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Weeklymarketsanalysis

Gold: Weekly Forecast 10th - 14th JuneThe gold has led the longest gain in 3 years and now the price is at an all-time high. The price has climbed for 7 consecutive days and resistance has been seen rejecting the price from the top of a 35-month symmetrical triangle. The current wave of a bullish trend was the 2nd and the longest one since the rebound and will likely face with retracement soon. The first immediate support is seen at 1336 which could lead to the continuation of another higher low and retest the high. If 1336 fails to hold the price, a major retracement shall begin and first demand zone is seen at 1320.
FX:XAUUSD
by AlgoVenture
1
Events to Look Out For Next WeekBy Andria Pichidi - June 1, 2019 Trade and geopolitics will continue to dominate the headlines into June along with PM May’s official resignation on Friday. Top of the agenda next week will be the RBA and ECB policy meetings, but a lot of attention will also be on the contemporaneous data on the May US Jobs report, the global PMI outcomes and the European Q1 GDP. Monday – 03 June 2019 [* ]Caixin Manufacturing PMI (CNY, GMT 01:45) – The Caixin manufacturing PMI is expected to slip into the neutral zone in May, after the weak Manufacturing PMI signalled contraction yesterday. ISM Manufacturing PMI (USD, GMT 14:00) – The ISM index is expected to rise to 53.5 in May from 52.8 in April, compared to a 14-year high of 61.4 in August. Overall, we’ve seen a stabilization in sentiment since the late-2018 pullback. Tuesday – 04 June 2019 Retail Sales (AUD, GMT 01:30) – Retail sales are expected to come out lower, standing at 0.2% m/m in April, after drifting to 0.3% increase in March from the 0.9% high in February. Interest Rate Decision (AUD, GMT 04:30) –A 25 bp reduction to 1.25% is anticipated from the current 1.50% rate setting as the RBA adds accommodation amid a slowing economy and low inflation. The minutes from the early May policy review were dovish-leaning, adding to the expectation that rates will be reduced in June. Consumer Price Index (EUR, GMT 09:00) – The preliminary Euro Area CPI for May is expected to drop back to 1.4% y/y from 1.7%y/y last month. The core inflation is seen at 1.0% y/y from 1.3% y/y. Fed’s Chair Powell speech (USD, GMT N/A) Wednesday – 05 June 2019 Gross Domestic Product (AUD, GMT 01:30) – The Gross Domestic Product figure is probably the most important economic data announcement for a country, closely followed by the unemployment rate. The final Q1 Australian GDP is expected to grow to 0.3% from 0.2%. ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (USD, GMT 14:00) – The ISM-NMI index is expected to edge up to 55.7 in April from a 19-month low of 56.1 in March, versus a 13-year high of 60.8 in September. Thursday – 06 June 2019 Event of the week – ECB Interest Rate Decision (EUR, GMT 11:45) – The ECB is widely expected to keep policy rates on hold at the June council meeting, but the presser is likely to be very dovish, with the guidance on rates likely to be pushed well into 2020. The details on the new TLTRO programme are also due to be released and are likely to be generous, but rate tiering doesn’t seem to be on the agenda for now, as the assessment of the possible side effects on negative interest rates continues. Friday – 07 June 2019 Event of the Week – Non-Farm Payrolls (USD, GMT 12:30) – Along with Thursday’s employment data, payrolls are important in gauging how many people are employed in non-agricultural businesses. Jobs are expected to have increased in May, at 190k following a 263k increase in April. The unemployment rate should remain steady at 3.6% from April, while average hourly earnings should rise 0.3% m/m, for a y/y gain of 3.2%. Employment and Unemployment (CAD, GMT 12:30) – After the 106.5k surge in April employment, which notched a new all-time record 1-month gain, the Canadian unemployment rate is expected to have increased further in May. Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
by HotForex
Gold: Weekly Forecast 3rd - 7th JuneThe gold has made strong gains in the last 2 trading days and finally broke a new high first time in more than 3 months. Also, this marks the 4th consecutive weekly depreciation for the US stocks, with the most recent week being the weakest week. With the dollar being rejected and fell from the high and the US stock market continues to plunge, it clearly shows that the gold stands a good chance to climb further. In this week, the gold is most likely to climb and test the 618 level of the falling wedge. The price may find some resistance and drop but would most likely be temporary and the price will rise again.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by AlgoVenture
US Dollar Currency Index / W / Weekly Forex Analysis / 6.2.2019Hello Traders, welcome to the Weekly Forex technical analysis. Today is June 2nd, 2019 and we will be taking a look at the U.S. Dollar Currency Index on the weekly chart just to get into the calendar, and have an outlook into the upcoming week. Looking at the Dollar Index here on a weekly time frame, overall the structure still remains pretty bullish as long as were above the 97.465 support and resistance area. We also had the talk of additional tariffs going against Mexico, which could certainly trigger this to move upwards towards the 98.687 resistance area. If we break above the 98.6 area look for the next target area which would be 99.451 support and Resistance zone. If the DXY starts to lose momentum and turn bearish by losing the 97.465 area, we would be looking for a retrace back to the 96.493 region.
INDEX:DXY
by FuturesForexClasses
EDUCATIONAL Hi Guys, I hope you've all had a good week and caught some decent pips. The market this week has been one of the worst conditions we have seen in a long time in terms if how slow some of the pairs have been moving and manipulation. Overall we have still managed to catch over 100+ pips. However, please note that I will stick to mainly posting GBP pairs from now on as you can see from the ideas posted how precise the entries and targets have been. Next week we should see much more movement and clearer opportunities and hopefully we can continue to kill the market and make some good profit. Subscribe to my page as you don't want to miss out on the coming weeks. I would love to know your thoughts in the comments section. Have a great weekend traders!
by Younisward
Dollar: Weekly Forecast 27th - 31st MayThe dollar was somewhat consolidating at the beginning and suddenly it attempted to break new high. The price went slightly above the previous high at 98.3 but immediately got rejected by strong selling pressure. This is somewhat quite expected of the dollar whenever it attempts to break a new high. The situation where the U.S. economy is in surely isn't one that favours a stronger dollar, one that is in the midst of a trade war. In this week, we do expect the dollar to fall further and test the bottom of its current range at 97 where it will probably just continue to trade within the range.
TVC:DXYShort
by AlgoVenture
EOS/ETH Long Entry banking on 20DMA rebound (weekly)On my last post EOS/ETH was in overbot territory on the weekly and I was looking to add more on weakness. The Bull Case: Since then the pair experienced a reversion to 20DMA, STO back to the mid-area (no surprise!). IMO the current setup could be a good entry point risk/reward-wise. Looking for a rebound on 20DMA. With a potential Exit ITM before meeting the upper band of John B! + factor in Some major announcements to come on June 1st from Block.one, the firm behind EOSIO and which ICO-ed the EOS token. This could play as a catalyst for an period of speculation/readjustment of expectations around D-day. Downside Potential: I would work this config with a tight Stoploss, Risk/reward 1:3 with a QUICK Exit if no spike up after the announcements. There is a potential of being drained by the forming divergence on the MACD. This is just a statement of opinion and should not be construed as financial advice.
Long
by lapapanite
EOS/ETH Long on Potential rebond on 2WMAOn my last post EOS/ETH was in overbot territory on the weekly and I was looking to add more on weakness. The Bull Case: Since then the pair experienced a reversion to 20WMA, STO back to the mid-area (no surprise!). IMO the current setup could be a good entry point risk/reward-wise. Looking for a rebound on 20WMA. With a potential Exit before meeting the upper band of John B! + factor in Some major announcements to come on June 1st from Block.one the firm behind EOSIO and which ICO-ed the EOS token. This could play as a catalyst for an period of speculation/readjustment of expectations around D-day. Downside Potential: I would work this config with a tight Stoploss, Risk/reward 1:3 with a QUICK Exit if no spike up after the announcements. There is a potential of being drained by the forming divergence on the MACD. This is just a statement of opinion and should not be construed as financial advice.
Long
by lapapanite
1
US Dollar Currency Index / W / Weekly Forex Analysis / 5.19.2019Hello Traders, welcome to the Weekly Forex technical analysis. Today is May 19th, 2019 and we will be taking a look at the U.S. Dollar Currency Index on the weekly chart just to get into the calendar, and have an outlook into the upcoming week. Looking at the Dollar Index here on a weekly time frame, we can see we got a minor correction and finally it moved back above the 97.465 support and resistance area, with a strong weekly close above this area. Going into this next week of 5/20/2019, we will be looking for the Dollar Index to follow through and continue to strengthen a bit more an target the 98.687 resistance area. On the over hand if we fail to move higher and turn bearish we would be looking to retrace back to the 96.493 support area.
INDEX:DXY
by FuturesForexClasses
EURUSD: Weekly Forecast 20th - 24th MayJust like the dollar, and since EURUSD has been moving in harmony with the dollar this week, EURUSD has clearly turned bearish after breaking below the key level of 1.1173 after the break below a rising trendline. And all indicators such as MACD, moving averages and Bollinger band has pointed toward a bearish trend in the week to come. Therefore in this week, we are setting a bearish tone for the EURUSD and expecting the price to fall further and test the previous low or break new low. Should the price retrace at first, we will look for sell opportunity at the supply one right above 1.1200.
Short
by AlgoVenture
Gold: Weekly Forecast 20th - 24th MayThe gold price failed to maintain its bullishness even after it had broken above a 2-month falling trendline. The break came on the first trading day where a strong bullish candle pierced through the top of the range at 1288 together with the falling trendline. However, the bear came in unexpectedly strong, recover all losses and ended up closing with a bearish candle with a long upper shadow in the weekly chart. Nevertheless, the price continued to stay supported above 1270. This week, the gold is still likely to fall further as the bear has proven strong, and the price will eventually retest 1270 again. Should the price retrace at first, look for sell opportunity at 1288 supply zone.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by AlgoVenture
Dollar: Weekly Forecast 20th - 24th MayThe dollar has shown that the consolidation has completed as it headed north through the whole of last week. Every indicator is in favour of a bullish dollar such as the 20,55 and 200 moving averages that are pointing upward, the Bollinger band that has opened its mouth, and the MACD has crossed upwards above level zero. The low and the high keep getting higher as it rises through a 4-month rising channel. This week, we are expecting the dollar to keep rising and should the price were to retrace in the beginning, the price is likely to rebound off the demand zone below 97.6.
TVC:DXYLong
by AlgoVenture
1
#GBPUSD, impressive bear in Week 19, what about Week 20?GBPUSD moved a different direction as what was expected from our analysis last week. It made a gap at the start of the week and went down all the way without looking back. It stopped the price movement in bearish consolidation zone 2 and ended the week with a hint of a continuation of the trend. As the pair is currently residing in the consolidation zone 2, the analysis would expect the pair to go further, reaching a level 3 before a reversal pattern show itself. I am currently holding open short positions as well and I am planning to exit when it hit level 3 and wait for a reversal pattern to complete itself before going long. The whole process of hitting bearish consolidation zone 3 and the completion of the reversal pattern can take the whole week of Week 20, we just got to be patient and wait for it. Thus, the short term outlook remained bearish and would only turn bullish after the reversal pattern at consolidation zone 3 shows itself. I hope all traders continue to make good profit in Week 20! Please like and follow me if my analysis helped you in any way! Thanks for the support! =)
Short
by xunnobi
#EURUSD, expected consolidation in Week 19, how about Week 20?EURUSD did not make any strong move in Week 19, and it has moved comfortably within its consolidation range. I personally only took one signal in EURUSD in Week 19 as it seems not to show any good signals. The price is currently sitting at the top of the consolidation range and it is still unsure if the price would fall back to the consolidation range or would it make an upward break in Week 20. Thus, the analysis is not suggesting taking any bias outlook at the moment and wait to have a clearer picture before taking a stand. I hope all traders continue to make good profit in Week 20! Please like and follow me if my analysis helped you in any way! Thanks for the support! =)
by xunnobi
#USDJPY, Strong bear in Week 19, can they continue in Week 20?USDJPY moved way beyond the expectation of the analysis. It opened with a big bearish gap and continued its downward move till Friday. Spectacular week for short traders, congrats to all short traders who made an awesome profit! In Week 19, USDJPY only showed the Bullish strength a few hours before the close of the market. USDJPY threw a reversal pattern at its bearish level 5 consolidation, and it is easy to miss the entry since it is near the end of the week. The analysis is pointing a bullish trend in Week 20 as we are now in the middle of the reversal pattern. A double bottom was identified as the reversal pattern and it seems to be able to move the pair upwards in Week 20. Personally, I will be adding long positions in Week 20, and the price pattern and analysis gave me great confidence that it will reverse itself to a bullish trend in Week 20. I am also currently holding two open long positions in USDJPY. I hope all traders continue to make good profit in Week 20! Please like and follow me if my analysis helped you in any way! Thanks for the support! =)
Long
by xunnobi
#USDCHF, downward break in Week 19, still bearish in Week 20?USDCHF spent much time in the range of level 1 and finally, it broke down to a new low towards the end of the week, moving into the level 2 consolidation zone. USDCHF moved much to what was expected of it, consolidation then followed by the trend move. I hope traders have taken advantage of the range and made good profits for yourselves! The analysis for Week 19 still points toward a continuation of the bearish trend in upcoming Week 20. The price broke into a new low and I am looking at USDCHF forming a new low in Week 20. With the analysis in place, I am comfortable going short in USDCHF for Week 20. However, a consolidation might also follows after a strong bearish move in Week 20. I hope all traders continue to make good profit in Week 20! Please like and follow me if my analysis helped you in any way! Thanks for the support! =)
Short
by xunnobi