Potential Decline in Brent Crude Oil MomAs you may be aware, technical indicators such as the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) and Stochastics have been widely used by traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trend reversals. In the case of Brent Crude Oil, these indicators indicate a possible decline in momentum.
The MACD, a trend-following momentum indicator, shows a bearish crossover, suggesting that the short-term moving average is crossing below the long-term moving average. This occurrence is often seen as a signal for a potential downward trend. Similarly, the Stochastics oscillator, which measures overbought and oversold conditions, indicates that Brent Crude Oil is approaching overbought levels, implying a possible price correction.
While it is important to note that technical indicators are not infallible and should always be used with other fundamental and technical analysis tools, converging these signals warrants careful consideration. Monitoring the market closely and exercising caution in trading might be prudent.
It is worth mentioning that various factors can influence the oil market, including geopolitical events, supply and demand dynamics, and global economic conditions. Therefore, it is crucial to maintain a comprehensive approach to trading and consider multiple perspectives before making any significant decisions.
Please note that this idea is intended to serve as an observation and should not be considered financial advice. As a seasoned oil trader, I trust your expertise and judgment to evaluate the situation and make informed decisions accordingly.
If you have any questions or want to discuss this matter further, please do not hesitate to reach out in the comments.
Usoilsignal
USOIL: Intraday layout retracement, bottoming and longCrude oil, the daily cycle and the one-hour resonance are bullish, and the one-hour cycle is even stronger. If the intraday operation idea falls, it is to go long. If the price falls back and the five-minute cycle forms a bottom pattern, continue to buy more.
Crude oil has shown a strong rise, short-term focus on 74.3 suppLooking at the daily level of crude oil, the Bollinger Bands open upward, and the price breaks through the resistance on the upper track. The bullish trend is clear. Short-term operations and other callbacks enter the market, following the trend. In the 1H chart, the Bollinger Bands continue to open upward, and the opening price of the Asian market rose. Going out of the recent new highs, in the short-term within the day, pay attention to the support in the 74.3-74.5 area below, and wait for the callback to stabilize before you can place more orders.
Operation strategy: wait for the opportunity, go long around the callback 74.3, otherwise give up its trade
How does oil move up while economic conditions worsen?I am bringing your attention to some concerning factors that may impact the oil market in the coming months. It is crucial to be cautious and prepared for potential challenges ahead.
Firstly, the rise in interest rates is likely to impact oil prices significantly. As interest rates increase, borrowing becomes more expensive for oil companies, reducing investment in exploration and production. Consequently, this could result in a decline in oil supply, causing prices to rise.
Moreover, the weak economic conditions in the United States and China contribute to the uncertainty surrounding oil prices. The oil demand may diminish with the ongoing trade tensions and slowing economic growth in these two major economies. Reduced demand often leads to a surplus in supply, ultimately leading to a price drop. However, in this case, the combination of weak economic conditions and rising interest rates may create a unique scenario where prices rise despite reduced demand.
Furthermore, an expected lower inflation report adds another layer of concern. Lower inflation typically suggests weaker economic activity, negatively impacting oil prices. As investors, it is crucial to closely monitor the inflation report as it may provide insights into the future direction of oil prices.
Considering these factors, I strongly encourage you to be wary of the potential rise in oil prices. It is essential to stay informed, closely follow market trends, and assess the potential impact on your investment portfolio. Additionally, diversifying your investments and considering alternative energy sources may help mitigate the risks associated with rising oil prices.
In conclusion, the combination of rising interest rates, weak economic conditions in the USA and China, and an expected lower inflation report may contribute to the increase in oil prices. As an oil investor, it is crucial to remain cautious and well-informed about these developments. By closely monitoring the market and diversifying your investments, you can better position yourself to navigate the challenges that lie ahead.
Momentum Builds in Oil Wait for the Next Long EntryFirst and foremost, the oil market has been showing remarkable momentum lately, and I believe we are on the brink of a potentially profitable move. The latest Simple Moving Average (SMA) crossover signals a solid bullish trend, indicating an upward price movement. This is a great sign for us looking to capitalize on the market's upward potential.
But that's not all! The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator, a reliable tool for identifying trend reversals and momentum shifts, remains profitable. It confirms the bullish sentiment and suggests further upward movement in the oil market. This is undoubtedly a thrilling time for us oil traders!
Now, let's talk strategy. While the current indicators are promising, it's crucial to exercise patience and wait for the next opportune moment to enter a long position. Timing is everything, and we want to maximize our potential gains. Therefore, I encourage you to remain steadfast and wait for the perfect long entry point.
To make the most of this exciting momentum building up in the oil market, I urge you to:
1. Stay vigilant: Monitor the market closely, monitoring the SMA crossover and MACD indicators for any potential shifts or confirmations.
2. Analyze the trend: Study the charts, conduct thorough technical analysis, and seek insights from reliable sources to understand the market's behavior comprehensively.
3. Plan your entry: Set clear criteria based on your trading strategy and risk management principles. Waiting for the next long entry will ensure you enter the market at an optimal point.
4. Stay informed: Subscribe to reputable oil market newsletters, follow trusted analysts, and discuss with fellow traders to stay up-to-date with the latest developments and insights.
Remember, patience and discipline are the keys to success in trading. While the excitement is palpable, let's not rush into any hasty decisions. We position ourselves to make the most of this good momentum by waiting for the next long entry point.
Exciting Opportunity: Oil Price Surges Amidst Record-Low Supply!In the past week, we have witnessed an unprecedented surge in oil prices, driven by a third consecutive week of negative oil supply and the lowest levels seen since January. This remarkable turn of events presents an exciting opportunity for all oil traders to capitalize on the market's volatility and maximize their gains.
The current market conditions have set the stage for an exciting rally, and it's time for us to seize the moment. By loading up on oil now, you can position yourself to reap substantial rewards as the demand for this precious commodity continues to soar.
Why should you consider taking action immediately? Let me share a few compelling reasons:
1. Unprecedented Supply Deficit: The consecutive weeks of negative oil supply have created a significant deficit in the market, leading to a price surge. This rare occurrence presents a unique opportunity for you to enter the market in an advantageous position.
2. Lowest Levels Since January: The current oil price is at its lowest since the beginning of the year. This means you can buy at a relatively low cost, with the potential for substantial gains as the market rebounds.
3. Increasing Demand: As economies worldwide recover from the impact of the pandemic, the oil demand is on a steady rise. By loading up on oil now, you can position yourself to meet this growing demand and benefit from the resulting price appreciation.
So, what are you waiting for? This is the moment to act swiftly and decisively. By taking advantage of this extraordinary opportunity, you can potentially secure your financial future and achieve remarkable success as an oil trader.
I urge you to make the most of this exciting turn of events by increasing your oil holdings and strategically positioning yourself for immense profits. Remember, fortune favors the bold; this is your chance to boldly move in the oil market!
USOILSPOT Weekly Analysis: New Perspective and Follow-Up DetailsGet ready for an exciting dive into the world of oil markets! As we kick off the bullish messaging from Saudi Arabia and other oil producers, we have an important event on the horizon. The July 5-6 seminar will bring together oil industry CEOs and energy ministers from OPEC - the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries. OPEC+, which includes Saudi Arabia and Russia among its allies, holds the reins of over 40% of the world's oil supply.
The bull thesis for oil in the second half gains strength as expectations rise of significant production cuts by major player Saudi Arabia. The goal? To push Brent prices above $80 per barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate to a minimum of $75.
Saudi Arabia, at the forefront of OPEC+, has already announced three production cuts since October, theoretically eliminating 2.5 million barrels per day from their output. As a result, their production in July is expected to hover around 9 million barrels per day.
However, despite these announcements, crude prices have experienced only fleeting rallies. Rate hikes by the Federal Reserve and other central banks have emerged as major factors, causing concerns over a global economic slowdown that could impact energy demand.
Now, the crucial question arises: Will the bullish sentiment prevail as global travel rates are projected to surge in July and August? This surge could potentially lead to a critical shortage of crude oil for U.S. refineries, especially considering the intentional reduction in oil supply from the Saudis to this particular destination. Furthermore, unless extended, the weekly sales of crude from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve will come to a halt, removing one of the tools employed by the Biden administration to keep prices in check.
In this video, I present a comprehensive technical analysis of USOILSPOT, focusing on key supply and demand zones within the Daily, 4-hour, and 1-hour timeframes. By closely examining these indicators, our goal is to provide valuable insights into the potential direction of price action for USOILSPOT in the upcoming week.
Don't miss out on this invaluable technical analysis that will enhance your understanding of the future trajectory of USOILSPOT. Stay one step ahead of the curve by watching the video now!
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
USOIL: crude oil low long high short strategyCrude oil first fell and then rose on Wednesday. The drop of 67 was blocked and then fluctuated upward. The EIA data was bullish. The oil price broke through 69 and reached a maximum of 69.7.
Today, let’s see if 70 can break through, and then look around 72 after breaking the position. At the top, focus on 70.5, the hourly line, 69.7 is blocked and there will be a short-term callback, and at the bottom, focus on 69 and 68. long high short
USOIL: Intraday short-term strategy callback 69 to do moreCrude oil is still bullish at the moment, because the bottom is an obvious triple bottom, plus all the positive closing lines, this is a signal to continue to stop the decline,
At the same time, crude oil is also operating in shock, the shock area is 67-74 line,
Intraday strategy BUY69, SL68,
Crude oil trading advice today
Now that the oil price is approaching the suppression of the 4-hour period moving average, long orders should be the first to make profits. This position is not easy to grasp. Wait for the oil price to break through the moving average or fall to the trend line to re-arrange long or short orders. In the triangle arrangement pattern, just sell high and buy low. Don’t think about it and wait for a breakthrough. In this way, otherwise you will pay for your thoughts.
Wait for a retracement or the emergence of an obvious hammer line, and the stabilization signal of the Dayang line is entering the market
Trading strategy:
buy@68 tp1:70 tp2:71
Next, there will be many trading opportunities for crude oil. I will provide you with more signals. Don't miss the opportunity to make money!
Oil drops as BOE and other central banks raise interest ratesI want to bring attention to recent developments in the oil market, in relation to have recently announced plans to reduce their oil purchases, in response to the spike in interest rates from the central banks of England, Norway, and Switzerland.
This move by central banks is significant, suggesting a shift from reliance on oil as a critical commodity. With interest rates rising, companies are likely to be more cautious in their oil purchases, which could have a knock-on effect on the oil market as a whole.
I encourage you to stay informed about the oil market and to consider your investment options carefully. It is clear that the market is evolving, and investors need to be prepared to adapt.
USOILSPOT Weekly Analysis: New Perspective and Follow-Up DetailsThe USOILSPOT market witnessed a remarkable surge in momentum last week, fueled by positive economic data from the Chinese government. As a result, USOILSPOT closed around the $72.00 zone, allowing us to secure over 500 pips in profit through multiple entries.
The rise in oil prices was primarily driven by increased Chinese demand and supply cuts from OPEC+. China's strong refinery output, reaching its second-highest level on record, contributed to the growing demand for oil. Furthermore, the CEO of Kuwait Petroleum Corp expects Chinese oil demand to continue rising in the second half of the year.
It's important to note that the voluntary crude output cuts by OPEC+ and the weaker US Dollar following the Federal Reserve's decision to hold rates unchanged are supporting factors for US oil prices.
In this video, we will provide a comprehensive technical analysis of USOILSPOT. We will focus on key support and resistance levels, as well as trendlines identified in the 4-hour timeframe. By examining these indicators, we aim to provide insights into the potential direction of price action for USOILSPOT in the upcoming week.
Don't miss out on this valuable technical analysis that will enhance your understanding of the future trajectory of USOILSPOT. Stay ahead of the curve by watching the video now!
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
USOIL: Looking for short-selling opportunities within the dayAfter finishing the high range at the beginning of this week, the price peaked one hour after the price fell below 70.8 yesterday, and the short-term direction changed from long to short!
Before a new bottom pattern appears in one hour, taking advantage of the trend and high altitude is the only trading idea. After the intraday price rebound, you can pay attention to the short trend at 71.8
USOIL: SELL around 71.8, short-term within the day to see 72.3-6SELL71.8, see the 70.5 line, just break through 72.3 and stop loss. Generally speaking, the oil price range is 72.3-69.9 within the day! If you break the upper and lower support levels, change your strategy and follow up!
Intraday strategy follow-up is closer. . .
USOIL: Resistance level 72.5, trading strategy between 70.4~71.8On the whole, today's crude oil price should focus on the 71.8 high point and 72.5 resistance for the upper resistance, and the 70.4-69.5 support for the lower part. During the shock period, you can sell high and buy low, and swing trading can maximize today's benefits
USOIL is poised to reach $71.63International oil prices were basically stable this Friday, and the U.S. index rebounded from a more than one-month low, limiting the rise in oil prices. Oil prices snapped a two-week losing streak on optimism over rising energy demand in top crude importer China. The upper pressure level of crude oil is 71.63 US dollars.
The data released on Thursday showed that the number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits last week was higher than expected, and the U.S. industrial production unexpectedly fell by 0.2% in May, causing the U.S. dollar index to plummet by nearly 0.9%. However, U.S. retail sales unexpectedly rose in May, and the U.S. index rebounded after hitting a low of 102.043 since May 12 on Friday.
Data released on Thursday showed that China's refinery throughput in May increased by 15.4% year-on-year, the second highest in history. The chief executive of Kuwait Petroleum Company said that China's demand for oil is expected to continue to climb at a confident pace in the second half of this year.
Analysts also expect the latest production cuts announced by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) in May and further voluntary cuts by Saudi Arabia in July to support prices. Still, markets are struggling to shake the panic as the global growth outlook remains vulnerable to further shocks from aggressive rate hikes.
The European Central Bank raised interest rates to a 22-year high as scheduled overnight. The Fed said this week that it will raise interest rates by at least 50 basis points by the end of the year. Higher interest rates end up increasing borrowing costs for consumers, which could slow economic growth and reduce oil demand.
On the hourly chart, oil prices have started an upward trend from US$68, and the upper resistance is looking at the 100% target at US$71.63.
USOIL: Trading Signals
USOIL30m chart, after the arc bottom is formed, encounters resistance near 70, forming M top (double top), MACD death cross, judging from the shape, it should be a pullback and then rise, so, my trading point of view is to be short first , and then go long.
Trading Signals:
sell:69.3-69.5
tp:68.5-68.3
buy:68.5-68
tp:70.3-71
USOIL:Trading advice for the day
A very typical shock trend, last trading day under the EIA and API double favorable stimulation oscillation upward test pressure level, from around 72 oscillation counter-pumping in the refresh high touched the 73.2 line and then the shock fall, a wave of sharp fall touched around 69 and then rebounded, in the short term a shock box is also very obvious, this is also the idea we have been sharing with you recently, the upper pressure level gradually moved down to around 72, the short-term support below is still at 70, strong support around 69.
If you need a detailed strategy, you can contact me.