100k BTC appears to be in the LPSY stage of Wyckoff DistributionCompare the chart with the final stages of a Wyckoff distribution cycle chart and you can easily see with are in the final stages of the LPSY phase. I expect BTC to open to the upside during London open or NYSE open then crash quickly.
Trade carefully.
Wave Analysis
SAND tends to finish wave c before going up.As I can see right now, SAND is going down, forming the five waves of wave (c). If we count the waves, we will be in the third wave of wave c. If this is right, then we want wave 4 and 5 which will be ended around 0.59. Then it will be completed the correction wave to be ready for going UP!
COIN NEOWAVE ANALYSIS (DAILY)Experimental analysis with the intention to follow back later on as I am still learning
After posting the weekly chart, I decided to take a look at the daily chart to see if I could spot any clues,
Initially, it looked like an expanding triangle, but after reviewing it thoroughly, it did not meet the requirements.
The only other formation that could fit this structure is a terminal impulse.
In this scenario, Wave 3 is the extended wave, doubling the size of Wave 1.
Typically, when Wave 3 is extended, Wave 5 tends to equal the length of Wave 1. If not, then Wave 1 will usually be either 61.8% or 161.8% of Wave 5.
With this in mind, I would anticipate a minimum 20% upside, a 35% medium target, and a maximum target around 65%.
Obviously, we can only get a real target once wave 4 is over.
I do expect this terminal pattern to be part of a complex correction featuring an X wave, or to be the first leg of a larger corrective structure.
If you read my weekly analysis, you will understand that this complex correction will end wave G, which would end the B wave. This daily chart hints at a stronger B wave, which would put COIN in a bullish long-term trend.
Note: Since this is a daily chart, the probabilities of failure are even.
S&P 500 - Forming a Bullish Flag or Pennant but not clear. Top?The S&P 500 appears to be moving very horizontal at the moment, possibly forming a bullish flag or pennant. However, the pattern is a little too horizontal to be clear, so its also possible this is a short term top of the market, possibly for end of the year profit taking and covering tax liabilities.
A look back in the last 10 years of chart history does not show another example of the S&P 500 moving this clearly horizontal. The pattern has clear lower highs but the support line is razor sharp almost as if its artificial.
Trade with caution.
Why I think the SPX500 upside is now capped to 6285 maxIn this video, I have covered century long Elliott Wave counts briefly to present a case on why we are close to completing the upside and soon will be rolling over to the downside. Only one leg on the upside seem pending and that should not extend beyond 6285.
Watch the video for details.
P.S. - There is some disturbance in audio during start so please bear with me.
Sound Hound AI now Exceeding all standard Fibonacci ExtensionsWhereas, I can account for an extended wave 3 hitting the 200.0% fib extension, I have no standard pathways for wave 3 extending past that fib target. Granted that is not to say that sort of price action is impossible...but this is rare.
SOUN is in no man's land...so we continue to look to the next fib area, and so on.
Best to all,
Chris
BTC Head and Sholders Pattern - Looks like a possible top to me.There is a pretty clear head and shoulders pattern forming on the BTC/USD chart. If the $104,000 support line does not hold, I expect it to go much lower. A lot of BTC related stocks and EFT's also look like they have been in a distribution pattern the past weeks as well. Hold on to your horses.
Based on history a flash crash in and around the Christmas or New Year holiday is most likely because there will be low volume and less people watching their accounts.
BANKNIFTY : Levels, prediction and Plan for 19-Dec-2024Intro: Previous Day's Plan vs Actual
In yesterday's trading plan, BankNifty tested the Wave C Support Zone near 51,903 - 52,068 as highlighted in yesterday's trading plan, showing indecision within the sideways range (Yellow Trend). As expected, the index respected the completion zone for Wave C and stayed above the support area for most of the session. However, no clear breakout or breakdown occurred.
Now, for 19-Dec-2024, we will plan for three potential opening scenarios: Gap Up, Flat, and Gap Down, considering a gap opening of 200+ points. The key levels and actionable strategies are explained below.
Trading Scenarios for 19-Dec-2024
Gap Up Opening (200+ points):
If Bank Nifty opens above the Resistance for Sideways Trade at 52,647, it indicates bullish sentiment.
- Monitor the first 30 minutes for a sustained breakout above this level. If the price holds above 52,647, the next target will be the Last Intraday Resistance at 53,039.
- However, failure to sustain above 52,647 may lead to a retracement back to the Opening Resistance at 52,381.
- Action Plan:
- Initiate long positions only if an hourly candle closes above **52,647**, with targets at **53,039**.
- If price fails to sustain and shows weakness, wait for retracement back to **52,381** for possible re-entry opportunities.
Flat Opening:
If Bank Nifty opens near the Opening Resistance at 52,381, it signals indecision, and price may move sideways (Yellow Trend) before providing direction.
- A breakout above 52,381 can trigger a move toward the Resistance for Sideways Trade (52,647), while a breakdown below 52,205 (previous close) could drag prices back toward the Wave C Completion Zone at 52,068 - 51,903.
- Action Plan:
- Avoid trading immediately after the open. Let price break above **52,381** for bullish trades, targeting **52,647**.
- A breakdown below **52,205** could signal short opportunities with targets at **52,068** and **51,903**.
- Manage risk by placing stops based on an hourly candle close above/below these levels.
Gap Down Opening (200+ points):
If Bank Nifty opens near or below the Wave C Completion Zone (52,068 - 51,903), it signals bearish momentum.
- Look for signs of support formation in this zone, as prices could take a reversal from here (Green Trend).
- Failure to hold 51,903 could lead to further downside towards the critical support at 51,418 (red trend).
- Action Plan:
- Look for long opportunities if Bank Nifty holds above **51,903** with confirmation (hourly close), targeting a bounce back to **52,205** and then **52,381**.
- If price decisively breaks below **51,903**, consider short trades toward **51,418**, with a strict stop loss above **52,068**.
Risk Management Tips for Options Traders :
Use spreads like Bull Call Spreads for bullish moves or Bear Put Spreads for downside moves to limit risks in volatile openings.
Avoid trading during the first 15-30 minutes if opening is erratic or near key levels like the Wave C zone. Let the price stabilize.
Always place stop losses on an hourly candle close basis for better risk management.
Avoid over-leveraging; focus on maintaining a favorable risk-reward ratio (minimum 1:2).
Summary and Conclusion:
Bank Nifty remains at a crucial juncture near the Wave C Completion Zone.
Key Levels to Watch:
Upside: 52,381, 52,647, 53,039
Downside: 52,205, 52,068, 51,903, and 51,418
Yellow Trend reflects sideways price action, Green Trend signals bullish reversals, and Red Trend highlights bearish continuation.
Focus on price action near key levels, and avoid trading in uncertain zones.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only. Traders should conduct their analysis or consult a financial advisor before making decisions.
NIFTY : Prediction levels and plan for 19-Dec-2024
Intro: Previous Day's Plan vs Actual
In yesterday's chart, we observed Nifty approaching a deep retracement zone (113% level at 24,098) and tested the must-try zone for Wave C completion as highlighted. Price remained within the "No Trade Zone" for a considerable period, indicating indecision and sideways movement. The sideways yellow trend was respected, with no significant breakout.
Now, for 19-Dec-2024, we will plan the opening scenarios considering a gap opening of 100+ points in either direction, or a flat opening, using key levels for action.
Trading Scenarios for 19-Dec-2024
Gap Up Opening (100+ points):
If Nifty opens above the Opening Resistance for Retracement at 24,359, this signals initial strength.
- Monitor the first 30 minutes for price action confirmation. If Nifty sustains above 24,359, we may see a move towards the Last Intraday Resistance at 24,488 (red level).
- Aggressive traders can look for long opportunities with a stop loss placed at 24,227 (blue level) on an hourly candle-close basis.
- However, failure to sustain above 24,359 can lead to a retracement back towards the No Trade Zone (24,169).
- Action Plan:
- If the price closes an hourly candle above **24,359**, initiate longs with **targets** at **24,488**.
- If it fails to hold above, avoid fresh trades and wait for price to return to the retracement zone.
Flat Opening:
If Nifty opens near the No Trade Zone (24,169 - 24,227), caution is required. A sideways price action is likely within this range.
- Price needs to break out from this "No Trade Zone" to give clear direction.
- Upside breakout above 24,227 could lead to a retracement test towards 24,359.
- Downside breakdown below 24,169 can trigger a test of the Wave C correction zone at 24,098 - 24,029.
- Action Plan:
- Avoid trading in the "No Trade Zone" to minimize risk.
- For longs, wait for a confirmed breakout above **24,227**.
- For shorts, wait for a breakdown below **24,169**, targeting **24,098** first and then **24,029**.
Gap Down Opening (100+ points):
If Nifty opens near or below the Must Try Zone at Wave C completion (24,098 - 24,029), it signals a bearish start.
- Watch for signs of support formation in this range. A strong bounce can lead to a reversal back toward 24,169.
- However, if Nifty fails to hold this zone and breaks 24,029, further downside towards 23,600 could unfold (red trend).
- Action Plan:
- Look for buying opportunities if price holds above **24,029** with confirmation on the hourly chart.
- If **24,029** breaks decisively, initiate short positions targeting **23,600**, with a stop loss above **24,098**.
Risk Management Tips for Options Traders :
Always use stop losses based on an hourly candle close to manage risks.
Avoid trading in uncertain zones (e.g., "No Trade Zone") where the risk-reward ratio is unfavorable.
For options, consider deploying spreads (e.g., Bull Call Spread or Bear Put Spread) to limit risk during gap openings.
Avoid chasing trades in case of a sharp gap-up or gap-down; let the price stabilize for 30 minutes.
Summary and Conclusion:
Nifty remains at a critical juncture near the Wave C correction completion zone.
Key Levels to Watch:
Upside: 24,227, 24,359, 24,488
Downside: 24,169, 24,098, 24,029, and 23,600
Focus on breakouts or breakdowns for actionable trades, avoiding sideways moves.
The yellow trend reflects sideways movement, green indicates a bullish reversal, and red shows bearish continuation.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only. Traders should conduct their analysis or consult a financial advisor before making decisions.
BITCOIN NEARING 108,100 Hit Only ONE LAST GASP left The chart of bitcoin posted based on all fib relationships within the advance from 15890 is ending a clear and rather clean 5 wave s up To end the Bull market of the last 2 years Timing of golden ratio and spirals called for the last week but there are 3 i.t. spiral due 12/18 to the 21 this is the last of the good news I have taken a long PUTS position in BITI at 60.8 Best of trades WAVETIMER
KSE 100 is ready for a short CorrectionHow's the Josh Pakistani Traders !!
This folk from India is Analyzing your Stock market, I hope you will Like IT!!
HERE WE GO WITH THE DETAIL
As we can clearly see that market has Completed its Wave 3 (Wave 3 is an impulse wave of Elliot wave structure) and Wave 3 is Extended Wave to 3.618 % of Wave 1.
So Wave 4 would be 0.382 % of Wave 3 ( Wave 4 is Corrective wave in Elliot wave theory).
SO HERE IS THE TRADE
SELL KSE100 @ 118,000-120,000
TARGET @ 87000
SL @ 123,000
NOTE : THIS IS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ONLY PLEASE REFER TO YOUR FINANCIAL ADVISOR BEFORE TAKING ANY TRADE
HAVE A GOOD DAY TRADERS
NEAR is an exampleHello every one
Some of you ask me about Elliott technique and some insult me for my free interpretations.
I have decided to share a detailed chart analyzed with EW principles and I request you watch it as an Elliott counting example.
Whenever an Elliottician share his/her idea, there is a counting like this in every single wave and in all time frames. For instance, when I am talking about weekly time, I have done this counting for smaller times in the all wave. For my strategy, I do it for 1, 4, 12, 24 hours time frames and if I get verification in all of them then I talk about weekly chart. In addition there are a lot of other confirmations and interpretations that are beyond the scope of this note.
Please do not you this chart for your investment, because it is not confirmed yet.
Thanks
AFKS Swing 1H Long Conservative CounterTrend TradeConservative CounterTrend Trade
+ long balance
+ 1/2 correction
+ volumed ICE level
+ support level
+ biggest volume 2Sp-
+ weak test
- above first bullish bar close entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Daily Context
"- short impulse
+ volumed TE / T1 level
+ volumed manipulation
+ support level"
Monthly Context
"- short impulse
+ biggest volume T1 level
- below 1/2 correction
+ support level
- one bar reversal?!"
Yearly Context
"- short impulse
- neutral zone"
PEPE price trading plan🐸 The OKX:PEPEUSDT price is moving quite nicely between the dynamic fib levels on the chart.
But given that in a few hours there will be an announcement of a “fresh” Fed rate (forecast of a decrease of -0.25%), the crypto market may be volatile!)
Therefore, we highlight the critical level of $0.0000184 for the CRYPTOCAP:PEPE price, from where:
🐳 if the price is kept above - growth according to the blue scenario, at least to $0.0000332
💔 in case of failure and breakdown, a protracted corrective red scenario will be activated, somewhere to around $0.0000106
What do you prefer?)
ETHBTC Is Sitting At Strong Monthly SupportETHBTC cross pair has been trading bearish for the last two years or so due to Bitcoin dominance, but now that Bitcoin dominance is slowing down and ALTcoin dominance kicking in, seems like we are in the ALTseason and ETHBTC pair may see a recovery soon.
ETHBTC chart can be actually still trading in a correction within uptrend. It’s right now sitting at interesting and strong support area when looking at the monthly chart. We have strong monthly trendline and impulsive five waves up, followed by a three-wave A-B-C correction into an important 67,8% Fibo retracement, which is a bullish pattern from technical and Elliott wave perspective. We are actually already in the ALTseason and if ETHBTC pair is really about to bounce and starts recovering soon, then ALTseason may resume and Ethereum can be one of the strongest.
Fantom: Bullish OutlookEarlier this week, Fantom attempted to break above the resistance at $1.39 but has so far struggled to sustain the upward momentum. We assume that the sharp pullback to $1 early last week has marked the completion of the green corrective wave . Accordingly, Fantom should now be in the impulsive ascent of the green wave , which should soon surpass the $1.39 resistance.
Bitcoin What to do and where to run to?Bitcoin What to do and where to run to?
Friends, don't forget to click like 🚀 under the idea, it's important.
Divergence in trading is a multidirectional movement of the price chart and indicator. On the chart, the price of an asset moves in one direction, while the technical indicator that follows it moves in the opposite direction.
Divergence warns that the current price trend may weaken and in some cases may lead to a change in price direction.
In this case, we observe a double bearish divergence on the 1D timeframe. This is a powerful correction signal. All traders see it, which will logically lead to fixing positions or opening shorts.
What will happen next?
Two main scenarios now:
1. Sellers are active and as a consequence - local correction and sideways from current values.
2. Sellers are active, but the market maker is pushing prices higher and removing sellers' stops. This will lead to a triple divergence and will further strengthen the sellers. As a result - a powerful correction and trading at the lower levels.
At the moment, both scenarios have equal priority and the decision will be determined by the balance of power in the moment. The scales of the market maker may tip to either side.
Write in the comments, what is your mood? Do you want to sell or strong hold?