WTI
Oil tankers and cargo ships at danger in the Red SeaSince the breakout of the Israel-Hamas War on 7th October 2023, there has been an increasing number of attacks on military and transport ships sailing through the Red Sea, with Houthi rebels from Yemen standing behind many of these incidents. About a week ago, the group went as far as to announce the blockade on ships traveling to and from Israel through the Red Sea, which prompted large transportation companies to announce a pause on shipping through this particular route. The Danish shipping company, A.P. Moller Maersk, announced last Friday that it would halt all shipping via the Red Sea route following a near-miss incident involving Maersk Gibraltar on Thursday and another attack on a container ship. The next day, the Medditerean Shipping Company announced the same thing following Friday’s attack on its vessel MSC Palatium III. These two companies were quickly joined by Hong Kong based Orient Overseas Container Line, Taiwanese Evergreen, Belgian Euronav, and French CMA CGM Group, which happens to be the third-largest container shipping company in the world. Then, yesterday, the first major oil and gas transporter, British Petroleum, announced it would also halt shipments through the Red Sea. As a result, many of the mentioned cargo ships and oil tankers will have to be rerouted via alternative paths; such changes are likely to cause (some) supply chain disruptions and soaring costs for transporting goods (as well as operating expenses for the companies themselves). To resolve the situation after weeks of relentless drone and missile attacks, the United States finally announced yesterday that it would no longer tolerate Houthis’ aggression in the region and that it would form a task force responsible for protecting international waters in the Red Sea and Bab Al-Mandev Strait. As for our outlook for the oil market, it remains unchanged, with a price target of $65 per barrel in 2024. However, we are aware that the situation could deteriorate further if Iran-backed Houthis continue to ramp up their attacks in the foreseeable future (especially against U.S. warships, which has been the case recently). We will closely monitor the situation and report new developments once they arise.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 displays the daily chart of USOIL and simple support/resistance levels derived from past peaks and troughs.
Technical analysis
Daily time frame = Bearish (turning neutral)
Weekly time frame = Bearish
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
WTI Oil index trend analysisFor the WTI index, we see a strong support of $65-68. Due to the positive divergence with the power oscillator at this floor, it can have a growth up to $76 and then have a correction up to the $70 band. According to the February period, it can grow to the level of 80-82 dollars and will move towards 89 dollars in a higher time period.
BRIEFING Week #51 : Happy Holidays to you All !Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;)
That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users.
Kindly,
Phil
USOIL Trade IdeaHello Traders, Base on technical and wave analysis we see this scenario for #BitCoin for next move. let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
WTI H4 | Potential bearish reversalWTI oil (USOUSD) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower towards our take profit target.
Entry: 72.687
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level
Stop Loss: 74.111
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that lies above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 67.958
Why we like it:
There is a swing-low support level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
WTI H4 | Headwinds loomingWTI oil (USOIL) is trading close to an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 72.264 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 75.089 which is a level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level and sits above an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 68.235 which is a swing-low support level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 72% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USOIL Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Technical Outlook & Trading Plan 🛢
Crude Oil is currently testing a solid horizontal supply area on a daily.
Analyzing a 4H time frame, we can spot that the market is currently weak & consolidating.
I see an example of a classic inside bar formation.
71.4 is the lower boundary of the range of the mother bar.
Its breakout - a 4h candle close below will be a strong bearish confirmation.
A bearish movement will be anticipated to 70.1 level then.
Alternatively, a bullish breakout of the underlined resistance will push the prices higher.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
CRUDE OIL Strong Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL keeps falling in a
Strong downtrend but it is
Oversold at this point so
After it retests the strong
Horizontal support below
At 66.96$ we are likely
To see a bullish correction
Buy!
Like, comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Hellena | Oil (4H): Long to resistance area of 74.15. Dear colleagues, after analyzing the chart I realized that wave 5 has either already ended or will end soon. The price can still reach the support area of 68.06, but I will consider only long positions with the aim to reach the resistance area of 74.15.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
WTI BULLISH OUTLOOK AND POSSIBLE STRATEGIESWith recent market dynamics, the oil trading landscape has witnessed significant shifts, presenting traders with lucrative opportunities. Here are actionable strategies tailored to capitalize on these developments.
1. Fed's Dovish Stance and Demand Surge: The Federal Reserve's dovish outlook coupled with the International Energy Agency's upgraded oil demand forecast signals a potential uptick in oil consumption. This suggests a bullish trend for oil prices. Traders could consider entering long positions or call options in anticipation of a sustained price increase due to heightened demand projections.
2. OPEC's Tightening Supply Scenario: OPEC's report highlighting a potential deficit in the oil market, especially if OPEC+ production cuts persist, indicates a tightening supply situation. Traders may benefit from this by leveraging the anticipated supply shortage. Long-term positions or bullish spreads might be favorable strategies to capitalize on the potential price rally resulting from constrained supply.
3. Declining U.S. Oil Inventories and Weakening Dollar: The Energy Information Administration's data revealing a substantial drop in U.S. oil inventories, alongside the weakened dollar, strengthens the bullish sentiment. Considering the reduced supply and increased affordability of oil due to the dollar's decline, traders could explore long positions or bullish futures contracts to align with the rising prices.
4. Geopolitical Tensions in the Middle East: Ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly recent attacks on vessels, add to the uncertainty surrounding oil supply. Traders might view this as an opportunity for short-term gains through cautious but strategic investments, keeping an eye on potential supply disruptions that could trigger price spikes.
In conclusion, recent market developments indicate a favorable landscape for bullish trading in the oil market. Traders can consider adopting long positions, call options, or bullish spreads to capitalize on the projected increase in demand, tightening supply, weakened dollar, and geopolitical uncertainties. However, it's crucial to stay informed and adaptable to swiftly respond to evolving market conditions for optimal trading outcomes.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
CRUDE OIL Will Go Down! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL is making a bullish
Correction while trading in a
Downtrend so we are bearish
Biased and I think that after
The price hits the horizontal
Resistance above at 73.50$
We will see a further move down
Sell!
Like, comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
USOil WTI Technical Analysis And Trade Idea USOil WTI has shown a robust bearish trend of late, reaching into a noteworthy support level on both daily and weekly charts. The accompanying video offers an extensive breakdown of this trend, meticulously dissecting price actions and pinpointing potential trading prospects by conducting a comprehensive analysis across various timeframes, spanning from weekly down to as brief as 15 minutes. Expect a thorough exploration encompassing price fluctuations, market trends, trend assessments, and critical technical analysis elements. It's imperative to highlight that the insights shared here are solely for educational purposes and should not be construed as financial guidance.
USOUSD D1 | Approaching pullback supportUSOUSD is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to rise towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 67.038
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Stop Loss: 64.192
Why we like it:
There is a multi-swing-low support level
Take Profit: 72.437
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
A rebound in USOIL might not be done yetLast week, West Texas Intermediate crude oil reached our price target of $70 and slid as low as $68.83 per barrel. After this route, USOIL has slightly rebounded and currently trades near the $71.50 price tag. In the very short term, we acknowledge a potential for the price to continue higher. Indeed, this would be consistent with a natural occurrence of the price retracing toward its moving average, particularly the 20-day SMA. Yet, if the price breaks above this level and starts to consolidate there for a certain period, it might foreshadow even higher price tags; we will reassess our view if we get there. Beyond this short-term speculation about the prospects of further rise in USOIL, we stay bearish. Accordingly, our price target of $65 per barrel for the next year remains valid.
Illustration 1.01
The image above shows the daily chart of CL1!. Red arrows highlight the decreasing price accompanied by falling volume (suggesting the selling pressure might be decreasing as well).
Illustration 1.02
Illustration 1.02 displays the daily graph of USOIL and simple support/resistance levels derived from particular troughs.
Technical analysis
Daily time frame = Bearish
Weekly time frame = Bearish
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
WTI CRUDE OIL Strong buy signalWTI Crude Oil is rebounding after breaching marginally under the 0.786 Fibonacci.
That is the retracement level of the ranged price action long-term in the last 12 months.
Symmetrically, it is a strong rebound level as witnessed on the December 9th 2022 low.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 77.50 (projected contact with the MA50 (1d)).
2. 81.50 (0.5 yellow Fibonacci like the Jan 3rd and 23rd Highs).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) has triple bottomed. Rarely you get a stronger buy signal than that.
Please like, follow and comment!!
Notes:
Past trading plan:
USOIL nears $70 per barrel The price of USOIL is edging toward $70 per barrel, which is our price target for 2024. However, it is becoming increasingly possible that we will see this price taken out even by the end of the current year. With that said, we want to raise another price target for the next year, valued at $65 per barrel.
Illustration 1.01
The monthly graph above shows the U.S. crude oil production. From the start of 2023 until September 2023, U.S. crude oil production rose by more than 770,000 barrels per day, which amounts to about 6.2% (since last year’s highs, the production is up more than 13.5%).
Illustration 1.02
Illustration 1.02 depicts the monthly chart of the U.S. total rig count. Interestingly, since September 2023, the total rig count stopped declining.
Technical analysis
Daily time frame = Bearish
Weekly time frame = Slightly bearish
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
USOIL Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)