Hellena | SPX500 (4H): Short to support area 5846.5.Colleagues, I assume that price is completing a five-wave upward movement. I believe that the price may reach the resistance area of 6181.6 then I will consider only downward movement in correction to the area of 5846.5.
It is possible that the price will immediately start moving towards this area, but this is a more risky plan.
Still, I would like to see the completion of all waves “5” in one place!
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Waves
SMLT 1H Swing Long Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade
- short impulse
- unvolumed T1
+ support level
+ volumed 2Sp+
+ weak test
+ biggest volume first buying bar close entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Daily CounterTrend
"- short impulse
+ volumed T1
+ support level
+ volumed manipulation"
Monthly Trend
"+ long impulse
+ T2 level
+ support level
+ biggest volume manipulation"
Yearly trend
"+ T1 level
+ support level
+ biggest volume manipulation?"
ANF rocket fuel primed: Price Discovery ActivatedGreetings Everyone,
I couldn’t delay sharing this exciting analysis on Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF), as it’s showing a significant technical setup that demands immediate attention.
Supplementary Photos:
www.dropbox.com
🌀 ANF’s Fourth Wave Triangle: What’s Unfolding?
Abercrombie & Fitch is currently forming a classic 4th wave triangle as part of a larger Elliott Wave structure. Based on my analysis, it appears this consolidation phase has just completed, setting the stage for a potential breakout into the 5th wave. Here’s why this matters:
📈 Key Insights into ANF’s Wave Structure
Fourth Wave Triangles in Elliott Wave Theory
Fourth waves often manifest as contracting triangles—periods of lower volatility and sideways price action.
These patterns serve as a pause in the trend before the final impulsive wave (Wave 5).
ANF’s price action fits this structure perfectly, with decreasing volume during consolidation, a hallmark of Elliott Wave triangles.
What’s Next? : If the triangle breakout is confirmed, I anticipate a strong 5th wave rally.
Support and Resistance Zones
The lower boundary of the triangle is providing robust support, while the breakout level near the upper resistance aligns with key Fibonacci retracement levels.
Monitor for volume spikes as price approaches the breakout zone—this will validate the bullish move.
Volume Dynamics
Similar to what we’ve seen in past examples (like Chainlink’s accumulation breakout), volume during the breakout phase is crucial. ANF recently showed strong buying pressure near the triangle’s apex, indicating potential momentum.
📊 Strategy and Risk Management
To maximize this opportunity, here are the key levels and strategies to consider:
• Entry Point: A confirmed breakout above the triangle’s resistance with sustained volume.
Stop-Loss: Place stops just below the triangle’s lower boundary to limit downside risk.
Target: Based on Elliott Wave projections, the 5th wave could aim for 1.618 extension of Waves 1–3. Keep this level in focus as a profit-taking zone.
Invalidation: A breakdown below the triangle would signal that the 4th wave correction is incomplete or that the larger wave structure is failing.
Why This Setup is Important
Abercrombie’s breakout would align with:
• Broader market recovery trends.
• Improved earnings performance (as seen in its Q3 highlights).
• Continued strength in consumer spending and brand expansion efforts.
Closing Thoughts
This is a pivotal moment for ANF. With the completion of the 4th wave triangle
LLY 1H Swing Long Aggressive Trend TradeAggressive Trend Trade
- short impulse
+ volumed TE / T1
+ support level
+ biggest volume Sp
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar close entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Daily Context
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
- expanding T2
+ support level
+ volumed manipulation"
Monthly Context
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ T2 level
+ support level
- biggest volume manipulation"
Yearly Context
"+ long impulse
- neutral zone"
AFKS Swing 1H Long Conservative CounterTrend TradeConservative CounterTrend Trade
+ long balance
+ 1/2 correction
+ volumed ICE level
+ support level
+ biggest volume 2Sp-
+ weak test
- above first bullish bar close entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Daily Context
"- short impulse
+ volumed TE / T1 level
+ volumed manipulation
+ support level"
Monthly Context
"- short impulse
+ biggest volume T1 level
- below 1/2 correction
+ support level
- one bar reversal?!"
Yearly Context
"- short impulse
- neutral zone"
XLV Swing Long 1H Conservative CounterTrend TradeConservative CounterTrend Trade
+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ T2 level
+ biggest volume Sp
- resistance level
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to2 R/R take profit before 1/2 of the Day
Daily Context
"- short impulse
- unvolumed T1
+ support level
+ volumed Sp"
Monthly Context
"+ long impulse
- SOS level broken
- far below 1/2 correction"
Yearly Context
"+ long impulse
- resistance level"
waves waves usdt daily analyses
time frame daily
risk rewards ratio >1.5
waves price raised good but it heated to a weak resistance (red box on the range 2.5 $ ) and it fell down corrected 20% and started to pump again . my first target is shown in the chart 3.24 $. we see in the chart strong resistance ( red box on the range 3-3.5$) and I think here will be good for my first target
(1D) MICROSOFT ANALYSIS (MSFT)Inspired by today's failed Bitcoin shareholders' vote, I've put up my prognosis for Microsoft MSFT for the next few months. MSFT is down almost 1.5% on the day, rejecting at the 78.8% retracement of the down move from the ATH.
There are a couple possible scenarios going forward. Bullish case is that MSFT started a Bull Flag Correction (waves labeled in blue) with the pivot from the ATH in July. If so, we are completing Wave B of this flag (internal waves labelled in purple) , which may have completed already with this 78.6% rejection. However, we could still see it complete a 100% retracement instead and terminate as a Double Top, retesting and getting rejected at the ATH. This would signal the start of Wave C. We could expect this final wave to have a similar size to Wave A, giving us a short-term 17% Short play from the ATH before ultimately continuing the larger upside trend.
Bearish case would be that Wave B described above (labelled in purple) is instead actually a Bear Flag for downside. This would have to be confirmed with a break below the $385 Support Range.
**This analysis would be invalidated if we do indeed get a breakout above the current ATH, factoring in for some % overshoot (aka fake breakout).
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): Long to resistance area 6117 (Wave “3”).Dear Colleagues, I believe that price will still make new highs. I expect that the wave “5” of the middle order is not yet complete.
Perhaps the price will test the 50% Fibonacci level of 5847 and then start an upward movement to the resistance area of 6117 (Wave “3”).
This correction may not happen, then it would mean that the price continued the wave “3”.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
ALRS 1D Long Investment Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade
- short impulse
+ volumed T1
+ support level
+ biggest volume Sp
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar close entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
Take profit
1/3 - 1 to 2 R/R
1/3 - 1D T2 / 1M T2
1/3 - 1/2 of 1Y
Calculated affordable stop limit
Take profit
1/3 - 1 to 2 R/R
1/3 - 1D T2 / 1M T2
1/3 - 1/2 of 1Y
Monthly CounterTrend
"- short impulse
+ volumed TE / T1
+ support level
+ volumed Sp
+ test"
Yearly Trend
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ T2 level
+ support level
+ manipulation"
NVS 1H Swing Long Conservative Trend TradeConservative Trend Trade
+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ T2 level
+ support level
- biggest volume 2Sp-
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R within 1H range take profit
Daily Trend
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ JOC level
+ support level
- above 1/2 of entire 1D wave at the support level of 1M"
Monthly Trend
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ support level
+ JOC level
- unvolumed manipulation"
Yearly Trend
"+ long impulse
- resistance level
+ less than a month left and it looks to break
+ long volume distribution"
NVS @NYSE
Bought NVS Market, Day
Filled
8:27 AM
104.89325
Profit Taker
Sell NVS Limit 105.87, GTC
Submitted
8:27 AM
ALRS 5M Conservative CounterTrend DayTradeConservative CounterTrend Trade
- long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
- SOS level
+ support level
+ volumed 2Sp+
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit slightly above 1 H range
Transferrable to Swing after closes test and resumes buying on 1H
Transferrable to Investment trade after ends test and resumes buying on 1D
1H CounterTrend
"- short impulse
+ 1/2 correction
- unvolumed T1
+ support level
- volumed 2Sp-
+ test"
Daily CounterTrend
"- short impulse
+ volumed T1
+ support level
+ biggest volume Sp
+ weak test"
Monthly CounterTrend
"- short impulse
+ volumed TE / T1
+ support level
+ volumed Sp
+ test"
Yearly trend
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ T2 level
+ support level
+ manipulation"
APP: price in the important macro-ristance True market leader of past and this year, both fundamentally and technically, is approaching an important mid-term resistance zone of the uptrend from 2022 lows: 322-370-470.
Although the uptrend on the date of writing is very intact and looks strong (since august lows price respects 8/21 ema), these resistance area might provide profit taking or position hedging opportunities for both swing/position traders and investors. These might become especially important when/if price starts trading bellow 8/21 with ema reversing their slope to the down-sideß.
Until price is bellow 470, next important, mid-term support zone 255-175. While price is above 175 resistance level, suggested macro up-trend structure is valid with higher potential price levels in years to come.
Thank you for your attention!
P.S. This is my biggest mistake and investing regret from last and this year. Had a perfect entry on 10th of July with 26.68 cost level and long-term hold-intentions but ended treating it as a short term swing position loosing big picture view, selling everything on 14th of July and moving it out from my focus list.
Good to observe and reflect from this experience of mine and move on being inspired by life-changing potential of TML's like NASDAQ:APP : )
SMLT 1D Aggressive Investment CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade
- short impulse
+ biggest volume T1
+ support level
+ biggest volume 2Sp+
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar closed entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
CounterTrend 1M
"+ short impulse
+ biggest volume TE / T1 level
+ support level
+ biggest manipulation?"
Trend 12M
"+ SOS test level
- far below 1/2 correction
+ support level
+ biggest volume manipulation?"
They say company is going to bankruptcy, but why would it concern technical analysis?!
WAVES: Massive 530% Gain at 10x LeverageTrade Overview:
WAVES surged to remarkable highs on the 4-hour timeframe. Utilizing the Risological Swing Trader , this long trade setup captured an extraordinary 530% gain at 10x leverage.
Key Levels:
Entry Price: $0.9990
Stop Loss (SL): $0.9565
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: $1.0520 ✅
TP2: $1.1375 ✅
TP3: $1.2230 ✅
TP4: $1.2755 ✅
WAVES/USDT Analysis:
The Risological Green Lines accurately depicted strong bullish momentum, allowing traders to trail the uptrend confidently. WAVES not only met all targets but exceeded expectations, reflecting robust market dynamics.
Outlook:
With such significant momentum, traders may keep monitoring WAVES for potential continuation patterns or retracements. This trade showcases the reliability of the Risological system for spotting high-profit opportunities.
AMT 1D Investment Aggressive trend TradeAggressive trend Trade
- short impulse
+ biggest volume T1
+ support level
+ volumed 2Sp
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar close entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
1M Trend Trade
"+ long impulse
- far below SOS level
+ 1/2 correction"
1Y Trend Trade
"+ long balance
+ ICE level
+ support level
- too far before 1/2 correction
+ volumed Sp
+ test"
O 1D Investment Aggressive Trend TradeAggressive Trend Trade
- short impulse
+ biggest volume TE / T1
+ support level
+ biggest volume 2Sp-
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar close entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Monthly Trend
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ SoS level
+ support level
+ weak approach"
1Y Trend
"+ long balance
+ volumed manipulation
- neutral zone"
AFKS 5M Daytrade Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade
- short impulse
+ extra volume T1
+ weak approach
+ volumed 2Sp+
+ weak test
+ first buying bar close entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
1H CounterTrend
"- short impulse
+ biggest volume T1
+ support level
+ biggest volume maniulation
- one bar reversal"
1D Trend
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 weak correction
+ SOS level
+ support level
+ reverse volume distribution
+ volumed manipulation"
1M Trend
"+ long impulse
- below 1/2 correction
+ expanding T2 level
+ support level
+ support level
+ volumed manipulation"
1Y Countertrend
"- short impulse
- neutral zone"
Believe it or not, Bear Market is almost finishedhello traders
Bitcoin is outside its price range and approached a strong retracement area that is difficult to pass (MONTHLY IMBALANCE _ RESISTANCE BECOMES SUPPORT _ NOT FRESH DEMAND)
At least for the next period, Bitcoin will return to its price range, and there are other TARGETS that it can reach
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): Short to support area at 1.05183.Dear colleagues, I assume that the price will continue the downward movement and will soon reach the area of 1.05183.
This movement will be a wave “C” of the higher order.
The most important thing now is to understand where exactly the downward movement will end, because if you look at the daily timeframe, the price is still in a major upward movement, so after reaching the target, I will look for long positions.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
WavesWaves, clearly, is moving in an ascending channel; On it way making harmonic patterns. Now, price is at the bottom of the channel trying to build support zone. If the price can make another higher high and higher low, then it can be said that support zone is built at the bottom and reversal has happened. Let's see what happens.