PFE Long 1D Conservative Trade DCAConservative Trade
"+ long balance
- volumed expanding ICE
+ support level
+ volumed 2Sp-"
Monthly context
"- short impulse
+ 1/2 correction of 15 years long trend
+ historical volume
- resistance level"
There's no trading signal, but I like volume distribution on daily, so started to accumulate shares little by little.
No stop loss or take profit at this point, we'll be adding as we go.
VSA
VZ 1H Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade
- short balance
+ expanding ICE
+ biggest volume 2Sp-
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar close below entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R before 1/2 of monthly take profit
OCO 3A: Sell VZ Limit at $40.35 (Good 'til Canceled)
OCO 3B: Sell VZ Stop at $38.91 Limit at $39.39 (Good 'til Canceled)
Daily context:
"- short impulse
- unvolumed T1"
Monthly context:
"+ long balance
+ historical 1/2 correction
with exhaustion volume in the end
+ initiative take over
+ ICE level
+ volumed? 2Sp
+ test"
XEC - in the footsteps of smart money...Next chart with nice, possible accumulation. For me, it is very probable that this market will show gargantuan, bull breakout. So, let's go deeper. Chart shows analysis corresponding for Wyckoff method complemented by VSA elements.
The biggest volume belongs, in my opinion, to Upthrust Action element but not the biggest one is number one. The most important candle and volume is sequent bar. For me, he shows bag holding VSA pattern. This is place where smart money accumulated a lot of XEC's. This is a reason for non-spring market structure - gentle C-phase test and retest.
As I said, this market structure is good looking. So, I'll attentively observe this coin.
BLS - Gearing up for 15% - 20% move ?In early Feb, the stock faced price rejection around 430 levels and was pushed back to the 200 DMA levels. From there, it has been consolidating for almost three months. Now it is attempting to move up, it is about to cross the current price rejection level at 358. The relative strength is also turning positive and the money also started flowing into the stock. The volumes have been increasing including the delivery volumes indicating committed buyers are stepping in. The momentum has and Buying Pressure have been increasing recently. Once we have a positive close above 358 levels, we could see the stock testing the supply zone around 430 levels. This is a stock to watch.
CENTUARY PLY - Moving out of the Accumulation Zone. The stock has finally moved out of the consolidation zone. Late last December, the stock met with price rejection around 850 levels and it was pushed down below the 200 DMA levels. Then it started consolidating for almost three months now. The money flow had started increasing for the past month and the relative strength also started showing signs of recovery. Today, the stock moved out of the consolidation zone with a gap-up opening and a widespread up-bar. Of course, it did meet some supply. as we can see, the close was almost in the upper mid of the bar. The stock also moved above the short-term and the long-term moving averages and we can see the convergence of the averages as well. The relative strength also is moving into the positive territory. The volume has also started increasing and we can see increase in delivery volumes as well. The momentum has been positive for almost a month now. Looks like the stock is now poised to test the rejection zone at 850 again. However, we need to see some increase in the relative strength and the momentum as well. There is also a possibility of a retest of the accumulation zone.
Conservative Investment Trend Trade HD LongMonthly Trend Trade
" + long impulse
+ 1/2 correction"
Daily Conservative Trend trade
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ ICE level
+ support level
+ biggest volume Sp"
Calculated affordable virtual stop loss
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Broker set up:
May-20-2024
Buy HD at Market (Day)
May-20-2024
OCO 3A: Sell HD Stop at $332.37 Limit at $337.86 (Good 'til Canceled)
May-20-2024
OCO 3B: Sell HD Limit at $348.84 (Good 'til Canceled)
ETHBTC. Should we look for buying opportunities?On the weekly time frame (TF), there has been a sideways movement since May 2021. The seller's vector 11-12 interacted with the lower boundary of the range at 0.049081 several times. After the first interaction in January 2024, the buyer performed well with a single weekly candle (January 8th), forming a buyer's zone (blue rectangle on the chart). A similar situation is happening now, with the weekly candle on May 20th also showing a good spread and volume, creating another buyer's zone (blue rectangle on the chart, with the upper boundary at 0.05206). Since the seller's vector has reached all its targets within the range, the current buyer's vector is 12-13. The potential target is 0.085621 (~50%), and it seems reasonable to look for buying opportunities. However, the question remains whether the buyer's activity will develop further or if the price will update the local minimum again (0.04473).
It is reasonable to look for buying opportunities on the weekly time frame from the buyer's zone (upper edge – 0.05206), with the idea of realizing the buyer's vector 12-13. The first potential targets are 0.06117 and 0.06257, with an ambitious target of 0.085621.
Let's examine the lower time frames to determine where else it is reasonable to look for buying opportunities.
Daily Time Frame
On the daily time frame, there was a seller's trend. The last seller's impulse started from the level 0.05249 and ended at the level 0.04473. Then, there was a buyer's impulse, and now the price is above 0.05249, indicating that the seller's trend has stopped. The key candle of the buyer's impulse (the highest volume in the impulse, marked as "KC" on the chart) is at the end of the impulse.
Buying opportunities can be considered if the buyer defends the levels at 0.05332 (the key candle of the impulse) and 0.05249 (the price of the last seller's impulse started from), with the idea of initiating a long trend and breaking above 0.05744. It would be cool, during the seller's attack on the level 0.05249, the price moves into the buyer's zone on the weekly TF (0.05206 or below), and then the buyer brings the price back above 0.05249 and defends this level.
If the price falls below 0.05249 and the seller defends this level, it is likely that the price will move towards the local minimum (0.04473).
4-Hour Time Frame
The price has formed a sideways movement. The buyer's vector 6-7 has reached its targets. The current seller's vector 7-8 has a potential target of 0.05322 (see the 0.05322 level on the daily TF above). The lower boundary of the range is 0.0525, which coincides with the 0.05249 level on the daily TF.
It makes sense to look for buying opportunities on the 4-hour TF if the buyer defends the levels at 0.05322 or 0.0525, based on the idea of the buyer's vector 8-9 within the range.
Sales can also be considered from the seller's defense of the 0.05622 or 0.05744 levels, based on the idea of the realization of the 7-8 vector within the range.
GREENPLY INDUSTRIESThe stock was moving up and in the last week of February, it encountered a BC bar or a buying climax like bar. Then because of the supply of the BC bar, it was pushed down to the 200 DMA levels. From there, it started recovering. Then it attempted to take out the Supply shadow of the BC bar but did not succeed. Then again recently did try to go into the shadow of the BC bar. It was struggling and pulled back a little and then now it has moved past the supply shadow of the BC bar. It would mean that all the supply has been fully absorbed now and the stock would be ready to move up. As you can see, the relative strength is becoming positive and the money is also flowing into the stock. The momentum is also positive and increasing and the volume has also increased. Also, we can see the good increase in the delivery volumes indicating committed buyers stepping in. Now with a positive close above 287, the last close would take the stock into the next higher trajectory. So, it is a stock worth watching.
GRANULES - A stock to watchThe stock after facing price rejection around 466 to 480 area was pushed down to the 200 DMA levels. It took support from there and started moving up and now it's making a higher high and higher low. The relative strength is also positive and we can see good volumes coming in. Money is flowing into the stock and the momentum is also positive and increasing. Also, we can see good increase in the delivery volumes recently indicating committed buyers stepping in. A bullish close above 480 would take the stock to the next higher trajectory.
BNBUSDT. Trading opportunityOn the daily timeframe, the price has formed a sideways movement and reached the mandatory target of the seller's vector 7-8. The next relevant buyer's vector 8-9 has a potential target of $634. The price is currently in the middle of the sideways range on the daily timeframe.
On the hourly timeframe, the price has also formed a sideways movement. The short seller's vector 11-12 broke below the lower boundary of the sideways range at $574 and collected sellers' liquidity. Pay attention to the key volume of the last vector 11-12: the candle with the highest volume in the vector is at the bottom (marked as 'KC' on the chart). Then the buyer absorbed this volume and returned the price to the sideways range, forming a new buyer zone at the boundary of the sideways range (the blue rectangle on the chart, upper boundary at $575.5). The key volume (largest) in the emerging buyer's vector is also at the bottom (the candle on the chart is marked as 'tKC'). This setup increases the probability of realizing the buyer's vector 12-13 with a potential target on the hourly timeframe of $600.
Idea: Look for purchases as the realization of the buyer's vector 12-13 on the hourly timeframe and the buyer's vector 8-9 on the daily timeframe. The target on the hourly timeframe is $600.
The preferred option is to look for purchases from the defense by the buyer of the buyer zone at the lower boundary of the sideways range.
TONUSDT. Trading opportunityOn the daily timeframe, the price formed a sideways movement and hit the mandatory target of the buyer's vector 4-5 (7.2755 was reached). Currently, the price is in a seller's context. The next relevant seller's vector 5-6 has a potential target of 5.18. Yesterday, the seller showed a weak reaction on the daily timeframe (spread, volume, and the tail of the bearish candle), and the tail of this candle tested the volume key candle (on the "rKC" chart) of the buyer's vector 4-5, from which a strong buyer reaction started on the hourly timeframe: 3 buyer candles with good spread from the level of 6.5615.
On the hourly timeframe, the price also formed a sideways movement. The bearish seller's vector 9-10 reached the mandatory target. The next relevant buyer's vector 10-11 has a potential target of 7.2232. A liquidity pool of sellers formed below points 4 and 10 of the sideways movement, at 6.5615.
A weak seller on the daily timeframe may overcome a strong buyer on the hourly timeframe. Sales may be considered:
Option 1: Implementation idea of the seller's vector 5-6 on the daily timeframe: if the price breaks the lower boundary of the sideways movement on the hourly timeframe (6.5615) and defends this breakout. An ambitious potential target is 5.18.
Option 2: Implementation idea of the seller's vector 11-12 on the hourly timeframe. After the implementation of the buyer's vector 10-11 and the defense by the seller of the level 7.2232. The potential target is the opposite boundary of the sideways movement.
Buy entries can also be sought from the implementation idea of the buyer's vector 10-11 on the hourly timeframe.
Option 1: The most interesting option. If the buyer gathers liquidity from the seller below 6.5615, returns the price to the sideways movement on the hourly timeframe, and defends the level 6.5615. Possible targets are 7.2232, 7.45, and 7.675.
Option 2: Upon the defense by the buyer of the level 6.8125, a buying opportunity can be sought. Possible targets are 7.2232, 7.45, and 7.675.
ADANI PORTS - Ready to Move to next upper Trajectory?The stock on its upper trajectory faced a price rejection around 1425 levels and it was driven down to below the 50 DMA levels. From there it took support and then started recovering. Recently there was an attempt to take out the price rejection zone but that move did not succeed and it was pushed back to test the price rejection zone. Now it is again attempting to take out the rejection zone. We can see increasing momentum and also the relative strength is positive. The money flow needs to become positive. We can see some increase in the volume as well. Now this stock is likely to succeed in taking out the rejection zone. A good close above 1457 would take it to the next upper trajectory.
UNION BANK - Gearing up for a Break out?The PSU bank index has been moving in a slightly inclined upward channel showing positive bias. However, this stock has been moving in a sideways range for almost four months now. Now the stock is testing the top of the sideway range. The MFI indicates money is flowing into the stock. The momentum is also positive and increasing, the relative strength is also turning positive. We can see increases in the volume as well. Also, we can see increases in the delivery volumes indicating some interested buying coming in here. The minor trend and the immediate trend are also up. Looks like the stock is gearing up to break out of the range and move into the next higher orbit. So the level to watch out is 162. This stock should find a place on your watch list.
KNR CONSTRUCTION - A watch list StockThe stock after facing rejection at 317 levels was pushed down below the 200 DMA level. From the bottom in June 22, the stock has been moving almost sideways for almost two years now. Finally, the stock seems to be making an attempt to move up. It is about to take out the minor price rejection zone. You can see an increased volume and also you can see that the money flow has been increasing. Now the relative strength is also turning positive. So once now the stock is likely to test the major rejection zone at 317 to 343 levels. Once that is taken out, that is if we have a bullish candle above the 343 levels, we can expect this stock to go into the next phase of uptrend. A stock to watch.
JUBLI FOODS – Confirming Reversal and ready to move higher?The stock after making a high of 586 last December has been going down. It has been making lower highs and lower lows with each price wave was getting lower. After reaching a bottom of 421 it started reversing. Then it started making higher highs and higher lows and each price wave was getting higher and higher. Now it has crossed above the 3 short-term moving averages and today it moved above the 200 DMA as well. You can see that the volumes for each wave was getting higher. The money flow had remained positive from April onward and in May the relative strength also turned positive. The stock also exhibited strong momentum in May. Recently the delivery volumes have also increased indicating interested buyer stepping in. Now the stock is likely to teat the previous high of 586. 520 levels could offer some resistances.
EXIDE INDUSTRIESThe stock after a good up move has been re-accumulating for almost a month and half. Now the stock is on the verge of breaking out from this re-accumulation zone. The relative strength is turning positive and the money flow is also on the verge of reversing. Momentum which was weak has started picking up. The volume in the last two sessions has been high. The delivery volumes is also increasing. A good close above today's high, that is a good close above 500 will take the stock to the next orbit and it will move much higher.
We had caught the earlier breakout from the Rejection zone at 280 as well.
USDRUB.P Long Aggressive DayTradeMonthly context
"+ long impulse
+ SOS level
+ support
- above 1/2 correction
+ volumed 2Sp
+ weak test"
Daily context:
"- short impulse
+ volumed T1
+ support level
+ volumed manipulation"
Hourly context
"- short impulse
+ biggest volume T1 level
+ support level
+ volumed 2Sp"
5M set up
- short impulse
+ volumed T1 level
+ support level
+ biggest volume Sp
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar closed entry
Calculated affordable virtual stop loss
1 to 2 take profit
ETHUSDT. Trading opportunityOn the daily timeframe, the price has been in a range since February 24. The buyer's vector 8-9 reached its obligatory target. The price is now in the seller's contextual zone. On May 23, the seller attempted to start their vector 9-10 with a potential target of 3301, but the buyer absorbed this attempt. The buyer's candle on May 23 has the highest volume in the entire vector 8-9, but the result is only in the wick. The price was unable to close the day above the previous wicks.
Purchases can be sought based on the idea of reaching 4093. Sales can be considered based on the idea of the buyer's weakness (May 23 candle).
Let's examine the lower timeframes to understand where purchases or sales can be found. The situation is clearly visible on the 2-hour timeframe. The price is in a range. The seller's vector 5-6 reached its obligatory target and the buyer's vector 6-7 started to develop with a potential target of 3901. The last two seller candles in vector 5-6 have increasing volume, while the two buyer candles in the beginning vector 6-7 have decreasing volume, suggesting that the buyer is not present yet and someone might be buying from the 50% tail of the candle using the IST (Smart Money) concept.
For purchases, it would be beneficial if the seller on outstanding volume pushed the price below 3626, and the buyer absorbed this attempt and brought the price back above 3626. Of course, this might not happen, and the price could reach 3901.
Sales can be sought from the seller's defense of 3901 or 3949. Below 3498 (the lower boundary of the range), sales can also be considered, but it is important to remember that 3301 may halt the seller, as this is where the buyer's zone on the daily timeframe begins (blue rectangle on the chart).
BTCUSDT. Trading opportunityOn the daily timeframe, the price is consolidating. The current buyer's vector 10-11 has not yet reached its targets. The price movement has stalled in the range of 70,400-72,000. The price is currently within the daily candle of May 20, 2024, which has the highest volume in the buyer's vector 10-11 (marked "tKC" on the chart). You can look for buying opportunities from this daily candle with the goal of reaching the vector 10-11 targets (72,800, 73,777). To find trading opportunities, let's examine the lower timeframes.
On the hourly timeframe, there is a buyer's trend. The last buyer's impulse started from 68,905. The price corrected to this level, but we haven't seen active buying. The candle with the highest volume in the correction is at the beginning of the correction (marked "tKC" on the chart). For comparison, let's look at the situation from May 17-19.
Similarly, on the hourly timeframe, there was a buyer's trend. The price corrected to the 50% level, we did not see active buying, but the candle that interacted with the 50% level had the highest volume in the correction (marked "tKC" on the chart). The buyer absorbed this candle, leading to a new buyer's impulse on the hourly timeframe.
Currently, on the hourly timeframe, we do not observe anything similar. Moreover, the buyer failed to overcome the 50% level of the last impulse (70,442).
Let's additionally look at the 200-minute timeframe. We see a consolidation; the price exited the upper boundary of the range (67,700). A correction occurred to the 50% level of the last impulse (68,919). The volume of the candle interacting with the 50% level is less than that of previous candles, indicating a lack of active buying (spread, volume). On this timeframe, buying opportunities can be sought either from the key candle ("KC" on the chart), although we have not yet seen a good resumption, or from the buyer defending the boundary of the range at 67,700.
Additionally, on the 30-minute timeframe, there are still no good patterns for buying.
It is advisable to look for buying opportunities:
After the seller's attack on the 68,900 level (observe the volume and result of the attack) and the buyer defending this level.
After the seller's attack on the 67,700 level (observe the volume and result of the attack) and the buyer defending this level.
Currently, there is no context for looking for selling opportunities.
GENERAL INSURANCE CORPORATIONThe stock after facing price rejection around 440 to 467 levels came back to below 50 DMA levels. It has been consolidating since then for almost 3 months now. Finally, today we saw it breaking out of the consolidation zone. We saw a widespread bar on very high volume. The relative strength is also turning positive. The money flow has been positive for the last few sessions. We can also see a reversal in the momentum to the positive side. If the stock sustains above the high of today's bar, we can see the stock testing the previous price rejection zone at 440 to 467 levels. Now the only point of caution here is today's very high-volume bar, it is like a BC bar which can cast a shadow of supply bringing the stock down back into the consolidation zone. So that is why we need to have positive close above the shadow of the BC bar for the stock to move higher. So, it is a stock worth watching.
ADITYA BIRLA FASHIONS - Poised to moved up ?The stock saw a huge fall of about 50% from a high of 359. From the bottom, it has been struggling for almost a year to reverse the trend. And of late, you can see the attempt to move up, seeing some success. You can see a break of structure in the daily and now a break of structure in the weekly as well. The relative strength is also positive. The money flow which had dipped is now recovering. The momentum also had weakened recently and is now picking up. Today the stock moved past the price rejection zone at 277 with wide spread up bar with volume support. In the last few sessions, we saw some increase in delivery volumes indicating some interested buying coming in. If the stock sustains above 277 levels, we can see the stock moving up further north. The next destination could be 315 levels.
APD Long Investment Conservative Trend Trade Conservative Trend Trade 5F
+ long impulse
+ SOS bar
Calculated affordable stop loss
1 to 2 R/R below 1/2 monthly zone
Monthly chart context
+ long impulse
+ biggest volume T2 level
+ biggest volume manipulation
Start building position, will add more after there's a set up on inferior timeframe.
STLA 1H Long Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade
- short impulse
+ volumed T1 level
+ volumed Sp
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar closed entry
Calculated affordable real stop loss
1 to 2 TP before volume zone
Context on Daily:
"- short impulse
+ monthly support level
+ 1/2 correction monthly
+ biggest volume T1
+ biggest volume Sp"
Context on Monthly
"+ long impulse
+ SOS level
+ 1/2 correction?
+ support level"