USDJPY - Short Term Japanese Yen SpeculationJapanese Yen, from a technical standpoint, has a potential appreciation of 2-3%. Yen looks cheap in my opinion and opened at the .786 level.
Despite the US Dollar becoming strong, I do believe the Japanese Yen would gradually appreciate due to its domestic price level pressure, and we should see some govt intervention or other traders pushing USDJPY down for a bit.
Usdjpyshort
USDJPY Levels of interestI am waiting two level on USDJPY before entering. 150.600 is the level where i wil start shorting, otherwise at 144.000 i will start buying. This two levels are really important, because they are daily support and resistance. This levels also fit as fibo level 1.618 and -0.618 of recent leg
USDJPY M30 / Bullish Move Forecast 💲Hello Traders!
This is my idea related to USDJPY M30. I expect a continuation of the bullish trend and I will look for a long entry on USDJPY. We have a very strong bullish move and I want to see a retracement at the FIB 50% level.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
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USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) for January witnessed a deceleration in Japan's national capital, dropping to 1.6% from the previous reading of 2.4%. This marks the first time in almost two years that consumer inflation has fallen below the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) 2.0% target. Additionally, the Core CPI (YoY) experienced a decline from 3.5% to 3.1%.
The Bank of Japan's December meeting minutes shed light on the monetary policy outlook and Yield Curve Control (YCC). Members of the BoJ Board expressed a consensus in favor of "patiently maintaining an easy policy." Several emphasized the need to observe a positive wage inflation cycle before contemplating the cessation of negative rates and YCC.
BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda reaffirmed a strong commitment to achieving the 2.0% inflation target. His statements hinted at a potential gradual reduction of extensive stimulus measures in the future, aligning with the central bank's objectives for inflation and economic stability.
On the flip side, the USD is experiencing a recovery driven by market adjustments in response to the Federal Reserve's (Fed) rate cut expectations. Despite soft Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) figures from the US in December, which didn't significantly impact market expectations on the upcoming Fed meeting, there is speculation about a delay in the easing cycle from March to May. However, the Fed's tone in the upcoming meeting could alter these expectations.
Given these recent developments, how should we navigate the current market conditions?
USDJPY Technical Analysis:
As discussed in the video, the recent upward momentum is showing signs of easing, leaving room for a possible USD pullback. However, for a confirmed uptrend continuation, we need to see sustained trading above 148.800. Our detailed technical analysis focused on the current bullish market structure, with particular attention to the crucial level of 148.800, set as a pivotal point for the upcoming week. This level gains significance as a potential catalyst for a clear uptrend if buying pressure persists. The market's response to this level at the beginning of the new week will strongly influence the direction of price action in the days ahead.
Join me in exploring potential trading opportunities using trendlines, key levels, and chart patterns. Stay connected to my channel, follow updates, and actively participate in the comment section as we navigate the dynamic USDJPY market together.
Wishing you success as you navigate the USDJPY market this week!
#USDJPY #technicalanalysis #tradingopportunities #inflation #monetarypolicy #Fed #interestrates #economicanalysis #Forextrading
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
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Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
USDJPY (H4) There are signs of weakening momentumOANDA:USDJPY
Observing USDJPY (H4), discernible indicators suggest a waning momentum within a descending price channel. This presents an opportune entry point with anticipated gains outweighing potential risks.
Selling at current price: 147.775
Stop loss at: 148.901
Take profit at: 145.600
Note: Risk management 2%
USDJPY → Bull Trend Over! Short to 145.000? Short Answer, Yes!USDJPY completed its third leg up in this bull trend then failed to break the Resistance Zone on a second attempt, creating a double top reversal pattern. It followed by breaking the Bull Trend Support line. Should we short?
How do we trade this? 🤔
We have three legs up, failed to break the Resistance Zone on the third leg, then a second attempt, followed by a strong close below the Bull Trend Support line, which is right on the 4HR 30EMA. This is an ideal time to short.
Entering a 1:2 Risk/Reward trade with a 1:1 Take Profit target for half of my position. Once the first take profit is hit, the stop loss moves up to the entry price to lock in profits. The second half will be held to the second take profit of 145.515 or if there is a major reversal signal that is clear.
This analysis works directly off my last one, reference here:
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Short Entry: 147.207
🟥 Stop Loss: 148.055
✅ Take Profit #1: 146.355
✅ Take Profit #2: 145.515
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Double Top Reversal after the third leg up in a bull channel
2. Near a Resistance Zone
3. Broke the Bull Trend Line
4. Gap to 4HR 200EMA and Support Zone
5. RSI at 38.00 and Below the Moving Average Supports a slight pullback and then fall.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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USDJPY,🔴Daily perspective🔴(Read the caption)
Well, as you can see the price hit the important supply zone that is on the 0.705 Fibonacci level and had a bearish reaction.
Once the price grabbed the internal liquidity and entered the FVG.
Now we can expect the price to continue the bearish trend to fill the FVG and then hit the bullish order block that formed at the 50% Fibonacci level. (First scenario)
The second scenario is, that the price rises to fill the FVG that is formed above the price and then falls.
💡Wait for the update!
🗓️30/01/2024
🔎 DYOR
💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
USDJPY→ Day Analysis | Sell SetupHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
Great SELL opportunity USDJPY
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Patience is the If You Have Any Question, Feel Free To Ask 🤗
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TRADE PLAN ON USDJPYHey Trader,
Check this analysis out on USDJPY
After the FOMC data that simply put the Dollar in a more stable state, USDJPY has successfully broken the demands zone and it is yet ravaging above the second main support area, looking forward to that zone being broken, and then we go to a sell trade
Keep a close tab on this one.
USDJPY - Short term downside ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDJPY.
Technical analysis: Here I expect bearish price action for short term as price filled the imbalance and rejected from bearish order block M30. My target is liquidity below equal lows and institutional big figure 147.000.
Fundamental news: This week is full of news in USA. Firstly on Wednesday we have Interest Rate followed by FOMC Conference, then on Friday NFP and Unemployment Rate. Pay attention to the results in order to validate the analysis.
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USDJPY Trade of the monthWhen i say that patience is the key, this is exactly what i mean. USDJPY was a trade of patience. It try multiple times to be bullish, but i was pretty sure that 148.5 was the top. I was lucky to catch the exact top with my first trade, honestly i was expecting a little upside moves. The second trade was placed on retest, and both trade are now close to the target. I think we will see more sell pressure, and there are good chance to reach 145.75 first and 143.5 next.
USDJPY - W1\D1USDJPY
W1 - The price can form a potential 3-wave structure and continue falling, the nearest level is 140.170, breaking through the 1st wave to implement the 3rd wave
D1 - The price has approached the breakout of the 1st wave, which can form the 3rd wave and begin a downward movement to local levels 143.012
What can you expect?
You can consider entering from the current levels of 146.634 with a target of 143.012. Also, if you are considering an entry, you can wait for the price to fix below the low of the 1st wave, which will make the entry point more confident.
Cancel if the price breaks the maximum of the 2nd wave - 148.322.
Short
Target 146.183 - 145.283 - 144.401 - 143.012 - 140.170
USDJPY SELL BOJ INTRESET RATES AHEAD!!!HELLO TRADERS
I am looking USDJPY chart and its now consolidation & trading in a channel. as we know tomorrow is BANK OF JAPAN interest rates coming out and I hope so it will be good for JPY even they are same as in forecast maybe it can be surprising expected the BOJ to end its negative rate policy, which has set Japan's short-term deposit rate to minus 0.1% over the past seven years, Governor Kazuo Ueda told a newspaper interview earlier this month the BOJ might get enough data by year-end to judge whether it could end negative rates, prompting traders to buy the yen to hedge against a possible earlier-than-expected rate hike.
While it has bounced back in the last couple of trading sessions due to some “bargain hunting” amid oversold conditions, the downside may not be done just yet.
it's just a trade idea friends share your thoughts with us it helps us all.
STAY TUNED for more updates.
USDJPY,🔴Sell opportunity🔴The price had a bearish reaction after collecting the liquidity above the previous daily high.
In addition, the price created the liquidity pool formed equal highs below the supply zone.
So we can expect the price rise to collect the liquidity and have a bearish reaction to our supply zone.
Please pay attention; we need a lower time frame confirmation for entry.
💡Wait for the update!
🗓️29/01/2024
🔎 DYOR
💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
USDJPY: The 10-year Japanese government bond yield could reach 2CEO of asset management fund Eurizon SLJ Capital, Mr. Stephen Jen, said that the USDJPY exchange rate could fall to 1 USD for 130 Yen by the end of this year, while the yield on Japanese government bonds with a term of 10 year is likely to increase by 1.5% - 2%. USDJPY traded around 148.10 and the 10-year bond yield was at 0.71% on January 29.
According to Stephen Jen, the father of the Laughing Dollar theory, Governor Kazuo Ueda's focus in the near future is to reset monetary policy "to allow the BoJ to act without bursting the government bond bubble (JGB )”.
Adding shorts to USDJPYMy view on USDJPY has not changed. I still see a bearish setup with a strong confirmation. Break of main trendline (daily), retest of it, i expect a break of the short term trendline (Hourly) and drop. As a support, there is a nice divergence on H4 timeframe. Target is around 146.000, invalidation is a break above recent highs
USDJPY major pullback or reversal?4H TF
- trendline broken, waiting on retest
- FVG intersection with said trendline
- 50% fib level confluent with both of above
- previous breaker block confluent with all of above
- LL created
1H TF
- FVG overlapping 4H FVG
15M TF
- 5 touches just below target entry (LIQUIDITY SWEEP?)
- FVG inside of both HTF FVGS.
ALL of the above intersect within the same PRICE RANGE. Highly probable that a retest and a rejection of all will allow the BEARS to takeover and create a new LH - Entering the start of a potential downtrend if enough liquidity.
M30 | Usdjpy | Decision PiontHello everyone ...
usdjpy is on buy trend this may continue the trend or if price break out entry levels and sell trend will start and this entry will be invalid..
Use good trade management only thing important in Trading is how you manage your trade...
WHAT YOU THINK ABOUT THIS PAIR LET ME KNOW IN COMMENT..
.. good luck..
USD/JPY Made H&S Pattern , Ready To Sell To Get 200 Pips ?This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.