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Volatility

SPY has bullish bias after a day downtrending LONGSPY on the 15 -minute chart is shown to be in a megaphone or broadening wedge pattern since March 5th. Price is now at the lower support ascending support trend line. The Gaussing regression line forecast indicator an example of predictive modeling confirms with a prediction that price will trend up inside the pattern and head toward the upper resistance trendline. The mass index appropriately has signaled a reversal with a signal line that topped 32 and then fell below the trigger. I found two long bottoming wicks in the prior two days at nearly the same bottom level. The line /ray connecting them comes to a value of 512.75 which becomes my immediate-term target. I will enter a trade of shares along with call options. The call options are for a next-day expiration striking 513 ( OTM just a little). TEXT BOX correction: The regression line forecast by Luxalgo's algorithm suggests a reversal and trend up into the ascending resistance.
AMEX:SPYLong
by AwesomeAvani
1
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/18/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2024 - PR High: 18103.50 - PR Low: 18062.25 - NZ Spread: 92.0 No significant calendar events Opened above Friday's close - Retracing ~50% of Friday range - Below prev week range & 20KA - FOMC week Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 263.11 - Volume: 24K - Open Int: 254K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -3.1% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 18675 - Mid: 18106 - Short: 16963 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQM2024Long
by mv3trader5
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/15/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2024 - PR High: 18263.50 - PR Low: 18245.25 - NZ Spread: 40.75 No significant calendar events Holding below Wed inside bar print - Daily inventory below 20 Keltner - Quickly broke into BeZ after session open - Relatively avg vols to start session Evening Stats (As of 1:55 AM) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 254.41 - Volume: 26K - Open Int: 244K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -2.5% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 18675 - Mid: 18106 - Short: 16963 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQM2024Short
by mv3trader5
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/14/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2024 - PR High: 18361.25 - PR Low: 18340.25 - NZ Spread: 47.0 Key economic calendar events 08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims - Retail Sales (2x) - PPI Prev session closed as inside bar - Retraced ~50% of Tues session - Inventory response back inside prev session range - Maintaining daily 20KA trend - 2 weeks range bound, ~18125 to ~18630 Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 259.33 - Volume: 16K - Open Int: 229K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -1.7% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 18675 - Mid: 18106 - Short: 16963 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
CME_MINI:NQM2024Long
by mv3trader5
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/13/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2024 - PR High: 18480.50 - PR Low: 18463.25 - NZ Spread: 38.75 Key economic calendar events 10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories 13:00 | 30-Year Bond Auction Daily print, pivot long following volatile session - Holding prev session highs - Contract rollover week continues - Bit of vol spike into London hours Evening Stats (As of 2:55 AM) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 263.01 - Volume: 25K - Open Int: 202K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -1.2% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 18675 - Mid: 18106 - Short: 16963 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQM2024Long
by mv3trader5
GE continues its bullrun LONGGE on the weekly chart has been in a trend up with some corrections along the way since a double bottom in the summer of 2022. It has had some sections spin-off including the health care poriton of the company. This company as a mega-cap industrial with cash on hand is independent of interest rate concerns. Much of its business in long term contracts. I see GE as a great long-term long trade. I am focused on accumulating long shares as well an options into 2026. The last correction on this chart was this past October. I will average more in at this time but am really looking for another smaller correction like last October for a bigger buy to add to the positions. GE is safe from the volatility of most of the technology stocks and in my opinion, is a good stock to "back up the truck".
NYSE:GELong
by AwesomeAvani
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/12/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2024 - PR High: 18047.25 - PR Low: 17998.00 - NZ Spread: 111.25 Key economic calendar events 08:30 | CPI (3x) 13:00 | 10-Year Note Auction Low vol, rangebound prev session - Potential daily reversal print long - Maintaining stability of daily inventory - Volume shift heavier to contract month M Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 262.07 - Volume: 17K - Open Int: 156K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -2.1% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 18675 - Mid: 18106 - Short: 16963 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQM2024
by mv3trader5
XRP possibly preparing for a massive upward movementSupports and resistances are squishing XRP's price volatility, setting up a big movement. Extremely low price volatility and volume at the moment. XRP.D is low as well. Token sentiment is also very negative. Price is still below the rising MA200, which is a buy. Fixed range volume profile gives us a short-term resistance of 0.615$. Support is 0.495$ and 0.43$. Breaking more than 3% below 0.43$ could imply that a major support line is broken. Breaking below 0.3$ ruins the pattern. But breaking above 0.615$ with momentum could imply in a run to 0.915$, 2$ or even above the ATH.
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDLong
by catnip_
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/11/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2024 - PR High: 18060.25 - PR Low: 17974.75 - NZ Spread: 191.0 No significant economic calendar events Widest NZ spread of the year - Volatile inventory swings at open - Friday QQQ bar engulfing prev session - Below Friday's low Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 265.48 - Volume: 29K - Open Int: 256K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -2.4% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 18675 - Mid: 18106 - Short: 16963 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQH2024
by mv3trader5
EURNZD As we have broken previous high we expect the market to retrace back to liquidity rest and fill in the bullish imbalance candle and bounce to our first OB which my be not much stronger than OB2 which means when we take position we use proper risk management if OB1 was violated we still remain with our last chance to go long from OB2 using the same rules of proper risk . So we Go long at this one Have a nice trading week.. Remember we have CPI on the way stay alert and stay save..
Long
by shoongster
BBAI - a penny stock in a hot sector LONGBBAI fell on an earnings miss on Thursday March 7th. The downtrend of 30% was basically a slow flush. Penny stocks are volatile to begin with; this one is in the hottest of subsectors. Price is in the hard oversold area just above the second lower VWAP line on this 15 minute while the RSI lines are in the mid-30s showing the price weakness. A predictive forecasting algo from Luxalgo suggests a bounce from the present price. I will take a long trade targeting a return of 25% over the next week with three targets and partial closures of 25% , 50 and 25% respectively with the targets shown on the chart. The stop loss is 2.50 just below the pivot low of 2.5. This trade idea demonstrates how penny stocks have great volatility and how if entered well can result in 25% weekly which if compounded regularly can result in rapid account balance growth overall. The trade is to be managed with partial closures directed by alerts and notifications as well as a trailing stop loss of 5% once the price gain has reached 10-15%. This minmizes effort and screen time so that they can be spread across a wider variety of trades.
NYSE:BBAILong
by AwesomeAvani
1
SOFI flat to slightly negative YTD LONGSOFIR showed here on the 30 -minue chart has had great volatility in going no where since the start of the year. Volatility can be harnessed for profit. This is the essence of swing trading. With an intermediate term anchored VWAP band and line setup, it can be readily seen that price first was resisted by the second lower band line in purple then broke out through the band lines to meet resistance at the second upper band line ( again in purple) and broke down through the band lines to get support at the first lower band and then reversed and returned to the second upper band where it was rejected and fell into the support of the second lower band from which it is now bouncing. This is a VWAP band oscillation pattern which can be traded. I will take a long trade of SOFI here, first targeting the mean VWAP at 8.05 and then 8.6 below the first band and finally 9.05 below the second upper band. Partial closures at 25%, 50% and 25% respectively. I see this as a way to exploit SOFI volatity in swing trade profits which can also setup as short trades.
NASDAQ:SOFILong
by AwesomeAvani
AMD Corrected Again- Buy the Dip Idea LONGAMD on the 15 minute chart breakout through anchord VWAP bands starting on February 29th from the mean anchored VWAP support. Two days later finding itself extended to the second upper VWAP band, price corrected over the next day down to the first upper band and then after a few hours reversed and headed back toward the second upper band going somewhat sideways and getting there two and a half days later. Price was rejected from that dynamic resistance and fell into the first band which provided support to close the week. The Luxalgo regression line forecast is for yet another more up to test the resistance of that second upper band. I will take a long trade here recognizing that the forecast is for a 10-12% move in the immediate term. If the forecast is accurate a stop loss will not be necessary. I will set it at 204 to prevent anything other than an insignificant loss.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by AwesomeAvani
1
PHUN Long Trade Expecting Continuation PHUN is in the advertizing business specializing in targeting consumers with smart filterning of the ads tailored to their websurfing and data history. That said, it competes with Google, Facebook, Snapchat and all the rest. it is far more volatile than them as a small cap company. The trade is in capturing the volatility. On a 120-minute chart, PHU was in a state of dormancy and almost no range in late 2023 but awoke in the current year. The all-the-highs are in the 80 range back in 2022. From the highs of January to the recent low on March 1st, PHUN dropped more than 70% in 40 days or so. On the chart, it has broken out of deep undervalued territory and is not situated near the anchored mean VWAP and is at the POC line of the volume profile. It traded nearly 70 million shares about 20X the running average. I see this as an opportunity for a long trade at or near the VWAP where institutionally based traders are likely to trade. The volume and volatility make this obvious. A similar combination of volume and volatility last occurred about January 16 and propelled the price more than 250% in 4 days. While a similar move should not be expected, even 50% in 4 days is an excellent return for the risk taken. I will set a stop loss of 10% for this volatile stock while targeting 18 and 22 from the VWAP band lines on the chart.
NASDAQ:PHUNLong
by AwesomeAvani
1
NOW is a buy after a down tech stock day LONGNOW is on 15 minute chart with a volume profile overlaid and relative volume and volatility indicators below the chart. NOW had a good earnings beat late January. It is halfway to the next earnings. I think right now software stocks are hotter than hardware/ networking stocks. NOW got dragged down by technology headwinds into its support and the fall got rejected by buyers near to the close of the regular market hours. The lower VWAP bands are confluent with the support zone and confirm deep oversold and undervalued stock price. I believe this is excellent for a long trade perhaps lasting until the run-up before earnings is 6-7 weeks through the buy of a small lot of shares or a call option expiring at the May or June monthly in the range of $750 ( OTM). This will complement existing positions in CRM CRWD and PLTR.
NYSE:NOWLong
by AwesomeAvani
MSTR oversold for a long tradeMSTR is now oversold but has a great earnings beat and the cryptomarkets surging to support a bullish idea. The 15 minteu chart shows price sitting on support of the POC line of the immediate volume profile. With confluence, it is above a fully horizontal lower VWAP line that has no slope. Support and resistance horizontal zones are drawn in for reference purposes. I will close my short position of the past day and switch sides here. The RSI indicator gives reassurance as it has pivoted up from the bottom, especially the faster green line. Selling volatility declared the bottom in the immediate term at the same time the relative volume indicator printed a selling volume spiking black bar both immediately before the regular market closed.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by AwesomeAvani