Hellena | Oil (4H): Short to support area at 72.299.Well, colleagues, the price did not stop and continued its upward movement. At the moment, I understand that the price should turn around and start the long-awaited continuation of the downward movement.
I believe that wave 2 should end in the area of 79.338 or it has already ended and the downward movement has already started.
In any case, I see the first target is the support area at 72.299.
This scenario will be canceled by reaching the level of 84.601, as this is the top of the wave “2” of the higher order, which means that the wave movement needs to be reconsidered.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Crude Oil WTI
CRUDE OIL SHOWING STRENGTH EXPANDING TRIANGLE CORRECTIONSCrude Oil corrections!
N.B!
- USOIL price might not follow drawn lines . Actual price movement may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#usoil
#crudeoil
#wti
#brentoil
2024-10-09 - priceactiontds - daily update - oilGood evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
oil - 71.54 has a very good chance of being the low of this pullback. Confirmation is only above 74.7. Tough spot right now. I would not be surprised if Globex starts the pump early. Decent chance we see 76 tomorrow and 78 on Friday. Bears would surprise me below 71 and I do think we would see an even bigger flush below that price.
comment : Yeah I know, oil again. Market is moving the most currently so embrace the volatility. I make it short today. 71.54 has a very good chance of being the low of this pullback. Market could retest 77, so 300+ ticks higher from here. If you would long this now, stop is either 69.8 or 71.5. Both are reasonable. Confirmation for the bulls is above 74.75.
current market cycle: strongest bull trend
key levels: 70 - 80
bull case: Bulls see the 3 legs down and a 200 tick buy from the lows. Next they want follow through to break above the bear channel and they know, bears will have their stops between 74.5 and 74.7. Above is no good resistance until 77 again. On the daily chart we can also see bulls bought the daily 20ema almost to the tick and the bull channel now looks proper. Enough reasons why a long now is a decent trade.
Invalidation is below 71.5.
bear case: Bears had a gigantic pullback and now 2 bigger tails below the daily bars. Are they gonna fight this or do they think they made almost 700 ticks from the highs and it’s probably reversing soon? If you look at the daily chart, you can not come to the conclusion that you want to short 73.35 right now. If we somehow manage to get below 71.5, the bulls case is probably dead but market would likely be more neutral than bearish.
Invalidation is above 74.7.
short term: Bullish with stop 71.5.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-06: That bear trend is over and we are again in the big trading range 64 - 78/79. I would update this again if we break above 80 with follow through.
current swing trade: Long 73.28, stop 70.5. Target 77 or higher.
trade of the day: Shorts at 77 which was the big red line and August high. Market spiked and bulls who bought above 76.5 did not even had the chance to exit break even.
Crude Oil Bullish ContinuationCrude Oil price seems to exhibit signs of Bullish continuation.
Bulls may eventually face a strong resistance zone around 83 till 85.1. If there is considerable Bullish momentum in this price zone and this zone breaks, chances of TP2 may increase.
Till then, opportunity may be seized by the Bulls.
Trade Plan
Entry @ 73.707 OR CMP
Stop Loss @ 65.58
TP1 @ 81.86
TP2 @ 90
No. of Trades: 2
Move SL to Break Even if TP1 hits.
USOIL Will Go Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 74.20.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 77.51 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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Crude oil saved by the 200-day MA (for now)A combination of factors saw crude oil snap its 5-day winning streak on Tuesday. China's equity markets plunged at double-digit levels when traders realised no new stimulus from China was to be unveiled after golden weak. US production forecasts were lowered by the EIA and concerns over the Middle East receded somewhat.
An elongated bearish engulfing / outside day formed after its daily high met resistance at the September 2023 trendline. Yet the 200-day MA came to the rescue. For now at least.
Given the 4-hour bullish hammer at the 200-day MA and weekly R1 pivot, alongside a heavily oversold RSI (2) on that timeframe, I suspect a cheeky bounce could be in order. Bulls could cautiously seek dips for a move to $75 or $76.
Yet the magnitude of Tuesday's selloff suggests bears may be lurking at higher prices to re-enter upon any such bounce. Bears could wait to fade into such levels in anticipation of a return to the $70, near a high-volume node (HVN) and 61.8% Fibonacci level.
MS
US WTI CRUDE OIL... Looking to BUY IT!US OIL
Price has pulled back into the Weekly and Daily +FVG. There is a good chance 73-72.00 will hold support, sending prices higher.
My eyes on the lookout for valid buy setups.
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
US OIL update - Oct 08 2024US oil has followed previous analysis very well and due to current geopolitical tensions in the middle-east, the second target (78.3) was hit quickly.
After precisely hitting TP2, US oil price has had a sharp drop towards the support zone of 72.0. If the chart forms a base in this area, it's expected to see the continuation of the rise towards 82.0 level which is considered the main scenario. #USOIL
2024-10-08 - priceactiontds - daily update - oilGood evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
oil - Good pullback by the bears. Wait and see if bulls buy it and market found a bottom. Pullback could get some more but I doubt it will be much. 72-74 is neutral. Wait for strong momentum to the upside again.
From yesterday:
short term: max bullish but maybe one comment… No matter the reason for the short squeeze, it can turn down again violently and form a gigantic range. So imagine if we retest the breakout price of 72.36. How many traders would be trapped then? Don’t be early.
comment : Low of the day was 72.71. Hope you listened.
current market cycle: strongest bull trend
key levels: 70 - 80
bull case: Bulls got a big pullback which will probably be a great buying opportunity for many who can hold through more pain and scale in lower. Was 72.71 the low for this pullback? Possible but market almost never prints one big surprise bar and then moves in the other direction. Need better confirmation and strong buying again. Targets above are obvious. As long as bulls stay above 71, I think they are good and we will retest 77 and maybe higher.
Invalidation is below 71.
bear case: I don’t think bears did much here. More likely bulls wanted to secure the windfall profits and reduce risk. Are bears shorting 73 now in hopes of an even bigger reversal down to 70? I highly doubt that. The breakout price was retested imo and we can move higher again. Best bears can get is more sideways movement around 73. Bears also had 2 decent legs down. A third one is possible but betting on it might not be that good of a strategy here.
Invalidation is above 75.
short term: Neutral around 73-74. Bullish above 75 and bearish below 70.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-06: That bear trend is over and we are again in the big trading range 64 - 78/79. I would update this again if we break above 80 with follow through.
current swing trade: None
trade of the day: Shorts at 77 which was the big red line and August high. Market spiked and bulls who bought above 76.5 did not even had the chance to exit break even.
WTI OIL 1D MA200 rejection giving the perfect sell.WTI Oil (USOIL) hit our 76.00 Target as presented on our September 24 idea (see chart below):
Today even though the price breached the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), it has since been forcefully rejected. This is not a surprise as all medium-term rallies coming off a Support level bounce since June 2023, were all rejected on the short-term on the 1D MA200. The July 13 2023 one got rejected back to its 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, while the January 29 2024 one dived lower to the 0.618 Fib.
The 1D RSI (red circles) indicates that we are currently exactly on such a rejection sequence. As a result, we turn bearish on WTI, expecting at least a 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) breach at 72.50, which is a Target marginally below the 0.382 Fib.
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WTI Oil H4 | Falling to 38.2% Fibonacci supportWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 74.06 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 72.18 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 77.20 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
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2024-10-07 - priceactiontds - daily update - oilGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
Oil - 16% in 5 days. Alrighty then. No matter your religious beliefs, you can not buy and pray for higher prices. Buying near the 1h 20ema was profitable since last Tuesday but the rally is so climactic that we will very likely see a bigger pullback soon that will be driven by traders taking profits and reducing their risk. Don’t be exit liquidity. Otherwise it’s obviously max bullishness and we can expect a test of 80 soon. Any decent pullback is a good buying opportunity, just don’t buy big bear bars and hope for the best. Wait until market turns up again.
comment : Does not make sense to try to come up with a bull/bear case when the market is doing one of the nastiest short squeezes ever. It’s max bullish and your job now is to evaluate potential spots to get long. No matter how you put it, you can only long this on strong momentum or a decent pullback. The 1h 20ema was profitable for 4 trading days now, look for longs around that price. Can we go higher without a better pullback? Look at the rally 2023-06-28 to 2023-09-28. 3 months of a very strong bull rally and markets always have pullbacks. It could obviously still go higher before a pullback but I would not buy above 77 right now. Market has to form a better pattern for this to be sustainable. Right now it’s a short squeeze and we will soon see a bigger pullback because trader want to lock in profits in order to reduce their risk.
current market cycle: strongest bull trend
key levels: 70 - 80
bull case: Bulls are in control. Don’t look for shorts, can almost certainly only get burned. Potential targets for bulls to begin to take profits are above us. I got two bear trend lines around 77 - 79. I’d be surprised if we straight go for 80 without a better pullback. Any pullback is a good buying opportunity, just don’t long too early and get trapped in a deeper one you can not hold onto.
Invalidation is below 73.
bear case: Get outta here, no bear case.
Invalidation is above 80.
short term: max bullish but maybe one comment… No matter the reason for the short squeeze, it can turn down again violently and form a gigantic range. So imagine if we retest the breakout price of 72.36. How many traders would be trapped then? Don’t be early.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-06 : That bear trend is over and we are again in the big trading range 64 - 78/79. I would update this again if we break above 80 with follow through.
current swing trade: None
trade of the day: Long anywhere and have the balls to hold.
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CRUDE OIL TO HIT $160?! (UPDATE)Oil prices are up currently up 9% so far from our green, supply zone. Despite that we are still at the START OF THE BULL (BUY) RUN. We are nowhere near the top, so diversify your portfolio & take advantage! Huge buying momentum for the market over the past few weeks, showing you the possibility of which way Oil prices are heading.
Buyers still holding strong. GET INTO LONG TERM OIL POSITIONS NOW!
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST SEPT 7-11th: US WTI CRUDE OILUS WTI Crude Oil expanded to the upside last week, with a convincing close. ON the Daily, a +FVG was formed. Things are in place for price to continue to move higher.
My bias is bullish, and I am looking for buys.
Consider the tension in the Mid East, pushing prices higher.
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
WTI Oil H4 | Potential bullish breakoutWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards a potential breakout level and could climb higher from here.
Buy entry is at 75.11 which is a potential breakout level.
Stop loss is at 72.75 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support.
Take profit is at 78.62 which is an overlap resistance that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci projection level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Hellena | Oil (4H): Short to support area at 64.617.Dear colleagues, it seems that the price is in a downward movement and at the moment the price is forming wave “2” of lower order.
I assume that after the formation of wave “2” (72.299), the price will start to form wave “3” of lower order.
The nearest target is the support area at 64.617.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!