JPM Earnings Next Week: Will Buybacks Hold Up the Stock?NYSE:JPM reached New Highs recently with a huge number of buybacks driving the stock upward so fast and so high. The big bank has also been busy gobbling up regional banks for two years now. JPM's floor traders, trading aggressively in a few key industries, are doing well.
However, Revenues and Earnings were down last quarter over the prior quarter. And Volume is trending slightly lower over the quarter. An overextended run into earnings often sees profit-taking ahead of or on the day of the report.
Smaller funds are in speculative mode chasing the buybacks. Why did smaller funds rush to buy on earnings last quarter? Year over Year comparisons show revenues and earnings are up. Year over year often distorts current values.
What matters is the most current data, quarter over quarter, for the Buy Side Institutions.
Volumeanalysis
📈Ethereum Analysis: Potential Scenarios in 4-Hour Timeframe✨🔍Today, let's delve into the analysis of Ethereum (ETH) to identify its growth or decline potential.In the 4-hour timeframe, ETH experienced a correction downward to around $3200 after reaching $4063. Currently, it's ranging between $3645 and $3480, with the previous candle breaking below the range. Now, we need to assess whether this could lead to stabilization or a potential fakeout.
⚡️From a Fibonacci perspective, retracement from the 50% level suggests the possibility of further downward movement, potentially extending the correction. If we continue to decline and breach $3299, we might target $2899, a strong support level that could anchor ETH against excessive correction.
📊The volume of red candles significantly outweighs that of green candles, indicating stronger selling pressure. Should this trend persist, further decline can be expected.
💥Regarding RSI, it previously held support around 44.89, coinciding with $3480, but has now dipped to 37.18. A breach of this level may not provide much distance to oversold territory, potentially leading to sharp movements.
💎Overall, these analyses apply to the 4-hour timeframe, with all movements constituting minor corrections in the weekly perspective.
🧠💼It's important to acknowledge the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Always adhere to strict capital management principles and utilize stop-loss orders, ensuring that the initial target offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 2
TCS: SMA 200 for long positionHello traders,
The stock we are going to watch is $NSE:TCS. This stock is related to IT sector. This stock is mostly moving in an upward direction. Currently, it is taking some additional support of SMA200 in 4h time frame. This stock can shoot upwards at anytime.
If you're a option trader, consider buying the premium which is having the liquidity. Consider exiting near 4100 to protect your profits.
Thanks & regards,
Alpha Trading Station
Expectation for EUR/USD for the first week of ApirilLast week was quite interesting, especially given the EUR/USD orderbook had four very strong levels of resistence making up over 50% of the sell side weighted volume (Thursday). The lower range was pushed down from previous levels, also indicating buyers are calling for lower prices.
The orderbook still has quite a bit of pressure on the sell side, even though the bulls hold the market, albeit thinly, at the close of Friday's session. While Monday may bring a bullish gap, I believe the coming week will see more tug-of-war motion between the bulls and bears, but ultimately, the prices will be driven down lower.
While there is a good chance the market may test the 1.073 range, I don't see any evidence that it will be broken, yet. For the next month or so, I believe the market is going to remain in its current ranged area, perhaps with minor expansion.
📈AVAX Analysis: Consolidating Between Key Levels💎🔍Today, I'm analyzing AVAX, which is currently consolidating between the levels of $58.40 and $47.72 after an upward move. Presently, it's hovering around the support at $53.12, approximately the midpoint of the range.
⚡️Following a fakeout above $58.40, the trading volume has gradually decreased, indicating ongoing consolidation.
📉For short positions, the primary trigger lies at $47.72, although $53.12 presents a lower-risk alternative. Conversely, $58.40 serves as a suitable trigger for long positions.
💥The RSI indicator is holding support at 36.53, suggesting bearish momentum upon its breach.
🚀The Fibonacci retracement aligns the 0.618 level with the support at $47.72, with the price currently above the 0.382 level.
✅A breakdown below $53.12 could encounter resistance at the 0.382 and 0.5 Fibonacci levels, potentially hindering further downward movement.
🧠💼It's important to acknowledge the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Always adhere to strict capital management principles and utilize stop-loss orders, ensuring that the initial target offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 2
Stock Market Logic Series #9Two Daggers Buy Pattern EXPLAINED
This is a super powerful pattern for a buy. Especially if you are a value investor.
What do you want to look for?
1. You must see TWO daggers to the downside.
A dagger is an extremely abnormal drop in price with a HUGE volume.
You want to see the first dagger, and then pray for the price to continue falling at a normal rate.
Normal rate = people are trying to pick the bottom (without success).
Then you want to look for (wait = put alerts) for the SECOND DAGGER.
Then after the second dagger arrives and you get a second sharp drop in price, then you want to expect a rejection up and a new strong trend up should emerge.
2. Exterme volume on the daggers!
Ideally, you want the volume of the second dagger to be bigger than the first one.
This means that someone is loading all he can get since he KNOWS KNOWS KNOWS that the price is going to get higher for sure.
I bet you would have done the same... if you KNOW KNOW KNOW its going UP!
This pattern does not happen all the time, and it is more likely to happen near the end of a bear market. But prices get so unreasonably cheap, that its obviously for fundamental reasons that they are wrong! so someone who KNOWS will take all the money he can get to load into this stock at this price.
APPLE Analysis - Continuous, Just as the Markets !This is a Thread, so Follow for Technical Analysis performed with TrapZone Pro & UMVD Indicators.
* Trend is Based on TrapZone Color
* Bar Colors give us Momentum Green from strong Up Moves. Red Bars point to strong Down Moves.
* Red UMVD = Selling Pressure & Green UMVD = Buying Pressure. Purple is for Divergence = Battle of Supply & Demand
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1-16-2024
GREEN TrapZone with RED UMVD. Price sliding as US MSI also points to weakening in the market. Hold On to You Hats I Say :)
ETH/BTC Price Movement AnalysisWe are considering the movements of the ETH price relative to the BTC price.
On the chart of ETH movement relative to BTC, we can identify a specific range where the support level is at 0.04885 BTC, and the resistance level is at 0.08869 BTC. When the price reaches the support level at 0.04885 BTC, a confident bounce is observed, followed by further growth.
Currently, ETH has bounced again from the support level and is in a consolidation phase, which may precede a more significant rise in ETH compared to BTC in the medium term.
However, it is important to note that there may be obstacles to the price, including the volume level at 0.06811 BTC. This level is in the middle of the range and could serve as a profit-taking point for market participants.
INTC Long Day Conservative Counter Trend Trade Conservative Counter Trend Trade 12.1
+ long impulse
- volumed expanding T2
- 1/2 correction
+ support level
+ biggest volume manipulation
+ closed above support level
Calculated affordable virtual stop loss
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Hourly Context:
- short impulse
+ volumed T1
+ bigest volume Sp
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar closed level entry
Daily Context
- short impulse
+ biggest untested volume T1
+ biggest volume Sp
Monthly Context
+ long impulse
+ SOS level
+ support level
+ 1/2 correction
AMT Long Invest Conservative Trend TradeConservative Trend Trade 11
+ long impulse
+ SOS level
+ 1/2 correction
+ biggest volume Sp
Calculated affordable stop loss
1 to 2 R/R taket profit
Monthly Context
+ long balance
+ biggest volume expanding ICE
+ 2Sp- (previous bar touched ICE)
+ test
I'll see how market goes and can take potentially 1/3 at 1 to 2 R/R
1/3 at Daily resistance
1/3 at Monthly 1/2 of range
FXS Expanding T-Pattern Analysis: Potential Breakout and Grow?!🍣📈This analysis examines the expanding triangle pattern formation and assesses the potential for a breakout and subsequent price growth.
📈Expanding Triangle Pattern:
An expanding triangle pattern has been identified, characterized by rising highs and falling lows.
This pattern indicates a buildup of market indecision and uncertainty.
📉🔺Breakout and Resistance Levels:
A breakout above the daily resistance level could signal a bullish trend reversal and potential for further price appreciation.
The next daily resistance level would then become the target for the upward movement.
📊🔺RSI Confirmation and Volume:
A break above the RSI trendline would provide additional confirmation of the bullish breakout.
Increasing trading volume alongside the breakout would indicate strong momentum and support the upward trend.
⛔Important Considerations:
False breakouts are a possibility with expanding triangle patterns, and traders should exercise caution.
🔽Additional technical indicators and market sentiment analysis can help validate the breakout and provide trade entry and exit signals.
🚫This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and employ sound risk management practices before trading.🚫
📈GMX: Support and Short Opportunities🔒🔍Today the market is taking a breather, and the analysis focuses on the coin GMX, which has broken the line at $54.01 from our previous analysis, triggering a 23% short position. Currently, it's testing support at $44.24, having faked out once and reacted twice.
✅If you opened a short position at $54.01 and haven't taken profit yet, I suggest closing a small portion to secure some gains. If you've taken profit, wait to see how it reacts at $44.24. If it breaks down, expect lower targets; if it holds, consider closing your position to lock in profits.
📉If you don't have an open position, the next trigger is $44.24, which could accompany the next wave. Currently, volume has decreased compared to before, typical for weekends.
⚡️The RSI indicator lacks a precise trigger, but considering the downward momentum on the 4-hour timeframe, opening a position could be warranted. If the price continues to range for an extended period, assess new market structures before opening positions.
🔑Note that all downward movements are corrective, and any coin could pump at any moment. If you have confirmation, you can consider longing after the breakout of $48.02.
🧠💼It's important to acknowledge the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Always adhere to strict capital management principles and utilize stop-loss orders, ensuring that the initial target offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 2
IND penny IT with the earnings beat no more cash drain LONGIntellicheck validates identities for financial services, fintech companies, BNPL providers, e-commerce, retail commerce businesses, and law enforcement and government agencies across North America. Intellicheck can be used through a mobile device, a browser, or a retail point-of-sale scanner.
Volume, Volatility and Price Breakout on the 60-minute chart. Relative Volume was beyond 10X
The predictive algo has a continuation for Monday with a momentum fade over 4.25 topping at
4.5
I will take an intraday trade here potentially buying in the premarket. The target is the high
pivot forecasted by the algo about 30& upside. I will set a 7.5% stop loss and risk 0.01% of
capital in the trading account. I will take off 25% upon reaching 4.0 another 50% at 4.50 and
the remaining 25% with a 5% trailing stop loss to ride the momentum fade.
This is probably not shortable. The April monthly options pumped 6x to 30x on the earnings
report. They will have continuation on Monday 3/26 after that the put options will be in play.
The small call options chain is embedded in the chart. Earnings come again in May.
I will reenter this trade until after the current pop and drop is completed.
Then in late April to look I will reenter looking for a repeat of the present price action.
Lloyds Bank Analysis - Continuous, Just as the Markets !This is a Thread, so Follow for Technical Analysis performed with TrapZone Pro & UMVD Indicators.
* Trend is Based on TrapZone Color
* Bar Colors give us Momentum Green from strong Up Moves. Red Bars point to strong Down Moves.
* Red UMVD = Selling Pressure & Green UMVD = Buying Pressure. Purple is for Divergence = Battle of Supply & Demand
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1-23-2024
Strong downtrend with RED TrapZone established for days now. Price is retracing a bit with GREEN UMVD coming in now. Bunch of Trapped Buyers !
FTSE 100 Analysis - Continuous, Just as the Markets !This is a Thread, so Follow for Technical Analysis performed with TrapZone Pro & UMVD Indicators.
* Trend is Based on TrapZone Color
* Bar Colors give us Momentum Green from strong Up Moves. Red Bars point to strong Down Moves.
* Red UMVD = Selling Pressure & Green UMVD = Buying Pressure. Purple is for Divergence = Battle of Supply & Demand
--------------------
2-1-2024
Sideways Momentum with RED TrapZone established now and GREEN UMVD continues still. Price swinging UP & DOWN around the TrapZone. Cant seem to find a direction.
NIKKE 225 Analysis - Continuous, Just as the Markets !This is a Thread, so Follow for Technical Analysis performed with TrapZone Pro & UMVD Indicators.
* Trend is Based on TrapZone Color
* Bar Colors give us Momentum Green from strong Up Moves. Red Bars point to strong Down Moves.
* Red UMVD = Selling Pressure & Green UMVD = Buying Pressure. Purple is for Divergence = Battle of Supply & Demand
>> USE PAGE DN to go DOWN To the LATEST Post <<
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2-24-2024
Strong Upside Momentum with wide GREEN TrapZone established now and GREEN UMVD continues. Class A Entry at the top of the TrapZone.
Hang Seng Analysis - Continuous, Just as the Markets !This is a Thread, so Follow for Technical Analysis performed with TrapZone Pro & UMVD Indicators.
* Trend is Based on TrapZone Color
* Bar Colors give us Momentum Green from strong Up Moves. Red Bars point to strong Down Moves.
* Red UMVD = Selling Pressure & Green UMVD = Buying Pressure. Purple is for Divergence = Battle of Supply & Demand
>> USE PAGE DN to go DOWN To the LATEST Post <<
--------------------
2-25-2024
Strong Upside Momentum with wide GREEN TrapZone established for a while and GREEN UMVD continues. Class A Entry at the top of the TrapZone.
📈Weekly Analysis: Bullish Signals for MANA🔥🔍Today is Sunday, marking the end of the week and typically low trading volume. Hence, we'll analyze the weekly timeframe for Mana against USD for potential insights. On this timeframe, Mana has reached a supply zone, evidenced by a bearish engulfing candle. However, the current candle is showing signs of buyer strength.
📈If this candle closes bullish, we can consider a pullback to the level of $0.5517, supported by the 7-period Simple Moving Average (SMA). Additionally, Fibonacci retracement levels indicate that we've reached the 1 extension point, suggesting a consolidation phase. For higher targets, $1.0989 could be considered, overlapping with the 1.414 extension.
📊Volume is decreasing during this correction, signaling a healthy trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) previously faked an overbought condition and could potentially surge upwards again.
🛒Buying on the confirmation of the current candle closing bullish seems opportune.
🧠💼Just remember, jumping into trades too quickly before the main trigger can be risky. Always manage your money wisely and be aware of the risks involved.
DAX Analysis - Continuous, Just as the Markets !This is a Thread, so Follow for Technical Analysis performed with TrapZone Pro & UMVD Indicators.
* Trend is Based on TrapZone Color
* Bar Colors give us Momentum Green from strong Up Moves. Red Bars point to strong Down Moves.
* Red UMVD = Selling Pressure & Green UMVD = Buying Pressure. Purple is for Divergence = Battle of Supply & Demand
>> USE PAGE DN to go DOWN To the LATEST Post <<
--------------------
2-25-2024
Strong Upside Momentum with wide GREEN TrapZone established now and GREEN UMVD continues. Class A Entry at the top of the TrapZone.
📈Weekly Analysis: Bullish Signals for MANA🔥🔍Today is Sunday, marking the end of the week and typically low trading volume. Hence, we'll analyze the weekly timeframe for Mana against USD for potential insights. On this timeframe, Mana has reached a supply zone, evidenced by a bearish engulfing candle. However, the current candle is showing signs of buyer strength.
📈If this candle closes bullish, we can consider a pullback to the level of $0.5517, supported by the 7-period Simple Moving Average (SMA). Additionally, Fibonacci retracement levels indicate that we've reached the 1 extension point, suggesting a consolidation phase. For higher targets, $1.0989 could be considered, overlapping with the 1.414 extension.
📊Volume is decreasing during this correction, signaling a healthy trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) previously faked an overbought condition and could potentially surge upwards again.
🛒Buying on the confirmation of the current candle closing bullish seems opportune.
🧠💼Just remember, jumping into trades too quickly before the main trigger can be risky. Always manage your money wisely and be aware of the risks involved.
📈Weekend DOT Dive: Riding the Volatility Wave💎🔍As it's Friday, with just one day left in the trading week, it's crucial to consider closing positions before the week's end to mitigate weekend volatility.Today's focus is on DOT, exhibiting a clear Dow Theory analysis. Currently, it finds support at $8.712, with a significant resistance level at $10.349, aligned with the POC of the fixed range volume profile.
📈Given the bullish daily and weekly trends, we can explore long-risk triggers. The current ceiling stands at $9.483, and a breakout could signal a long entry.
📉For short positions, we look to the Dow Theory's recent low at $8.712, aligning with its descending trend.
📊While volume is declining, this can be attributed to the overall corrective nature of recent declines on the weekly timeframe, suggesting the potential for an upward reversal at any moment.
🧠💼It's important to acknowledge the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Always adhere to strict capital management principles and utilize stop-loss orders, ensuring that the initial target offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 2
LINK/USDT Trading ScenarioWe are considering the scenario of price movement for LINK.
The asset is in an uptrend. From the perspective of volume profile and participant transactions, the price is being pushed upwards.
Currently, after reaching a local maximum at $22.845, the asset has started a correction, and its price has decreased by more than 27%. Additionally, amidst the BTC correction, we can expect the continuation of the asset's price decline towards the levels of $14 and even $12.
We are considering this situation to increase the share of the asset in the portfolio with a long-term holding perspective aiming for profit maximization.