Usdjpysignal
UsdJpy- carving strong baseSince the start of the pandemic, UsdJpy is trading downwards, but if we look at the daily chart we can see that this downtrend is anemic and looks more like a range with some bearish tone.
We have a recent low just above 103 and now the pair looks like it found a strong base in this zone.
I expect a trend reversal for UsdJpy and I have a bullish outlook as long as the price is trading above 103.
My target for medium-term is 108 zone
UsdJpy building upside momentumAfter 103.20 low, UsdJpy has risen aggressively and reversed 250 pips in one day. Either is BoJ intervention or just the market, 103 is very strong support now.
Now the pair looks like is building upside momentum and a break above 105 would signal a change of trend.
I'm bullish as long as 103 is intact
UsdJpy to break supportUsdJpy is in a downtrend for quite some time and clear support for this pair is just above 104 zone.
I believe this support will be broken and the pair could drop to 103 or even 102
Yesterday UsdJpy had a spike above 105 and reversed aggressively confirming strong sell in that zone.
Rallies should be sold and only a daily close above 105.20 would delay this outlook
USDJPY 240 Pips drop expected will it reach 103.00 level ?USDPY
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⏳4 Hour chart
🎲 Possible entry analysis
⛳️ Possible bull/bear target
📚Educational
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Detailed analysis 💬
1️⃣Clear Downtrend since July-2020
2️⃣ 104.00 Acted as dynamic support and resistance
3️⃣ Risk off mode and Rising of virus infections, US 2020 election
4️⃣ 105.00 Key psychological resistance
5️⃣ Price Movement within the broader Downtrend channel
6️⃣Counter trend line will act as resistance
7️⃣ Technical support - Bear
8️⃣ Short term bullish movement towards 105.500
9️⃣ October high Immediate resistance
🔟 DXY-awaiting US election results - Currently neutral for USDPY
#️⃣ Overall bearish trend
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📉 Technical bias-H4-Bearish
Below 200 Exponential moving average
200EMA acting as immediate support - Bearish trend
Possible entry point-105.500
Relative strength index - Around 60 well above the neutral area
MACD- Is still above the line and about to cross the line and the histogram is fading ,Oscillators are still upward
Stochastic -at 75 Which is over bought territory and bearish divergence has formed in H4
Ichimoku cloud -cloud is red-Cloud Support-Bear
Bollinger band- Price is around higher band-Middle band will acting as dynamic support/resistance
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Key reversal area's
104.00 Key psychological level
106.150 October month high
105.500 Dynamic support and resistance
105 Key psychological level-Major key reversal area
103.00 Lower trend line reversal area
105.500 Possible entry- Bearish
105.500 Break and retest around this area-Alternative entry-Bullish
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Bearish entry #USDJPY
Entry price - 105.500
Take profit 01 - 104.800 (70 pips)
Take profit 02 - 104.100 (140 pips)
Take profit 03 - 103.100 (240 pips)
🚫 Stop lose 105.940 (45 pips)
Alternative bearish entry-105.700 ( Break and retest )
⬇️ 2.14% Growth expected
⤴️ Account growth 0.56 : 2.14
✅ Risk reward ratio 1 : 3.8
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The reward of Patience - 300 pips bullish movement In a 240-minute chart, the Ending Diagonal pattern is formed, there is a scenario that a strong uptrend will be formed according to this pattern.
As it has been shown in the picture, the target of this pattern is in the range of 109.85, and the loss limit will be 103.52.
Daily time frame analysis and the general trend will be determined soon