Intraday Levels for Nasdaq 100 Futures - 12/10/2024This analysis focuses on the Nasdaq 100 Futures, aiming to identify potential support and resistance levels where the price could experience intraday bounces or trend reversals, as well as zones where the price might potentially break higher or move lower.
Considerations
The range used in this analysis serves only as a reference for broader-level insights.
For intraday operations, it is advisable to utilize a lower timeframe to refine entry and exit points more accurately.
To confirm the validity of these levels, it is essential to evaluate real-time conditions as the price approaches these zones. Factors such as pressure, trading volume, and Order Flow will play a critical role in determining whether these supports hold or are likely to be broken.
Volumeanalysis
Pfizer Ltd. - Short Position AnalysisChart Overview:
The chart indicates that the stock is in a clear downtrend, following a descending channel pattern. The price is nearing a key horizontal support level (marked in black), and a breakdown below this level may present a shorting opportunity.
Trade Setup for Short Position:
1.Entry Trigger: Below ₹5,028 on a daily closing basis.
2.Targets:
Target 1: ₹4,885 (first demand zone).
Target 2: ₹4,760 (strong support and lower boundary of the descending channel).
3.Stop Loss: Above ₹5,187 (recent swing high and red-dotted resistance level).
4.Risk-Reward Ratio: Ensure a favorable ratio of at least 1:2.
Alternate Scenario:
If ₹5,028 holds as support, the stock might see a pullback toward ₹5,187, where selling pressure could resume.
Polycab India Ltd. - Short Position SetupAnalysis for Short Position Condition:
1.Key Breakdown Level:
₹7,282 is a critical horizontal support level. A decisive breakdown below this level could trigger a bearish move.
2.Volume Profile Analysis:
Below ₹7,282, the volume profile shows limited buying interest until ₹6,997, suggesting a potential drop to this level.
Further weakness could see the stock test ₹6,746, where significant buying activity has previously occurred.
3.Trendline Breakdown:
The stock is trading within an ascending channel. A breakdown below ₹7,282 will confirm the failure of this channel, indicating a trend reversal.
4.Moving Averages:
The 20-day EMA is currently acting as dynamic support near ₹7,282. A breakdown will likely push the stock toward the 50-day EMA around ₹6,997.
The 200-day EMA near ₹6,746 is a long-term support level to monitor.
5.RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is neutral but could head toward oversold levels if the breakdown occurs, strengthening the bearish view.
6.Volume Confirmation:
Watch for an increase in sell-side volume during the breakdown for confirmation.
Trade Plan for Short Positions:
Entry Trigger: Below ₹7,282.
Targets:
Target 1: ₹6,997
Target 2: ₹6,746
Stop Loss: Above ₹7,438 (previous high near resistance).
Risk-Reward Ratio: Ensure an ideal ratio of at least 1:2 for the trade.
Alternate Scenario:
If ₹7,282 holds and the stock bounces, the immediate upside resistance is ₹7,654, above which the stock may resume its bullish trend.
SBI Life Insurance Co. Ltd. - Technical Analysis UpdateSupport and Resistance Zones:
1.Key Support Zone: ₹1,385-₹1,463
This zone aligns with the Fibonacci 0.236 retracement level and the recent reversal point, making it a strong support.
2.Immediate Resistance Levels:
₹1,555 (Fibonacci 0.382 retracement).
₹1,630 (Fibonacci 0.5 retracement).
₹1,705 (Fibonacci 0.618 retracement), a crucial level to watch.
3.Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
The stock has retraced sharply from its high of ₹1,943 and is showing signs of reversal near the 0.236 Fibonacci level. A breakout above ₹1,500 could confirm bullish momentum toward higher Fibonacci levels.
4.Volume Analysis:
Volume appears to be increasing near the support zone, indicating buying interest from market participants.
The Volume Profile indicates strong accumulation between ₹1,400-₹1,500.
5.Moving Averages:
The stock is attempting to reclaim the 20-day EMA as a dynamic support.
A crossover above the 50-day EMA could signal further bullish strength.
6.RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is recovering from oversold levels, indicating a possible trend reversal. A move above 50 would strengthen the bullish case.
7.Projection:
If the stock sustains above ₹1,463, it could aim for ₹1,555 in the short term and ₹1,705 in the medium term.
A break below ₹1,385 would invalidate this view and could lead to further downside.
Conclusion:
SBI Life Insurance is poised for a potential bounce-back. Traders can consider entries near the ₹1,450-₹1,470 range, targeting ₹1,555 and ₹1,705 with appropriate stop losses below ₹1,385.
Intraday Levels for Nasdaq 100 Futures - 12/06/2024This analysis focuses on the Nasdaq 100 Futures, aiming to identify potential support and resistance levels where the price could experience intraday bounces or trend reversals, as well as zones where the price might potentially break higher or move lower.
Considerations
The range used in this analysis serves only as a reference for broader-level insights.
For intraday operations, it is advisable to utilize a lower timeframe to refine entry and exit points more accurately.
To confirm the validity of these levels, it is essential to evaluate real-time conditions as the price approaches these zones. Factors such as pressure, trading volume, and Order Flow will play a critical role in determining whether these supports hold or are likely to be broken.
ALRS 1D Long Investment Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade
- short impulse
+ volumed T1
+ support level
+ biggest volume Sp
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar close entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
Take profit
1/3 - 1 to 2 R/R
1/3 - 1D T2 / 1M T2
1/3 - 1/2 of 1Y
Calculated affordable stop limit
Take profit
1/3 - 1 to 2 R/R
1/3 - 1D T2 / 1M T2
1/3 - 1/2 of 1Y
Monthly CounterTrend
"- short impulse
+ volumed TE / T1
+ support level
+ volumed Sp
+ test"
Yearly Trend
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ T2 level
+ support level
+ manipulation"
A case for long term investment and DCANYSE:VALE Is at an inflection point. It is a stock I have been watching for a long time as it has a nice Elliott wave pattern (If correct)
Here I present the Weekly chart as I consider it for my long term portfolio (3+ years BUY and Hold)
Although the chart presented here looks great (Read: Phenomenal), as an analyst utilising multiple methods, the story does not unfold as easily as I'd like.
As can be seen in the snapshot below there are multiple 'anomalies' still outstanding at those green zones on the magnified weekly chart. They may or may not be filled, but our awareness of them should cause us to move forward with caution.
On the Elliottwave side of things, there are two ways of looking at this. Either the recent top at ~$23 was wave i of 3 of (3) or the top of Primary w(1). If the latter is true then we will likely drop lower in to one of the green bands.
So the question remains - how do we take advantage of this given a drop to just above $3?
1) You can Dollar Cost Average in at each stage distributing your allocated capital
2) Wait for a bounce in a five wave move and enter at the correction for w2 of that bounce. Use the low for a stop loss.
There is no perfect way to manage the unknowns, you can only manage your primary objective, which should be to safeguard your capital -
If you want to know my thoughts on NYSE:VALE and other names give this a boost and follow.
best of luck!
Intraday Levels for Nasdaq 100 Futures - 12/05/2024This analysis focuses on the Nasdaq 100 Futures, aiming to identify potential support and resistance levels where the price could experience intraday bounces or trend reversals, as well as zones where the price might potentially break higher or move lower.
Considerations
To confirm the validity of these levels, it is essential to evaluate real-time conditions as the price approaches these zones. Factors such as pressure, trading volume, and Order Flow will play a critical role in determining whether these supports hold or are likely to be broken.
Bitcoin as Water. Will Bitcoin move towards less resistance?Hello,
The volume profile of this chart with 4-hour candles indicates two levels where high trading interest can be found. One of these levels is the orange level, $91.5k, around which Bitcoin built a strong support zone. The other level is the red line, $98.5k, where BTC has a strong sell zone. I expect the price action to unfold between these two zones. You may ask which would come next. The current price, $97.1k, is closer to the sell zone than the buy zone. Hitting the sell zone requires less effort than falling into the buy zone. A few people observed that the market often moves towards less resistance. This lesser resistance is now moving into the sell zone. Furthermore, MACD goes up like a bullish trend, which means technicals contribute to BTC hitting the sell zone next time. The white trendline on the chart can act as additional support, which means for BTC to fall into the buy zone, it has to cut down the white trendline. Again, the less resistance for the price would be not to cut down the support trendline, but to pump into the sell zone, which is open from the bottom up without additional resistance standing in the way.
Regards,
Ely
Analysis of NBCC (India) Limited ChartOverview:
The daily price chart of NBCC (India) Limited indicates a recovery phase after a significant correction from its 2024 highs. Key support and resistance levels are identified, along with a potential pattern that suggests consolidation followed by a breakout.
Key Observations:
1.Trend Analysis:
The stock was previously trading within an ascending channel, marked by higher highs and higher lows, indicating a bullish trend until August 2024.
Post-August, the stock broke below the channel, resulting in a sharp correction of approximately -30%.
2.Support Levels:
₹84.25: Strong support zone, as highlighted by multiple touches and a bounce from this level. It acted as a demand zone during the correction.
The stock formed a short-term base in the ₹84–₹90 range, leading to the current recovery.
3.Resistance Levels:
₹102.10: Immediate resistance, corresponding to the 100-day moving average (acting as a dynamic resistance).
₹111.44: The next major resistance from previous highs and the upper boundary of the consolidation zone.
4.Potential Pattern Formation:
A possible W-shaped reversal pattern is forming. If the stock sustains above ₹93.09 (mid-level support) and breaks ₹102.10, the next target could be ₹111.44.
The pattern suggests a consolidation phase before a potential breakout above ₹111.44.
5.Volume and RSI Analysis:
Volume: Increased buying interest near the ₹84 zone, indicating accumulation.
RSI: Currently recovering from oversold levels, indicating improving bullish momentum.
6.News Catalysts:
The Housing and Urban Development tie-up to develop a land parcel in Noida could provide a fundamental boost, aiding positive price action.
Projection and Strategy:
Bullish Scenario: Sustained breakout above ₹102.10 may lead to ₹111.44 and beyond. Traders could consider this level as a pivot point for long positions.
Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold ₹93.09 may lead to a retest of ₹84.25, where buyers could step in again.
Conclusion:
The stock is in a recovery phase, supported by strong fundamentals and technical patterns. Traders and investors should monitor key levels like ₹93.09 (support) and ₹102.10 (resistance) for confirmation of further trends.
Voltas Ltd Technical Analysis1.Chart Pattern:
The stock has been consolidating in a descending channel, with a recent breakout above the upper trendline of the channel.
This breakout could indicate a bullish reversal if sustained.
2.Key Levels:
Support Zone: ₹1,670 - ₹1,700 (highlighted area).
Immediate Resistance: ₹1,732 (horizontal dashed black line).
Target 1: ₹1,762 (short-term resistance).
Target 2: ₹1,838 (medium-term resistance).
Target 3: ₹1,926 (long-term resistance).
3.Indicators:
RSI (14): Currently at 48.58, indicating neutral momentum. A move above 50 could strengthen bullish sentiment.
EMA Levels:
20 EMA: ₹1,697 (stock near this level).
50 EMA: ₹1,720.
100 EMA: ₹1,670 (acting as strong support).
200 EMA: ₹1,517 (long-term trend support).
4.Volume Analysis:
A significant spike in volume was observed during the breakout, supporting the bullish case.
5.Price Action:
The breakout candle indicates buying interest. If the stock holds above ₹1,732, it could move toward ₹1,762 and higher levels.
6.Risk-Reward:
Entry Zone: ₹1,700 - ₹1,732 (post-pullback to breakout zone).
Stop Loss: Below ₹1,670 (key support).
Target Range: ₹1,762 – ₹1,926.
Trading Plan
Bullish Scenario: A breakout above ₹1,732 and sustained momentum could lead to ₹1,762 and ₹1,838.
Bearish Risk: If the stock falls back into the channel and breaks below ₹1,670, the downtrend may resume.
Conclusion
Voltas Ltd. is at a critical juncture, showing potential for a bullish breakout. However, confirmation above ₹1,732 is crucial for the upward move. Traders should watch volume and price action for further clarity.
UPL Ltd. (NSE: UPL) AnalysisOverview: UPL Ltd. is currently trading at ₹545.50, showing signs of consolidation near its short-term moving averages. The price is poised at a critical level with a potential for either a breakout or a breakdown, depending on market dynamics and volume activity.
Technical Insights:
1.Support and Resistance Levels:
Immediate Support: ₹528 (marked by recent lows and a strong demand zone).
Key Resistance: ₹549.50 (current level) and ₹584.05 (previous swing high and significant supply zone).
2.Volume Profile:
The visible range volume profile indicates a concentration of volume between ₹540-₹550, suggesting this zone as a pivot for future price action.
A breakout above ₹549.50 could attract higher volumes, pushing the stock towards ₹584.
3.Moving Averages:
The stock is near its 20-day and 50-day EMAs, indicating a neutral short-term trend.
A clear break above the 200-day EMA would signal a shift in momentum towards the bulls.
4.RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is hovering around 50, indicating a lack of strong momentum. A breakout above resistance could drive RSI towards overbought territory, confirming bullishness.
Scenarios:
Bullish Case: A breakout above ₹549.50 with high volumes could see the stock targeting ₹584.05 in the short term. Sustained momentum may lead to further upside towards ₹600.
Bearish Case: Failure to sustain above ₹549.50 might result in a pullback to ₹528. A breakdown below ₹528 could open doors for lower levels, around ₹510.
Trading Plan:
Entry:
Bullish: Above ₹550 for targets of ₹584 and ₹600.
Bearish: Below ₹528 for targets of ₹510.
Stop-Loss:
Bullish: ₹535.
Bearish: ₹540.
Final Thoughts: UPL Ltd. is at a crucial level with a well-defined risk-reward setup. Traders should wait for confirmation of direction with strong volume support before taking positions. Monitor global agrochemical sector trends and news for potential catalysts.
Zydus Lifesciences (NSE:ZYDUSLIFE)Overview: Zydus Lifesciences is currently at an interesting juncture, with signs of a potential reversal from recent lows. The price action suggests a possible recovery towards higher resistance levels, supported by technical indicators and market sentiment. Nomura's revised price target of ₹1,030, while maintaining a Neutral rating, aligns with this view.
Key Levels to Watch:
Current Price: ₹966.65
Immediate Support (SL): ₹902.55
Key Resistance Zones: ₹1,008.35, ₹1,041.45, and ₹1,102.15
Technical Analysis:
Volume Profile: The visible range volume profile shows significant accumulation near ₹1,000, which could act as a strong magnet for the price.
Moving Averages: The stock has started reclaiming its short-term moving averages. A breakout above the 200-day MA would confirm bullish momentum.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is trending upwards, indicating improving bullish momentum. Divergence suggests a potential reversal.
Price Action: The formation of higher lows near ₹949 reinforces the possibility of a short-term recovery.
Trading Strategy:
Entry Zone: Between ₹950 and ₹970, as the stock shows stability near support levels.
Stop-Loss: Strict stop-loss at ₹902.55 to limit downside risk.
Targets:
Target 1: ₹1,008.35
Target 2: ₹1,041.45
Extended Target: ₹1,102.15
Risk Management:
Position size will depend on risk tolerance, ensuring a Risk-Reward ratio of at least 1:2.
Avoid chasing the price above ₹970 if momentum wanes.
Final Thoughts: Zydus Lifesciences presents a favorable risk-reward scenario with clear technical signals for a rebound. However, macroeconomic factors and sector performance will play a critical role in sustaining the move. Traders should monitor price action near the resistance zones closely for signs of continuation or rejection.
GMX/USDT Trading ScenarioGMX is another undervalued asset in the current market. Its price is currently 70% below its all-time high (ATH), yet there is potential for it to reach that level again. The asset is currently trading at $28.37, close to its local minimum.
From a volume analysis perspective, the asset is at the Point of Control (POC), which formed in May 2024, when the asset was in an accumulation phase. Trading volumes also indicate heightened interest from market participants in this price range.
Despite the overall positive trend, the asset has not yet shown significant growth. However, with the upcoming altseason, it has strong potential to surpass its historical maximum.
EURGBP BUY SETUPKey Observations:
Liquidity Zone (Confirmation): The highlighted liquidity area represents a critical zone for confirmation. I need the market to grab this liquidity before validating my long entry setup.
Demand Zone: The area around 0.83172 acts as a significant demand zone. This is where buyers have previously stepped in, and I anticipate bullish momentum to emerge again.
Key Level at 0.83350: This is an important reaction zone, which could act as the first target for the trade or a consolidation point.
Imbalance Fill: The market is currently filling an imbalance (highlighted zone). I’ll monitor for bullish price action once this imbalance is mitigated.
Fibonacci Confluence (Premium Zone): My demand zone aligns with a Fibonacci retracement level in my premium area, adding confluence to the long trade setup.
Demand in Volume Profile: This demand zone also aligns with a high-volume area in the volume profile, suggesting strong interest from buyers, making this an ideal entry point.
Trade Idea:
Bullish Bias:
Entry Area: Around 0.83172 (demand zone).
Target Levels:
TP1: 0.83350 (key level).
TP2: 0.83650 (higher liquidity zone).
Stop Loss: Below 0.83050, to protect against demand zone failure.
Risk Management:
Maintain a risk-to-reward ratio of at least 1:2. Wait for the liquidity grab and signs of bullish momentum (e.g., bullish engulfing candle or strong rejection wick) at the demand zone before entering.
Volume, liquidity grabs, and Fibonacci align perfectly in my EUR/GBP long setup. Do you see the same bullish potential, or do you expect a bearish breakdown? Let’s discuss below!👇
Bullish Long for DJTDJT's tremendous buying volume today pushed the stock price to $32.17 (+18.43%). A golden cross formed on the hourly chart on October 8th, and if DJT keeps its bullish momentum, a golden cross will likely form on the 4-hour chart in the next few days. The weekly chart shows that October holds the strongest buying volume for the year. This should help DJT play at a higher value.
Fundamental Analysis—The surge is likely due to interest and support for Trump's upcoming presidency. This is what happened in March 2024. DJT's value rose due to the loyal base of Trump supporters. Analysts labeled DJT as a meme stock, trading more on social media buzz than traditional financial metrics. Knowing these fundamental analytics, I believe DJT will find great value and performance depending on a Trump victory.
Alkem Laboratories Ltd. (NSE: ALKEM)Technical Analysis and Key Levels
1.Current Price Action:
Alkem Laboratories is trading at ₹5,484.40, testing a critical support zone (₹5,300–₹5,450) identified by historical price action and volume profile.
2.Resistance and Support Levels:
Immediate Resistance: ₹5,811.55 (previous swing high).
Key Resistance Zone: ₹6,000–₹6,346.55. A breakout above ₹6,346.55 can lead to fresh bullish momentum.
Immediate Support: ₹5,323.60 (near-term support).
Critical Support: ₹4,629.85, a major demand zone. Failure to hold this level could trigger further downside.
3.Volume Profile:
High-Volume Node (HVN): Significant buying interest is observed around ₹5,450–₹5,800.
Low-Volume Node (LVN): Below ₹5,300, liquidity decreases, increasing the risk of a sharp drop toward ₹4,629.85.
4.Moving Averages:
The stock is currently hovering around the 50-day moving average, indicating short-term indecision.
The 200-day moving average at ₹5,323.60 acts as crucial support for long-term trend analysis.
5.RSI Indicator:
The RSI is neutral but leaning towards the oversold region, suggesting potential accumulation in this zone. A break below ₹5,323 could push RSI into bearish territory.
6.Key Observations:
Nomura's Price Target Update: Nomura revised the price target to ₹6,097 (Neutral stance), close to the immediate resistance levels, which aligns with market consolidation.
7.Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Case: Sustaining above ₹5,484.40 and breaking ₹5,811.55 may open doors for ₹6,346.55.
Bearish Case: A decisive break below ₹5,323.60 could lead to ₹4,629.85.
8.Trading Strategy:
For Bulls: Look for confirmation above ₹5,811.55 with increased volumes before entering long positions.
For Bears: Short opportunities arise if the stock breaks and sustains below ₹5,323.60 with a target near ₹4,629.85.
KOINUSDT - Visible Range Volume ProfileWhat is the Visible Range Volume Profile Indicator?
The Visible Range Volume Profile (VRVP) indicator calculates the volume profile within the visible range of prices, making it an ideal tool for traders who want to analyze the most recent market trends.
Observations
70% of the volume was traded between $0.09~$0.55 (shown on the chart by the 2 horizontal blue lines (Volume Area High, Volume Area Low).
The biggest trading volume was between $0.09~$0.18.
On the right-hand side, you can see the VRVP indicated by green and red horizontal bars. Most of the time in this period it is quite even, besides one bar ($0.28~$0.37) that shows a much higher Value Area Up.
Personal Opinion
In my opinion, what we can see in the VRVP indicator adds weight to the theory that during these low prices, there has been massive distribution and accumulation from a few whales to the ever-growing Koinos community. This of course, is great news for the future of Koinos Blockchain!
Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments below and thanks for reading.
Tata Motors (Daily Timeframe) AnalysisChart Pattern & Trend:
Primary Trend: The stock previously followed a rising channel pattern, peaking near ₹1,176.50. After breaking the channel's lower boundary, it entered a significant downtrend.
Current Trend: Bearish, as the stock has consistently been making lower highs and lower lows.
Fibonacci Levels:
The Fibonacci retracement tool highlights key levels:
61.8% Level (₹880.35): This level acted as a minor support before breaking down.
50% Level (₹788.85): The stock is hovering around this level, attempting to stabilize.
38.2% Level (₹697.40): If the downtrend continues, this could be the next key support.
23.6% Level (₹584.20): A deeper correction might test this level in a prolonged bearish scenario.
Volume Analysis:
Declining volumes suggest weakening momentum on the downside.
A volume spike at key support levels could indicate buying interest.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is in the oversold zone or nearing it, indicating potential for a short-term pullback or consolidation.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: ₹880 (61.8% Fibonacci) and ₹900 are immediate resistance zones.
Support: ₹788 (current level) and ₹697 (38.2% Fibonacci) are critical supports.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Reversal: A breakout above ₹880 with increasing volumes could signal the beginning of a recovery.
Continued Bearishness: A breakdown below ₹788 could lead the stock toward ₹697 and ₹584.
Trading Strategy:
For Long Positions: Look for reversal patterns around ₹788 or ₹697, supported by RSI divergence and volume confirmation.
For Short Positions: Consider selling near resistance levels like ₹880 with a stop-loss above ₹900.