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Volatility

NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/15/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2024 - PR High: 20590.00 - PR Low: 20508.00 - NZ Spread: 183.5 Key economic calendar event 12:00 | Fed Chair Powell Speaks Holding inside Friday's range, above the close - Wide first hour (PR) range with high vol open Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM 7/15) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 269.80 - Volume: 28K - Open Int: 261K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -1.9% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19814 - Short: 18675 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2024
by mv3trader5
Long/short ratio hitting previous highs, bottom is in?Binance's Long/Short all acounts ratio is back above 3.3, which we haven't seen since the last time we hit 56k. At that that time market reacted to the dip and that low is still holding. With all the fud around Mt. Gox and German govt. selling, some traders believe macro structure is at risk - which I'm not invalidating - but imo best odds are on longs, at least till the said structure is broken. Following the same idea as the 1st of May, that box is to be longed. Easy to know when to cut losses, lose structure (always wait for closes and validations) = close everything. The recent OI pump of over 15k BTC makes me believe volatility will be there when it's most needed and if we get any signs of relief BTC will indeed moon. The time to act is now. You can stay out and look from the sidelines, but I wait weeks for moments like this. Again for me R/R is too good to be ignored. Stay safe kings
BITMEX:BTCUSD.PLong
by matasa_qt
Understanding Volatility and How Traders Can Use It to Their BenWhat is Volatility? Volatility refers to the degree of variation in the price of a financial instrument over time. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for a given security or market index. In simpler terms, volatility represents the amount of uncertainty or risk related to the size of changes in an asset’s value. High volatility means the price of the asset can change dramatically over a short period in either direction, while low volatility implies more stable prices with fewer and smaller fluctuations. Measuring Volatility Historical Volatility: This measures past market prices and their fluctuations over a specific time period. It is calculated by taking the standard deviation of returns over that period. Implied Volatility: This is derived from the market price of a market-traded derivative (e.g., an option). It reflects the market's view of the likelihood of changes in a given security's price. Volatility Indexes: Tools like the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) track market expectations of near-term volatility conveyed by S&P 500 stock index option prices. How Traders Can Use Volatility to Their Benefit Identifying Trading Opportunities: High Volatility: Traders often seek high volatility environments as they provide more opportunities to capture significant price movements. This is particularly beneficial for day traders and short-term traders who can capitalize on rapid price changes. Low Volatility: During periods of low volatility, traders might focus on strategies like mean reversion, where they anticipate that prices will return to their average. Risk Management: Understanding volatility helps traders manage risk better. By using tools such as stop-loss orders, traders can limit potential losses during volatile periods. Position sizing based on volatility can help in adjusting exposure. For instance, smaller positions might be taken during high volatility to mitigate risk, while larger positions could be considered during stable periods. Volatility-Based Strategies: Options Trading: Traders can use volatility to their advantage in options trading. Strategies like straddles and strangles profit from significant moves in either direction, which are more likely during high volatility periods. Market Timing: Hedging: Traders can hedge their portfolios against volatility by taking positions in assets or derivatives that are negatively correlated with their current holdings. Volatility can provide insights into market sentiment and potential turning points. For instance, a spike in volatility often precedes significant market corrections or rallies. Traders can use technical indicators like Bollinger Bands, which adjust for volatility, to identify overbought or oversold conditions in the market. Conclusion Volatility is a fundamental concept in trading that can both pose risks and offer opportunities. By understanding and measuring volatility, traders can enhance their risk management practices, identify profitable trading opportunities, and employ volatility-based strategies to improve their overall trading performance. Whether dealing with high or low volatility environments, a keen awareness of market fluctuations is essential for successful trading.
SP:SPXEducation
by moneymagnateash
4
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/12/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2024 - PR High: 20450.00 - PR Low: 20420.00 - NZ Spread: 67.0 Key economic calendar event 08:30 | PPI Much needed rotation off ATH >2% - Retraced to prev Friday lows Evening Stats (As of 1:35 AM 7/12) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 261.46 - Volume: 34K - Open Int: 264K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -2.7% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19814 - Short: 18675 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2024Short
by mv3trader5
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/11/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2024 - PR High: 20899.00 - PR Low: 20880.50 - NZ Spread: 41.5 Key economic calendar events 08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims - Core CPI (x3) 13:00 | 30-Year Bond Auction ATH climb continues, holding prev session close Evening Stats (As of 11:35 PM 7/10) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 234.83 - Volume: 17K - Open Int: 273K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -0.2% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19814 - Short: 18675 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2024Short
by mv3trader5
fundamentals lacking volume, technical calling short mean If you are an expert in technical analisis you will know that variance , covariance, and mean reversion are close relatives, and if we are talking about BTCUSD being in the red zone on the weekly timeframe sugesting shorting it to 46.411 USD per coin.. However we will not be sugesting this as a financial advice due to its technical nature. Very important factors are knowing what drives the market . And what is going on in the mechanism of a single or multiple instruments at a time and all the factors affecting one!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by AdriaFX
Make or Break Time for the Russell?The Russell 2000 has gone nowhere since December, but some traders may think the small cap index is poised for a move. The main pattern on today’s chart is the pair of converging lines along the lows since April and the highs since May. Will there be a breakout from this triangle? Second, Bollinger Band Width has dropped to its narrowest reading since January 2020. That kind of tight price action may suggest that bulls and bears are at an impasse, waiting for a new trend to emerge. Third is the price area between the August 2022 high and the peaks in February 2023 and July 2023. RUT bottomed below this zone in April and is now potentially trying to convert old resistance into new support. Finally, the market has been heavily focused on large cap growth stocks thanks to AI. However, attention could shift to small caps if interest rates move lower. That could make the index worth watching with the consumer price index (CPI) tomorrow morning and the producer price index (PPI) on Friday. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
TVC:RUT
by TradeStation
1
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/10/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2024 - PR High: 20700.25 - PR Low: 20684.50 - NZ Spread: 35.25 Key economic calendar events 10:00 | Fed Chair Powell Testifies 10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories 13:00 | 10-Year Note Auction Relatively mild response from ATH lift prev session Evening Stats (As of 10:45 PM 7/9) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 234.82 - Volume: 12K - Open Int: 265K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -0.3% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19814 - Short: 18675 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2024Long
by mv3trader5
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/9/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2024 - PR High: 20699.00 - PR Low: 20672.50 - NZ Spread: 59.5 Key economic calendar event 10:00 | Fed Chair Powell Testifies Maintaining ATH push following low vol session to start week Evening Stats (As of 10:15 PM 7/8) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 245.00 - Volume: 31K - Open Int: 260K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -0.1% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19814 - Short: 18675 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2024Long
by mv3trader5
Bluzelle (BLZUSDT): Strategic Spot-Buy OpportunityDuring our recent livestream, we highlighted BLZUSDT as a potential spot-buy opportunity. We identified several key levels of interest for entries and stops. 12-Hour Chart Analysis: The weekly fair-value gap nearly overlaps with the three-day fair-value gap, making this level a significant potential entry point. Additionally, the lower support zone, which has frequent price interactions and includes another three-day fair-value gap, offers a secondary entry level. We'll place our stop-loss just below the midpoint of the monthly fair-value gap, marked by a blue dotted line. In conclusion, BLZUSDT looks like a promising spot-buy opportunity with clear entry levels and a strategic stop-loss placement. We look forward to seeing new highs well above $0.48. Yearly VWAP Analysis: In addition to our usual analysis, let's take a look at the VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) charts to fine-tune our strategy. Specifically, we'll focus on the annual VWAP for 2023. The current position of the price is between the 2023 VAH (Volume Area High) and the 2023 VWAP. We expect the price to reach the 2023 VWAP, aligning with our first entry level. Our stop-loss aligns with the 2023 VAL (Volume Area Low), providing extra confidence in this support level. This alignment, though unintentional, suggests strong support. The annual VWAP chart adds more validation to our BLZ-USDT strategy. Aligning our entry at the 2023 VWAP and setting the stop-loss just below the 2023 VAL strengthens our support levels and makes our setup more robust. Quarterly VWAP Analysis: The price has fallen below the 2023 Q4 VAH (Volume Area High) and is now nearing the 2023 Q4 VAL (Volume Area Low). The price is approaching the 2023 Q4 VAL, a crucial support level. Both the 2023 Q3 VAH and the 2023 Q3 VWAP closely align with our primary entry levels, adding further confidence to our strategy. Our strategy summary involves aligning the primary entry with the 2023 Q3 VAH and the 2023 Q3 VWAP. These levels overlap with our identified fair-value gaps, providing potential support. The quarterly VWAP chart strengthens our confidence in the identified support levels for BLZ-USDT. The overlap between the annual and quarterly VWAP levels at our entry points suggests strong support, making this a promising setup for a spot trade.
Long
by freeguy_by_wmc
Visualize $TSLA CALL pricing skew due to the upcoming earningsLet’s take a look at our new tradingview options screener indicator to see what we observe, as the options chain data has recently been updated. When we look at the screener, we can immediately see that NASDAQ:TSLA has an exceptional Implied Volatility Rank value of over 100, which is extremely high. This is clearly due to the upcoming earnings report on July 23rd. As we proceed, we notice that Tesla's Implied Volatility Index is also high, over 70. This means that not only the relative but also the absolute implied volatility of Tesla is high. Because the IVX value is above 30, Tesla’s IV Rank is displayed with a distinguishable black background. This favors credit strategies such as iron condors, broken wing butterflies, strangles, or simple short options. Next, let’s examine how this IV index value has changed over the past five days. We can see it has increased by more than 6%, indicating an upward trend as we approach the earnings report. In the next cell, we see a significant vertical price skew. Specifically, at 39 days to expiration, call options are 84% more expensive than put options at the same distance. This indicates that market participants are pricing in a significant upward movement in the options chain. The call skew is so pronounced that at 39 days to expiration, the 16 delta call value exits the expected range. This signifies a substantial delta skew twist, which I will show you visually. We see a horizontal IV index skew between the third and fourth weeks in the options chain. This means the front weekly IVX is lower than the IVX for the following week, which may favor calendar or diagonal strategies. Hovering over this with the mouse reveals it’s around the third and fourth week. In the last cell, we observe that there’s a horizontal IVX skew not just in weekly expirations but also between the second and third monthly expirations. Now, let’s see how these values appear visually on Tesla’s chart using our Options Overlay Indicator. On the right panel, the previously mentioned values are displayed in more detail when you hover over them with the mouse. The really exciting part is setting the 16 delta curve and seeing the extent of the upward shift in options pricing. This significant skew is also visible at closer delta values. When we enable the expected move and standard deviation curves, it immediately becomes clear what this severe vertical pricing skew in favor of call options means. Practically, market participants are significantly pricing in upward movement right after the earnings report. Hovering over the colored labels associated with the expirations displays all data precisely, showing the number of days until expiration and the high implied volatility index value for that expiration. Additionally, a green curve indicating overpricing due to extra interest is displayed. Weekly expiration horizontal IVX skew values appear in purple, and those affected by monthly skew are shown in turquoise blue. The 'Lite' version of our indicators is available for free to everyone, where you can also view Tesla as demonstrated. Pro indicators are available more than 150 US market symbols like SPY, S&P500, Nvidia, bonds, etfs and many others. Trade options like a pro with TanukiTrade Option Indicators for TradingView. Thank you for your attention.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by TanukiTrade
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/8/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2024 - PR High: 20618.00 - PR Low: 20581.25 - NZ Spread: 82.25 No key economic calendar event Hanging below Friday's high - Daily print showing strength in ATHs Evening Stats (As of 10:45 PM 7/7) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 252.98 - Volume: 16K - Open Int: 265K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -0.2% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19814 - Short: 18675 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2024
by mv3trader5
IOUSDT could bounce back to VA on 2h TF Hi Traders , posting my first Idea here *not an expert so be cautious* ------------------- *dont use leverage* if the BTC drama is done , seems like the selloff is cooling ddown market needs some relief this IOUSDT got a decent avarage daily trading volume so if my reading is done right we gotta pay a visit back to VA on 2h TF my trade structure gonna be like this: ENTRY : 2.3 PROFIT: 3.3 STOP LOSS : 2 good luck freinds, feel free ta add an opinion if u notice anything wrong ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Now that everything in crypto seems highly correlated every where i go i see same chart diffrent tickers ; for me its very annoying environement to find scalping ideas specially while being long biased small cap trader in the same time volume is being very slippery , spreaded & rounded between 3 to 5 coins which i find it difficult to catch , so if u guys know good metrics to track and read volume , always appreciate a learning tip in comments ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
by obsessedDealer69534
1
Understanding Market Volatility and Its Impact on BitcoinIntroduction Market volatility is a crucial aspect that every Bitcoin investor and trader must understand. In this section, we'll explore what market volatility is, how it affects Bitcoin, and strategies to manage it. What is Market Volatility? Market volatility refers to the rate at which the price of an asset, such as Bitcoin, increases or decreases for a given set of returns. High volatility means that the price of Bitcoin can change dramatically over a short period, both positively and negatively. How Does Volatility Impact Bitcoin? Price Swings: Bitcoin is known for its significant price swings, which can be driven by various factors such as market sentiment, regulatory news, macroeconomic trends, and technological advancements. Investor Behavior: Volatility often influences investor behavior, leading to increased buying or selling pressure. This can result in rapid price movements, creating opportunities and risks. Market Sentiment: Positive news can lead to a surge in Bitcoin prices, while negative news can result in sharp declines. Understanding market sentiment is crucial for predicting these movements. Managing Volatility Diversification: Spread your investments across different assets to reduce risk. Diversification can help cushion the impact of volatility on your portfolio. Risk Management: Use stop-loss orders to limit potential losses. Setting predetermined exit points can protect your investments during periods of high volatility. Stay Informed: Keep up with the latest news and trends in the cryptocurrency market. Being informed allows you to make timely decisions and react appropriately to market changes. Long-term Perspective: Focus on the long-term potential of Bitcoin rather than short-term price fluctuations. A long-term perspective can help you stay calm during volatile periods. Conclusion Understanding market volatility is essential for navigating the Bitcoin market. By recognizing how volatility impacts prices and adopting strategies to manage it, you can better position yourself to take advantage of opportunities while minimizing risks. Stay informed, diversify your investments, and maintain a long-term perspective to thrive in the ever-changing world of Bitcoin.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by moneymagnateash
2
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/5/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2024 - PR High: 20390.75 - PR Low: 20361.00 - NZ Spread: 66.75 08:30 | Average Hourly Earnings - Nonfarm Payrolls - Unemployment Rate 11:00 | Fed Monetary Policy Report Breaching new ATH from Wed push - AMP temp margin increase in prep for anticipated economic news based vol spike Evening Stats (As of 11:05 PM 7/4) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 253.81 - Volume: 62K - Open Int: 257K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -0.1% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20383 - Mid: 19246 - Short: 17533 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2024Long
by mv3trader5
5ADR - Average Range of Last 5 CandlesticksAverage Daily Range (ADR) Indicator for the Last 5 Days This script calculates the Average Daily Range (ADR) for the last 5 trading days. It helps traders to understand the average movement in pips, providing insights into potential price movements. How to Use: Set Chart to Daily Timeframe : Ensure your chart is set to the daily timeframe. Hover Over Previous Day : To see the ADR for today, hover your mouse over the previous trading day. For example, if today is Tuesday, hover over Monday to see the ADR for Tuesday. Read ADR in Blue : The ADR will be displayed on the left side of the chart in blue color.
Pine Script™ indicator
by Bufalodorato
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/3/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2024 - PR High: 20251.25 - PR Low: 20231.50 - NZ Spread: 44.25 Key economic calendar events 08:15 | ADP Nonfarm Employment Change 08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims 09:45 | S&P Global Services PMI 10:00 | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI - ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices 10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories 13:00 | Early Close for US Independence Day 14:00 | FOMC Meeting Minutes Returning to ATH range Evening Stats (As of 10:25 PM 7/2) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 253.85 - Volume: 10K - Open Int: 261K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -0.6% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20383 - Mid: 19246 - Short: 17533 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2024
by mv3trader5
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/2/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2024 - PR High: 20054.50 - PR Low: 20029.00 - NZ Spread: 57.0 Key economic calendar events 09:30 | Fed Chair Powell Speaks 10:00 | JOLTs Job Openings Maintaining range of prev 4 sessions Evening Stats (As of 10:45 PM) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 252.90 - Volume: 17K - Open Int: 246K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -1.8% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20383 - Mid: 19246 - Short: 17533 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2024Short
by mv3trader5