Analyzing BTC Price Movements Amidst Varying Trading VolumeIn recent days, we've observed an interesting thing with BTC: upward price movements on diminishing volumes. On the 29th, a significant spike in volume corresponded with a big price increase, a obvious indicator of strong market interest. However, following this event, Bitcoin has continued to find similar size moves up, but on substantially lower volumes.
It indicates we are in a market where even limited buy-side pressure pushes price increases, which indicates a scarcity of sell-side liquidity. Bullish. If we were to see a resurgence of volume similar to that of the Feb 29th, the stage could be set for an god candle upward move.
Analyzing key technical indicators presents a more nuanced picture. The RSI, while not in the overbought territory, edges closer, suggesting a growing momentum. The CCI and MFI offer additional perspectives on market cycles and the strength of money flows into BTC, respectively, both reinforcing the observation of a market poised for some mean volatility. The RVI's current stance indicates that the recent price action has been met with a relative degree of confidence, which could mean continued upward movement.
While the market's sentiment seems to lean bullish based on what im seeing, approach this analysis with caution. Markets are volatile, and while technical indicators can provide guidance, they are by no means infallible predictors. Stay frosty.
Volatility
LEXX a penny medical stock LONGLEXX on the daily chart is on a big bullrun breaking out of an ascending broadening triangle
or megaphone pattern demostrative of increasing volatility. Retlative volumes are 2X the
historical comparison. Price is now on the approach to the highs of 2023 but is only 15% of
the all high highs of 19 at the neckline of a head and shoulders back in 2018-2019, In short
it has a lot of upside if it can show earnings growth on higher revenues. For now targets are
4.15 the high of 2022 and 6.45 the high of 2021 marked on the chart in black horizontal
lines. LEXX is a money burning medical penny it is high risk like its peers. The reward
potential is as much as 7X and more realistically 2X in the intermediate term.
I will so long here with the risk in mind in the context of the reward potential.
CRWD VWAP bounce earnings coming LONGCRWD reports on March 4th in the meanwhile in it is shown here on a 15 minute chart with
a Bollinger Band overlay. Price has trended from the upper bands down through the middle line
into the lower inner and outer bands where a reversal took place at the level of the mean
anchored VWAP band where the price fall was rejected with good support and wick touches
on the lower time frames. I see this as a set up for a new trend up in the run to earnings.
I will take a long trade of shares and call options. My easy target is the upper BB
bands but expect more than that in the upcoming week.
Shiba Inu: Bull Run Price Target (0.000145)Overview
In the last couple months my attitude towards crypto has gone from swing trading it to just holding it, especially with the much anticipated Bitcoin halving event approaching next month. In the past, strong crypto bull rallies occurred within the months following the halving events which leads me to believe that our favorite cryptocurrencies could be hitting record highs by the end of 2024.
Shiba Inu Price Target
If the bull market continues then a price target near 0.00014559 appears to be a healthy time to take profits. I found this price level through the use of Fibonacci retracement levels. However, Shiba Inu has been around longer than the attached TradingView chart suggests so the correct Fibonacci levels may vary. To make up for the lack of historical price data, I put the bottom Fibonacci level as close to zero as possible.
There are several key areas of resistance that Shiba will need to push through before a price target near 0.00015 can be considered practical. I believe that if the token's value can exceed its 61.8% Fib Level at 0.00005570 with growing volume then the target may only be a few months away. At the 0.00015 price level the market cap for Shiba Inu will be around $82.5 billion so as this price level is approached it would be wise to reassess market sentiments so as to avoid pulling out too soon.
It is my opinion that a $250 billion dollar market cap is not unreasonable for a successful token, but it is a bit of a stretch and holding too long could result in losing unrealized profits if the market cools. At the $250 billion market cap, Shiba Inu's price would be around $0.00045.
Technical Indicators
Volume on the 1D chart supports bullish momentum as the breakout is occurring alongside significant, increasing volume and the On-Balance Volume indicator reveals that buying pressure has surpassed prior highs.
DUOL- AI Translation Services for global apps LONGDUOL popped from a 5X earnings beat. I got into this trade last week with a little bump in
relative volume and volatility off-screeners on tech upcoming earnings. The high-tight flag
pattern typically forecasts a leg of a bullish continuation higher after some consolidation.
Options for March 15 went 2.5X overnight. Half the position off the table taking profits.
the other half awaiting the continuation. The risk here is those taking profit or short selling
outnumbering new buyers chasing and causing a fade. Nonetheless, I see the potential for
further profit and will assume the risk.
profit
SNOW - buy the disappointment discount sale LONGSNOW beat the earnings estimates by 150% and slightly exceeded revenue estimates. Price
dropped in printing a bear flag in a 22% move yesterday at the close. Buying from the bottom
has begun and I have the idea that I should join. My pre-earnings play was closed going into the
earnings in the high liquidity that proceeds it. I got my ask price on that position. The chart
shows today's buyng volume and volatility. On the slow resumption of bullish price action, I have
taken a long trade from the near bottom after this morning's reversal and call options
ITM for the July monthy.
LVTX a possible continuation medical technology penny stock LONGLVTX is a pharmaceutical company focused on biologicals for advanced prostate carcinoma.
It recently secured a collaboration agreement with Merck to assist in the clinical trials and
the financial burdens it imposes in a quid pro quo related to a share of product margins in the
future. On the 15-minute chart, LVTX burst out of a long-standing consolidation cycle. The
majority of shareholders per Yahoo Finance are insiders and institutions primarily hedge funds.
These people are not clueless. This is a huge money inflow into the market cap. I intend
to follow the money as I see that price has retraced to a good Fibonacci level and with the
last candle may be on a reversal. I know that institutions tend to buy at the VWAP heavily
and as price is below VWAP the impetus is to buy discounted from VWAP. I will follow
the wisdom, experience and expertise of institutional traders. I will go long and assume the
risk of more of a drop with an ATR stop loss. My goal in the trade is to get a 20% gain by the
close on Monday. Getting into an insider trading move is tricky but it is interesting and
can be profitable.
BOIL- Premarket Long Trade Scalp RecapsBOIL is here on the 15- minute chart with a set of Bollinger Bands, a Bollinger Band Oscillator by
LuxAlgo as well as a dual-time frame RSI indicator by Chris Moody. The settings for the Bollinger
Band set up are period 49 EMA 14 standard deviations 2 /2.618 ( These are multiples of 7 and
Fib #s for mathematical reasons.
Entries are signal is price crossing the base line of the Bollinger Bands ( the EMA 14) or else
the RSI lines crossing over the 50 level and green above red.
Exits are the price action going outside the outer upper BB band and then fading back inside
of both inner and outer bands or RSI green and red crossing such that green fades quicker than
red. Entries and exits are managed with alerts/notifications to minimize screen time.
The first trade began on 2/27 at 8:10 AM ended 2hours later. 50 shares taken gained $ 1.50 each
for a total of $75.00 realized profit in the long scalp. The second trade on 2/28 was
taken in the premarket at 6:45 AM EST with again 50 shares taken then closed at 9:15 AM
for a 150 minute trade. Realized profit was $1.20 per share and $60 overall.
Overall, there were 4.5 hours in the trades yielding $135.00 or $30 hr for the time in the trade.
Risk was minimal as trades were taken at the lows with a stop loss outside the BB and below
them. Time spent on the screen amounted to less than 30 minutes overall making the
realized profit excellent for the time and effort expended. This idea illustrates good use
of a Bollinger Band strategy coupled with alerts and notifications. Notably, I did not spend
any effor adjusting the stop losses during the trade as I am very confident of the setup and
the strategy. Today is another day for the same trade.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/1/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2024
- PR High: 18082.50
- PR Low: 18044.75
- NZ Spread: 84.25
Key economic calendar events
09:45 | S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI
10:00 | ISM Manufacturing PMI
- ISM Manufacturing Prices
Knocking on door of ATHs
- First day of month on a Friday
- Above week highs
- Previous attempt to push ATHs failed same day
- Should have more excitement for ATH break
Evening Stats (As of 1:35 AM)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 233.32
- Volume: 32K
- Open Int: 294K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -0.01% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 18106
- Mid: 16963
- Short: 16391
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
SNOW a software megacap approaches earnings in one week LONGSNOW has been running since about the 1st of February. It beat earnings in November by 50%.
Right now it is situated at the mean-anchored VWAP where institutions pick up and drop off
shares the most. Price is at the lower boundary of an ascending parallel channel and is now
about 8% less than the double top of last week at the top of the channel. Price at the mean
VWAP brings out volume and volatility. So does an earnings run. I see SNOW as a great
earnings play as ARM and PLTR were only weeks ago. This could be a huge trade like those
were. Good Luck to traders who take this trade!
Bitcoin Anticipated Slight Dip To Follow, Eyes on Next SupportToday's Bitcoin market exhibits a minor decline, closely aligning with Gann's principle of market cyclicality and the MTOPS trading strategy's anticipation of fluctuating support levels. As the price edges down, investors and traders are advised to closely monitor the next critical support zone for potential rebounds or further dips. This movement provides a nuanced opportunity to strategize entries and exits, reinforcing the importance of adaptable trading strategies in volatile markets. Join the waiting list for the MTOPS AI, leveraging the MTOPS Strategy to navigate these shifts with precision.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 2/29/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2024
- PR High: 18019.75
- PR Low: 18003.75
- NZ Spread: 33.5
Key economic calendar events
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
- Core PCE Price Index (YoY/MoM)
09:45 | Chicago PMI
Prev session faded back into week's lows
- Strong inventory response to start session
- Lifting back above prev session close
- Potential resistance from Fri to Tue lows
Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 228.46
- Volume: 22K
- Open Int: 289K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -1.0% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 18106
- Mid: 16963
- Short: 16391
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 2/28/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2024
- PR High: 18019.75
- PR Low: 18003.75
- NZ Spread: 36.0
Key economic calendar events
08:30 | GDP
10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories
Little change from prev 2 sessions
- Inside week range
- Just under prev session high/close
- Fading into BeZ
Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 230.19
- Volume: 15K
- Open Int: 286K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -0.6% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 18106
- Mid: 16963
- Short: 16391
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
CVX drops and then starts to recover LONGCVX today dropped suddenly for unclear reasons. The possibility of a Israeli - Hamas War
cease-fire may have led to expectations that oil prices would fall as the shipping
quagmire in the Red Sea might stabilize. Later in the day OPEC+ announced a raised target of
$ 1.00 per barrel higher which on balance seems to be an offset maneuver. CVS in the drop
lost 2% printed a bear flag in about 90 minutes. i will use this opportunity to buy some all
options for September after the height of the summer driving seasons to add to my positions
in the futures ETF USO and OXY.
UEC an uranium miner rerverses and warms up LONGUEC in the past several days has put in a double and bottom appears to be gaining bullish
momentum based on the trend angle from today. The volatility indicator triggered buying
price pressure five days ago as shown on the indicator and encirled. the volatility of yesterday
and today may be shorts covering to close synergized with new buyers. The uranium sector
is heating up at this time. Many of the stocks in this sector are over the counter. The ETFs
are URA and URNM. I will add to my long position in UEC now.
IOVA a volatile medical stock approaches earnings LONGIOVA has doubled in February and broke out above its volume profile high volume area about
one week ago as it runs to earnings. Since it settled down two days ago into a relative side-
ways consolidation. I will take a long trade here for a pre-earnings play to presume that the
buying and bullish momentum will resume nearly immediately.
MRNA- a vaccine biotechnology stock LONGMRNA focuses on vaccine research and development and we are in the flu season an COVID is
lurking in the shadows and trying to make a comback. It had an excellent earnings report and
forward guidance. On the 60 minute chart, price has bounced up from a test of the anchored
VWAP and is at the level of the first upper VWAP while in side the high volume area of the
volume profile. The RSI is in the 60s. Bullish momentum is obvious. I will add to my ongoing
position here and again the next time I see a dip on the 15-30-minute chart. I look forward
to take a piece out of the position after the next earnings report in about 75 days. I have an
alert for relative volume when the running mean is exceeded on the 30 minute chart which
notify me to take a look at the chart. This is illustrated on this longer time frame chart about
the days around earnings but occurs from time to time from other events. As an aside, if NVAX
gets weak and develops fundamental challenges. MRNA is a potential rich uncle and could be
the leading candidate to do a takeover, friendly or otherwise.
LABU a 3X leveraged ETF of biotechnology stocks LONGLABU on a 240-minute chart has been in a trend up gaining 100% in 3 months. Both the fast and
slow ( green and red) are above the 50 level. Biotechnology is expected to be a hot subsector
this year as healthcare recovered further from the COVID pandemic anything from startups to
big pharma- from vaccines to new drugs for diabetes, liver disease and obesity. Leveraged
funds have time decay from the leveraging and management fees and are meant to be for
short-term trading. Nonetheless, 100% in 3 months is an excellent return. I add to my position
when I see a pullback on the 15-30 minute chart. If price rises more than 2% in a day I may
take 1-2 shares off the position to realize some profit and recycle ( compound) into the next
buy. According to those that follow sectors, LABU should outperform this year.
Nutrix Therapeutics ( NRIX) has momentum for earnings LONGNRIX , on the 15 minute chart is experiencing increase volatility and volume now two
days out from its earnings report. It printed a "big ass" green engulfing candle to finish the
week. The MACD with zero lag shows a bullish inflection in the lines
On the daily chart, price fell about 25% in 2023. earnings have been both line beats but
the negative cash flow remains as a challenge. The volume and volatility show both are
heightened in the pre-earnings run- up. . This is a risky earnings
play, NRIX does not yet make money like many other young biotechnology companies trying to
grow However, because it lost less than forecasted, buyer interest has increased. There is
an absence of any options volume and so illiquidity prevents consideration of options
trading. I suspect a long trade in shares may gain to $14 targeting the pivot highs of
April 23 and November 22 for projected gain upside of about 65% ( stop loss of 2.5%)
If earnings disappoint trader expectations and price fades I will stop out with a loss of about
2.5% This makes this long swing trade a projected 2.5 /65 a R:r of 25 which validates it as
a conservative trade if taking only 5% or less of buyer power applied to the risk. Biotechnology
is expected to be one of the hottest subsectors of 2024. This could be one of them.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 2/27/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2024
- PR High: 17970.00
- PR Low: 17942.50
- NZ Spread: 61.5
Key economic calendar events
08:30 | Core Durable Goods
10:30 | CB Consumer Confidence
Prev session closed virtually unchanged
- Daily printed for reversal short
- Holding below prev session close
Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 238.71
- Volume: 18K
- Open Int: 284K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -0.9% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 18106
- Mid: 16963
- Short: 16391
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone