CRUDE OIL TO HIT $160?😳 (12H UPDATE)Oil is still accumulating buying momentum within this Wave 2 (Wave II) accumulation phase. We can expect price to carry on consolidating within a range for the next 2 weeks or so, which'll scare off the average, small retail trader. But if you hop onto the daily TF, you'll see overall the market is still bullish📈
WTI
USOil WTI Technical Analysis And Trade IdeaIn this video, we conduct a comprehensive analysis of USOil WTI, with a specific emphasis on the prevailing bearish sentiment evident on the weekly (1W) chart. Throughout this presentation, we delve into fundamental principles of technical analysis, encompassing critical elements such as the current market trend, price dynamics, market structure, and other indispensable components of technical analysis. As we proceed within the video, we meticulously scrutinize a prospective trading opportunity.
It is imperative to emphasize that the insights shared in this content are exclusively for educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial guidance. Engaging in the foreign exchange market trading entails a substantial degree of risk. Hence, it is essential to prudently integrate robust risk management strategies into your trading plan.
WTI H4 | Potential bullish bounceWTI oil (USOIL) could fall towards a pullback support and potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 83.014 which is a pullback support level.
Stop loss is at 81.200 which is a level that sits under a swing-low support level.
Take profit is at 86.456 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
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WTI H4 | Falling to pullback supportWTI oil (USOUSD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to rise towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 83.142
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Stop Loss: 81.725
Why we like it:
There is a swing-low level
Take Profit: 86.849
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that algins with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
OIL - Bearish move comingCrude oil prices went up on Friday due to Israel's expansion of ground operations in Gaza. This has raised concerns about the possibility of the conflict spreading in a region responsible for a third of the world's oil production.
Turning our attention to China, we're eagerly awaiting the release of manufacturing and services PMI data for October. Investors are looking for signs that the world's top importer of crude oil, China, is stabilising economically. Market participants are especially interested in assessing whether Beijing's supportive measures have boosted oil demand.
The US Dollar (USD) is facing resistance as market expectations lean towards the likelihood of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) keeping interest rates at 5.5% in the upcoming Wednesday meeting. However, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing positive movement after a lukewarm performance during the Asian session, currently hovering around 106.70.
The 10-year US Bond is making a comeback, reaching 4.85% at the moment, which is providing support for the US Dollar. In addition, investors will keep a close eye on key indicators such as the US ADP Employment Change and the ISM Manufacturing PMI for October.
Investors are approaching the upcoming US Federal Reserve policy meeting and China's manufacturing data with caution, which is leading to a drop in crude oil prices. This cautious stance is overshadowing the support that was previously provided by tensions in the Middle East.
Overall, we are bearish but we are anticipating an up move to $88 price before seeing a drop down to $82, from there another potential drop to the $79 prize zone could happen*!? But right now we will be focusing on that up move to $88 and looking to short it from that level, please see chart above for details!
*Potential further drop to $79 price zone (as mentioned above)
WTI OIL Head and Shoulders within A Channel Up.WTI Oil (USOIL) eventually formed the Channel Up we projected on our most recent (see chart below) analysis 2 weeks ago:
As the price is below both the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) and the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), we spot the completion of the Right Shoulder of a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern inside that Channel. We will not short however before the price closes a 4H candle below the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up. Technically the H&S targets the 2.0 Fibonacci extension (75.00) but for the time being, we will settle for a 79.00 target, which will be marginally above the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) and 1.5 Fibonacci extension.
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TradePlus-Fx|BRENT: intraday idea💬 Description: Today, the instrument is at the level of 87.45 and is most likely to prepare for a fall in the more medium term. But here it is necessary to take into account the geopolitical background, which greatly influences oil. Today, an idea is proposed, the time frames of which are within the day. Namely, long for the purpose of local updating of the maximum. The approximate target is the level of 90 . After which, as was said, the price will most likely rush down again, if there are no sharp geopolitical surges on the world stage.
🔔 FX CALENDAR TODAY 🔔
🇺🇸PCE Price index
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TradePlus-Fx|USDCAD: BoC meeting💬 Description: Today, the Central Bank of Canada will announce its decision on interest rates. The rate is expected to remain at the same level. Against this background, we continue to adhere to our previous trading idea for USDCAD , namely to look up (look at the chart) . But most likely, there will be volatility during or after the meeting of the Central Bank of Canada, then the pair is most likely to roll back down. The expected movement is thus depicted on the chart . As a result, the more global target remains the same, and we expect growth to 1.38271 level.
🔔 FX CALENDAR TODAY 🔔
🇺🇸New Home Sales
🇨🇦BoC Interest Rate Decision
🛢Crude Oil Inventories
🇨🇦BOC Press Conference
🇪🇺ECB President Lagarde Speaks
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USOIL Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
CRUDE OIL (WTI) Bullish Outlook For Next Week Explained 🛢️
WTI Crude Oil formed a double bottom formation after a test
of a solid rising trend line on a daily.
Its neckline was broken this week.
The broken neckline and a trend line compose a contracting demand zone now.
A bullish continuation will be expected to 93.7 level from that.
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USOIL (WTI) BUYING ON DIPS HELLO TRADERS,,,
As i can see this chart of USOIL it is moving same as we had predicted in our previous analysis
Israeli & Gaza War Tensions are driving Gold and Oil prices in bullish trend and we can see a Wyckoff Pattern on the base of technical view the support is holding the price of oil and i am expecting it will boost to the upside for completing this technical pattern...
History will repeat, like the 1973-1974 war, where all the Arab countries stopped the supply of OIL. Can we see the same thing in 2023-2024 as war is at its peak? If the same happens, the OIL price will shoot to 120-130 barrels directly .
this is just an trade idea with Technically + Fundamentally view Kindly share Ur thoughts on US OIL so it will help alote traders community we appreciate Ur love and support
Stay tuned for more updates
WTI BEARISH OUTLOOKOil prices dropped over 2% as U.S. crude stockpiles rose, signaling weakened demand. Additionally, concerns about the global economic outlook led to a broader sell-off in equities. Brent crude futures fell by 2.2% to $88.13 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures slid by 2.7% to $83.13 a barrel. These price declines were driven by a combination of rising inventories, reduced demand, and economic uncertainties, highlighting the impact of geopolitical tensions and broader market sentiment on oil markets.
The market's attention has been fluctuating between geopolitical factors, including the conflict in the Middle East, and macroeconomic concerns, such as U.S. Treasury yields nearing 5% and the pace of economic growth. These uncertainties are affecting oil demand and prices, making it a volatile and complex market. Additionally, the article touches on issues related to the energy transition, with companies like Shell cutting jobs in its Low Carbon Solutions business, and Siemens Energy seeking government support for its wind-turbine unit.
On a technical side, the daily graph had formed a Three Black Crows pattern 2 days ago, which is a reliable predictor of continuous down movement, technical indicators as MACD and RSI are also in the sell zone.
If this trend continues, the price might reache levels of 79.64, while as a pivot point might be considered 84.34, from where the price might go to 87.82 levels.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
Will Commodities and Crypto catch up to current PMI readings?
PMI readings (services and manufacturing are in an uptrend
Stocks and Gold are in line with current PMI readings (e.g. services PMI)
Commodities (WTI/Oil) and Crypto are lagging behind and may catch up to current PMI readings
YoY%-Changes of all assets are shown in the following chart:
Disclaimer: this is not investment advice. You are responsible for your own actions.
WTI H4 | Potential bullish breakoutWTI oil (USOUSD)is rising towards a breakout level and could potentially make a bullish move towards our take profit target.
Entry: 86.519
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance where a bullish breakout could occur
Stop Loss: 84.135
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Take Profit: 89.443
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 78.6% retracement and the 78.6% projection levels
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
WTI CRUDE OIL Trade it based on today's candle closing.WTI Crude Oil is breaching at the moment the Rising Support of the last 3 months.
The (1d) candle closing will determine in our opinion the short term direction, as on this level the momentum is neutral, with a Falling Resistance above and numerous Support levels to target if broken.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy if the (1d) candle closes over the Rising Support.
2. Sell if it closes under it and breaches Support (1).
Targets:
1. 87.50 (Falling Resistance).
2. 79.00 (a little over the MA200 (1d)).
Tips:
1. The sentiment could be a little more favorable to selling at the moment as the MACD (1d) just made a rare shift, invalidating the bullish build up as it switched from a Bullish Cross immediately to a Bearish Cross.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
WTI Crude Oil1- We all know that due to aftermath of the terror attack on Israel Crude Oil started going up reaching $90.00. It came back to $83.00 and it seems $83.00 is the market fair price, as of now.
2- However, as Europe and America going to into Winter mood price may go up. We all remember, that Ukraine - Russian war last year, created a lot of problem for European countries.
3- Additionally, Russia and OPEC countries, specifically Saudi Arabia keep reducing their production to control the price and they have been successful.
4- On the other hand, European countries and China economy is slowing down do to inflation control and interest raise, may counter some of these pushes for higher price.
5- Volume shows that there is a big desire to buy at $83.00 and sell in short term and $86.00 and long term sell $89.00.
But nevertheless, Considering all of these catalysts, it will most likely the price will go up to hit $100 in a long run.
Strifor || UKOIL-10/25/2023Preferred direction: SELL
Comment: For oil, the previous trading idea also worked out perfectly and the instrument is now trading at the level of 86.62. Despite the general tense geopolitical background, the instrument is still considered for sell, and the purpose of the sale is gap closing. Presumably, this goal will be achieved within one trading week.
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The U.S. reveals a trick up its sleeveA few weeks ago, we expressed our bewilderment at the U.S. administration and its handling of the oil stockpiles. Despite oil plummeting below $70 during the summer, officials did not take the initiative to refill the Strategic Petroleum Reserves (also canceling plans to buy oil in July 2023), prompting us to speculate about what trick the administration could have up its sleeve. Finally, last week, we might have discovered exactly what it was when news erupted that the United States lifted some of the sanctions on Venezuela, allowing it to produce and export oil to its chosen markets for the next six months without limitation.
While Venezuela’s oil production is only about 800,000 barrels per day, the news announcement is still quite a big thing as it will enable U.S. entities to buy crude oil and help alleviate rising crude oil prices (especially if the country ramps up production in the coming months and the global economy continues to slow down - presuming no broad conflict will affect oil supply in the Middle East).
Now, on the topic of technicals, we are paying close attention to the Sloping Support/Resistance. If the price breaks back above the resistance (and holds the ground), it will be bullish. However, a failure will raise our skepticism about more upside. In addition to that, we are watching MACD, RSI, and Stochastic on the daily chart. To support a bearish case, we would want to see all of them continue declining. Contrarily, to support a bullish case, we would like to see MACD reversing and breaking above the midpoint.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of USOIL and a simple setup with bullish prospects above the sloping support/resistance and bearish prospects below it.
Illustration 1.02
Illustration 1.02 displays the daily chart of MACD. The yellow arrow indicates a bearish breakout below the midpoint. If MACD fails to rebound back into the bullish area above zero, it will raise the odds for a continuation lower.
Illustration 1.03
Illustration 1.03 shows the daily chart of USOIL and simple moving averages. The yellow arrow indicates an impending bearish crossover between the 20-day SMA and the 50-day SMA. If successful, it will bolster a bearish case.
Technical analysis
Daily time frame = Bearish (with weak trend)
Weekly time frame = Slightly bearish
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
OIL MIGHT BE GETTING INTO FURTHER SELL-OFFOil prices have continued to decline, marking the third consecutive session of losses. This decline is attributed to a series of sluggish economic data releases from Germany, the eurozone, and Britain, which have raised concerns about energy demand. Brent crude futures dropped by 2%, down $1.76 to $88.07 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell by 2.2%, down $1.91 to $83.58 per barrel.
The eurozone's business activity data showed an unexpected downturn this month, raising fears of a potential recession in the region. Germany, one of Europe's economic powerhouses, appeared to be slipping into a recession, and Britain reported another monthly decline in economic activity, increasing concerns of a recession ahead of the Bank of England's interest rate decision. These economic uncertainties, along with other global factors, have contributed to the downward pressure on oil prices.
Despite the economic concerns in Europe, the U.S. recorded an uptick in business output in October, which helped boost the U.S. dollar, making dollar-denominated oil more expensive for holders of other currencies. Additionally, concerns surrounding the situation in the Middle East, where diplomatic efforts are underway to contain the Israel-Hamas conflict, have also impacted oil prices. Overall, the oil market remains on edge, with a focus on potential supply disruptions and geopolitical tensions.
If this trend continues, the price might reach levels of 81.53. In the opposite scenario, as a pivot point might be considered 86.38, from where the price might reach levels of 89.32.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
🛢️ Oil at $88: Told Ya! (Now toss a coin!)Hey Oil Traders! 🤟
Oil is at a critical S/R level of $88, and it's anyone's game right now. 🎯
📈 Recent Trades: Went long under $70 and short at the $93 top. Nailed it! 🎉
🔮 Next Moves: It's a 50-50 toss-up. Could go to $93 or drop to $82. 🪙
🤷♂️ Why I'm Not Trading: With such uncertainty, why risk it? There are better setups out there. 🎣
📊 Other Setups: If you're itching to trade, maybe look at other assets. Bitcoin, anyone? 🚀
🤔 My Call: If I had to pick, I'd say we're going lower next. But again, why trade it now? 🤷♂️
That's the quick rundown, folks! Sometimes the best trade is no trade. 🤓
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
long:
short:
Strifor || USDCAD-10/24/2023Preferred direction: BUY
Comment: For the USDCAD currency pair everything remains valid. We follow the extreme plan that we described in the trading idea. The support level is still pushing the price up. The buyer's target remains unchanged and is aimed at updating local highs.
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