Wavetheory
Is Crypto Waiting for VanEck Bitcoin ETF Before Take-Off? (EW)Follow my twitter: @Intuit_Trading
Neely-Elliott Wave is suggesting that BTCUSD is in wave-E of a contracting triangle with reverse alternation or wave-B of a new advance, and will remain in a neutral environment for the next 6 weeks. The EW time target aligns perfectly with the potential October 18th approval of the VanEck BTC ETF. This ETF in particular has a very high chance of approval because of one big reason - precedent. VanEck has brought to market many original complex financial exchange traded products - they're the good ol' boys.
On a more fundamental basis, the VanEck ETF is the first one that is based on an OTC exchange index, rather than a retail exchange index. There is a lot of precedent for regulated OTC indexes, whereas there is absolutely no precedent for a retail crypto exchange index, which is the main reason why every previous ETF has been rejected. The SEC can't "prevent manipulation" (ie, manipulate the market themselves) on retail crypto exchanges, they can however do so on regulated OTC exchanges that compose the VanEck index. There is also precedent for ETFs composed of significantly more volatile assets than BTC. I think that by switching to an OTC index instead of a retail index, VanEck will have successfully courted the SEC into allowing this ETF to pass. However, until it's official the market will remain neutral. Also after the BTC ETF is approved, it will set a precedent and we will soon see ETFs for every other major crypto being released on the retail market.
Neely River Theory suggests that the best way to play this market environment is to buy bull call option spreads, long DEC19 10000 calls and short DEC19 11000 calls. This bullish vertical spread strategy allows for safer profits to be generated while the market remains range bound with a slight upward bias. Roll into new calls if trade value goes up 60% or price goes above 12000, and exit if value goes down 20-30%. (Warning: Experimental)
GBPAUDGBPAUD Continue it's bullish move as it moves out of the triangle.
The distance traveled by each subsequent wave reduces in length.
This has the effect of contracting the range of the wave, hence the name!
A low risk trade can be placed at the end of wave 'e' with the idea of catching the market as it turns back into the trend.
XAGUSD, short term sell... Wave analysisHere is my view on XAG...
I forecast we could see more downisde incoming to retest the lower levels... We could see some more downside to simply complete the 1,2,3 correction, before going to break the last daily high ! It also broke the lower timeframe upside trend... But also, be aware that it could make a 1,2,3,4,5 correction before the sort term drop.
Short term sell... LONG Term : VERY BULLISH
Let me know what you think ! I am just a beginner so EVERY insight and chart shared is appreciated, Thank you !!!
AUDJPY 1H view... Wave analysis...As shown in the chart, we have a nice contracting flat completed... A nice breakout of this correction... AND a nice breakout ouf the flag formation... I forecast some more downside... at least to the blue line to complete the bigger corrective pattern.
Every insight is appreciated, i am just a beginner, thank you !!!
XAUUSD, very short term buy , long term short !!!Rate cut or no cut ?
I think we might see a short term bullish momentum until interest rate decision. It could even make a higher high ( 1450 + ). But mid/ long term i think we could see a BIG SHORT INCOMING, testing the weekly lows to complete the bigger correction.
Very long term : very bullish .
AUDCHF SHORT , wave analysisHere is my forecasting on AUDCHF.
We are in a downtrend, and most probably finished the 4h 1,2,3 correction. I am seeing some more downside. The blue lines are the 3 last low we had. It will probably retest one of these before making a bigger correction. Lines 2 and 3 are very probable in my opinion.
I am just a beginner, let me know what you think, every insight is appreciated,thank you !
Large Correction For More UpsideUSDZAR is currently forming a larger correction that I initially anticipated. This means that the correction that I had looked at before as being a 3 wave correction, was actually only wave 1 of the larger correction. Looking at the current setup, I expect price to break the low of wave one, market with the red line, before there is a reversal to the upside. I will be looking to enter the long when a reversal confirms but may look for smaller trades to the downside in the interim as well.
Happy trading!
Linton White
JP Markets
South Africa
BIG PULLBACK OR BREAKOUT?I am looking at this bullish corrective structure on the daily time frame. Price is now at the top of wave 4 and needs to confirm either a breakout to the upside or a reversal for wave 5 first. I expect price to move around this level for a while before making a definitive move so will be trading both long and short positions on lower time frames.
Happy trading!
Linton White
JP Markets
South Africa
Correction For More UpsideGold has been moving according to my analysis and I am expecting more upside to come. There is currently a correction forming which could see an interim move down to complete wave 3 but from that point I will be looking for another long entry to the 1485 mark.
Happy trading!
Linton White
JP Markets
South Africa
More Upside To ComeLooking at the daily time frame on EURUSD, we can see that price hasn't reached the 23.6% retracement level as yet. I expect to see a small pullback to support where price will continue upwards and break the 23.6% retracement level. My initial target to the upside is the 38.2% retracement level.
Happy trading!
Linton White
Pro Trader, Analyst, Mentor & Money Manager
JP Markets
Pretoria
South Africa