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USDMXN

USDMXN: SELLBased on our Fibonacci drawn from high to low on this daily time frame, we can clearly see that price has stopped at an entry zone for bears. Another confluence for this entry zone is the horizontal line drawn at the 61.8 level of the Fib, and as you can see price has touched this area a few times now. If you take this idea, make sure to set your stop losses based off of your risk management plan, and expect for take profit levels to be around 19.0706 and 18.7472 .
Short
by cupofconfidence
USDMXN In August the Mexican peso weakened from 19.848 to 20.071 against the US dollar. Economists at MUFG Bank expect MXN to depreciate from the 4Q onwards amid tapering cycle in the United States. Mounting COVID-19 cases and deaths with Delta variant, and sluggish vaccination rollout in Mexico “Assuming that FED tapering starts later this year and it will carry on at a gradual pace during next year, we see room for moderate MXN appreciation in the near-term as market fears over more aggressive tapering ease.” “However, the pace of MXN appreciation tends to be limited by the more concerning COVID-19 scenario in Mexico. The pace of vaccination continues to be sluggish, the number of cases is at record levels and deaths have been increasing as well.” “We now expect the MXN to be at around 20.150 at the end of September.” “From 4Q onwards, there is room for gradual MXN depreciation driven first by the beginning of Fed tapering, followed by the expectation of the FED funds rate hikes that might start later next year/early in 2023.”
by globalsymmetrygroup
USDMXN updates after JacksonThe positional struggle, or put simple the slow siege from sellers back to the base is finally exhausting. Powell has attacked with a move several times the strength of the surrounding defence. USD will now maintain the pressure and birth of fresh strength will unlock the next leg higher in USDMXN. Since 2018 we have been tracking the explosion higher. The break of the ABCDE triangle with Covid has already been analysed several times, much rather talk about the significance of the next move. Well, it renders the precedent and totally immobility of MXN, Powell confirming the USD offer is starting to expire means breaking strong support is no longer possible. On the technicals we must be clear, the 18 handle contains not a little resentment but rather the ambitious dreams of forcing another move similar to what we saw in 2020, allowing our opponent into a false sense of security with a trap before capitulating as far as the eyes can see. The resistance to the topside is now mostly dead and buried. For those looking to buy, the goal above comes in to play at 22.3x and 22.9x as a ideal extension.
Long
by ridethepig
2
USDMXN Channelling Higher, Targeting 20.23Trend Analysis The main view of this trade idea is on the 2-Hour Chart. The FX Cross USDMXN is channeling higher and is currently and the lower end of the support channel around 20.05. Expectations are for support to hold and the FX Cross rally towards the upper end of the trend channel at around 20.23, 0.81% away. If this upward price movement breaks down, a stop loss should be set at around 20. Technical Indicators The short (25-MA) and medium (75-MA) fractal moving averages indicates a change in trend in USDMXN, supporting the short term bullish view. Currently USDMXN is trading above these respective moving averages and there has been a bullish crossover on them, with the short term fractal moving average crossing above the medium term fractal moving average. Recommendation The recommendation will be to go long at market. Stop loss will be set around the 20.00 price level and a target of 20.23. This produces a risk-reward ratio of 2.50. Disclaimer The views expressed are mine and do not represent the views of my employers and business partners. Persons acting on these recommendations are doing so at their own risk. These recommendations are not a solicitation to buy or to sell but are for purely discussion purposes. At the time publishing, I have a position in USDMXN .
Long
by Ceddy86
Elliott Wave Analysis: USDMXN Is Forming A Bearish TriangleHello traders! We want to share a chart with interesting and known pattern called triangle on USDMXN currency pair. As you can see, USDMXN is trading sideways since the beginning of 2021. With slow price action and corrective sideways wave structure, we believe it's just a correction within downtrend, ideally a bearish triangle formation within a higher degree wave (IV) that can send the price even lower within wave (V). Triangles are continuation patterns which consist of five waves A-B-C-D-E and seems like the final wave E can be now in progress, so watch out for a drop back to lows towards 18.x area soon. It’s also worth to mention that three weeks back the central bank of Mexico (Banxico) hiked the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 4.25%. This seems to be very bullish for MXN across the board and it may last until other banks will start increasing the rates as well. However, a lot of CB seem to be waiting on the FED first. Today, Powell will definitely talk about inflation, but recent retracement on some of the commodities, like Lumber, may give more time to the FED, so they can wait with aggressive taper- talk, possibly till September or maybe even end of the year. Under that situation dollar may face limited upside. Be humble and trade smart! If you like what we do, then please like and share our idea! Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
Short
by ew-forecast