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Usdjpyidea

USD/JPY Bullish Divergence and Key Support AnalysisThe USD/JPY pair has recently exhibited a Bullish Divergence on the 1-hour chart. This technical pattern is a significant indicator suggesting potential upward price movement. The price action has also received a strong rejection at a key support level, which coincides with a 4-hour trendline and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. These factors collectively reinforce our bullish outlook. Technical Confluences: Bullish Divergence: A bullish divergence on the 1-hour chart indicates potential reversal and strength in the upward momentum. Key Support Level: The price rejection at the key support level confirms the market's recognition of this zone as a significant barrier to downward movement. 4-Hour Trendline: Alignment with a long-term trendline adds to the credibility of the support level, indicating sustained bullish sentiment. 61.8% Fibonacci Level: The confluence with the Fibonacci retracement level further solidifies the support area, often seen as a critical point for trend reversals. Entry and Risk Management: Entry Point: 158.520 Stop Loss: 157.300 The chosen entry point at 158.520 is strategically placed just above the key support level, ensuring minimal risk while maximizing potential gains. The stop loss at 157.300 is set conservatively below the support level to protect against unexpected volatility. Take Profit Levels: To effectively manage profits, the following take profit levels have been identified based on technical analysis and historical price action: TP-1: 159.740 TP-2: 160.960 TP-3: 162.180 These levels are determined to capture gains at various stages of the anticipated upward movement, allowing for flexible exit strategies based on market conditions. Conclusion: The USD/JPY pair demonstrates a strong bullish potential supported by multiple technical indicators and confluences. Traders are advised to enter at 158.520 with a stop loss at 157.300 to manage risk effectively. The outlined take-profit levels offer strategic exit points to maximize gains while adapting to market movements. Recommendation: Monitor the price action closely and adjust positions to align with evolving market conditions and protect against potential reversals.
Long
by trading_jupiter
2
Japanese Yen dropped to its lowest level in nearly 4 decadesAll data supports LONG usdjpy ---- According to Nikkei, till now, Japanese institutional traders have now no longer poured capital into overseas markets on any such big scale. Banks offered simplest a internet 220.7 billion yen of overseas property withinside the first 1/2 of of this 12 months. Meanwhile, pension price range bought a internet of 9.forty three trillion yen withinside the identical period. The using pressure using the float of cash into foreign places property is the organization of retail traders who're changing their financial savings into investments to deal with inflation. Core CPI in Japan has always multiplied extra than 2% every month given that fall 2022. May CPI multiplied 2.1%, better than the BOJ`s goal of 2%. Currently, only a few monetary merchandise in Japan generate returns better than 2%. One-12 months deposits of as a minimum three million yen had hobby costs of simply beneathneath 0.1% in June. Japanese authorities bonds bought to retail traders had hobby costs of much less than 1% this month. The predicted dividend yield of Japanese shares in keeping with the Nikkei Stock Average is simplest 1.75%, nevertheless decrease than inflation. “Investment cash has a tendency to float to Western nations and elsewhere, in which monetary and company boom expectancies are high,” stated Soichiro Tateishi, an economist on the Japan Research Institute. When Japanese traders purchase shares or bonds denominated in USD via mutual price range with out a foreign money hedging strategy, they'll ought to promote yen to shop for USD. Accordingly, multiplied funding sports via NISA positioned even extra strain at the yen. Investors chickening out capital will assist the yen appreciate. However, NISA is a software primarily based totally on lengthy-time period investments, so the yen will now no longer be capable of get hold of momentum from here. Meanwhile, Japan's change deficit has lengthy been taken into consideration a structural issue inflicting the yen to fall. As an electricity importer, Japan has visible a change deficit for the reason that 2011 earthquake and tsunami, which pressured the u . s . to import extra electricity because of the closure of nuclear strength plants. From January to May 2024, Japan's change deficit stood at three.forty five trillion yen. This discern will boom to three.eighty three trillion yen while facts via mid-June are included. Some professionals have warned approximately the capital flight of retail traders. Meanwhile, the yen is buying and selling at a hundred and sixty for 1 USD, whilst at the start of the 12 months it became 140. One manner to show the scenario round is to boom the splendor of the Japanese inventory marketplace and different monetary merchandise. According to Shingo Ide, leader monetary engineer at NLI Research Institute, Japanese businesses “are beginning to make efforts to enhance profitability and capital efficiency.” However, Nikkei stated, any essential exalternate to the contemporary fashion will take a protracted time.
Long
by TheLeader_WOLF
USDJPY ( UNDER BEARESH PRESSURE ) ( 4H )USDJPY HELLO TRADERS Tendency the price is under bearish pressure , after stabilizing below turning level at 161.524 TURNING LEVEL : a blue line between resistance and support level around 161.524 , indicates if the price stabilizing below this level reach support level , if the breaking turning level reach a resistance level NEW RESISTANCE LEVEL : there is a green line around 162.412 and 163.207 , if the price breaking turning level reach this target SUPPORT LEVEL : there is a red line below turning level around 160.610 and 159.815 , indicates buying have already increase this level , so if the price breaking turning level reach this target PRICE MOVEMENT : maybe first the price will trying to rising turning level around 161.524, after dropping to the support level at 160.610 , then stable below this level reach 159.815 , if the price breaking turning level reach a new resistance level at 162.412 and 163.207 TARGET LEVEL : RESISTANCE LEVEL : 162.412 , 163.207 SUPPORT LEVEL : 160.610 ,159.815
Short
by ArinaKarayi
2
Mega Analysis on USDJPY outrageous Levels so this analysis is based on high time frame weekly 1) so i identified a CUP & HANDLE pattern, the range for the cup size is from 127.50 to 151.946 2) Handle range from 140.188 to 151.946 so the target projected based on size of pattern 1st target = 163.513 2nd target = 176.392 last three weeks has a price action of three soldiers which has left behind bullish fvg at 159.778 and 158.258 so, if you dont have any position this area could be offer fair value and if you already holding some position then we can trail the stop loss just below the fvg we have marked note - market is based on buyer and seller and ups and downs so short term pullbacks are considerable leave your comment on my analysis and lets have trading related deep talks !!
Long
by Jimmy_Rebello
Japan's efforts to protect the yen exchange rate fell into vain"ALL THE PROBLEM IS WITH THE FED" On Wednesday`s buying and selling consultation, the yen fell to 160.88 yen for 1 USD, the bottom degree due to the fact that 1986. Early this morning (June 27) withinside the Asian marketplace, the yen rebounded slightly. 160.sixty three yen to at least one USD. The yen has depreciated approximately 2% this June and fallen 12% due to the fact that the start of the yr as compared to the USD, withinside the context of a regular growth withinside the USD alternate price due to the fact expectancies approximately whilst the Fed will begin decreasing hobby prices are constantly driven back. . The Dollar Index, which measures the power of the USD in opposition to a basket of six different predominant currencies, has accelerated 1.25% this month and is up 4.sixty three% due to the fact that the start of the yr - consistent with facts from MarketWatch. On Wednesday consultation, Dollar Index handed 106 points, the very best in 2 months. The predominant motive of the yen devaluation as compared to the USD is the hobby price distinction among americaA and Japan. The Fed's short-time period hobby price is five.25-five.five% and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is 0-0.1%, making the yen an appealing investment foreign money. in hobby price differential transactions (bring trade). According to Bloomberg, international traders recognize that the yen will face downward stress so long as USD hobby prices stay high. In the worldwide foreign money marketplace with a transaction fee of 7.five trillion USD according to day, the non-stop devaluation of the yen is a clearer proof of US affect withinside the economic sector. “The hassle is all with the Fed. Higher and longer hobby prices withinside the US are attracting cash to americaA and making the USD robust," stated leader bond funding strategist of NatAlliance Securities LLC, Mr. Andrew Brenner. Mr. Brenner stated that for Japan, that is a challenge. Wednesday's buying and selling consultation completely contemplated America's dominant function in international economic markets. The Dollar Index's 0.4% growth this consultation positioned downward stress on nearly all different currencies withinside the world. The US inventory marketplace is on course to finish some other area of robust gains, whilst the Ministry of Finance without difficulty bought all 70 billion USD of Treasury bonds withinside the public sale at the equal day. For the yen, the tale is absolutely different. At an alternate price of almost 161 yen to at least one USD, the foreign money has depreciated past the factor in which Japanese government intervened withinside the forex marketplace in past due April and early May. This manner efforts Spending greater than 60 billion USD to defend Tokyo's yen alternate price has "failed", however happily it handiest bogged down the price of devaluation of the yen.
Long
by TheLeader_WOLF
1
Usd Jpy Intervention shortAnalysis of USD/JPY Short Signal Based on Potential Bank of Japan Intervention The BOJ has a history of intervening in the currency market to stabilize the yen, especially when rapid depreciation threatens economic stability. Previous interventions have led to sharp, albeit sometimes short-lived, reversals in the USD/JPY pair. Current Economic Conditions: Japan: Inflation remains low, and economic growth is sluggish. The BOJ continues with its ultra-loose monetary policy, but any signs of overheating in the exchange rate might prompt intervention. United States: The Federal Reserve has been relatively hawkish, focusing on controlling inflation through interest rate hikes. This policy divergence has contributed to the USD strength against the JPY. Market Sentiment: Recent movements have seen the USD/JPY testing higher levels, potentially triggering concerns for the BOJ about excessive yen weakness. Speculation of intervention can often lead to preemptive market adjustments. Technical Analysis Resistance Levels: The pair may face resistance around historically significant highs, which could act as a trigger point for BOJ intervention. Support Levels: Key support levels will be watched to assess potential downside targets if intervention occurs. Sustainability of BOJ Actions: The effectiveness of BOJ interventions in reversing long-term trends is historically mixed. Given the potential for BOJ intervention to correct an overextended yen depreciation, a short position in USD/JPY could be strategic. However, traders should closely monitor key economic indicators, BOJ communications, and technical resistance levels. Proper risk management, including stop-loss orders, is essential to navigate the inherent uncertainties and volatility associated with such interventions.
Short
by realtrademaster
3
USDJPY: 800+ Pips Buying Opportunity! Swing Trading Dear Traders, Hope you are doing great, price of USDJPY remain tricky. Previously, we had anticipated that price will drop heavily, however, due to weak Japanese yen price remain bullish as it was before. We still currently in a correction zone, where we can expect price to drop slightly lower to our area of entry and then we can see a strong buyers liquidity kicking in the market. *If you like the idea then please like, comment and follow us which will encourage us to bring you more educational ideas like this** Team Setupsfx_
Long
by Setupsfx_
14
USDJPY buyUS dollar vs Japanese Yen as we can in our chart the is pair is moving in a channel and we are seeing a potential buy side move keeping in view this situation we uphold that the pair can reach to the 162.450 level and then may be rejected from this level because of its historical significance and also the level is formed over weekly time frame and market has been rejected historically two times from this significant level if market is not rejected from this resistance level and breaks this level then it could reach Monthly Resistance level so keep watching the market
Long
by Wakeel_Saab
USDJPY Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaAnalyzing the USDJPY on the daily chart reveals a clear bullish trend. The pair is currently testing a significant resistance level. Although I'm considering a long position, I won't enter at this point. Instead, I’m looking for a pullback. On the 30-minute chart, there’s a noticeable bullish imbalance and an order block just below the current price. My ideal entry would be a retracement to the 50-61.8% Fibonacci level, which aligns with these areas. In the accompanying video, we delve into the trend, market structure, price action, and other crucial technical analysis elements. Remember, this video is purely educational and not financial advice.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
2
USDJPY keeps breaking recordsThe USD/JPY pair traded near a seven-week high above 158.00 during today's European session. The rally appears to have paused amid uncertainty over the Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate path and the release of Japan's national Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for May , will be announced on Friday. Market expectations for the Fed to start cutting interest rates from its September meeting intensified after US Retail Sales data for May missed estimates. Monthly retail sales increased 0.1%, slower than expectations of 0.2%. The Retail Sales report also showed households cutting back on discretionary spending, suggesting weak purchasing power due to high inflationary interest rates. At the Tokyo front, the Japanese Yen weakened despite the minutes of the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) June meeting showing that Governor Kazuo Ueda advocated raising interest rates earlier than expected. BoJ Ueda advocates further policy tightening due to rising inflation risks due to the weak Yen. Japan's exports have become competitive in global markets and import costs have increased, which could push price pressure higher. This week, the main factor affecting the Japanese Yen will be the national CPI data. Annual national CPI excluding Fresh Food is expected to increase to 2.6% from 2.2% previously. The pair will likely continue to increase by more than half with the expectation of the upper border at 159,600-160,200. At this point, it is necessary to have adjustment policies of the Japanese economy as the currency and economy become increasingly weaker.
by TVS-Trader
Short Idea on USDJPYUSDJPY made an attempt to breakout from symmetrical triangle pattern on 12/6/2024 before US CPI Data released. After US CPI Data released on 12/6/2024, the USDJPY dropped tremendously from 157.37 to 155.75 level. Today 13/6/2024, USDJPY climbed to sensitive rejection level 157.35 again. On 4-Hours Timeframe Chart, you can see a potential Head & Shoulder Formation. The USDJPY Price is currently forming a possible right shoulder, which potential peak will be at between 157.30 to 157.40 area. If a Solid Bear candlestick formed break the support of 156.90 Level, you will see a waterfall happening to 154.90 level. My Entry Price: 157.26 Profit Target: 154.90 Stop Loss: 158.15 Risk : Reward: 1 : 2.61
Short
by PeterGHL
USDJPY TO 160+ 12H CHARTI have USDJPY going to 160 and beyond..... price may be a little choppy until then but I am Long on this pair and I've been using every dip (when price takes bearish dive) as a buying opportunity. I can see price testing the previous highs of 157.844 (yellow level) and eventually breaking and closing above it, once this level of previous resistance (157.844) is then used as support; that will act as yet another form of confirmation that price in en'route the 160 level.
Long
by DeniroFX
2