.80 before starting the next leg higher.