WTICOUSD-Testing 50-Day EMAThe West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil market fell on Wednesday to reach down towards the crucial 50-day EMA. The 50-day EMA is an area that will continue to cause a certain amount of attention, but it should be noted that we have sliced through the $80 level rather easily. We are closing towards the bottom of the range for the day, so now the question is whether or not we will have follow-through. That typically is the case that when you close towards the bottom of the range; quite often you will see a bit of follow-through in the next session.
There are a lot of concerns out there that the Biden administration may release the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, which could bring down pricing for a short-term move, but longer-term it tends to have a very limited effect on the markets. Because of this, I think that we will eventually have a nice buying opportunity, but it is a scenario where we need to pay close attention to the idea of value as it occurs, because there is no reason that I can see for a longer-term trend change. The market looking at the consolidation area could probably see it as a bullish flag being formed.
This is a market that I think continues to offer plenty of value, so it is likely that we could eventually find quite a bit of buying pressure. Keep in mind that the inventory numbers coming out of the United States will continue to dictate where we go, and we have those over the next 24 hours. Underneath, I think the $75 level is going to end up being a bit of a floorin the market, unless of course there is some type of huge negative attitude out there, something that I have not seen much of recently. In fact, one could make an argument for the recent action forming a little bit of a big “potential double bottom” in what would be a continuation longer term. We will have to wait and see, but that is one potential set up if we can break above the highs of the day, extensively recapturing the $80 level. I do not like shorting oil right now, but that does not necessarily mean you need to jump in with both feet.
This is a market that I think continues to offer plenty of value, so it is likely that we could eventually find quite a bit of buying pressure.
Wticrude
Technical analysis update: WTI oil (18th November 2021)We abandoned short-term price target of 85 USD in our previous idea (as correction resumed). In addition to that, we noted that it was very likely that price would drop towards 78 USD. Currently, USOIL trades slightly below that level. We will observe WTI oil in the following days and we will look for more weakness or possible end of correction. Though, at the moment, we think it is likely correction will continue little further towards 76 USD. Because of that we will watch support level at 76.95 USD; and we will observe whether this support will be able to hold further selling pressure. Technical analysis on daily time frame suggests more weakness for oil. Despite that, we think current price is very attractive to start considering (re)entry of long position in WTI oil, however, with big cautiousness.
Picture below shows USOIL on daily time frame.
It also shows possibility of bearish breakout below crucial support level at 76.95 USD. If this support is broken then we expect price to drop even further.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI and Stochastic are very bearish as they continue to move downward. MACD is also very bearish. Indeed, MACD nears crossover into bearish area. If MACD manages to perform crossover then we expect such occurence to be accompanied by more selling pressure. ADX contains low value which suggests that trend is either neutral or very weak. Technicals are overall bearish and suggest more trouble ahead for USOIL.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI has bearish structure. MACD remains in bullish territory, however, it strives to reverse into downside. Similarly, Stochastic is in bullish area but it already reversed its direction into downside. DM+ and DM- still suggest that bullish trend is present but ADX continues to decline which reflects that this trend is weakening.
Support and resistance
Major resistance sits at 85.39 USD while major support lies at 61.58 USD. Short-term support level sits at 76.95 USD. Another (closest) important support appears at 75 USD (as psychological support).
Disclaimer: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade.
WTI Crude Oil Price ForecastAside from Crypto and Stocks, I also look at economical indicators, metals, and commodities.
I will be adding these to my ideas moving forward starting with the analysis on WTI Crude Oil price.
WTI Crude Oil was in a multi-year descending triangle, which it broke out of and retested the top of the trendline in August 2021. The price is on it's way upwards.
Something I learned from a trading mentor is when in doubt, zoom out and look left.
I took a fractal pattern from 2009-2013 which looks very similar to how the price is playing out currently and overlaid it in the current price range.
Furthermore, I added in the fib levels to see where we can be able to get to before some level of retracement. It seems that $95-$100 price range may be in the cards as the price may get to fib level 0.618 before a rejection.
I will keep the community updated on this.
What are your opinions on this? Comment below, hit the like and follow me. Thank you!
Check out more below for recent Altcoin, Bitcoin and Stock Ideas.
Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis . Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #cryptopickk #bitcoin #altcoins
1211 Triple Top USOIL looking down to 76.7-78.5Hello traders,
USOIL has been rejected from top three times which make a triple top on this 6H chart. It means something.
Sell the the trend continue down to test last low and new low.
Setup a plan to sell today till next first half week.
RISK LOWER THAN YOUR TOLERANCE:
Suggested Risk <5%
Your Real Entry Position Will Make Different RR for Your Trade.
GOOD LUCK!!!
LESS IS MORE!
WTI starting to recover from inflation driven plungeHello everyone, as we all know the market action discounts everything :)
_________________________________Make sure to Like and Follow if you like the idea_________________________________
Oil prices surged above $83 per barrel in volatile trading on Thursday, recovering from significant drops caused by concerns about rising US inflation, as OPEC reduced its 2021 oil demand prediction owing to high energy prices.
In a monthly report, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) stated that it expected oil consumption to average 99.49 million barrels per day (bpd) in the fourth quarter of 2021, a 330,000 bpd decrease from last month's prediction.
Possible Scenario for the market :
The market is currently trading at $81.26 and looks like it going to the support line located at $80.17 where a battle will happen between the Bears and the Bulls over control, the outcome will probably be in favor of the bulls which will cause the market to increase in value reaching the first resistance at $84.08.
in case the demand for oil increases even more then we will most likely see a further push that could reach the $88.00 level by the end of the week.
Technical Analysis show :
1) The market is below the 5 10 20 MA and EMA indicating a Bearish Short-term movement, but still above the 50 100 and 200 MA and EMA indicating a Bullish Long-term trend
2) The RSI is at 51.61 showing good strength in the market with a small Bullish divergence that could be a sign of a Bearish short-term trend.
3) The MACD is above the 0 line still indicating a Bullish market, but it has a Negative crossover between the MACD line and the Signal line indicating a small Bearish movement.
Support & Resistance points :
support Resistance
1) 80.17 1) 84.08
2) 78.63 2) 86.45
3) 76.26 3) 87.99
Fundamental point of view :
OPEC expects global consumption to hit 100 million bpd in the third quarter of 2022, three months later than predicted last month.
On Wednesday, data indicated that inflation in the United States surged by 6.2 percent, the quickest rate in 30 years, owing primarily to increasing energy prices, which pushed the dollar higher while sending Brent and WTI oil down by 2.5 % and 3.3 %, respectively.
A surge in US oil supplies following the government's release of some critical reserves pushed up prices even further.
In reaction to rising inflation, US President Joe Biden stated he directed the National Economic Council to concentrate on lowering energy costs and the Federal Trade Commission to crack down on market manipulation in the energy industry in order to reverse inflation.
This is my personal opinion done with technical analysis of the market price and research online from Fundamental Analysts and News for The Fundamental point of view, not financial advice.
If you have any questions please ask and have a great day !!
Thank you for reading.
OIL SHORT PLANBefore we go into this analysis, please go ahead and like/follow for more free Professional trading tips/plans I post daily :)
Here we have an updated chart for our Crude oil.
We previously were short and now we are shorting again.
Oil has been driven up high over the past few weeks and had its move down, we have since bounced back up to these highs.
This is why we are short again. The previous levels we fell from form new resistance and a high price.
Our target is noted back down at the labelled support + MA's, likely where price will bounce again and we can go long if we need to.
WTI Cude (OIL) SELL TRADE IDEA
💹WTI Crude Oil ⏬ SELL @ 80.99
✅TP-1# 80.09
✅TP-2# 79.10
✅TP-3# 78.10
⛔️SL 82.00
N.B- If have small balance to trade. Plz avoid OIL trade now.
Because market highly volatile.
AronnoFX will not accept any liability for loss or damage as a result of
reliance on the information contained within this channel including
data, quotes, charts and buy/sell signals
If you like this idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
Traders, if you like this idea or have your own opinion about it,
write in the comments. I will be glad.
WTI Crude Oil Now Slowing Down After Making 3 Year High...USOIL rallied above 3 year high in October and since then has been making corrections on H4. Having completed WXY corrective wave, crude oil has potential for bullish continuation (1). However, buyers would be interested to buy at a lower price. The bulls are lurking at levels (2) and (3)
N.B
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
-ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
WTICOUSD continues to rise.....WTICOUSD continues to rise..........But not for long. The analysis shows that, like many instruments, WTI is poised for one last rise. In the short to medium term, further rises could stall. The top of the rising wave sequence that is now forming could be the resistance level of the upper ATR axis. This level is : 87.844 usd . The second part of the corrective fractal shown in the two orange squares is trapped in a narrowing ATR axis wedge. From this, the direction of the breakout could be 50%, so it is advisable to take profit at these levels. Taking a long position is recommended intraday. It is advisable to take an additional LONG position in case the wedge formation formed by the ATR axes is broken from above and retested by the price movement. Currently intraday trade target price : 87.844 usd.
US Oil (WTI Crude Oil) Analysis and trade Idea...UpdatePrice has invalidated the right shoulder OB I highlighted in the previous video. It has reacted off of the "head" OB, forming a double top, formed an engulfer, and is now retesting the base candle.
This may lead to the bearish PA I was hoping for.
WTI Cude (OIL) TRADE IDEA
AronnoFX will not accept any liability for loss or damage as a result of
reliance on the information contained within this channel including
data, quotes, charts and buy/sell signals
If you like this idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
Traders, if you like this idea or have your own opinion about it,
write in the comments. I will be glad.
Technical analysis update: WTI oil (28th October 2021)On 25th October 2021 USOIL reached our price target of 85 USD per barrel. After that we announced that we would not be surprised to see shortlived correction since USOIL reached overbought condition in the short-term. Now it is clear that price retraced from high of 85.39 USD to as low as 80.62 USD today. It is likely that correction will continue little longer since indicators point to more downside. In short-term we are bearish and we will observe whether support at 80 USD will manage to stop selling pressure. However, in long-term we remain bullish and we think that current price drop presents good opportunity for long position (re)entry. Our long-term price target remains 90 USD.
Technical analysis
RSI penetrated 70 points to downside. It is bearish. MACD and Stochastic also turned bearish. DM+ and DM- are due to perform bearish crossover. ADX started to decrease from recent peak. Price retraced towards 20-day SMA. We will observe whether price manages to hold above 20-day SMA which would be bullish sign. Overall technical analysis is very bearish for WTI oil.
1-day RSI:
Support and resistance
Short-term resistance sits at 82.60 USD while major resistance sits at 85.39 USD. Support 1 appears at 80 USD and Support 2 sits at 76.95 USD. Support 3 lies at 74.21 USD. Major support sits at 61.58 USD.
Disclaimer: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade.
Elliott Wave count for OILHello everyone, This is my idea for WTI Crude Oil in daily timeframe, You can see the details in the chart, If you have any idea or question about this scenario please share with us in comment. I will provide more Elliott wave count daily if you are interested follow us to receive updates.
📣 Attention 📣
⚠️ 1. We publish this trading idea to help analysts, so if you have an idea that you think is right, do not be influenced by this idea.
⚠️ 2. All our analysis and signals are provided free of charge, so we have no obligation to make any profit or loss on our signals and analysis.
⚠️ 3. If you have an idea, write to us in the comments section, we will be happy to use your idea in our analysis