USDMXN Pattern like the 2008 crisis. Opportunity for +15% profitThe pair made a strong Parabolic Rise in March pushing the 1D chart to its limits. Now technicals have found a normal balance (RSI = 58.931, MACD = 0.972, ADX = 49.001) as the price is trading on a range. This is similar to the 2008 trading pattern of the Mortgage Crisis, when after a Parabolic Rise, USDMXN entered a range (was an Ascending Triangle then) before a new Top.
So far it appears the the COVID pandemic is repeating the same psychological patterns of the 2008 Mortgage Crisis. QE and stock market fear are the key factors. If USDMXN repeats the whole sequence then we can expect the next Top to be roughly +9% from the current one which makes for a $28.00 target. That is roughly a +15% profit opportunity from the current levels.
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USDMXN
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USDMXN ShortLooking at Weekly time frame we can see that we have three wicks that have formed indicating a strong resistance level. the price has been going up for a while now and by switching to the 4H TF we can see that it have failed to form a Higher high. adding to that the priceline will be reaching 24.6000 resistance level and that's where I will place my short. trade at your own risk and happy trading.
USDMXN SHORT TRADEUSDMXN based below HVN and key level around 23.68000
price rejected from 38.2% fibo level
price below SMA 100
MACD shows start of bearish momentum
RSI broke uptrend line
price forming AB=CD pattern
so its expect bearish movement to pattern target at 224% fibo and support level around 21.50000
then to demand zone around 19.50000