Sell USDJPY [4 May 2022]Monthly : Bearish. Even though price has not entered my sell zone between 131.5 and 135.3, there is a divergence on the monthly TF. So, there is a chance that market will start to drop before reaching my ideal sell zone.
Weekly: Bearish . Same reasoning as the above.
Daily :
Bearish divergence.
There is a signifcant increase in the buying volume on 21/April/2022, but the body of the candle is small, indicating a sign of weakness in the uptrend.
H1: Market made a Break of Structure (BOS) which acts a confirmation for market to drop further. Waiting for price to re-enter the POI zone before we can place a trade.
Considering that my bias is a strong bearish, the following price points would be the areas that I would be interested to sell and stack my positions.
Entry 1: 130.60
Entry 2: 131.00
Entry 3: 131.50
SL: 130.95 (I don't use SL because I will stack my positions until it goes to my direction).
TP: 124.00
Usdjpysell
USDJPY-SELL+++++No change in view.
The market is way over extended and it requires a strong correction. the position is medium-term and I suspect a fall of 4-5 big figures are required to decrease the pressure a bit.
Strategy SELL current @ 130.90-131.30 and add further on way up above 132.00. I know what feedback is expected, but for now I have added again @ 131.20 and average stands now at 128.97. Sightly more leverage and its fine in terms of position.
The take back orders are now
35% @ 128.57
30% % 127.47
balance @ 126.07 when seen.
Please note I will re-sell when positions are reduced based on the market situation that time.
USDJPY-SELL++++When using Kagi charts is useful to see some changes, and overall picture.
The Haikin Ashi takes out the noise on candle sticks.
Using that technique and RSI one can see the state of the market and its extreme.
For medium-term am fine in seeing a good correction in the near term.
For now SELL strategy unchanged for new positions SELL current 130.40-130.60 and add further above 131.60 for now.
For existing shorts add above 131.60 only.
Profit orders (you adjust to your own positions):
35% @ 128.17
30% @ 126.97
balance @ 125.17
USDJPY-SELL++++No change in view, and sad to say the low was not low enough to lift some of the shorts and re-sell.
For now, am believing we may see slightly higher levels, but not for going long. The danger is sharp down still medium-term.
Short-term it is clear Kagi showing signs of re-test 131.00. I will add above 131.75 only (am not saying we will see it).
The orders are same still:
BUY @ 128.17 35% of position
BUY @ 126.17 30% of position
balance @ 125.97.
USDJPY-SELL++No change in view.
I am expecting sharper down movement coming days. BUYING pressure is reducing and we are overextended.
Strategy still SELL @ 130.00-130.40 and add further above 131.40.
Profit orders are depending to your positioning. Mine are:
Buy-back
35% @ 127.98
30% @ 126.87
baance @ 125.37.
USDJPY-SELL++Any time now it will decline sharply is my personal opinion. The buying pressure is reducing and the pattern is looking it wishes to topple. Further, we are way overbought, and also in terms of FIB corrective action we will likely see 125.04 in the coming weeks ahead, and short-term 127.49 as first stop.
Strategy unchanged, SELL current 130.00-130.40 and add further sells @ 131.40 and above when seen. Existing positions only add 131.40 and above as a guide.
Please note, these are my personal views, and I hope you do your own study ad based it on what you believe, and make sure sound money management.
Profit order @ 127.65 for and re-sell on corrections upwards.
My side my orders are:
35% @ 128.35
30% @ 127.17
balance @ 125.67 for now.
USDJPY-SELL++++No change in view.
The market remains over extended and had perhaps tiny corrective action from highs. Pattern seems stalling now, and feel comfortable about the sell strategy. The strategy is medium-term and this requires always small leveraging to succeed.
For now, for new positions SELL @ 130.00-130.50 and add above 131.20. For existing shorts, add above 131.50 when seen.
Take-back orders (this relates to your own positioning of course)
35% @ 128.30
30% @ 126.97
Balance @ 125.27 for now.
I may re-sell positions depending to the situation, and will update when it happens.
USDJPY-SELL+++++No change in view
I had added @ 131.20 again as I am very convinced it is overextended. Average now 128.50.
When we look at historical judgment, the correction for weekly chart will be anywhere from 4-6 big figs, which would mean the high 131.00 (rounded) suggests return level of 125.00 - 126.00. Using he monthly chart in combination, first correction of the weekly chart can cause a move up after before the total of 15 big figs correction needed for monthly chart will complete. The end stop will be somewhere 116.00 based on that.
I am not saying I got a crystal ball, but this is what I believe is possible.
I wish to note, that everyone adjust to their own style or develop one, and it is depending also to the risk level one wishes to take. Me personally, I take reasonable risks, but always make sure regarding leverage. The start positions are always very small, and I consider market may go higher. The comments seen are great, but always remember you are responsible for your own money management, same as I am for mine. :)
The strategy for new positions is SELL current 130.50-130.80 and add above 131.20 again. Take backs are partly based on your own parameters and position, but for me now changed to:
35% @ 127.98
30% @ 126.57
Balance @ 124.87.
The strategy will be to re-sell when buy-backs have happened and will update you on my activity.
USDJPY-SELL+++ UpdateI have just added another SELL @ 129.75 and average stands now at 127.76.
The spike was little quick because of BOJ of course.
The view is not changed, and we add on further JPY weakness when seen, Next sell level is @ 130.47.
For new positions SELL current @ 129.70 - 129.90 and add @ 130.47.
Take back orders are now:
30% @ 127. 17
30% @ 126.07
Balance @ 124.17.
USDJPY-SELL++++I just sold 15% @ 128.45 as my order 1238.57 was not executed.
The market is overextended still and the weekly chart and daily chart provides good reasons to be short. I am not saying we cannot see higher, but I would further sell above 129.45, when seen.
New position SELL cirrent 128.30-128.50 and sell again @ 129.45. Profit orders are individual of course.
The average now 127.33 and the take back orders placed are as follows:
30% @ 127.07
30% @ 125.78
Balance @ 123.17 for now.
USDJPY-SELL +++We have moved a little below 127.00 and I took back yesterday 30% of position @ 127.15. The average now being 126.97.
The strategy for now is to re-sell again @ 128.17 when seen.
The market is still very overbought and is in a correction mode.
For new positions (its medium-term view) sell @ 127.80-128.00 when seen, unless you feel more aggressive you start SELL @ 127.50-127.70 and add as well @ 128.17.
The take back is now:
30% @ 125.78
Balance @ 123.17 for now.
USDJPY LONGS ACTIVE📉📉📉USDJPY - Expecting bullish price action on this chart as price filled x2 h4 bullish imbalances, and takes out sell side liquidity below old lows. The HTF market strucutre is bullish and the fundamentals are alligned for a LONG opportunity, market sentiment tells us that retailers are shorting this pair and this could be another confluence for us to go LONG.
What do you think ? Comment below..
USDJPY-SELL+++We are slowly correcting down wards but with some resistance to it. Market feels it still wishes to battle, but now we got a kind of hammer formed... and further we are still overbought... and there is room for first decline to 124.67. I expect it to consolidate and trade up to 127.25 before down to 123.50. For monthly chart perspective we should see near 120.00.
For now strategy is for new comers SELL @ 128.17 and add SELL 129.57. For existing shorts only add @ 129.57.
Profit orders slight change:
30% @ 127.03
30% @ 125.87
Balance @ 123.67
We might re-sell again once trimmed... will update on that at the time.
USDJPY 4H Projection USDJPY 4H Projection
My view on USDJPY for 4H.
USDJPY Elliott Wave(5 Wave) Structure is over now
USD-JPY was trading in an uptrend
For a very long time
But now we are finally seeing a bearish breakout
And as the correction is overdue
I am expecting a move down
Towards the target below
Sell!
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USDJPY-SELL++++No change in view.
The correction will start any time, is my personal view. I know there are ideas floating around saying first 130.50 and then down, and who knows they are right. However, I position myself short and I feel comfortable in being that way.
The new positions SELL current 128.30-128.80 and add above 129.00. Existing positions and new positions take back as follows:
30% @ 127.65
30% @ 126.17
Balance @ 122.78 for now.
USDJPY-SELL++++No change in view.
I will add SELL @ 128.80 again. The steepness of the GANN angle/fan will attract gravitational force. The first move down will be towards 126.27 and then expected consolidation back to 127.20 area.
Overall I suspect we will see 124.78 and then followed by 122.30. Monthly chart I see correction below 120.00.
Strategy is SELL @ current 128.30 (new positions) or add 128.80. Profit orders:
30% @ 126.65
30% @ 125.17
Balance @ 122.78 for now.