USOIL Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
WTI
WTI Oil H4 | Potential bullish reversalWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 75.850 which is a pullback support that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 74.800 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 78.756 which is a pullback resistance.
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Hellena | Oil (4H): Short to 50% Fibo level 75.49.Dear colleagues, the price resumed the impulsive upward movement. I assume that this movement is wave 1 and it will end soon. Perhaps we will see the beginning of wave 2 today from current levels, but a more conservative and favorable entry will be from the resistance area at 79.37.
In any case, I expect the price in the area of 50% Fibonacci level 75.49.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
WTI Oil H4 | Potential Bullish ReversalWTI oil (USOUSD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to rise towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 76.104
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level
Stop Loss: 75.170
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 78.573
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
a daily price action after hour update - oilGood evening and i hope you are well.
wti crude oil
This chart is obviously the hardest because big trading range for a long time where market is absolutely neutral and both sides have all the arguments for their case.
bull case: Strong enough rally to 78 and they want to print 80 for a higher high. They will probably give up below 75.5 and try again around 70. Again.
bear case: Bears did what they had to and kept it under last weeks high to form a lower high. They now need follow through below 75.5 to make a lower low and that’s where the stop for most bulls is and another short signal for the bears.
short term: down - invalid above 79.3
medium-long term: sideways until clear break of range between 70-80
trade of the day: shorting the double top with yesterdays high 78.47 and adding on to shorts on pullbacks. 15m 20ema was money today
WTI Crude OilHI Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
The way I told you, you have to trade like this and you will have more profit always and you will not be a loss.
a daily price action early hour update - oilGood morning and i hope you are well.
wti crude oil
bull case: Bulls still have the 80 target in sight and they are buying all pullbacks. The uptrend is weakening but i think then can get there. The 1h 20ema is holding pretty good and we are right at it. So it's a buy. The drawn wedge could get us there but bulls have more trend lines below which can hold. Last time bulls got near 79, bears surprised and trapped many late bulls. I don't expect something different for now.
Invalid below 77.
bear case: Bears look at higher timeframes and it's a big trading range. We are in the upper third and they sell the highs because they made money the last times they did it. Until bulls get consecutive big bull bars above 80, odds favor a continuation of this trading range 70-80. I doubt bears will die defending 78/79 and we will probably at least reach last weeks high 77.29 or 80 before more profit taking by the bulls and shorting by the bears unfold.
short term: up to 79/80 before sideways to down
medium-long term: Sideways until clear break of range between 70-80
gold mid-term outlook bears will target 1785 usd🔸Hello traders, today let's review 2daily price chart for gold. Heavy rejection
from strong overhead resistance near 2075, sliding S/R contained the bull run
once again.
🔸2015/2020 usd weak horizontal S/R price level, once bears take it out
expecting strong sell side pressure to accelerate, targeting 1950 and 1900 usd.
🔸While the gold price chart looks strong in hindsight, the V-shape recovery
already completed near 2075 usd and therefore and further upside is very
limited, pullback/correction required before we can resume the uptrend.
🔸Recommended strategy position traders: BEARS should wait for weak S/R
breakdown near 2015/2020 usd, and short sell initial target is 1900/1950 usd.
final TP bears is 1785 usd, however keep in mind this is a swing trade setup,
so naturally more time required to hit final TP. good luck!
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WTI CRUDE OIL: Still bullish medium term to 83.50.WTI Crude Oil is on a healthy bullish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 61.125, MACD = 0.800, ADX = 42.762), crossing today over the 1D MA200 for the first time in February. 79.75 (R1) is the first Resistance level but once the 1D MA50 broke (as we stated on our prior idea), the target is at least 83.50 (TP), which is what WTI delivered on the August 10th 2023 and April 12 2023 rallies.
It is interesting to point out how strong of a Support the 1W MA200 has been acting those past few years and was the level that initiated February's (current) rebound.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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WTI Oil H4 | Potential bullish breakoutWTI oil (USOUSD) is rising towards a potential breakout level and momentum could potentially carry price towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 77.234
Why we like it:
There is a potential breakout level
Stop Loss: 75.528
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that lies underneath the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 78.940
Why we like it:
There is a swing-high resistance level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Natural Gas - Before Ouching Territory, Let's Rally to $3.8One thing appears to be rather obvious: crude's rally has fizzled out:
Oil - Bulls Will Be Totally Annihilated
And that's bad news for bulls. If crude's rally has fizzled, can natural gas counter rally?
Well, natty hasn't done much all year. One of the reasons is probably that the world, which is controlled by the Communist Party, wants to SaVe ThE WoRlD FrOm CliMatE cHaNge by destroying the plastic industry, which natural gas supplied.
Next, they want to get rid of furnaces, which natural gas supplies, and have everyone live on heat pumps (an air conditioner with a blow side that can get hot instead of just cold), which rely on electricity and not natural gas.
At least electricity generation itself still mostly relies on natural gas, and that's never going to be replaced by solar and wind because the technology doesn't meet the requirements of modern consumption.
At the end of July, I called that Natty would not go up until it goes down more, because it seemed to me at the time that the charts just don't have institutional support to go uppy past $10 this year.
NatGas - No Moon Until Doom
\
Right now, if you want to go long on anything, because it doesn't matter if it's DoCToR CoPpEr or equities or gold, you have to be either low risk or hedged, because of the imminent threat of the collapse of the Chinese Communist Party.
Xi Jinping has the game theory problem of being the head of the most wicked and heinous regime in all of human history, the Party that dared to commit organ harvesting and genocide against Falun Dafa's 100 million practitioners.
Although that persecution was launched by former, and now-dead Chairman Jiang Zemin, and although Xi has been killing the Jianglings for years in his Anti-corruption Campaign, the problem is Xi is still the head of the Party, and you always kill a dragon by severing its head.
And its tail was already severed recently when former Premier Li Keqiang was killed by "an heart attack" at the ripe age of 68, which is very young for a Party prince to die.
If Xi dumps the CCP Gorbachev-USSR style in the middle of the night, especially if it happens on a Friday or a Saturday, everything is going to be gap down gap down gap down gap down and never come back because of the time difference between Beijing and Manhattan.
And if Xi really is too stupid to do that much, there's still a raging pandemic besieging Zhongnanhai, and the Emperor's bedroom has never been immune to plague.
So over the last few months, what's happened with natural gas is, it's up apparently a lot. Like, from $2.7 to $3.6 sort of a lot and looked almost rampy on the monthly bars until it corrected this November:
The weekly, though, shows the pain that the rallies keep getting sold off:
And this is because the rallies weren't really rallies. What would happen is one month would settle and the next month's contract, which is trading in contango, would roll in and give the appearance of uppy and smash up levered futures traders.
But the ETFs show that natty has done absolutely nothing all year.
UNG, which is an unlevered fund:
Is down 56% this year, hasn't rallied one bit, and looks poised to break necks around $4, because what doesn't go up is going to go down. It's been flat for too long.
2x leverage BOIL (long) had a 20:1 reverse split 6 months ago, never rallied, and looks pretty puketacular right now:
And 2x leverage KOLD (short):
Has spent 6 months in a 35% range killing options buyers in what looks like a "bear flag" that's just taken way too long to do the thing bear flags are supposed to do.
And so we can only surmise that the once-fabled $1.8 to $1.6 range on Natty is incoming.
Perhaps we'll see this magic before the end of the year.
If you want to short natty, I have some reservations that this $3.6 monthly high is going to remain the monthly high, because it was set on the first day of the month.
And so there is a potential trade opportunity, roughly now, to take out like $3.8 and net a 25% bagger.
Or just wait until $3.7 and go short on a size that you aren't going to get liquidated on until $5 and be willing to put up with $4 for a day or two.
But most importantly, natty couldn't possibly have topped at $10, and simultaneously couldn't possibly have bottomed at $1.9 with the way 2023 is playing out.
The most sadistic MMs on any asset are the Natty overlords and they're about to get started, I believe.
USOIL Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
Crude Oil May Have Found Medium Term Bottom @ 68Crude oil price showing strength!
N.B!
- USOIL price might not follow drawn lines . Actual price movement may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#usoil
#crudeoil
#wti
#brentoil
Hellena | Oil (4H): Short to support area of 71.21Dear Colleagues, price is in a pretty strong downward movement. I suppose that the price fall will continue and after confirming the fall I will redraw the Elliott waves. So far, I assume that the price will reach the support area of 71.21.
Before this decline, it is possible that the price will update the maximum a little more and reach the resistance area of 75.28. But all my thoughts are only about short positions.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OIL BULLISH MORE !!HELLO FRIENDS!!
As I can see USOIL is now trading above the uptrend line and it will be more bullish because of Asian Demand and War in Middle East Technically also it showing us clear view that it is holding above the support level and trading in bullish trend after a small reversal we expecting more buys in USOIL Trade As you can see our pervious entry on USOIL is preforming great job chart is attached in comment and we are loading more bags on this after a little Dip Friends Geopolitical Issue vs Supply & Demand is a clear view for Oil Prices It's just a trade Idea share Ur thoughts with us it help many other traders Stay Tuned for more updates.
a daily price action after hour update - oilGood evening and i hope you are well.
wti crude oil
bull case: Amazing day by the bulls. They broke strongly out of the bear flag and made the market always in long on the daily so i expect follow through to 78 or higher.
bear case: Bears see this as a trading range and they want the market to form a lower high below 78. After such a strong move on the daily, bears expect bulls to take profits and the market probably will go sideways before another leg up or down.
short term: neutral here - valid targets on both sides and today was strong enough for a breather over the next 1-2 days. If bulls manage to keep this running, 80 is highly probable but first they need a higher high above 79.
medium-long term: Sideways until clear break of range between 70-80
trade of the day: long → see chart
WTI stalls around resistanceThe core bias remains for a move up to $77, but as price action during the current rally on the 1-hour chart is choppy and has stalled near resistance, we're looking for a dip lower to around $73.
Also note that the weekly and monthly pivot points are hovering above the 10/20-day EMAs, which adds conviction that an interim top may be about to form.