SPX500: Weekly OVERVIEW! Awesome chance to sell?#CyclesHey tradomaniacs,
welcome to another weekly outlook of SPX500!
This is an addition to my previous outlook:
The chart is speaking for itself...
Enjoy and have a nice start into the week!
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Peace and good trades
Irasor
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Weeklymarketsanalysis
EUR/USD: Weekly overview! Timelines and technical details!#SellHey tradomaniacs,
welcome to a weekly overview of Euro / US Dollar.
It`s been very boring during the past weeks and the market had to choose a path
fighting inside a range of the wedge.
Neither EURO or USD had the final say yet but it looks like the EURO is going to loose this fight since
we`ve seen another attempt to break out of the range and stopped at the previous support which could be an
evidence of an S&R-Flip.
The previous two weeks do look like a desperate "try hard" of the bulls to push the euro towards north but did not even make
it to the strong tested resistance at 1.14525.
The defense of team bulls at yard 1.13 was very strong but at the end not good enough to prevent team bears to
shot the next goal.
The big picture shows an S/H/S-Pattern which should be a strong evidence for another sell-off after this breakout
towards parity down to a possible price of 1.06.
Timelines:
The timelines are pretty accurate and harmonic and do indicate time for a downtrend.
Comparing the divergences of them do show us a common happening.
During a trend we`ve seen at least 2 waves with a "settlement" with Wave A which indicates the time of the primary trend.
The right shoulder shows a settlement of Wave B, Alpha and Beta and indicates a correction of Wave A.
Amplitude and lenght are pretty accurate.
After that correction we`ve see a harmonic agreement of Wave A, B and alpha.
The next attempt to correct indicated by the Alpha-Wave did not get its support of Wave B anymore and wasn`t able to break out of the wedge.
This divergence often confirms the weakness of the opposite direction of the Wave A + Wave B combination.
Right now we will head into an another "agreement" of all waves.
Overall we see a very bearish chart and can expect a new sell-off to start soon in ordewr to complete the S/H/S-Pattern.
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LEAVE A LIKE AND A COMMENT - I appreciate every support! =)
Peace and good trades
Irasor
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Any questions? PM me. :-)
US30/Dow - Weekly Forecast 4th - 9th MarchFinally a sign for a stop to a bullish Dow that seems to have taken ages.
The price finally gave a clear break below of the rising structure on a Thursday.
However, the fall was pulled back strongly on a Friday night which is believed due to large profit takings.
Although this is not a major reversal, it does give the Dow a higher probability of depreciation in the short-term trend.
Wait for the price to pull back further till and look for reversal signal at the supply zone between 25800 to 25900.
Dollar - Weekly Forecast 4th - 9th MarchThe dollar climbed constantly and retested 2018's previous high at 97.7.
A 6-month symmetrical triangle was also broken above in the process, signalling that the dollar may continue to climb higher and break new high in the near future.
However, the dollar may experience a bumpy ride in this coming week as it got rejected by a 21-month supply zone.
The dollar has dropped gradually with no sign of a rebound but the movement was considered weak.
Traders should watch out for the price at 97 which is the top of the symmetrical triangle and subsequently, 96.7 which is the current demand zone.
From the fundamental point of view, the dollar is still considered strong since it currently has the highest interest rate among all major pairs.
Even though the Fed is still very uncertain over the next rate hike, it is apparent that all other major banks are still reluctant to raise rate.
EURUSD, Week 10 big profit, expect this in Week 11EURUSD, together with GBPUSD and USDCHF is a big winner for week 10. They moved as expected in our Week 10 analysis and holding them through the week would have no surprises for the traders trading these pairs. Congrats to traders making the wonderful trades.
In Week 10, we see EURUSD making big movement and ending the week with a sharp V shape reversal. I am in the view that it has completed a 3 level bearish movement and it is now time for bullish movement.
Week 10 analysis would have pointed us towards a bullish movement in week 11 and I personally has no reservation about an upward move for EURUSD.
I hope all traders to continue with a profitable Week 11 ahead. Please share your thoughts below, like and follow me for my weekly analysis on EURUSD , GBPUSD , USDJPY , and USDCHF!
USDJPY, no trade in week 10, Short for Week 11USDJPY did not move as expected in week 10, rather, it consolidated and seems to complete a big reversal formation.
In Week 10, it did not rise, but rather formed a seemingly inverted U shape, which indicates a reversal. It seems like the bull power is dying off and the trend would be moved by the Bear.
In Week 10, USDJPY still remains an unsure pair even though it seems like it can be long, but I still advised against longing the pair back in week 9.
Now with the big move downwards, I would say that USDJPY can be traded again, and this time, short it all the way down!
I would be confident for the short of USDJPY in week 11.
I hope all traders to continue with a profitable Week 11 ahead. Please share your thoughts below, like and follow me for my weekly analysis on EURUSD , GBPUSD , USDJPY , and USDCHF!
USDCHF, ez Week 10, expectations for Week 11USDCHF moved exactly to what we expected, pretty much like what happened to our analysis of GBPUSD. I hope you managed to make good profit out of it.
in week 10, USDCHF completed its 3 level bullish trend. On Friday, it made a fast reversal, no double top seen on the H1 chart.
The reversal can be seen as a inverted V, and it broke a new level, so we do not need to wait for a second double top. I put it as M as an indication of reversal.
Since it has completed its 3 level of bullish movement, we would be expecting a drop in week 11. Since it has also broke into level 1 of the bearish trend, it further reinforced the bearish trend that we would be seeing in week 11.
USDCHF would be a short for Week 11, and I am excited to see how far it would go.
I hope all traders to continue with a profitable Week 11 ahead. Please share your thoughts below, like and follow me for my weekly analysis on EURUSD , GBPUSD , USDJPY , and USDCHF!
GBPUSD, ez Week 10, ready for Week 11GBPUSD moved as expected for week 10, and if we were to enter a short starting Monday, you would enjoy a straight profit through the week, how awesome is that.
In week 10, we the GBPUSD completed a 3 level bearish move, it was a great move and I am sure it trapped many short traders.
Looking at the current analysis, the GBPUSD seems to be forming the second leg of the double bottom, which is seen as a reversal pattern.
If a double bottom is being formed, we can enter a long and wait for another 3 level of movement to be completed before we can switch to sell again.
For week 11, I am expecting to long the market, given the completion of 3 levels of bearish movement.
I hope all traders to continue with a profitable Week 11 ahead. Please share your thoughts below, like and follow me for my weekly analysis on EURUSD , GBPUSD , USDJPY , and USDCHF!
GBPUSD, week 9 sharp rise, what to expect for week 10?GBPUSD made a sharp rise in week 9, and it was the opposite of what the analysis showed in week 8.
In week 8, it was expected that the pair would move downwards, rather than a rise because of the reversal pattern spotted.
A red flag would have been spotted given that a long consolidation occurred and the price did not shift down as expected.
For week 10, I would expect some consolidation and I would not trade it until a clear candlestick combination show itself. However, I would still be looking for a short entry rather than a long entry.
I hope all traders to continue with a profitable Week 9 ahead. Please share your thoughts below, like and follow me for my weekly analysis on EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, and USDCHF!
USDJPY, week 9 move gives week 10 a clear directionUSDJPY has continued its upward move in week 9 and it showed no mercy in its move. USDJPY made fast price movement and reversing back upwards after a seemingly bearish reversal move.
I continue to avoid trading USDJPY for week 9 for a simple reason. I was unclear of the direction.
However, the move in week 9 seems to have pointed out that the pair would continue its bullish move in week 10.
A reversal pattern was spotted, albeit in the absence of a three-level downtrend move. The reversal move can be seen as an H&S or double bottom, just like USDCHF.
The bull power seems to be strong in the pair as the price moved up with no reservation and no signal of any retracement. Most retail traders would expect a pullback, but I doubt that would happen.
So for week 10, I would be looking to enter long, probably in Tuesday or end Monday.
I hope all traders to continue with a profitable Week 9 ahead. Please share your thoughts below, like and follow me for my weekly analysis on EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, and USDCHF!
USDCHF, Level 4 drop for week 9, can it rise for week 10?USDCHF continued to consolidate for Monday in week 9 and in the end, broke the low of the whole consolidation zone. It reached a new low and formed a level 4 bear trend in the chart.
I was long for this pair, so I am trapped in week 9. Getting trapped in the wrong analysis is no joke. It took a good 15% off my overall equity, combined with all the losses of other pairs. Fortunately, the profits from past weeks trading acted as a cushion against the bad trade management of mine.
From the analysis, we can see that it formed a classic formation of H&S or some may call it a V reversal. So with that, I am expecting an upward reversal in week 10.
I cannot say how long, or how high it will go, but I will be going in long for this pair as well. Since the pair ended the week in a reversal zone, when the market reopens, we can enter the market prudently.
I hope all traders to continue with a profitable Week 9 ahead. Please share your thoughts below, like and follow me for my weekly analysis on EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, and USDCHF!
EURUSD, Week 9 is a reset, Week 10 to drop.EURUSD moved the opposite direction of what was expected in our week 8 analysis. I did not expect it and I was trapped badly. However, in week 9, it seems to have completed a three-level bullish trend and completed the week with a double top on the H1 chart.
Getting trapped in the wrong analysis is no joke. It took a good 15% off my overall equity, combined with all the losses of other pairs. Fortunately, the profits from past weeks trading acted as a cushion against the bad trade management of mine.
This week's analysis seems to point towards a drop for next week because of the full three-level bullish move made in week 9. It ended the week with a double top, and looking at the day chart, it seems to point towards a drop in week 9 as well.
I will be monitoring on Monday to decide what would be the direction, but currently, it is short for me. I am expecting a drop of a minimum of 2 levels for week 10 and hopefully, it reaches that level that I am looking for.
I hope all traders to continue with a profitable Week 9 ahead. Please share your thoughts below, like and follow me for my weekly analysis on EURUSD , GBPUSD , USDJPY and USDCHF!
Whats going on in Europe???WARNING: I AM STILL NEW TO LEARNING HARMONICS!!!
Now with that out the way
On the weekly it looks like the harmonic pattern has already reached its profit goals. I also think USD is looking bearish long term.
Based on the hourly:
Euro has already reached profit level 38.2 @1.13598. Next price target is my 61.8 fib @1.14369
Dollar - Weekly Forecast 25th - 29th FebruaryDollar fell further as expected as it formed a bearish Gartley pattern.
The price was seen supported at first within the demand zone at 96.
The price attempted to rebound and climbed slowly for two days.
And on the last day, gains are mostly wiped out due to either a strong selling pressure had appeared or there's not enough buying strength to support a stronger rebound.
Therefore, the price is expected to fall further this week as it seeks a stronger demand below.
EURUSD, uni direction in week 8, can it reversal in Week 9?EURUSD, together with GBPUSD and USDCHF moved accordingly to our analysis in week 8 and ending Week 8 strong. I hope this helps all you traders out there to make some profit, and I hope it give you guys a good week as written on my week 8 title. =)
I did not follow my own trading plan and decided to trade with a longer term perspective, which lead to a issue I faced. It caused me about 5% losses to my overall equity in my managed fund and about 9 false trade to my signal followers, and yes I am mad. But it is ok, I will re focus back to what works in Week 9 again.
The analysis of EURUSD week 9's movement did showed that the bull seems to be weakening and I have also identified a level 3 bullish zone which signaled that the EURUSD could be coming in with a bearish move instead in week 9.
The area to the right of the M that was not boxed, has also presented a M shape. So you can also look at the analysis this way, the box area with a M on top can show a high/low reset, meaning a trend reset, followed by a M, which is the reversal pattern coinciding with level 3 bullish zone.
So both analysis pointed me towards shorting the pair, and I am following suit for week 9.
I hope all traders to continue with a profitable Week 9 ahead. Please share your thoughts below, like and follow me for my weekly analysis on EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY and UISDCHF!
GBPUSD, Week 8 as expected, Week 9 can be differentGBPUSD moved as how we expected in Week 8, finishing a 3 levels of bullish move. It was not bad, just that instead of long, I shorted it due to the opening gap on Monday. I hope not many does the same as me.
I did not follow my own trading plan and decided to trade with a longer term perspective, which lead to a issue I faced. It caused me about 5% losses to my overall equity in my managed fund and about 9 false trade to my signal followers, and yes I am mad. But it is ok, I will re focus back to what works in Week 9 again.
Looking at the analysis, I do expect the GBPUSD to finish off lower in Week 9 as compared to week 8, perhaps reaching a level 2 bearish zone.
The break away from the level 3 reversal zone is a fast one on Friday and ending Week 8 in the zone of level 1 bullish zone. I am holding on to 3 positions of the short and will continue to hold on to it till the level 2 bearish zone before I decide to exit of continue holding.
I hope all traders to continue with a profitable Week 9 ahead. Please share your thoughts below, like and follow me for my weekly analysis on EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY and UISDCHF!
USDJPY, trapped in Week 8, Week 9 blurredUSDJPY did not make any major movement in Week 8, contrary to our analysis made in Week 7. While it did not make big upwards move, it seems to have tried making failed downward price pattern.
I did not follow my own trading plan and decided to trade with a longer term perspective, which lead to a issue I faced. It caused me about 5% losses to my overall equity in my managed fund and about 9 false trade to my signal followers, and yes I am mad. But it is ok, I will re focus back to what works in Week 9 again.
The failed attempt is most visible on Friday, when a double bottom was spotted, and it only make about 30 pips down, and it came back up again and close the week and Friday higher.
It is suggesting a strong bullish power still maintaining in the trend and with no big movement, we can expect Week 9 to have some explosive move through the week.
I am in the view that USDJPY will continue its bullish move with one or two explosive upward movement of 50 to 100 pips next week. I am comfortable to trade USDJPY next week, so prolly I will be entering smaller long position in Week 9 when the market opens.
I hope all traders to continue with a profitable Week 9 ahead. Please share your thoughts below, like and follow me for my weekly analysis on EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY and UISDCHF!
USDCHF, Week 8 as expected, Week 9 reversal?USDCHF move exactly as expected from our analysis on week 7. Finishing the week with a volatile Friday. However, I changed something to the week 7 analysis to reflect a more accurate trend movement.
In our Week 7 analysis, I actually used a H&S to reflect the level 3 reversal zone. But after considering the move this week, I decided to change to better reflect the 3 bearish trend movement as I analyzed the Week 8 to end with a reversal zone, which coincided with a level 3 bearish zone.
I did not follow my own trading plan and decided to trade with a longer term perspective, which lead to a issue I faced. It caused me about 5% losses to my overall equity in my managed fund and about 9 false trade to my signal followers, and yes I am mad. But it is ok, I will re focus back to what works in Week 9 again.
Currently USDCHF seems to finish the full double bottom reversal shape, and I am waiting for it to break the high of the level 3 reversal zone. I am hopeful that the price will resume a bullish movement in Week 9.
I hope all traders to continue with a profitable Week 9 ahead. Please share your thoughts below, like and follow me for my weekly analysis on EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY and UISDCHF!
Gold - Weekly Forecast 18th - 22nd FebruaryThe gold set to climb further after a strong rebound that lasted throughout Thursday and Friday.
The price has successfully rebounded off from a demand zone and broke out of the range between 1316 and 1303.
The price is also seen breaking above an inside bar based on W1 chart, a sign of a strong bullish moment.
Traders can wait for the price to retrace back to 1316 ideally for re-entry to long.
As long as the price maintains above 1310, my view on the gold will be bullish.
Dollar - Weekly Forecast 18th - 22nd FebruaryThe dollar climbed and created new high every day without failed and eventually entered into the 2-month supply zone at 97.
The Gartley pattern was successfully formed as a result and on Friday, the price took a strong bearish stance, leaving a long upper shadow.
Just a week before, the dollar has gained consecutively for 8 days but this week itself, there are 3 bearish candles against just 2 bullish candles.
The selling is obviously building up and with both bearish Gartley and a strong supply zone, the dollar will finally face a bearish week this time.
Furthermore, we cannot ignore the fact that the US economic data is clearly showing an obvious slowdown in the US economy.
And perhaps, the dollar has come back to a level too strong for the US president to ignore.
USDCHF, week 7's long tail for week 8 reversal?USDCHF moved inline with our expectation in week 6, however, a little surprise came along. However, if you have been going long with USDCHF, you would have made a good profit and stay relatively comfortable for the whole week 7.
In week 7, I traded all the 4 symbols I analyzed here in tradingview, and I made about 7% profit in my PAMM managed fund and I hope my signal subscribers are happy with the results as well. If you have a bigger leverage and risk appetite, 7% would be minute as compared to your gain in week 7, I hope you make a profit from week 7's trading.
On the Monday of Week 7, USDCHF made a surprising upward move and ended it off lower than the starting point (hourly candle), that left a 90 pips upward tail. I didnt seek to find out what caused the spike, all I knew was that the opportunity to enter has presented itself. I went long, and exited for about 35 pips on that day itself after I spotted a consolidation. (the consolidation did happen and lasted till Tuesday)
The reason why I entered long was due to the analysis of Week 6 and a seemingly week reversal price pattern that was spotted as a bearish level in week 6. Holding till the end of the week would have yield great returns, however, it was not my habit and trading style to do that.
In the analysis of Week 7, we saw the formation of a classic H&S, which fell in line with our bullish zone 3, which would typically see price reverse at that zone. Thus, we are expecting a downward move in the coming week 8 for USDCHF.
For the coming week, I am most comfortable to trade GBPUSD, EURUSD, followed by USDJPY then USDCHF.
If you have any thoughts on USDCHF's movement for the coming weeks, please share them below, I look forward to learning and staying profitable together. Please help me like this analysis, and follow me for my weekly updates!
USDJPY, quick reverse in week 7, outlook for week 8USDJPY moved as analyzed in week 7. A strong upward movement which ended on Thursday and followed by a start of bearish trend through the end of week 7. For traders who long the pair would be delighted to see their account increase in the first half of week 7, however, the signal to short is quite fast, even though I caught it myself, I exited before the day ended on Thursday.
In week 7, I traded all the 4 symbols I analyzed here in tradingview, and I made about 7% profit in my PAMM managed fund and I hope my signal subscribers are happy with the results as well. If you have a bigger leverage and risk appetite, 7% would be minute as compared to your gain in week 7, I hope you make a profit from week 7's trading.
Looking at the analysis of USDJPY, we would expect them to break down to bearish zone 2, currently, the price is staying the bearish zone 1. However, we are not too sure where is the high of the zone yet, so I am looking forward to a candlestick combination which would signal me to short USDJPY.
In week 8, I am expecting USDJPY to at least land itself in the area of bearish zone 2 before completing the week. However, stay flexible and mindful of the changes, if it is not according to plan, please exit. We live to fight another day!
If you have any thoughts on USDJPYs movement for the coming weeks, please share them below, I look forward to learning and staying profitable together. Please help me like this analysis, and follow me for my weekly updates!
EURUSD, not a good week 7, expect a good week 8In Week 7, EURUSD can be seen as a little confusing to traders. In Week 6, we expected a continuation of the bear trend, but we only see EURUSD keeps pushing and coming back to the zone of the previous zone. That could lead us to think that if the break of the zone has failed and instead stay long or stay out. I would like to think that it is ok to stay out in such an environment because, at first glance, it is a bit difficult to separate them out.
In week 7, I traded all the 4 symbols I analyzed here in tradingview, and I made about 7% profit in my PAMM managed fund and I hope my signal subscribers are happy with the results as well. If you have a bigger leverage and risk appetite, 7% would be minute as compared to your gain in week 7, I hope you make a profit from week 7's trading.
In the first half of week 7, it should be easy for traders to extract profit out of the bearish move of EURUSD. In the later part of the week, I started asking myself if it is going to reverse, and on Friday, I made up my mind that it might continue a downward trend instead. Like GBPUSD, towards the end of Friday, it made an explosive move upwards, which I stayed out as I decided to rest myself.
As we can see from the analysis of week 7, it did complete 3 levels of a bearish zone, however, each zone is close to another which would be the reason why traders might be confused over the status of the trend. The decisive upward move on Friday should clear the doubts that we should have, and we can expect an upward movement in week 8.
I would expect the pair to at least reach a level 2 bullish zone in week 8, and I am quite excited about it. I would be using the same entry plan as mentioned in my analysis of GBPUSD, to minimise the potential losses.
If you have any thoughts on EURUSD's movement for the coming weeks, please share them below, I look forward to learning and staying profitable together. Please help me like this analysis, and follow me for my weekly updates!