Technical Analysis on FedEx (FDX)Despite the long- and short-term uptrend, FedEx stock displays some peculiar behavior, with frequent gap ups and gap downs, mostly occurring around earnings reports. Some gap downs have reached up to 20%, but were quickly filled shortly thereafter.
Recently, the stock reached its all-time high, only to be rejected. Therefore, the $320 area serves as a strong resistance (RES) that needs to be broken for the stock to resume its bullish trend.
Bullish Scenario
Following the release of the latest earnings report and declining revenue, the stock dropped 15% in a single day, creating a new gap down. With this decline, the price is now approaching a key volume area, the POC zone around $250. This area could act as support, containing the price and potentially initiating a rebound.
Bearish Scenario
If the POC area fails to hold the price, the stock could continue its decline toward a static support zone around $200.
FedEx remains an interesting stock to watch, especially considering how it reacts in the coming weeks and its ability to maintain key support levels.
Volumeanalysis
Ethereum Resistance Starts At $2800Ethereum flashed green on my indicator system on the 9th of September. I don't see much resistance until we move into that $2800 area. Our first resistance area will be that block of sell side pressure which coincides with the 350 DMA. Above that we have the top of our channel which coincides with an area of higher volume according to the VRVP. This is where I will begin watching closely for my indicator system to flash red. Of course, we could always break the top of our channel and continue up. The bulls will have shown a lot of strength to do so. I will try to keep you posted as Ethereum tends to lead much of our altcoin space.
SWING IDEA - GLOBUSSPRNSE:GLOBUSSPR has found its Swing Low levels at 710, which has also formed as a good Support as of now.
MACD levels are also moving upward steadily since the last few years indicating a good move upward.
If the market condition is stable for the next few weeks, we can see this stock moving up too.
Do not expect the stock to suddenly rally up as there is not much news about the stock in the recent months, so the Price movement could be pretty slow yet steady too.
Take this trade only based on your Risk Appetite and Risk Management.
BTC AnalysisHello friends,
Right now BINANCE:BTCUSDT is in the healthy up trend. The wise one said it's better to always trade in direction of trend.
I see one condition here for taking short:
In case price accelerate and VOLUME jumped, we can consider taking SHORT position from trading zone.
Cheers,
keiwan
What are Volume Candles and how to use themVolume Candles are a great chart type you can use to integrate volume analysis into your trading. TradingView is a superb platform that offers this chart type in real-time, so you can immediately get a completely different feel of what the market is actually doing.
As an experienced trader, understanding volume candles is crucial in getting a deeper insight into market dynamics. Unlike standard candlestick charts, which focus primarily on price movement, volume candles combine price action with the strength of trading activity (volume). This offers a unique perspective that can give you an edge in reading market sentiment and momentum.
What Are Volume Candles?
Volume candles are modified candlestick charts where the width of the candle is proportional to the trading volume during the corresponding time period. The typical candlestick elements—open, high, low, and close prices—are still present, but the volume aspect adds an additional layer of information, enhancing the clarity of price action.
Key Features of Volume Candles:
Height: Represents price movement (just like in regular candlesticks).
Width: Indicates the volume of trades within that period.
Unique Information You Can Extract from Volume Candles:
1. Volume-Driven Price Action Volume candles show how much trading interest exists at various price levels. When you observe a large volume candle, it tells you that a lot of market participants were active at that price. Conversely, a thin candle signals lower activity. This helps you:
A. Identify levels where strong participation occurs (institutional players what I call the puppet master).
B. Spot consolidation zones where volume is low, which often precedes significant price moves.
2. Momentum Confirmation High-volume candles that align with price trends suggest strong momentum.
Wide Bullish Candles: If you see a wide up candle during an uptrend, it indicates that the buying pressure is backed by solid volume. This gives more credibility to the uptrend and hints at a continued move upward.
Wide Bearish Candles: Similarly, a wide down candle during a downtrend signals strong selling pressure.
Volume Candle Chart can also be used for day trading purposes where you need to act FAST.
This TradingView chart type is extremely good so you don't need to compare the traditional volume bars on the bottom of the chart.
IMPORTANT: You must understand the puppet master mentality, which gives you context.
*** EXTRA: You can use this theme color.
KAS/USDT Trading ScenarioThe KAS’s price chart continues to follow an upward trend, with the trendline successfully acting as a support level four times, indicating its significant strength. From a volume profile perspective, the current asset price is in a zone of heightened market participant interest, with a key volume level POC at $0.16833.
After the news about a potential Fed rate cut, a short-term correction is likely, as the market has probably already priced this event in. In this case, we may see sell-offs following the news release. However, in the long term, growth potential remains, with the trendline, once again being tested, serving as a possible reversal point.
BTC AnalysisHello friends,
BINANCE:BTCUSDT get ready for a big move now. I believe Bitcoin price can reach 65K soon and even more.
How can we take this trade? I'd showed you the best entry to take this trade on the chart. take the trade only if BIG VOLUME appeared on the chart, Otherwise there is a chance that price go even lower.
regards
Technical Analysis of Broadcom Inc (AVGO)The stock ( AVGO ) is in a long- and medium-term uptrend.
In the short term, it is undergoing a retracement phase, having been rejected twice by the POC 1, which reflects the volume area starting from November 2023, when the latest uptrend began.
After the second rejection from POC 1, which confirms its strength, the price is heading towards the $171 area, corresponding to a second volume zone, POC 2. This area acts as resistance, having already rejected the stock once, and we will see if it holds again.
To summarize, in the short term, the stock is retracing, using POC 1 as support and POC 2 as resistance. This phase has resulted in lower highs and higher lows, forming a pattern known as a symmetrical triangle.
The symmetrical triangle is generally considered a continuation pattern, meaning that the breakout often (but not always) occurs in the direction of the trend prior to the triangle's formation. However, it can also signal a consolidation phase or market indecision.
Interpretation:
Bullish Scenario: If the price breaks the resistance (the descending trendline of lower highs) and moves above POC 2, this would be a bullish signal.
Bearish Scenario: Conversely, if the price breaks the support (the ascending trendline of higher lows) and moves below POC 1, this would be a bearish signal.
It is important to confirm the breakout with an increase in volume, as a breakout without strong volume may indicate a false signal.
BTC AnalysisHello friends,
For hours BINANCE:BTCUSDT moves near the VAH. I think BTC is ready for a big move to 61500 and even more.
Right now there is no entry for taking Long position but in case BINANCE:BTCUSDT reach the VAL and Volume increased, then I say it is a good opportunity to open Long position.
Be careful guys, Opening position in this scenario is risky.
ETH/USDT Trading ScenarioAs of writing, the asset is trading near the support level of $2130. This level was established following a sharp decline and an attempt at a quick recovery.
If this level is breached, further price drops are likely, with the next support level being the significant volume-based Point of Control level at $1585.25. This zone is attracting heightened attention from market participants, which may contribute to a price rebound.
A break below the $1585.25 level could be seen as a potential buying opportunity, both for speculative and long-term investment purposes.
NVDA - Swing Trade Idea NVIDIA (NVDA) is gradually recovering after the recent sharp sell-off. We saw a structural shift with the recapture of the X-POC (Xtructure Changing Starting Point) around $102.50, where buyers stepped in, forming a high-volume node (HVN).
Following the X-POC recovery, NVDA gapped up, closing above this level and establishing a new point of control (POC) with significant volume at $105.
Today, NVDA opened strong but, as anticipated, encountered resistance just before the N-POC at $110.61. Bears took control, driving the price back down to the previous day’s POC at $105.
The key for the rest of the day is maintaining a close above $105. Ideally, closing above $107.10 (today’s POC) would strengthen the bullish case. However, if we see further declines, the critical support remains at the $102.50 X-POC.
Looking ahead, tomorrow's CPI report will likely set the tone for the FOMC meeting next Wednesday, potentially clearing the path for a return to all-time highs. For now, bulls need to break through the $110.61 N-POC and hold above it. If achieved, we could see rapid movement towards the $118 POC, with resistance expected before reaching the final target at the $126 N-POC.
Technical Analysis of Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI)Upon analyzing the stock SMCI , we observe a significant turning point starting in 2022, following a long period of sideways movement where the stock struggled to break above the $40 level.
After this prolonged sideways phase, the stock broke out with a clear upward trend, highlighted by the ascending trendline (green), characterized by higher highs and higher lows.
Following a year of gains, the stock entered a consolidation phase but then broke out again to the upside with strength, accompanied by a substantial increase in volume.
After reaching a peak in March 2024, the stock began a downward phase that is still ongoing.
Potential long entry points, where the stock might bounce or change trend direction, are found in the following two support areas:
Support area S1;
The POC 1 area.
If the stock begins to rally again, it will be crucial to monitor its behavior as it approaches the descending trendline (green), which could serve as a more conservative initial target.
More ambitious targets are POC 2 and resistance R1, both within a price range of $900 to $1,000.
EURGBP-NEXT WEEK 9-SEP-2024 TO 13-SEP-2024Currently, the market is forming a Head and Shoulders pattern, which suggests a potential reversal. On the 1-hour timeframe, a Cup and Handle formation has been identified, but the breakout isn’t strong enough yet, and a retest hasn’t occurred. However, volume confirmation on the 4-hour chart signals that the breakout may be imminent.
On the 15-minute chart, we see a triangle formation, but we are waiting for a retest to confirm our entry. The area of value lies below the resistance zone, which we will use to define our risk levels after the retest.
I am using Fibonacci retracement on the 4-hour chart to define the take-profit target. At the moment, there are no major obstacles like significant support or resistance levels on the way, which aligns well with our target.
The stop-loss is set 10 pips above the resistance on the 4-hour chart, giving us a well-protected position. The risk-reward ratio (RRR), which is calculated at 2.11, making this trade attractive in terms of risk management.
Technical Analysis on Palantir Technologies Inc (PLTR)Palantir ( PLTR ) is currently in a short-term bullish phase, as indicated by the green trendline, which began in May 2023 with the breakout of the descending trendline (orange) accompanied by a gap up and increasing volume.
The stock has recently broken above the resistance zone R1, which it is currently retesting.
Bullish Scenario:
A short-term bullish scenario would see a move toward the next resistance level R2 in the $38-$40 area.
Bearish Scenario:
If the retest of resistance R1 fails, the stock could move towards the support areas, where potential entries could be considered if one anticipates a rebound:
The POC area around $24;
The weekly support S1;
The weekly support S2.
The support zones S2 and S1 are more clearly visible on a monthly timeframe:
OP/USDT Trading ScenarioAfter reaching an all-time high of $4.866, the asset's price corrected by more than 78%, returning to a zone of interest for participants, as defined by the volume profile and the key POC level. According to Fibonacci levels, the current asset price is in a buying zone.
In this situation, based on indicator readings, it's possible to consider building a position in OP assets with the aim of holding and potential growth to at least the 0.5 Fibonacci level, corresponding to the price point of $2.61. There is also the possibility of further price movement with a new ATH.
Stock Market Logic Series #10Do you think the above is a coincidence?
There are no coincidences in life - only cause and effect.
You are where you are because of a cause that is bound to physical and natural laws.
The same pressure of physics that works on the airplane wing, or the balloon that wants to push its way up when pressed into water (pool), also works in the stock market.
You just have to KNOW how to SEE it. follow my explanation.
If you follow the price action, you can see clearly where the high-pressure volume comes in, you can't miss it. It is obviously seen.
Then you need to wait for the correction, and you want to see that the correction is demonstrating a low-volume pressure behavior.
When you see this low volume pressure behavior, the stock has DRIED UP.
This DRYING-UP effect is a key indicator of a probable future LIFT and stock movement.
You want to ask yourself the question:
Why the stock is not falling down anymore?
The question of "WHY" is searching for the cause BEHIND the stock movement.
The stock movement is only the effect!
In previous posts, I explained the other LOGIC behind this pattern, and explained why the price should not fall down and with a high probability of going up.
If you read any of the books of Jesse Livermore, he clearly states that you need to "KNOW" that the stock will move your way, first let the market "SHOW YOU" exactly what will happen, and only then you put in a trade.
The KEY CONCEPT in this idea is the DRYING UP OF VOLUME.
When you understand the WHY behind the stock movement, buying and selling are emotionless.
The focus should be only a trading setups that you "KNOW" it is highly probable to move in your expected trade direction. You "KNOW" because you have stock market LOGIC to back it up.
If you want a specific post about Jesse Livermore's trading rules, let me know in the comments.
It is always important to make sure that you have the correct perspective on the stock market, otherwise, you get confused. There is only at every given time only ONE side to the market as Jesse Livermore said, "The RIGHT SIDE". This goes back to my idea, that at every given time the puppet master ONLY buys or sells but NOT BOTH.
BTC AnalysisHello Friends,
Right now, BINANCE:BTCUSDT roams around the POC. I recommend waiting until the price starts to move away from POC.
If price reach 61-62000 area and volume jumped, we can think about opening short trade (54000 is the TARGET)
In case BTC drop from here, 54000 should be a good area to take long trade!
Gold ready for a meltdown Sell Now!!So as we are approaching this week's NFP report which will give a clear indication of either a soft landing or a hard landing I expect Gold to have a slight retracement as it is currently facing some resistance and has broken out of the ascending triangle so our target will be at the h4 tradeline
Follow more for quickly analysis